• Title/Summary/Keyword: Environmental Factor Analysis

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Comparative Evaluation of Staggered Pedestrian Crossings and Pedestrian Crossings by Using Risk Analysis (위험도분석을 통한 이단횡단보도와 일반횡단보도의 비교평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Park, Jun-Tae;Lee, Yeon-Hyung;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1287-1295
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    • 2015
  • This research is the study on the comparative evaluation of SPC (Staggered Pedestrian Crossings) vs PC (Pedestrian Crossings) using risk analysis. Accident factor was elicited by survey of driver's and pedestrian's at SPC & PC. I estimated the weight of a risk of violation and a mental burden by AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and compared degree of risk at SPC AND PC. In conclusion, a new alternative plan of a pedestrian crossing system, staggered pedestrian crossing which plays an important role in traffic flow, pedestrian's crossings which plats an important role in traffic flow, pedestrian's convenience and traffic safer is sager than pedestrian crossings the degree of risk used this study doesn't imply an measure of the number of accident and the rate of accident, in estimating the degree of risk of pedestrian crossings, we should analyze more data of accident, behaviors, and road circumstance to include driver's and pedestrian's violation behavior in an estimate index.

Feasibility Study Processes and Decision Making Methods of Urban Redevelopment Projects (도심 재개발 사업의 타당성 분석 절차 및 의사결정 방법)

  • Kim Sun-Kuk;Joo Jae-Young;Kim Kee-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.1 s.17
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2004
  • In the stage of feasibility study of urban rehabilitation projects, the precise forecast of physical and environmental changes has great influence on the further transaction of the projects. However, various important decision makings are made by the experience and intuition of the person-in-charge in practice without the process and method for systematic and quantitative analysis. In spite of various qualitative influent factors on the projects, the feasibility studies are made by the result of economic analysis only, which often lead the projects to the crucial deficit. The main reasons of such a mal-functional transaction are due to the absence of the reasonal procedure of feasibility study and decision making reflecting the characteristics of urban rehabilitation projects. The objective of this paper is to propose feasibility study processes and decision making methods in relation to various influent factors on urban rehabilitation projects in the initial stage. The goal and process of every analysis stage and the pertinent factors and decision makings are analyzed and proposed through the survey of current research, a case study, interview with the professionals. The processes and methods are well applied to improve current problems of feasibility study of urban rehabilitation projects. In addition, the establishment of the analysis goal at three principal stage and a series of reasonable decision makings with pertinent factors to each stage will lead the project to more successful result than ever.

Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Deformation in Prestressed Concrete Box Girder Bridges (프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스 거더 교량의 시간에 따른 변형의 확률 해석 및 민감도 해석)

  • 오병환;양인환
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 1998
  • The reasonable prediction of time-dependent deformation of prestressed concrete(PSC) box girder bridges is very important for accurate construction as well as good serviceability. The long-term behavior is mostly influenced by the probabilistic characteristic of creep and shrinkage. This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box been taken into account - model uncertainty, parameter variation and environmental condition. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measure are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs of each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partical rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardiozed rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Three creep and shrinkage models - i. e., ACI model. CEB-FIP model and the model in Korea Highway Bridge Specification - are studied. The creep model uncertainy factor and the relative humidity appear to be the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

A Study on Analysis of Real Response of Steel Railway Bridges (강철도교의 실응답해석에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Dong Il;Choi, Kang Hee;Lee, Hee Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 1989
  • In this paper, measured and calculated responses are compared in order to give how the static and dynamic responses occurred in steel railway bridges due to train loads could be calculated appropriately. From this, it is investigated how the impact factors are varied by changing the train speed above 100km/h Field measurement is carried out by the steel strain gages and displacement transducers at the main design points, and then the static and dynamic response, fundamental frequencies, damping ratios and impact factors of the bridges are obtained. Static analysis is done using the computer program developed according to three dimensional matrix structural analysis in which the trains and bridges are modelled as 1,2 and 3 dimensions. Dynamic analysis is done according to 2 approaches, the moving force and mass problem. In moving force problem, the solutions are obtained by the modesuperposition-method and in moving mass problem by the direct integration method. From this study, it is known that in order to obtain the static response in the railway bridges, the bridge could be modelled by 1 or 2 dimension as in the highway bridge, however the response ratio(measured/calculaled) is high comparing to the highway bridges. By the way, the dynamic response should be obtained by the moving mass problem. And by comparing the measured and code specified impact factors, it is known that the factors specified in the present railway bridge code are very safe under the present service speed below 100km/h. However, because the factors become very high under the speed above 100km/h, especially in the simple plate girder bridge, it is thought that the code specification on impact factor should be discussed enough under the rapid transit system.

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A Study on the Analysis of Urban Highways Traffic Accident's Impact Factors Based on Building Discriminant Models - In Busan Metropolitan City - (판별모델 구축에 따른 도시고속도로의 교통사고 영향요인 분석에 관한 연구 - 부산지역 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong, Yong-Hwa;Choi, Yang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1269-1278
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    • 2014
  • The urban highway, which is a motorway constructed to solve traffic issues, has the characteristic of extremely high damage to life during traffic accidents because the speed of vehicles is higher than typical roadways. In particular, because traffic accidents involving serious injuries hold a very important place among overall traffic accidents, analysis on factors affecting the occurrence of traffic accidents involving serious injuries must be considered with priority when establishing a reduction measure. Therefore, the study built a model that was capable of distinguishing the degree of the factors as part of microscopic analysis for investigating the complex effect of many elements concerning the occurrence of traffic accidents involving serious injuries in urban highways. The results are as follows. First, discriminant model showed a comparatively high level in overall accuracy rates, and, considering the correlation ratio, the models were determined to be valid, as all characteristics of the factors were clearly distinguished. Second, the problems of traffic accidents involving serious injuries on urban highways according to each factor, were clearly drawn out through the discriminant model. Third, the improvement measure for the problems drawn out from the discriminant models were clearly proposed.

An Analysis on Development Determinants for Revitalization of Marina Development (마리나 개발 활성화를 위한 개발 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Nam-Gyu;Lee, Jae-Hyung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.312-318
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to activate marina development by empirically analyzing the development determinants of the marina, to provide the basic date for the effective implementation of 'the 2nd Marina Port Basic Plan' and marina industrial development. To accomplish the study goal, the survey was conducted with 356 locals residing in five marina development regions of three districts. The factors relative to the marina development included general characteristics such as age, income level, interest group, residential area, and the reasons of conflicts such as collectivism, exclusion from the development process, and the environmental problems. The marina development pros and cons (approval or opposition) and marina development conflict types (profit or value conflict) were used as the dependent variables. The following results were obtained by using the SPSS 25.0 statistical program to perform the technical statistics, factor analysis, reliability analysis, and logistic regression analysis. First, as a result of analyzing the marina development pros and cons, age, income level, interest group, residential area, and residence period among demographic characteristics were significant. Second, the factors of collectivism and exclusion of development process among the causes of conflict were significant. Third, age, income level, and residential area among demographic characteristics were significant factors.

The MTHFR C677T Polymorphism and Risk of Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia: an Updated Meta-analysis Based on 37 Case-control Studies

  • Jiang, Yuan;Hou, Jing;Zhang, Qiang;Jia, Shu-Ting;Wang, Bo-Yuan;Zhang, Ji-Hong;Tang, Wen-Ru;Luo, Ying
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.6357-6362
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    • 2013
  • Background: The C677T polymorphism of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) has been associated with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). However, results were conflicting. The aim of this study was to quantitatively summarize the evidence for the MTHFRC677T polymorphism and ALL risk. Methods: Electronic searches of PubMed and the Chinese Biomedicine database were conducted to select case-control studies containing available genotype frequencies of C677T and the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to assess the strength of any association. Results: Case-control studies including 6,371 cases and 10,850 controls were identified. The meta-analysis stratified by ethnicity showed that individuals with the homozygous TT genotype had decreased risk of ALL (OR= 0.776, 95% CI: 0.687~0.877, p< 0.001) in Caucasians (OR= 0.715, 95% CI: 0.655~0.781, p= 0.000). However, results among Asians (OR=0.711, 95% CI: 0.591~1.005, p= 0.055) and others (OR=0.913, 95% CI: 0.656~1.271, p= 0. 590) did not suggest an association. A symmetric funnel plot, the Egger's test (P=0.093), and the Begg- test (P=0.072) were all suggestive of the lack of publication bias. Conclusion: This meta-analysis supports the idea that the MTHFR C677T genotype is associated with risk of ALL in Caucasians. To draw comprehensive and true conclusions, further prospective studies with larger numbers of participants worldwide are needed to examine associations between the MTHFRC677T polymorphism and ALL.

An Estimation and Decomposition of CO2 Emissions Change in Korea Industry, 1990~2000 Using a Hybrid Input-Output Model and Structural Decomposition Analysis (환경 혼합 산업연관모형을 이용한 산업별 이산화탄소 배출량 추정과 변화 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Han Joo;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2006
  • We estimate $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry, 1990 and 2000 using a commodity- by-industry IO model ($CO_2$ hybrid IO mode]). Estimated $CO_2$ emissions in industries include both $CO_2$ emissions from direct and indirect consumption. The results show that total $CO_2$ emissions has increased by 51.6 million TC (Tonne of Carbon) from 64.4 million TC in 1990 to 115.5 million TC in 2000. By applying the structural decomposition analysis technique, we decompose change of $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry between the period 1990~2000. In the decomposition, we figure out two contributing factors, changes in $CO_2$ coefficient and changes in final demand. The latter is further decomposed as growth effects and structural effects. We also estimated each factor's contribution to the changes in $CO_2$ emissions in industries between 1990~2000. The analysis can be used as a useful resource for policy makers in improving the effectiveness of $CO_2$ emissions mitigation policy.

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The Analysis on Energy Efficiency in the Residential Sector (가정부문 에너지 효율 분석)

  • Na, In-Gang;Lee, Sung-Keun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.129-157
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    • 2010
  • This paper is intended to evaluate energy efficiency policy in demand side, to assess the residential sector's energy efficiency policy and to analyze the system of energy efficiency practices. We examined residential energy consumption over the period 1990~2006. The decomposition method in the analysis was a logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) techniques to decompose changes in energy intensity. First of all, the energy use in residential sector was adjusted to correct weather-induced variations in energy consumption, because adjustments for normal weather patterns facilitated inter-temporal comparison of intensity. The analysis on the residential sector shows that the overall energy intensity of the residential sector declined at an average 1.0% per year, while the structure effect increased by 1.8% per year, and the activity effect increased by 0.7% per year. In other words, the decline of floor space, number of household, and appliance ownership per capita has an effect on increase in residential consumption. The improvement in energy efficiency had strong contribution on the decrease of energy consumption. We find that the general results of analysis on residential energy are similar to those of IEA. The energy efficiency policy in residential sector is assessed to obtain some results during 1990~2006. In residential sector, structural variables such population per household, diffusion of appliance and activity factor such as population contributed to the increase of energy consumption while energy intensity effect induced the decrease of energy consumption. These findings are consistent with international trend as well as our prior expectation.

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Development of Drought Index based on Streamflow for Monitoring Hydrological Drought (수문학적 가뭄감시를 위한 하천유량 기반 가뭄지수 개발)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kim, Jeong-Yup;Moon, Jang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.669-680
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    • 2017
  • This study evaluated the consistency of the standard flow to forecast low-flow based on various drought indices. The data used in this study were streamflow data at the Gurye2 station located in the Seomjin River and the Angang station located in the Hyeongsan River, as well as rainfall data of nearby weather stations (Namwon and Pohang). Using streamflow data, the streamflow accumulation drought index (SADI) was developed in this study to represent the hydrological drought condition. For SADI calculations, the threshold of drought was determined by a Change-Point analysis of the flow pattern and a reduction factor was estimated based on the kernel density function. Standardized runoff index (SRI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were also calculated to compared with the SADI. SRI and SPI were calculated for the 30-, 90-, 180-, and 270-day period and then an ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the appropriate time-period which has the highest consistency with the standard flow. The result of ROC curve analysis indicated that for the Seomjin River-Gurye2 station SADI_C3, SRI30, SADI_C1, SADI_C2, and SPI90 were confirmed in oder of having high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage and for the Hyeongsan River-Angang station, SADI_C3, SADI_C1, SPI270, SRI30, and SADI_C2 have order of high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage.