• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimate method

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고장 보고율을 이용한 현장 수명자료 분포의 모수추정

  • Park, Tae-Ung;Kim, Yeong-Bok;Lee, Chang-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.678-685
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    • 2005
  • Estimating parameters of the lifetime distribution is investigated when field failure data are not completely reported. To take into account the reality and the accuracy of the estimates in such a case, the failure reporting probability is incorporated in estimating parameters. Firstly, method of maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) is used to estimate parameters of the lifetime distribution when failure reporting probability is known. Secondly, Expectation and Maximization(EM) algorithm is used to estimate the failure reporting probability and parameters of the lifetime distribution simultaneously when failure reporting probability is unknown. For both case, procedures of estimation are illustrated for single Weibull distribution and mixed Weibull distribution. Simulation results show that MLE obtained by the proposed method is more accurate than the conventional MLE.

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Diagnostics for Estimated Smoothing Parameter by Generalized Maximum Likelihood Function (일반화최대우도함수에 의해 추정된 평활모수에 대한 진단)

  • Jung, Won-Tae;Lee, In-Suk;Jeong, Hae-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 1996
  • When we are estimate the smoothing parameter in spline regression model, we deal the diagnostic of influence observations as posteriori analysis. When we use Generalized Maximum Likelihood Function as the estimation method of smoothing parameter, we propose the diagnostic measure for influencial observations in the obtained estimate, and we introduce the finding method of the proper smoothing parameter estimate.

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Design of a Model-Based Low-Order Disturbance Observer to Estimate a Sinusoidal Disturbance with Unknown Constant Offset (미지의 상수 오프셋을 갖는 삼각함수 외란 추정을 위한 모델기반 저차 외란 관측기 설계)

  • Lee, Cho-Won;Son, Young Ik
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.652-658
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    • 2016
  • In practical control systems differences between nominal and real systems arise from internal uncertainties and/or external disturbances. This paper presents a model-based low-order disturbance observer for a sinusoidal disturbance with unknown constant offset. By using the disturbance model of a biased harmonic signal, the proposed method can successfully estimate the biased sinusoidal disturbance with unknown amplitude and phase but known frequency. At the first stage of the observer design, a model-based disturbance observer is designed when all the system states are measurable. Next, a sufficient condition is presented for the proposed observer to estimate the sinusoidal disturbance with a minimal-order additional dynamics using only output measurement. Comparative computer simulations are performed to test the performance of the proposed method. The simulation results show the enhanced performance of the proposed disturbance observer.

Multidimensional Spectral Estimation by Modal Decomposition

  • Ping, Liu-Wei
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.33.5-33
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    • 2001
  • We consider here the problem of spectral estimation of multidimensional wide sense stationary (WSS) random process. A method, employing a special difference equation of correlation function, is proposed to solve the problem of multidimensional spectral estimation. In this approach, the special difference equation of correlation function is derived by modal decomposition method. Maximum likelihood estimator and Kalman filter are used to estimate the model parameters of the difference equation and the decomposed spectral residues. An algorithm is presented to estimate the multidimensional spectral density. According to the result of the simulation, these methods are feasible to estimate the spectral density of WSS process, which is realized by finite dimensional multivariable lineal system driven by white noise.

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Method of Estimate of Fracture Probability for Elastic-Plasticity by 2-Parameter Criterion (2-parameter criterion에 의한 탄소성 파괴확률 예측수법)

  • Kim, Tae-Sik;Yoon, Han-Yong;Lim, Myung-Hwan;Chung, Ui-Chung
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.226-234
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    • 2003
  • Put Many researcher have made much progress in studying an estimate for fracture probability of brittle materials. However, studies of the fracture probability for the elastic-plasticity have not been made yet. An estimate method for fracture probability which is grafted onto 2-parameter criterion and statistical probability analysis is not only introduced in this study, but also applied to the simple 2dimensional model and carbon steel piping to evaluate the effect of random variable.

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Scattered Pilot Position Estimation Method Using 4 Symbol Delay for ISDB-T System (ISDB-T 시스템에서 4 심볼 지연을 이용한 분산 파일럿 위치 추정 방법)

  • Kim, Seong Ihl
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38A no.11
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    • pp.979-981
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, this study is aimed how to estimate the position of scattered pilot to be used to estimate channel in the OFDM System. The proposed method is possible to estimate the accurate position of scattered pilot to remove the phase error through cross-correlation between received signal and 4 symbol delay received signal.

Error Estimation and Adaptive Time Stepping Procedure for Structural Dynamics (구조동역학에서의 오차 추정과 시간간격 제어 알고리즘)

  • 장인식
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.190-200
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    • 1996
  • Step-by-step time integration methods are widely used for solving structural dynamics problem. One difficult yet critical choice an analyst must make is to decide an appropriate time step size. The choice of time step size has a significant effect on solution accuracy and computational expense. The objective of this research is to derive error estimate for newly developed time integration method and develop automatic time step size control algorithm for structural dynamics. A formula for computing error tolerance is derived based on desired period resolution. An automatic time step size control strategy is proposed based on a normalized local error estimate for the generalized-α method. Numerical examples demonstrate the developed strategy satisfies general design criteria for time step size control algorithm for dynamic problem.

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A Method of Error Estimate for Adaptive Finite Element Mesh Generation (적응 요소 분할을 위한 오차 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hong-Soon;Choi, Kyung;Jung, Hyun-Kyo;Hahn, Song-Yop
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.141-145
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    • 1988
  • This paper reports a new and simple posteriori error estimate method for adaptive finite element mesh genration especially for the magnetic field problems. To estimate local errors, we consider the interelement boundary conditions. Elements which violate much the conditions are considered to have great errors. Magnetic flux density errors are considered as a basis for refinement. This estimator is tested on two dimensional proplems with singular points. The estimated errors are always under estimated but in same order as exact errors, and this algorithm is much simpler and more convenient than other methods. The adaptive mesh gives much better rate of convergence in global errors than the uniform mesh.

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Proposal of Matrix Spacing Factor for Analyzing Air Void System in Hardened Concrete (콘크리트 내부공극 분석을 위한 행렬간격계수 모델식의 제안)

  • Jeong Won-Kyong;Jun In-Koo;Kim Yong-Kon;Lee Bong-Hak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.679-682
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    • 2004
  • Air void systems in hardened concrete has an important influence on concrete durability such as freeze-thaw resistance, water permeability, surface scaling resistance. Linear traverse method and point count method described at ASTM is the routine analysis of the air void system that have been widely used to estimate the spacing factor in hardened concrete. Recently, many concretes often have a spacing factor higher than the generally accepted $200-250{\mu}m$ limit for the usual range of air contents. This study is proposed to estimate the matrix spacing factor by calculation of simplicity. The matrix spacing factor needs two parameters that are air content and numbers of air voids in the hardened concrete. Those are obtained from the standard air-void system analysis of the ASTM C 457. The equation is valid for all values of paste-to-air ratio because the estimation of paste content is unnecessary at the using ASTM C 457. The matrix spacing factor yields a similar estimate of the standard spacing factor.

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Cost Estimation for the Marine Engine's Factory using Association Rule (데이터마이닝을 이용한 선박용 엔진 공장의 견적지원 방안)

  • Oh, Kyung-Mo;Park, Chang-Kwon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.342-354
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this thesis is to develop the schemes of supporting estimate for marine engines’ factories which are in a general make-to-order style. The marine engines’ factories currently use the method which depends on the past data and experiences handled by the responsible person, which causes inefficiency and inaccuracy in dealing with a huge amount of data. We apply association rule to solving the problems mentioned above. Critical data for analysis is filtered among materials that have been using actual records of performance so far. Secondly, relation with each part of marine engines through filtered data so that the company can estimate cost promptly and precisely if customers with similar components as requested. By proposed method of study estimate support efficient and supported exactly.