• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimating procedure

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Identification of Substructure Model using Measured Response Data (계측 거동 데이터를 이용한 부분구조 모델의 식별)

  • Oh, Seong-Ho;Lee, Sang-Min;Shin, Soobong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2004
  • The paper provides a methodology of identifying a substructure model when sectional and material properties of the structure are not the a priori information. In defining a substructure model, it is required that structural responses be consistent with the actual behavior of the part of the structure. Substructure model is identified by estimating boundary spring constants and stiffness properties of the substructure. Static and modal system identification methods have been applied using responses measured at limited locations within the substructure. Simulation studies for static and dynamic responses have been carried. The results and associated problems are discussed in the paper. The procedure has been also applied to an actual multi-span plate-girder Gerber-type bridge with dynamic responses obtained from a moving truck test and construction blasting vibrations.

A Study on the Method for Estimating the 30 m-Resolution Daily Temperature Extreme Value Using PRISM and GEV Method (PRISM과 GEV 방법을 활용한 30 m 해상도의 격자형 기온 극값 추정 방법 연구)

  • Lee, Joonlee;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Jeong, Ha-Gyu
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.697-709
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    • 2016
  • This study estimates and evaluates the extreme value of 30 m-resolution daily maximum and minimum temperatures over South Korea, using inverse distance weighting (IDW), parameter-elevation regression on independent slopes model (PRISM) and generalized extreme value (GEV) method. The three experiments are designed and performed to find the optimal estimation strategy to obtain extreme value. First experiment (EXP1) applies GEV firstly to automated surface observing system (ASOS) to estimate extreme value and then applies IDW to produce high-resolution extreme values. Second experiment (EXP2) is same as EXP1, but using PRISM to make the high-resolution extreme value instead of IDW. Third experiment (EXP3) firstly applies PRISM to ASOS to produce the high-resolution temperature field, and then applies GEV method to make high resolution extreme value data. By comparing these 3 experiments with extreme values obtained from observation data, we find that EXP3 shows the best performance to estimate extreme values of maximum and minimum temperatures, followed by EXP1 and EXP2. It is revealed that EXP1 and EXP2 have a limitation to estimate the extreme value at each grid point correctly because the extreme values of these experiments with 30 m-resolution are calculated from only 60 extreme values obtained from ASOS. On the other hand, the extreme value of EXP3 is similar to observation compared to others, since EXP3 produces 30m-resolution daily temperature through PRISM, and then applies GEV to that result at each grid point. This result indicates that the quality of statistically produced high-resolution extreme values which are estimated from observation data is different depending on the combination and procedure order of statistical methods.

The Operational Procedure on Estimating Typhoon Center Intensity using Meteorological Satellite Images in KMA

  • Park, Jeong-Hyun;Park, Jong-Seo;Kim, Baek-Min;Suh, Ae-Sook
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.278-281
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    • 2006
  • Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) has issued the tropical storm(typhoon) warning or advisories when it was developed to tropical storm from tropical depression and a typhoon is expected to influence the Korean peninsula and adjacent seas. Typhoon information includes current typhoon position and intensity. KMA has used the Dvorak Technique to analyze the center of typhoon and it's intensity by using available geostationary satellites' images such as GMS, GOES-9 and MTSAT-1R since 2001. The Dvorak technique is so subjective that the analysis results could be variable according to analysts. To reduce the subjective errors, QuikSCAT seawind data have been used with various analysis data including sea surface temperature from geostationary meteorological satellites, polar orbit satellites, and other observation data. On the other hand, there is an advantage of using the Subjective Dvorak Technique(SDT). SDT can get information about intensity and center of typhoon by using only infrared images of geostationary meteorology satellites. However, there has been a limitation to use the SDT on operational purpose because of lack of observation and information from polar orbit satellites such as SSM/I. Therefore, KMA has established Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique(AODT) system developed by UW/CIMSS(University of Wisconsin-Madison/Cooperative Institude for Meteorological Satellite Studies) to improve current typhoon analysis technique, and the performance has been tested since 2005. We have developed statistical relationships to correct AODT CI numbers according to the SDT CI numbers that have been presumed as truths of typhoons occurred in northwestern pacific ocean by using linear, nonlinear regressions, and neural network principal component analysis. In conclusion, the neural network nonlinear principal component analysis has fitted best to the SDT, and shown Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) 0.42 and coefficient of determination($R^2$) 0.91 by using MTSAT-1R satellite images of 2005. KMA has operated typhoon intensity analysis using SDT and AODT since 2006 and keep trying to correct CI numbers.

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Radiation Dose Calculation in the Surrounding Organs during Brachytherapy of Prostate Cancer (전립선암 근접시료시 주변 장기 선량 평가)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lim, Chang-Seon;Whang, Joo-Ho
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.172-177
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    • 2008
  • As a part of estimating quantitative radiation treatment doses, we produced a mathematical phantom based on the standard Korean male. Then, with the prostate as the source organ, we calculated the absorbed dose in the prostate and surrounding organs forecasted to occur during brachytherapy for prostate cancer. To simulate the procedure, we selected $^{25}I$ and $^{103}Pd$ useful in brachytherapy of the prostate as the radionucleids and made an assumption that 1 Ci of initial radioactivity is administered. As a result, we found that the prostate, as the source organ, indicated 101 Gy/Ci and 7.24 Gy/Ci, respectively, in case of $^{125}I$ and $^{103}Pd$. With the exception of the prostate, organs with high absorbed doses were found to be in the order of the penis and scrotum, sigmoid colon, testicles and the urinary bladder, which are relatively close to the prostate.

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Application of the Fuzzy Set Theory to Uncertain Parameters in a Countermeasure Model (비상대응모델의 불확실한 변수에 대한 퍼지이론의 적용)

  • Han, Moon-Hee;Kim, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 1994
  • A method for estimating the effectiveness of each protective action against a nuclear accident has been proposed using the fuzzy set theory. In most of the existing countermeasure models in actions under radiological emergencies, the large variety of possible features is simplified by a number of rough assumptions. During this simplification procedure, a lot of information is lost which results in much uncertainty concerning the output of the countermeasure model. Furthermore, different assumptions should be used for different sites to consider the site specific conditions. Tn this study, the diversity of each variable related to protective action has been modelled by the linguistic variable. The effectiveness of sheltering and evacuation has been estimated using the proposed method. The potential advantage of the proposed method is in reducing the loss of information by incorporating the opinions of experts and by introducing the linguistic variables which represent the site specific conditions.

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3D Pose Estimation of a Circular Feature With a Coplanar Point (공면 점을 포함한 원형 특징의 3차원 자세 및 위치 추정)

  • Kim, Heon-Hui;Park, Kwang-Hyun;Ha, Yun-Su
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2011
  • This paper deals with a 3D-pose (orientation and position) estimation problem of a circular object in 3D-space. Circular features can be found with many objects in real world, and provide crucial cues in vision-based object recognition and location. In general, as a circular feature in 3D space is perspectively projected when imaged by a camera, it is difficult to recover fully three-dimensional orientation and position parameters from the projected curve information. This paper therefore proposes a 3D pose estimation method of a circular feature using a coplanar point. We first interpret a circular feature with a coplanar point in both the projective space and 3D space. A procedure for estimating 3D orientation/position parameters is then described. The proposed method is verified by a numerical example, and evaluated by a series of experiments for analyzing accuracy and sensitivity.

The Parameter Estimation of WASP Model for Water Quality Prediction (수질예측을 위한 WASP7 모형 매개변수의 추정)

  • Ahn, Seung-Seop;Seo, Myung-Joon;Park, Ro-Sam;Jeong, Khang-Ok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is analysis of Andong-Dam lake water quality with water quality model. Model parameters of the WASP applied to Lake Andong-Dam were estimated. The methodology is based on grouping water quality constituents and relevant parameters and successively estimating parameters by a trial-and-error procedure. Water qualify system for modeling consisted of BOD, DO, T-N, T-P. The results of water quality modelling using WASP. T-N was maximum affected by K71C(Organic nitrogen mineralization rate) parameter. T-P was maximum affected by K83C(Dissolved organic phosphorus mineralization) parameter, and It did not show a difference almost from the parameter of others and it omitted. BOD was maximum affected by Temperature parameter, it was visible of the reaction due to the KDC(Deoxygenation rate) in afterwords, and it did not show a difference from the parameter of others and it omitted. DO was maximum affect by Temperature parameter, and It did not show a difference almost from the parameter of others and it omitted. The parameter which it presumes from the this study uses a water quality modeling and Actual value and the result with which it compares, error rate the parameter presumption which is appropriate with 1% interior and exterior is investigated, It will reach and it uses and it will be able to apply to the suitable parameter in water quality modelling of the objective area which can be feeded by it becomes.

Deinterleaving of Multiple Radar Pulse Sequences Using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 다중 레이더 펄스열 분리)

  • 이상열;윤기천
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 2003
  • We propose a new technique of deinterleaving multiple radar pulse sequences by means of genetic algorithm for threat identification in electronic warfare(EW) system. The conventional approaches based on histogram or continuous wavelet transform are so deterministic that they are subject to failing in detection of individual signal characteristics under real EW signal environment that suffers frequent signal missing, noise, and counter-EW signal. The proposed algorithm utilizes the probabilistic optimization procedure of genetic algorithm. This method, a time-of-arrival(TOA) only strategy, constructs an initial chromosome set using the difference of TOA. To evaluate the fitness of each gene, the defined pulse phase is considered. Since it is rare to meet with a single radar at a moment in EW field of combat, multiple solutions are to be derived in the final stage. Therefore it is designed to terminate genetic process at the prematured generation followed by a chromosome grouping. Experimental results for simulated and real radar signals show the improved performance in estimating both the number of radar and the pulse repetition interval.

Probabilistic Strength Assessment of Ice Specimen considering Spatial Variation of Material Properties (물성치의 공간분포를 고려한 빙 시험편의 확률론적 강도평가)

  • Kim, Hojoon;Kim, Yooil
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 2020
  • As the Arctic sea ice decreases due to various reasons such as global warming, the demand for ships and offshore structures operating in the Arctic region is steadily increasing. In the case of sea ice, the anisotropy is caused by the uncertainty inside the material. For most of the research, nevertheless, estimating the ice load has been treated deterministically. With regard to this, in this paper, a four-point bending strength analysis of an ice specimen was attempted using a stochastic finite element method. First, spatial distribution of the material properties used in the yield criterion was assumed to be a multivariate Gaussian random field. After that, a direct method, which is a sort of stochastic finite element method, and a sensitivity method using the sensitivity of response for random variables were proposed for calculating the probabilistic distribution of ice specimen strength. A parametric study was conducted with different mean vectors and correlation lengths for each material property used in the above procedure. The calculation time was about ten seconds for the direct method and about three minutes for the sensitivity methods. As the cohesion and correlation length increased, the mean value of the critical load and the standard deviation increased. On the contrary, they decreased as the friction angle increased. Also, in all cases, the direct and sensitivity methods yielded very similar results.

The New Service Quality Assessment System for Gwangyang Container Port (광양항 컨테이너 부두의 서비스품질 평가체계)

  • Park, Byung-In;Bae, Jong-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.95-111
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    • 2012
  • The service quality survey for the customers of Gwangyang container port has been done since 2005. It has been difficult to compare annual levels or rival ports because the calculation of weights among service dimensions that is the most important procedure of the assessment systems did not be founded. In particular, the calculation results by the Analytical Hierarchy Process that specializes in estimating the weights were very unstable and not comparable because they were fluctuated annually more than 90% for the specific item. The objective of this study is to support the establishment for new assessment system of service quality with cost- and time-effective tools at Gwangyang port. The confirmatory factor analysis methodology applied to 2007-2009 survey data from the customers of Gwangyang port can estimate ex-post weights to measure annually the stable service quality. The proposed methodology allows us to build the assessment system of more scientific and accurate service quality while reducing the survey items. By this study, a port company can measure accurately the quality of service and improve its competitiveness through being compared to previous periods and leading companies.