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Forecasting of Seasonal Inflow to Reservoir Using Multiple Linear Regression (다중선형회귀분석에 의한 계절별 저수지 유입량 예측)

  • Kang, Jaewon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.953-963
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    • 2013
  • Reliable long-term streamflow forecasting is invaluable for water resource planning and management which allocates water supply according to the demand of water users. Forecasting of seasonal inflow to Andong dam is performed and assessed using statistical methods based on hydrometeorological data. Predictors which is used to forecast seasonal inflow to Andong dam are selected from southern oscillation index, sea surface temperature, and 500 hPa geopotential height data in northern hemisphere. Predictors are selected by the following procedure. Primary predictors sets are obtained, and then final predictors are determined from the sets. The primary predictor sets for each season are identified using cross correlation and mutual information. The final predictors are identified using partial cross correlation and partial mutual information. In each season, there are three selected predictors. The values are determined using bootstrapping technique considering a specific significance level for predictor selection. Seasonal inflow forecasting is performed by multiple linear regression analysis using the selected predictors for each season, and the results of forecast using cross validation are assessed. Multiple linear regression analysis is performed using SAS. The results of multiple linear regression analysis are assessed by mean squared error and mean absolute error. And contingency table is established and assessed by Heidke skill score. The assessment reveals that the forecasts by multiple linear regression analysis are better than the reference forecasts.

A CHARACTERISTICS-MIXED FINITE ELEMENT METHOD FOR BURGERS' EQUATION

  • Chen, Huanzhen;Jiang, Ziwen
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.15 no.1_2
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    • pp.29-51
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose a new mixed finite element method, called the characteristics-mixed method, for approximating the solution to Burgers' equation. This method is based upon a space-time variational form of Burgers' equation. The hyperbolic part of the equation is approximated along the characteristics in time and the diffusion part is approximated by a mixed finite element method of lowest order. The scheme is locally conservative since fluid is transported along the approximate characteristics on the discrete level and the test function can be piecewise constant. Our analysis show the new method approximate the scalar unknown and the vector flux optimally and simultaneously. We also show this scheme has much smaller time-truncation errors than those of standard methods. Numerical example is presented to show that the new scheme is easily implemented, shocks and boundary layers are handled with almost no oscillations. One of the contributions of the paper is to show how the optimal error estimates in $L^2(\Omega)$ are obtained which are much more difficult than in the standard finite element methods. These results seem to be new in the literature of finite element methods.

Integrated Design of High-speed Feed Drive Systems (고속 이송계의 통합설계)

  • Kim, Min-Soek;Chung, Sung-Chong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.12
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    • pp.2028-2038
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    • 2003
  • High-speed feed drive systems have been widely used in the manufacturing and semiconductor industries. Specifications for high-speed systems require more advanced capabilities than conventional feed drive systems. It is necessary to devise special design concepts to achieve the level of performance for high-speed feed drive systems. In this paper, an integrated design method is proposed for high-speed feed drive systems in which the interactions between mechanical and electrical subsystems ought to be considered simultaneously during the design process. Based on the integrated design method, a nonlinear optimal design procedure of mechanical subsystems considering the Abbe and radius errors is accomplished through the design process of electrical subsystems satisfying the control stability and the saturation condition of actuators as well as the relative stability. Both mechanical and electrical parameters are considered as design variables. Simulations and numerical case studies show that the integrated design method of high-speed feed drive systems creates results satisfying the desired performances of mechatronic systems.

A Range Dependent Structural HRTF Model for 3-D Sound Generation in Virtual Environments (가상현실 환경에서의 3차원 사운드 생성을 위한 거리 변화에 따른 구조적 머리전달함수 모델)

  • Lee, Young-Han;Kim, Hong-Kook
    • MALSORI
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    • no.59
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a new structural head-related transfer function(HRTF) model to produce sounds in a virtual environment. The proposed HRTF model generates 3-D sounds by using a head model, a pinna model and the proposed distance model for azimuth, elevation, and distance that are three aspects for 3-D sounds, respectively. In particular, the proposed distance model consists of level normalization block distal region model, and proximal region model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, we setup an experimental procedure that each listener identifies a distance of 3-D sound sources that are generated by the proposed method with a predefined distance. It is shown from the tests that the proposed model provides an average distance error of $0.13{\sim}0.31$ meter when the sound source is generated as if it is 0.5 meter $\sim$ 2 meters apart from the listeners. This result is comparable to the average distance error of the human listening for the actual sound source.

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Separate Signature Monitoring for Control Flow Error Detection (제어흐름 에러 탐지를 위한 분리형 시그니처 모니터링 기법)

  • Choi, Kiho;Park, Daejin;Cho, Jeonghun
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2018
  • Control flow errors are caused by the vulnerability of memory and result in system failure. Signature-based control flow monitoring is a representative method for alleviating the problem. The method commonly consists of two routines; one routine is signature update and the other is signature verification. However, in the existing signature-based control flow monitoring, monitoring target application is tightly combined with the monitoring code, and the operation of monitoring in a single thread is the basic model. This makes the signature-based monitoring method difficult to expect performance improvement that can be taken in multi-thread and multi-core environments. In this paper, we propose a new signature-based control flow monitoring model that separates signature update and signature verification in thread level. The signature update is combined with application thread and signature verification runs on a separate monitor thread. In the proposed model, the application thread and the monitor thread are separated from each other, so that we can expect a performance improvement that can be taken in a multi-core and multi-thread environment.

Automatic PID Controller Parameter Analyzer

  • Pannil, Pittaya;Julsereewong, Prasit;Ukakimaparn, Prapart;Tirasesth, Kitti
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.288-291
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    • 1999
  • The PID (Proportional-Integral-Derivative) controller is widely used in the industries for more than fifty years with the well known Ziegler-Nichols tuning method and others varieties. However, most of the PID controller being used in the real practice still require trial and error adjustment for each process after the tuning method is done, which is consuming of time and needs the operator experiences to obtain the best results for the controller parameter. In order to reduce the inconvenience in the controller tuning, this paper presents a design of an automatic PID controller parameter analyzer being used as a support instrument in the industrial process control. This analyzer is designed based on the tuning formula of Dahlin to synthesize the PID controller parameter. Using this analyzer, the time to be spent in the trial and error procedures and its complexity can be neglected. Experimental results using PID controller parameter synthesized from this analyzer to the liquid level control plant model and the fluid flow control plant model show that the responses of the controlled systems can be efficiently controlled without any difficulty in mathemathical computation.

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Rejection Scheme of Nearest Neighbor Classifier for Diagnosis of Rotating Machine Fault (회전 기계 고장 진단을 위한 최근접 이웃 분류기의 기각 전략)

  • Choe, Yeong-Il;Park, Gwang-Ho;Gi, Chang-Du
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of condition monitoring and fault diagnosis is to detect faults occurring in machinery in order to improve the level of safety in plants and reduce operational and maintenance costs. The recognition performance is important not only to gain a high recognition rate bur a1so to minimize the diagnosis failures error rate by using off effective rejection module. We examined the problem of performance evaluation for the rejection scheme considering the accuracy of individual c1asses in order to increase the recognition performance. We use the Smith's method among the previous studies related to rejection method. Nearest neighbor classifier is used for classifying the machine conditions from the vibration signals. The experiment results for the performance evaluation of rejection show the modified optimum rejection method is superior to others.

Constitutive Modeling of Confined Concrete under Concentric Loading

  • Lee, Cha-Don;Park, Ki-Bong;Cha, Jun-Sil
    • KCI Concrete Journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2001
  • The inelastic behavior of a reinforced concrete columns is influenced by a number of factors : 1) level of axial load, 2) tie spacing, 3) volumetric ratio of lateral steel, 4) concrete strength, 5) distribution of longitudinal steel, 6) strength of lateral steel, 7) cover thickness, 8) configuration of lateral steel, 9) strain gradient, 10) strain rate, 11) the effectively confined concrete core area, and 12) amount of longitudinal steel. A new constitutive model of a confined concrete is suggested in order to investigate the nonlinear behavior of the reinforced concrete columns under concentric loading. The developed constitutive model for the confined concrete takes into account the effects of effectively confined area as well as the horizontal and longitudinal distributions of the confining pressures. None of the existing models incorporated these two main effects at the same time. A total of different six constitutive models for the behavior of the confined concrete under concentric compression were compared with the sixty-one test results reported by different researchers. The superiority of the developed model in its accuracy is demonstrated by evaluating the error function, which compares the weighted averages for the sum of squared relative differences in peak compressive strength and corresponding strain, stress at strain equal to 0.015, and total area under stress-strain curve up to strain equal to 0.015.

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Reliability Improvement of the Tag Bits of the Cache Memory against the Soft Errors (소프트 에러에 대한 캐쉬 메모리의 태그 비트 신뢰성 향상 기법)

  • Kim, Young-Ung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2014
  • Due to the development of manufacturing technology scaling, more transistors can be placed on a cache memories of a processor. However, processors become more vulnerable to the soft errors because of highly integrated transistors, the reliability of cache memory must consider seriously at the design level. Various researches are proposed to overcome the vulnerability of soft error, but researches of tag bit are proposed very rarely. In this paper, we revaluate the reliability improvement technique for tag bit, and analyse the protection rate of write-back operation, which is a typical case of not satisfying temporal locality. We also propose the methodology to improve the protection rate of write-back operation. The experiments of the proposed scheme shows up to 76.8% protection rate without performance degradations.

Multi-level Representations of ETBF Using Subfilters (부여파기를 이용한 ETBF의 다진 영역 표현에 대한 연구)

  • Song, Jong-Kwan;Jeong, Byung-Jang;Lee Yong-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.33B no.1
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    • pp.128-132
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    • 1996
  • In [1], it is shown that a subclass of ETBFs, which are self-dual ETBFs, can be expressed as a weighted average of median subfiltered outputs. In this paper, we extend this result to general ETBFs. In particular, we show that any ETBF can be represented as a weighted average of minimum (or maximum) subfiltered outputs. These representations naturally lead to a subclass of ETBF, called the K-th order ETBF (K-ETBF) that employs only those subfilters whose window sizes are less than or equal to K. By designing K-ETBFs under the mean square error criterion for various values of K and applying them to restore noisy signals, the tradeoff between the performance and the complexity of this class of filters is examined.

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