Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute (콘크리트학회지)

Korea Concrete Institute (한국콘크리트학회)
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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Deformation in Prestressed Concrete Box Girder Bridges

프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스 거더 교량의 시간에 따른 변형의 확률 해석 및 민감도 해석

  • 오병환 (서울대학교 토목공학과) ;
  • 양인환 (서울대학교 공학연구소 특별연구원)
  • Published : 1998.12.01
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Abstract

The reasonable prediction of time-dependent deformation of prestressed concrete(PSC) box girder bridges is very important for accurate construction as well as good serviceability. The long-term behavior is mostly influenced by the probabilistic characteristic of creep and shrinkage. This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box been taken into account - model uncertainty, parameter variation and environmental condition. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measure are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs of each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partical rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardiozed rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Three creep and shrinkage models - i. e., ACI model. CEB-FIP model and the model in Korea Highway Bridge Specification - are studied. The creep model uncertainy factor and the relative humidity appear to be the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스 거더 교량의 장기거동의 정확한 예측은 시공중 및 완공후의 사용성 확보를 위해서 매우 중요하다. 이러한 장기거동은 콘크리트의 크리프와 건조수축등의 확률특성에 따라 크게 영향을 받는다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스거더 교량에서의 크리프와 건조수축효과의 불확실성 및 민감도 해석에 관한 연구를 수행하였다. 콘크리트의 크리프와 건조수축효과의 불확실성은 입력이자의 변동성을 고려하여 산출한다. 불확실성 및 민감도 해석은 Latin Hypercube 샘플링 기법에 의해 수행하며, 각 샘플에 대하여 시간 의존적 구조해석을 하여 그 결과를 통계학적으로 분석한다. 본 연구에서는 각 입력인자의 구조해석 결과에 대한 민감도를 정량화 하기 위하여 3가지 즉, RCC, PRCC 와 SRCC 상관계수를 사용하여 민감도 해석을 수행하였다. 현재, 주로 교량설계시 사용되는 ACI모델, CEB-FIP모델과 도로교 표준시방서 모델의 민감도 분석을 수행한결과 크리프 모델 자체의 불확실성과 상대습도가 시간에 따른 변형에 가장 중요한 영향인자인 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 장기거동에 영향을 미치는 주요인자를 도출하는 합리적인 해석기법을 정립하였으며, 이로부터 좀 더 합리적인 모델정립에 유용한 토대가 될 것으로 사료된다.

Keywords

References

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