• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster and safety

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Probabilistic Prediction of the Risk of Sexual Crimes Using Weight of Evidence (Weight of Evidence를 활용한 성폭력 범죄 위험의 확률적 예측)

  • KIM, Bo-Eun;KIM, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.72-85
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    • 2019
  • The goal of this study is to predict sexual violence crimes, which is an routine risk. The study used to the Weight of Evidence on sexual violence crimes that occurred in partly Cheongju-si for five years from 2011 to 2015. The results are as follows. First, application and analysis of the Weight of Evidence that considers the weight of evidence characteristics showed 8 out of total 26 evidences that are used for a sexual violence crimes risk prediction. The evidences were residential area, date of use permission for building, individual housing price, floor area ratio, number of basement floor, lot area, security light and recreational facility; which satisfied credibility in the process of calculating weight. Second, The weight calculated 8 evidences were combined to create the prediction map in the end. The map showed that 16.5% of sexual violence crimes probability occurs in 0.3㎢, which is 3.3% of the map. The area of probability of 34.5% is 1.8㎢, which is 19.0% of the map and the area of probability of 75.5% is 2.0㎢, which is 20.7% of the map. This study derived the probability of occurrence of sexual violence crime risk and environmental factors or conditions that could reduce it. Such results could be used as basic data for devising preemptive measures to minimize sexual violence, such as police activities to prevent crimes.

An Analysis of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard in the Korean Peninsula - Probabilistic Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) (한반도의 확률론적 지진위험도 분석 - 확률론적 최대지반가속도(PGA))

  • Kyung, Jai-Bok;Kim, Min-Ju;Lee, Sang-Jun;Kim, Jun-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.52-61
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of the study was to create a probabilistic seismic hazard map using the input data that reflected the seismo-tectonic characteristics of the Korean Peninsula by applying USGS program (Harmsen (2008). The program was partly modified for the purpose of this study. The uncertainty of input parameters given by specialists was reflected in calculating the seismic hazard values by logic tree method. The general pattern of PGA was quite sensitive and similar to the shape of areal source. The probabilistic seismic hazard map showed the contour distribution of peak acceleration (%g) with 10% probability of exceedance in 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 250, and 500 years. The result showed that the peak ground acceleration (PGA) values of the northern peninsula were almost half values of the southern peninsula except Hwanghae province. The general trend of the hazard map extended in the direction of NW-SE from Whanghae province to south-eastern regions of the peninsula. The values in northern part of Kangwon province were relatively lower than other areas in the southern peninsula. The maps produced through this study are considered valuable in regulating the seismic safety of the major facilities in the Korean Peninsula.

Effects of the Questionnaire and Radioactivity Measurement of Fishery from the Fukushima Nuclear Disaster (후쿠시마 원자력 재해 이후 수산물의 방사능 측정 및 설문 조사)

  • Kim, Myung Jun;Kang, Seok Min;Kweon, Dae Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2016
  • March 11, 2011 Fukushima nuclear power plant accident has occurred, the last four years, his is the current state of anxiety remains on the consumer. Therefore, 2015 the current progress continues to have continued research for the purpose of resolving the insecurity of fishery in the country. We measured the radiation of the origin of fishery products, by 2015, research was carried out through a number of references to get additional data or studies that influence this to some degree. Create a consumer and one for the seller for the survey to find out the thoughts of both consumers and sellers on fisheries was to create the statistics by direct survey in 2014 year survey meter using PM1405 equipment dynamics of several species of aquatic origin in accordance with the (Taiwan, China, Russia), mackerel, pomfret, hairtail, saury, shrimp, squid measurements of radiation were investigated. The measurement in 2014 was $0.043{\sim}0.073{\mu}Sv/h$. The seller influenced the survey (90%) on fishery products sales, consumer safety, without this fishery (90%), radioactive contamination very high (28%) and the polarization was not as nearly 72%. The study of the stability of the radiation determined by the radiation levels of the aquatic marine products in a comparison the radiation levels result was determined in ICRP below the standard value (1 mSv/y).

Liquefaction-Induced Uplift of Geotechnical Buried Structures: Centrifuge Modeling and Seismic Performance-Based Design (지반 액상화에 의한 지중 매설구조물의 부상: 원심모형시험 및 내진성능설계)

  • Kang, Gi-Chun;Iai, Susumu
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2012
  • Geotechnical buried structures with relatively light weight have been suffering from uplift damage due to liquefaction in the past earthquakes. The factor of safety approach by Koseki et al. (1997a), which is widely used in seismic design, predicts the triggering of uplift. However, a method for "quantitative" estimates of the uplift displacement has yet to be established. Estimation of the uplift displacement may be an important factor to be considered for designing underground structures under the framework of performance-based design (ISO23469, 2005). Therefore, evaluation of the uplift displacement of buried structure in liquefied ground during earthquakes is needed for a performance-based design as a practical application. In order to predict the uplift displacement quantitatively, a simplified method is derived based on the equilibrium of vertical forces acting on buried structures in backfill during earthquakes (Tobita et al., 2012). The method is verified through comparisons with results of centrifuge model tests and damaged sewerage systems after the 2004 Niigata-ken Chuetsu, Japan, earthquake. The proposed flow diagram for performance-based design includes estimation of the uplift displacement as well as liquefaction limit of backfill.

Monitoring for the Resistance to Prochloraz of Fusarium Species Causing Bakanae Disease in Korea (국내 벼키다리병균의 Prochloraz 약제에 대한 저항성 변화)

  • Choi, Hyo-Won;Lee, Yong Hwan;Hong, Sung Kee;Lee, Young Kee;Nam, Young Ju;Lee, Jae Guem;Han, Song Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Mycology
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.112-117
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    • 2015
  • To investigate the changes of the resistance to prochloraz of Fusarium species causing bakanae disease, Fusarium isolates were collected from various regions in Korea, and pathogenicity tests were performed using rice seeds. Minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) and effective concentration of 50% ($EC_{50}$) values of isolates were determined using the agar dilution method. High frequency distribution of MIC values of prochloraz against isolates collected in 2006~2007 and 2013~2014 years were $3.125{\sim}6.25{\mu}g/mL$ and $6.25{\sim}12.5{\mu}g/mL$, respectively. The mean $EC_{50}$ value of isolates increased from $0.3142{\mu}g/mL$ in 2006~2007 to $0.8124{\mu}g/mL$ in 2013~2014. Based on the $EC_{50}$ value of isolates collected in 2006~2007, the resistant baseline of prochloraz was determined as $0.6{\mu}g/mL$. Compared with the ratio of resistant isolates in 2006~2007, the ratio of resistant isolates in 2013~2014 increased from 6.5% to 41.6%.

Development of Multi-Site Daily Rainfall Simulation Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain Model Coupled with Chow-Liu Tree Structures (Chow-Liu Tree 모형과 동질성 Hidden Markov Model을 연계한 다지점 일강수량 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae Jeong;Kim, Oon Ki;Lee, Dong Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.1029-1040
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to develop a multivariate daily rainfall simulation model considering spatial coherence across watershed. The existing Hidden Markov Model (HMM) has been mainly applied to single site case so that the spatial coherences are not properly addressed. In this regard, HMM coupled with Chow-Liu Tree (CLT) that is designed to consider inter-dependences across rainfall networks was proposed. The proposed approach is applied to Han-River watershed where long-term and reliable hydrologic data is available, and a rigorous validation is finally conducted to verify the model's capability. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in terms of reproducing daily rainfall statistics as well as seasonal rainfall statistics. Also, correlation matrix across stations for observation and simulation was compared and examined. It was confirmed that the spatial coherence was well reproduced via CLT-HMM model.

The Experimental Study on Transverse Field Joint Method of Precast Road Deck Slab of Double Deck Tunnel in Great Depth (대심도 복층터널 프리캐스트 중간슬래브의 횡방향 현장이음방식에 대한 실험연구)

  • Lee, Doo-Sung;Kim, Bo-Yeon;Bae, Chul-Gi;Hur, Jae-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2017
  • The joints between precast PSC slabs of the intermediate road slab in double deck tunnel are inevitably generated in the road traffic vehicle traveling direction. Therefore, it is important to make the behavior of parts on the joint in one piece. The imtermediate road slab system of double deck tunnel in great depth proposed in this study will be constructed with precast PSC slab in order to minimize the construction period. And the joint connection between the precast slab has been developed in two methods: the 'Transverse tendon reinforcement method' and 'High strength bolts connection method'. Also, the experiments were performed for the full scale model in order to evaluate the performance of the intermediate road deck slab with two type joints systems, the structural stability was verified through the F.E.M analsysis. The results of static loading test and F.E.M analysis investigated a very stable behavior of intermediate road deck slab in double deck tunnel applying the joint methods developed in this study, in the cracks and deflections to satisfy the design standards of Highway Roads Bridges (2011), it was determined that there is no problem even servicebility.

An Analysis of the Appropriate Number of People Per Apartment Household According to NFPA 101 (NFPA 101에 의한 아파트 한 세대당 적정 수용인원 분석)

  • Cho, Ji-Eun;Kong, Ha-Sung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.331-337
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    • 2020
  • The study analyzes the appropriate number of people per a household by applying an evacuation simulation to a 27-floor apartment in accordance with the NFPA 101 standard. The results of the analysis are as follows. First, if there are three people residing in each household, there would be 156 households in total, of which 85.25% were evacuated within 5 minutes. Second, 208 households with 4 residents were evacuated within 5 minutes. Third, if there are five people residing in each household, there would be a total of 260 households and 71.92% of residents were evacuated within 5 minutes. Lastly, 62.82% of the 312 households, each consisting of 6 people, were evacuated within 5 minutes. Measures to reduce evacuation time include determining the width of the stairs according to the number of people indoors, the number of floors in the building, the slope of stairs, and the users' characteristics, the design reflecting the ventilation conditions of the stairs, the installment of outdoor evacuation stairs, two-way stairs, evacuation lift, and the installation of an evacuation safety zone for people to evacuate outside of the building in the middle floors. In addition, measures, such as the mandatory installation of automatic emergency door open-close device to the rooftop, are required to facilitate rooftop evacuation.

Experimental analysis of the sedimentation processes by variation of standing angle in the improved-pneumatic-movable weir (실내실험에 의한 가동보 기립각도 변화에 대한 토사의 퇴적 과정 분석)

  • Lee, Kyung Su;Jang, Chang-Lae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.795-802
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the hydraulic characteristics and the delta development processes in the improved-pneumatic-movable weir by considering the standing angle of the weir through laboratory experiments. The delta migration speed decreases rapidly with time. As the ratio of delta height to water depth increases, the dimensionless delta migration speed decreases at the delta point. Therefore, the water depth decreases as the delta height increases. Although the delta volume is large due to the effective height of the delta, the delta migration speed and sediment deposition decreases because of the backwater effect on the delta. On the same bed slope condition, the larger the weir height, the larger the delta volume and the ratio of delta height to delta front length is close to 1.0. The delta development could be suppressed when the weir is high. Therefore, the condition that the weir is high has the suppressing effect on the delta developments.

Study on Optimal Location of Washland Based on Economic Analysis (경제성 분석에 의한 강변저류지 최적위치 선정에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Byeon, Chen-Il;Roh, Hee-Sung;Baek, Chun-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.681-694
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    • 2010
  • In this study, methodology to determine optimal location of washlands based on economic analysis is presented. Install costs of washlands are calculated by construction cost and land compensatory cost and benefits of washlands are calculated from flood damage reduction and befit from using washland as wetland. Indirect approach for runoff-flood damage relationship is suggested and benefit-cost analysis is used for economic analysis. Economic analysis is added to existing models that used only flood reduction effect to determine optimal location of washlands. Suggested methodology is applied to 13 potential washlands in Anseong River basin to examine its applicability. Applied result of new methodology is compared with that of existing model. As the application results, it is possible to determine the optimal combinations of washlands can provide more economic benefit compared to existing studies. It is determined that considering economic analysis can be better option for decision making problem searching for optimal location of washlands.