• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error level

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Support vector ensemble for incipient fault diagnosis in nuclear plant components

  • Ayodeji, Abiodun;Liu, Yong-kuo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.1306-1313
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    • 2018
  • The randomness and incipient nature of certain faults in reactor systems warrant a robust and dynamic detection mechanism. Existing models and methods for fault diagnosis using different mathematical/statistical inferences lack incipient and novel faults detection capability. To this end, we propose a fault diagnosis method that utilizes the flexibility of data-driven Support Vector Machine (SVM) for component-level fault diagnosis. The technique integrates separately-built, separately-trained, specialized SVM modules capable of component-level fault diagnosis into a coherent intelligent system, with each SVM module monitoring sub-units of the reactor coolant system. To evaluate the model, marginal faults selected from the failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) are simulated in the steam generator and pressure boundary of the Chinese CNP300 PWR (Qinshan I NPP) reactor coolant system, using a best-estimate thermal-hydraulic code, RELAP5/SCDAP Mod4.0. Multiclass SVM model is trained with component level parameters that represent the steady state and selected faults in the components. For optimization purposes, we considered and compared the performances of different multiclass models in MATLAB, using different coding matrices, as well as different kernel functions on the representative data derived from the simulation of Qinshan I NPP. An optimum predictive model - the Error Correcting Output Code (ECOC) with TenaryComplete coding matrix - was obtained from experiments, and utilized to diagnose the incipient faults. Some of the important diagnostic results and heuristic model evaluation methods are presented in this paper.

The Stochastic Volatility Option Pricing Model: Evidence from a Highly Volatile Market

  • WATTANATORN, Woraphon;SOMBULTAWEE, Kedwadee
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.685-695
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    • 2021
  • This study explores the impact of stochastic volatility in option pricing. To be more specific, we compare the option pricing performance between stochastic volatility option pricing model, namely, Heston option pricing model and standard Black-Scholes option pricing. Our finding, based on the market price of SET50 index option between May 2011 and September 2020, demonstrates stochastic volatility of underlying asset return for all level of moneyness. We find that both deep in the money and deep out of the money option exhibit higher volatility comparing with out of the money, at the money, and in the money option. Hence, our finding confirms the existence of volatility smile in Thai option markets. Further, based on calibration technique, the Heston option pricing model generates smaller pricing error for all level of moneyness and time to expiration than standard Black-Scholes option pricing model, though both Heston and Black-Scholes generate large pricing error for deep-in-the-money option and option that is far from expiration. Moreover, Heston option pricing model demonstrates a better pricing accuracy for call option than put option for all level and time to expiration. In sum, our finding supports the outperformance of the Heston option pricing model over standard Black-Scholes option pricing model.

Integrity Monitoring for Drone Landing in Urban Area using Single Frequency Based RRAIM

  • Jeong, Hojoon;Kim, Bu-Gyeom;Kee, Changdon
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.317-325
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we developed a single frequency-based RRAIM to monitor integrity of the UAM landing vertically in urban area with only low-cost single-frequency GPS receiver. Conventional dual-frequency RRAIM eliminates ionospheric delay through a combination of frequencies. In this study, ionospheric delay was directly modeled. Drift error of residual ionospheric delay is modeled using the previously studied result on ionospheric rates of change. To verify the performance of the proposed RRAIM algorithm, a simulation of vertical landing UAM in urban area was conducted. It was assumed that the protection level at the initial position was calculated through SBAS correction data. During vertical landing, integrity monitored by receiver alone without external correction data. In the 60 sec simulation, the protection level of the proposed RRAIM compared to the conventional RRAIM was calculated to be 140% due to the accumulated ionospheric delay error. Nevertheless, it was confirmed that the final vertical protection level meeting the requirements of LPV-200, which cannot be achieved with single frequency GPS receiver alone.

Position Error Analysis of Carrier-based DGNSS Systems Under Ephemeris Fault Conditions

  • Min, Dongchan;Kim, Yunjung;Lee, Jiyun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.263-269
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    • 2021
  • The carrier-based differential global navigation satellite system (CD-GNSS) has been garnering significant attention as a promising technology for unmanned vehicles for its high accuracy. The CD-GNSS systems to be used for safety-critical applications should provide a certain level of integrity. The integrity of these systems must be analyzed under various conditions, including fault-free and satellite fault conditions. The systems should be able to detect the faults that can cause large biases on the user position errors and quantify the integrity risk by computing the protection level (PL) to protect the user against the faults that are left undetected. Prior work has derived and investigated the PL for the fault-free condition. In this study, the integrity of the CD-GNSS system under the fault condition is analyzed. The position errors caused by the satellite's fault are compared with the fault-free PL (PL_H0) to verify whether the integrity requirement can be met without computing the PLs for the fault conditions. The simulations are conducted by assuming the ephemeris fault, and the position errors are evaluated by changing the size of the ephemeris faults that missed detection. It was confirmed that the existing fault monitors do not guarantee that the position error under the fault condition does not exceed the PL_H0. Further, the impact of the faults on the position errors is discussed.

Motion Simplification of Virtual Character (가상 캐릭터의 동작 단순화 기법)

  • Ahn, Jung-Hyun;Oh, Seung-Woo;Wohn, Kwang-Yun
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.759-767
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    • 2006
  • The level-of-detail (LoD), which is a method of reducing polygons on mesh, is one of the most fundamental techniques in real-time rendering. In this paper, we propose a novel level-of-detail technique applied to the virtual character's motion (Motion LoD). The movement of a virtual character can be defined as the transformation of each joint and it's relation to the mesh. The basic idea of the proposed 'Motion LoD' method is to reduce number of joints in an articulated figure and minimize the error between original and simplified motion. For the motion optimization, we propose an error estimation method and a linear system reconstructed from this error estimation for a fast optimization. The proposed motion simplification method is effectively useful for motion editing and real-time crowd animation.

Cell to Cell Interference Cancellation Algorithms in Multi level cell Flash memeory (MLC 플래시 메모리에서의 셀간 간섭 제거 알고리즘)

  • Jeon, Myeong-Woon;Kim, Kyung-Chul;Shin, Beom-Ju;Lee, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.47 no.12
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    • pp.8-16
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    • 2010
  • NAND multilevel cell (MLC) flash memory is widely issued because it can increase the capability of storage by storing two or more bits to a single cell. However if a number of levels in a cell increases, some physical features like cell to cell interference result cell voltage shift and it is known that a VT shift is unidirectional. To reduce errors by the effects, we can consider error correcting codes(ECC) or signal processing methods. We focus signal processing methods for the cell to cell interference voltage shift effects and propose the algorithms which reduce the effects of the voltage shift by estimating it and making level read voltages be adaptive. These new algorithms can be applied with ECC at the same time, therefore these algorithms are efficient for MLC error correcting ability. We show the bit error rate simulation results of the algorithms and compare the performance of the algorithms.

Blind Equalizer and Carrier Recovery Circuit Using $\theta$-matching Algorithm in QAM Signal Demodulator (QAM 신호 복조시 자력 등화기와 $\theta$-정합을 이용한 위상 복구 회로)

  • 조웅기;장일순;정차근;조경록
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.6A
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    • pp.920-930
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    • 1999
  • Many researches on the multi-level QAM(Quadrature Amplitude Modulation) which is known to be a promising digital data transmission method for efficient use of channel bandwidth have been carried on, and their applications to various real fields are now being in progress. However, in the band-limited communication systems, each transmitted symbols is distorted by the ISI(Intersymbol Interference) and the phase error. Therefore, an equalizer and a carrier recovery must be taken into considerations to attenuate the effects of these distortions in the receiver. This paper presents an effective receiver structures that is applicable to the multi-level QAM. The proposed receiver system is consisted of an equalizer with Godard’s blind algorithm and a carrier recovery circuit. The phase error is estimated with a $\theta$-matching algorithm and is used in the carrier recovery to recover the correct phase. The simulation results are included to evaluate performance of the proposed receiver system for the various channel models.

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Convergent Analysis on the Speech Sound of Typically Developing Children Aged 3 to 5 : Focused on Word Level and Connected Speech Level (3-5세 일반아동의 말소리에 대한 융합적 분석: 단어와 자발화를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yun-Joo;Park, Hyun-Ju
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2018
  • This study was to investigate the speech sound production characteristics and evaluation aspects of preschool children through word test and connected speech test. For this, the authors conducted Assessment of Phonology and Articulation for Children(APAC) to 72 normal children(24 three-, four-, and five-year-olds each) and analyzed difference in percent of correct consonant(PCC) and intelligibility according to age and sex, correlation between PCC and intelligibility, and speech sound error patterns. PCC and intelligibility increased with age but there was no difference according to sex. The correlation was statistically significant in 5-year-old group. Speech sound error patterns were different in the two tests. This study showed that children's speech sound production varied according to language unit. Therefore, both types of tests should be done to grasp their speech sound production ability properly. This suggests that current standard to identify language impairment only by PCC of word level requires review and further studies.

Minimum Number of Input Ground-motions to Assess Seismic Performance of Nuclear Facilities (원전시설의 내진성능평가를 위한 입력지반운동의 최소개수)

  • Hong, Kee-Jeung;Choi, Ji-Hae;Kim, Hyun-Uk;Joo, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.341-349
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    • 2016
  • Currently, researches are being actively conducted in assessing seismic performance of nuclear facilities in USA and Europe. In particular, applying this technique of assessing seismic performance to design of isolation systems in nuclear power plants is being performed and then ASCE 4 Draft (2013) is being revised accordingly in the United States. In order to satisfy the probabilistic performance objectives described by seismic responses with certain confidence levels (ASCE 43, 2005), the probability distributions of these responses have to be defined. What is the minimum number of input ground-motions to obtain the probability distribution precise enough to represent the unknown actual distribution? Theoretical basis, for how to determine the minimum number of input ground-motions for given a logarithmic standard deviation to approximate the unknown actual median of the log-normal distribution within a range of error at a certain level of confidence, is introduced by Huang et al. (2008). However, the relationship between the level of confidence and the range of error is not stated in the previous study. In this paper, based on careful reviews on the previous work, the relationship between the level of confidence and the range of error is logically and explicitly stated. Furthermore, this relationship is also applied to derive the minimum number of input ground-motions in order to approximate the unknown actual logarithmic standard deviation. Several recommendations are made for determining the minimum number of input ground-motions in probabilistic assessment on seismic performance of facilities in nuclear power plants.

A Longitudinal Study on the Changes in Individual Local Government's Social Spending in South Korea (기초지방정부 사회복지비 지출비중의 변화요인 탐색)

  • Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.329-351
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzes the changes in individual local government's social spending from 1995 to 2004 in South Korea. Using the pooled time-series and cross-sectional data of 226 basic-level local governments, the resulting analyses of an error correction model are very interesting: First, a rising local population led to an immediate increase in social spending; Secondly, local governments gradually increased social spending when the elderly ratio had been high, but the levels of social spending in the previous year and local economy related spending level had been low. Thirdly, there were no spending changes associated with local elections and partisan politics. Fourthly, both cooperative and competitive intergovernmental relations had the most significant effect on the social spending and reduced geographical disparities in the level of spending across localities. In conclusion, this study suggests that we establish a more comprehensive intergovernmental network which lead to territorial justice in social welfare.

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