• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster Statistic data

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A Study on the Risk Reduction of Distribution Line through Analysis of Electric Shock Accident (감전재해 분석을 통한 배전선로의 위험성 저감에 관한 연구)

  • Byeon, Junghwan;Choi, Sang-won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we analyze the current status of major disasters in distribution works and propose safety measures through the distribution live-line work method and electric shock risk assessment. The result of analyzing the ratio of electric shocks to the occurrence of industrial accidents in the recent 13 years shows that the death rate is higher than other industries, especially the construction industry occupying most of the disaster, and it is higher than the collapse disaster. We analyze statistic data of 101 victims selected as core words of live work, distribution line, pole and 22.9 kV in the investigation report of major accident of electric shock fatal from 2001 to 2014. The safety measure was established through the risk assessment of the distribution method using the standard model of the risk assessment based on the results of electric shock analysis on the distribution line. In order to prevent the electric shock accident which is recently being discussed, the risk assessment procedure were carried out in the above-mentioned 22.9kV special high voltage live-line operation method. We derived the risk reduction plan for the distribution line from the results of the major accidents statistic and demonstration of the line works.

Mediating effect of major satisfaction on the influence of critical thinking disposition on disaster recognition

  • Kim, Jung-ae;Seo, Eun-Hui;Kim, Chul-Jin
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to identify mediating effect of major satisfaction in the effect of critical thinking disposition on disaster recognition. For this study, 237 students of nursing students from universities in Jeollanam do participated in the study. The data collection was collected on Dec 1 to 7, 2017. The descriptive statistics was used to analyze general characteristics of participants, the differences in disaster recognition according to general characteristics were analyzed by t-test or ANOVA. Regression analysis was conducted to confirm the effect of critical thinking disposition on disaster recognition and Baron, R.M. And Kenny, D.A.'s mediation effect statistic analysis was used to confirm the mediating effect of major satisfaction in critical thinking disposition on disaster recognition. As a result, the critical thinking disposition affects the disaster recognition, and it was judged that the major satisfaction was mediating role. intellectual fairness sub-factor showed perfect mediating effect and confidence and general truth sub-factor showed partial mediating effect. Based on the above findings, it can be seen that not only critical thinking but also satisfaction with the major should be considered in order to increase the recognition of the sudden disaster. In this case, research for linking critical thinking disposition and major satisfaction is likely to be meaningful. Through the results of this study, we suggest the program development of a linkage between critical thinking disposition and major satisfaction to increase the recognition of disaster.

Analysis of the Impact of Heatwaves in Gwangju using Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis (로지스틱 회귀분석과 판별분석을 활용한 광주광역시의 폭염에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Youn Su Kim;Yeong Seon Kong;In Hong Chang
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2024
  • Abnormal climate is a phenomenon in which meteorological factors such as temperature and precipitation are significantly higher or lower than normal, and is defined by the World Meteorological Organization as a 30-year period. However, over the past 30 years, abnormal climate phenomena have occurred more frequently around the world than in the past. In Korea, abnormal climate phenomena such as abnormally high temperatures on the Korean Peninsula, drought, heatwave and heavy rain in summer are occurring in March 2023. Among them, heatwaves are expected to increase in frequency compared to other abnormal climates. This suggests that heatwave should be recognised as a disaster rather than just another extreme weather event. According to several previous studies, greenhouse gases and meteorological factors are expected to affect heatwaves, so this paper uses logistic regression and discriminant analysis on meteorological element data and greenhouse gas data in Gwangju from 2008 to 2022. We analyzed the impact of heatwaves. As a result of the analysis, greenhouse gases were selected as effective variables for heatwaves compared to the past, and among them, chlorofluorocarbons were judged to have a stronger effect on heatwaves than other greenhouse gases. Since greenhouse gases have a significant impact on heatwaves, in order to overcome heatwaves and abnormal climates, greenhouse gases must be minimized to overcome heatwaves and abnormal climates.

Application of deterministic models for obtaining groundwater level distributions through outlier analysis

  • Dae-Hong Min;Saheed Mayowa Taiwo;Junghee Park;Sewon Kim;Hyung-Koo Yoon
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.499-509
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    • 2023
  • The objective of this study is to perform outlier analysis to obtain the distribution of groundwater levels through the best model. The groundwater levels are measured in 10, 25 and 30 piezometers in Seoul, Daejeon and Suncheon in South Korea. Fifty-eight empirical distribution functions were applied to determine a suitable fit for the measured groundwater levels. The best fitted models based on the measured values are determined as the Generalized Pareto distribution, the Johnson SB distribution and the Normal distribution for Seoul, Daejeon and Suncheon, respectively; the reliability is estimated through the Anderson-Darling method. In this study, to choose the appropriate confidence interval, the relationship between the amount of outlier data and the confidence level is demonstrated, and then the 95% is selected at a reasonable confidence level. The best model shows a smaller error ratio than the GEV while the Mahalanobis distance and outlier labelling methods results are compared and validated. The outlier labelling and Mahalanobis distance based on median shown higher validated error ratios compared to their mean equivalent suggesting, the methods sensitivity to data structure.

Simulation of 1983 Central East Sea Tsunami by Parallel FEM Model (병렬 FEM 모형을 이용한 1983년 동해 중부 지진해일 시뮬레이션)

  • Choi Byung-Ho;Pelinovsky Efim;Hong Sung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2006
  • The simulation of tsunami inundation using detailed bathymetry and topography is required to establish the countermeasure of disaster mitigation and the tsunami hazard map. In this study, a simulation of the 1983 tsunami event in the East Sea using parallel finite element model, which is possible to simulate with suitable accuracy by the Beowulf parallel computation method, is performed to produce detailed features of coastal inundation. Results of simulations are compared with measured data. The evolution of statistic distribution of tsunami heights is studied numerically and the distribution functions of tsunami heights show a tendency to the log-normal curve along coastal area.

Simulation of 1993 East Sea Tsunami by Parallel FEM Model (병렬 FEM 모형을 이용한 1993년 동해 지진해일 시뮬레이션)

  • Hong, Sung-Jin;Choi, Byung-Ho;Pelinovsky, Efim
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.3 s.49
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2006
  • The simulation of tsunami using detailed bathymetry and topography is required to establish the countermeasure of disaster mitigation and the tsunami hazard map. In this study, a simulation of the 1993 tsunami event in the East Sea using parallel finite element model, which is possible to simulate with suitable accuracy by the Beowulf parallel computation method, is performed to produce detailed features of coastal inundation. Results of simulation are compared with measured data. The evolution of statistic distribution of tsunami heights is studied numerically and the distribution functions of tsunami heights show a tendency to the log-normal curve along coastal area.

A Study on Public Awareness of Landslide and Check Dam Using the Big Data Platform 'Hyean' (공공 빅데이터 플랫폼 '혜안'을 통한 산사태 및 사방댐 인식 분석)

  • Sohee Park;Min Jeng Kang;Song Eu
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.687-698
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to understand the public awareness of landslide and check dams in 2015-2020 using the big data platform 'Hyean' and to confirm the utilization of this platform in disaster prevention areas. Method: The total amount, number of detection by period by media, and affirmative and negative trends of a search for 'landslide' and 'check dam' in 2015-2020 were analyzed using a keyword search of 'Hyean.' Result: There is significant lack of public awareness of check dam compared to landslide, and the trend is more noticeable in the conspicuous gap of data amount between the news and SNS media. The number and the timing of the search for 'landslide' coincided with the actual occurrence of landslide, while the detection of 'check dam' was less related to it. Relatively affirmative preception for the check dam is inferred, but it was difficult to confirm accurate statistical affirmative and negative trends in the disaster prevention field using 'Hyean.' Conclusion: Unlike the experts who expect positive public awareness of check dam, the statistic results show that the public awareness of the check dam as an effective countermeasure against landslide was extremely low. Active promotion of erosion control projects should be carried out first, and a balanced sample survey should accompany online and periodic field surveys. Since there is a limit to grasping the effective perception in the field of disaster prevention area using 'Hyean', it should be very cautious to establish local/governmental policies using it.

Development of Rainfall-Flood Damage Estimation Function using Nonlinear Regression Equation (비선형 회귀식을 이용한 강우-홍수피해액 추정함수 개발)

  • Lee, Jongso;Eo, Gyu;Choi, Changhyun;Jung, Jaewon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.74-88
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    • 2016
  • Predicting and estimating the disaster characteristics are very important for disaster planning such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. Especially, if we can predict the flood damage before flooding, the predicted or estimated damage will be a very good information to the decision maker for the response and recovery. However, most of the researches, have been performed for calculating disaster damages only after disasters had already happened and there are few studies that are related to the prediction of the damages before disaster. Therefore, the objective of this study was to predict and estimate the flood damages rapidly considering the damage scale and effect before the flood disaster, For this the relationship of rainfall and damage had been suggested using nonlinear regression equation so that it is able to predict the damages according to rainfall. We compared the estimated damages and the actual ones. As a result, the damages were underestimated in 14.16% for Suwon-city and 15.81% for Yangpyeong-town but the damage was overestimated in 37.33% for Icheon-city. The underestimated and overestimated results could be occurred due to the uncertainties involved in natural phenomenon and no considerations of the 4 disaster steps such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery which were already performed.. Therefore, we may need the continuous study in this area for reducing various uncertainties and considering various factors related to disasters.

Estimation on the Turbulence Characteristics of Daily Instantaneous Maximum Wind Velocity (일순간최대풍속의 난류특성에 관한 평가)

  • Oh, Jong Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2017
  • This study is concerned with the estimation of daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity in the meteorological major cities (selected each 17 points) during the yearly 1973-2016. The purpose of this paper is to present the turbulence statistic characteristics (probability distribution, correlation coefficient, turbulency intensity, shear velocity, roughness length, turbulence integral length, skewness, and kurtosis) of the daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity. In the processes of analysis, used observations data obtained at Korea Meteorological Adminstration (KMA). The estimation of non-Gaussian load effects for design applications has often been treated tacitly by invoking a conventional wind design load on the basis of Gaussian processes. This assumption breaks down when the instantaneous wind velocity processes exhibits non-Gaussianity. From the analysis results, the probability distribution of the daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity shows a very closed with non-Gaussian in the ensemble population 748, the correlation coefficient shows larger at inland area more than coastal area.

A Study on the Probability distribution of Recent Annal Fluctuating Wind Velocity (최근 연최대변동풍속의 확률분포에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jong Seop;Heo, Seong Je
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2013
  • This study is concerned with the estimation of fluctuate wind velocity statistic properties in the major cities reflecting the recent meteorological with largest data samples (yearly 2003-2012). The basic wind speeds were standardized homogeneously to the surface roughness category C, and to 10m above the ground surface. The estimation of the extreme of non-Gaussian load effects for design applications has often been treated tacitly by invoking a conventional wind design (gust load peak factor) on the basis of Gaussian processes. This assumption breaks down when the loading processes exhibits non-Gaussianity, in which a conventional wind design yields relatively non conservative estimates because of failure to include long tail regions inherent to non-Gaussian processes. This study seeks to ascertain the probability distribution function from recently wind data with effected typhoon & maximum instantaneous wind speed.