• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision-Making Structure

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An Interval Valued Bidirectional Approximate Reasoning Method Based on Similarity Measure

  • Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1998.06a
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    • pp.579-584
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    • 1998
  • In this work, we present a method to deal with the interval valued decision making systems. First, we propose a new type of equality measure based on the Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator. The proposed equality measure has a structure to render the extreme values of the measure by choosing a suitable weighting vector of the OWA operator. From this property, we derive a bidirectional fuzzy inference network which can be applied for the decisionmaking systems requiring the inverval valued decisions.

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An Optimal Allocation Model for SAM-X (차기유도무기의 최적배치에 관한 모형)

  • 김승빈;전건욱
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.48-69
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    • 2004
  • An optimal allocation model for SAM-X by using a set covering model is suggested. This allocation model considers to guarantee the maximum security of vital areas from the attack of enemy aircraft(s) and missiles. In order to formulate this model, we applied the concept of parallel structure reliability to set covering model. This model gives both direction of the primary target line and location of the facility. When applied this model to the real situation, the solution of this model can be used to the references of decision making for the optimal military facility allocation.

Applications of Computer Graphics for Transportation Studies (교통연구에 있어서의 컴퓨터 그래픽스 응용에 관한 연구)

  • 김광식;최윤철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 1986
  • The purposes of this paper are to review the concept and system structure of computer graphics and to discuss the applicability of computer graphics technique as an analysis tool in transportation studies. To do this, several applications of computer graphics used for analyzing and solving transportation system problems were described and illustrated. The results indicate that computer graphics are found to be powerful aids to the analysis and design of transportation systems that typically involve large data bases and several interacting components. The results also indicate that computer graphics can be a powerful tool for aiding planner, decision maker and citizen in making it easier to explain and interpret information through mapping and graphic display.

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Development of Analytic Dicho-Hierarchy Process for Setting Priority of Technological Alternatives (기술대체안의 운선순위 설정을 위한 2분화 계층분석방법의 개발)

  • 조근태;권철신
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2000
  • The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) model developed by Saaty is a very useful decision-making model designed for selecting and evaluating project alternatives through $\ulcorner$pairwise comparison$\lrcorner$ in the context of hierarchical structure. In this paper, we construct a modified AHP model named Analytic Dicho-Hierarchy Process (ADHP) model necessary for evaluating technology alternatives.

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COBDA-An Expert System for Concrete Bridge Deterioration Assessment (COBDA-콘크리트 교량의 노후화를 평가하는 전문가 시스템)

  • ;Cabrera
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.532-539
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    • 1996
  • Existing assessment methodologies present a considerable problem because of fuzzy situation of deterioration mechanism of concrete bridges; namely, qualitative, subjective or inconsistent. This paper discusses current assessment methods in aspect of uncertainty. The expert system, COBDA, is developed for consistent and fast assessment of deteriorantion of concrete bridges. Briefly introduced in this paper are the structure of expert system and several methodologies for decision making of deterioration situation and providing repair option. COBDA is configured by PROLOG for logic approach and expert system shell based on Bayesian subjective probability. The methodologies are illustrated and discussed by comparison of condition assessment results in a case study.

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A Fuzzy Processor Consistion of Memory and Controlling LSI

  • Yikai, Kunio;Honda, Nakaji;Satoh, Akira
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.789-792
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    • 1993
  • We have proposed a fuzzy model for behavior of vehicles in the road traffic simulation system with microscopic model for analyzing traffic jam in the broad areas. It can exactly simulate each vehicle's behavior. We propose a new hardware processor to simulate fuzzy decision-making mechanism for its model. This paper describes the functions, performance and structure of the hardware processor.

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Analysis of the Priority Decision for Establishment Criteria of Environmental Sculptures in Urban Areas (대도시 옥의 환경조형물의 설치기준에 대한 우선순위 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Seol;lee, Jeong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.489-494
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    • 2000
  • This research focused on the priotity decision for establishment sriteria on the effects which environmental sculptures in urban area. The analysis performed in this study used the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) that is recognized as a useful decision-making tool to select and evaluate alternatives through pairwise comparison in the context of hierarchical decision structure. The results obtained from the analysis drawn by collecting the professional opinions of 5 experts for environmental sculptures are as follows: 1. The orders of establish criteria priorities on environmental sculptures were harmony of environment> symbol> public> function. The harmony of environment was the most important priority because it showed the highest weight of criteria. 2. The alternative priorities of environmental sculptures were the meaning of work>setting place> social contribution> physical quality .The meaning of work showed the highest change in the weight of alternative. 3.The sensitivity analysis of environmental sculptures demonstrated that the rate of change in the alternative priorities of the public was stabilized although the criteria importance varied, while the harmony of environment, the symbol intimated and function of priorities has their rates of weight changed if the criteria priorities were high.

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Interpreting Bounded Rationality in Business and Industrial Marketing Contexts: Executive Training Case Studies (집행관배훈안례연구(阐述工商业背景下的有限合理性):집행관배훈안례연구(执行官培训案例研究))

  • Woodside, Arch G.;Lai, Wen-Hsiang;Kim, Kyung-Hoon;Jung, Deuk-Keyo
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.49-61
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    • 2009
  • This article provides training exercises for executives into interpreting subroutine maps of executives' thinking in processing business and industrial marketing problems and opportunities. This study builds on premises that Schank proposes about learning and teaching including (1) learning occurs by experiencing and the best instruction offers learners opportunities to distill their knowledge and skills from interactive stories in the form of goal.based scenarios, team projects, and understanding stories from experts. Also, (2) telling does not lead to learning because learning requires action-training environments should emphasize active engagement with stories, cases, and projects. Each training case study includes executive exposure to decision system analysis (DSA). The training case requires the executive to write a "Briefing Report" of a DSA map. Instructions to the executive trainee in writing the briefing report include coverage in the briefing report of (1) details of the essence of the DSA map and (2) a statement of warnings and opportunities that the executive map reader interprets within the DSA map. The length maximum for a briefing report is 500 words-an arbitrary rule that works well in executive training programs. Following this introduction, section two of the article briefly summarizes relevant literature on how humans think within contexts in response to problems and opportunities. Section three illustrates the creation and interpreting of DSA maps using a training exercise in pricing a chemical product to different OEM (original equipment manufacturer) customers. Section four presents a training exercise in pricing decisions by a petroleum manufacturing firm. Section five presents a training exercise in marketing strategies by an office furniture distributer along with buying strategies by business customers. Each of the three training exercises is based on research into information processing and decision making of executives operating in marketing contexts. Section six concludes the article with suggestions for use of this training case and for developing additional training cases for honing executives' decision-making skills. Todd and Gigerenzer propose that humans use simple heuristics because they enable adaptive behavior by exploiting the structure of information in natural decision environments. "Simplicity is a virtue, rather than a curse". Bounded rationality theorists emphasize the centrality of Simon's proposition, "Human rational behavior is shaped by a scissors whose blades are the structure of the task environments and the computational capabilities of the actor". Gigerenzer's view is relevant to Simon's environmental blade and to the environmental structures in the three cases in this article, "The term environment, here, does not refer to a description of the total physical and biological environment, but only to that part important to an organism, given its needs and goals." The present article directs attention to research that combines reports on the structure of task environments with the use of adaptive toolbox heuristics of actors. The DSA mapping approach here concerns the match between strategy and an environment-the development and understanding of ecological rationality theory. Aspiration adaptation theory is central to this approach. Aspiration adaptation theory models decision making as a multi-goal problem without aggregation of the goals into a complete preference order over all decision alternatives. The three case studies in this article permit the learner to apply propositions in aspiration level rules in reaching a decision. Aspiration adaptation takes the form of a sequence of adjustment steps. An adjustment step shifts the current aspiration level to a neighboring point on an aspiration grid by a change in only one goal variable. An upward adjustment step is an increase and a downward adjustment step is a decrease of a goal variable. Creating and using aspiration adaptation levels is integral to bounded rationality theory. The present article increases understanding and expertise of both aspiration adaptation and bounded rationality theories by providing learner experiences and practice in using propositions in both theories. Practice in ranking CTSs and writing TOP gists from DSA maps serves to clarify and deepen Selten's view, "Clearly, aspiration adaptation must enter the picture as an integrated part of the search for a solution." The body of "direct research" by Mintzberg, Gladwin's ethnographic decision tree modeling, and Huff's work on mapping strategic thought are suggestions on where to look for research that considers both the structure of the environment and the computational capabilities of the actors making decisions in these environments. Such research on bounded rationality permits both further development of theory in how and why decisions are made in real life and the development of learning exercises in the use of heuristics occurring in natural environments. The exercises in the present article encourage learning skills and principles of using fast and frugal heuristics in contexts of their intended use. The exercises respond to Schank's wisdom, "In a deep sense, education isn't about knowledge or getting students to know what has happened. It is about getting them to feel what has happened. This is not easy to do. Education, as it is in schools today, is emotionless. This is a huge problem." The three cases and accompanying set of exercise questions adhere to Schank's view, "Processes are best taught by actually engaging in them, which can often mean, for mental processing, active discussion."

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Development of Decision Making Model for Optimal Location of Washland based on Flood Control Effect estimated by Hydrologic Approach (수문학적 홍수저감효과 기반의 천변저류지 최적위치 선정을 위한 의사결정모형의 개발)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Kang, In-Woong;Baek, Chun-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.725-735
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    • 2008
  • Due to recent climate change, flood damages have been increased, but it is difficult to construct large hydraulic structure for flood control such as dam because of environmental, economical and political problems. For this reason, several researches and studies have tried to use washland as an alternative of hydraulic facility. Because sizes of washlands are usually smaller than those of dams or reservoirs, there can be many available locations for washlands in a basin and proper combination of these locations can reduce flood disasters efficiently. However, in case there are many available locations for washland and many combinations to consider, it is very difficult to determine the optimal combination which yields to provide the maximum benefit. For the more, hydraulic approach that used in previous studies to calculate flood reduction effect needs a lot of time for calculation and sometimes can not give the final result. In this study, the flood reduction effect of washland is calculated by hydrologic approach and decision making model for optimal location of washland using genetic algorithm for determination of optimal solution is developed. The developed model has been applied to the Ansung River basin in order to examine the applicability and the application result shows that developed model can be used as decision making model for washland.

A Probabilistic Risk-based Cost Estimation Model for Initial-Stage Decision Making on Apartment Remolding Projects (공동주택 리모델링 초기 단계 의사결정을 위한 확률론적 리스크 기반 비용 예측 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-gun;Cha, Heesung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 2016
  • The current remodeling cost estimation process is not only dependent on the historical data of new building construction, but it also has a poor linkage with risk-based estimation approach. As such, there is a high risk of falling short of initial budget. To overcome this, a risk-based estimation approach is necessary by providing a probabilistic estimation in consideration of the potential risk factors in conducting the remodeling projects. In addition, the decision-making process should be linked with the risk-based estimation results in stead of intuitive and/or experience-based estimation. This study provides a probabilistic estimation process for residential remodeling projects by developing a detailed methodology in which a step-by-step approach can be achieved. The new proposed estimation approach can help in decision-making for remodeling projects in terms of whether to proceed or not, by effectively reflecting the potential risk factors in the early stage of the project. In addition, the study can enhance the reliability of the estimation results by developing a sustainable estimation process model where a risk-based evaluation can be accomplished by setting up the cost-risk relationship database structure.