• 제목/요약/키워드: China Trade Policies

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Global Productivity and Market Structure Implications of the US-China Trade War: A CGE Modeling Approach

  • Jung, Jaewon
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제24권8호
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    • pp.153-170
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - As the US-China trade war intensifies and lasts long time, there is growing concern about its potential effects on the global economy. In particular, for the countries like Korea that have a large economic dependence on the economy of the two countries, the US-China trade war may have a great repercussion in many ways. The aim of this paper is to investigate the global productivity and market structure implications of the US-China trade war for Korea, as well as for other surrounding countries and regions. Design/methodology - In this paper, we develop a full multi-country/region multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of global trade incorporating heterogeneous workers and firms in individual skill levels and used technologies. We then calibrate the model using a global Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) dataset extracted from the recently released GTAP 10 Database, and assess the potential effects of the US-China trade war on the aggregate real productivity and the market structure for Korea, as well as for other surrounding countries and regions. Findings - We show that the US-China trade war may largely affect the aggregate productivity in each sector in each country/region, as well as the global market structure through entry and exit of firms, which results finally in considerable changes in the industrial comparative advantage of each country/region. Though the effects are diverse sector by sector, the results show that Korea may also be affected significantly: concerning the real productivity implications, it is shown that the machinery industry may be affected the most negatively; on the other hand, it is shown that the number of exporting firms may decrease the most in the other transports industry. Originality/value - As the US-China trade war intensifies, many studies have tried to estimate the possible implications, and for this usually the CGE models have largely been used as the standard tool for evaluating the impacts of changes in trade policies. Standard CGE models, however, cannot be used to assess the global productivity and market structure implications due to the symmetric and simplified base assumptions. This paper is the first to analyze and quantify the possible impacts of the US-China trade war on the aggregate productivity and global market structure using a CGE model incorporating endogenous skill-technology assignment of heterogeneous workers and firms.

중국 폐기 전기·전자기기 역물류 서비스 재사용에 미치는 영향요인에 관한 연구 (A Study on Influencing Factors of Reuse of Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Reverse Logistics Service in China)

  • 장건호;김준승;박근식
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.213-230
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    • 2021
  • China's e-waste enterprises can decompose 150 million sets of e-waste every year, but in fact, only about 50% of the e-waste goes into formal recycling due to the informal recycling of individual small businesses. The purpose of this paper is to put forward the method for users to improve the reuse times through regular e-waste recycling enterprises. This paper constructs the evaluation factors of reuse logistics service through prior research. Exogenous variables are mainly composed of the management system, economics, resources, policies, social perspectives, and service quality. In addition, the authors choose intention to reuse as an endogenous variable. A total of 335 questionnaires were collected to conduct the research with the structural equation modeling. The results reject the hypothesis that economics, resources, and social perspectives have a positive impact on reuse. On the contrary, management systems, policies, and service quality have a positive impact on reuse. Implications were suggested in the last part of the research.

중국 경제변화와 향후 통상전망 (The Economic Change of China and the Future Prospect of Trade)

  • 조석홍;이희석
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.261-275
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    • 2001
  • As China beings to enforce the open-door and innovation policies, it comes to rise rapidly in international economic stage. For the short time of only 20 years, China makes a great economic power. Up to now, China has tolerated a large population and infinite resources, so at last succeeded in economic polices, and has a fine future prospect in world economy. With the admission to the WTO, China will have a great influence on Korea. If we are to develop the trade much more, appeared until now after the relations between Korea and China, We should develop Korean economy by investing and trading in IT industries and newly Chinese regions.

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중국(中國)의 WTO가맹(加盟)에 의한 일본기업(日本企業)의 대중투자(對中投資)에 관한 연구(硏究) (Japanese Companies Investment in China After Chinas Entry into WTO)

  • 왕국안;최석범
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제23권
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    • pp.341-372
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    • 2004
  • Since China was admitted to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on December 11, 2001, China has sped up its active participation in the competition of the world economy by lifting its trade and investment restrictions and limits. Its trading system is getting more and more free and its huge market with a population of 1.3 billion has been getting more and more open. With Chinas WTO accession, China has been honoring its commitments to its WTO members by complying with international business practices and WTO rules. For example, it will cut down its import tariffs for automobiles from the present 80% to 25% by 2006. Its financial sector and service industries are open to foreign investors now. As Chinas biggest business partner, Japan has benefited tremendously from Chinas open policies and deepening economic reform. In order to reduce the costs of production, a large number of enterprises from Japan have set up production bases in China since a Chinese workers wages accounts for only one tenth of those of a Japanese worker on the average. Japan has become one of Chinas biggest investors on a par with the United States of America (USA). How are the Japanese enterprises in Japan and in China adjusting themselves to the rapid changes of the Chinese market? What characteristics do the Japanese enterprises in China have? What effects has Chinas WTO accession had on those Japanese enterprises that have invested in China? This paper finds answers to the above questions. It at first reviews the Sino-Japanese economic and trade relations since 1980s, then analyses the situation and characteristics of Japanese-invested enterprises in China, and explores their problems in China. Finally it puts forward some suggestions for the Japanese enterprises in China.

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Research on Embodied Carbon Emission in Sino-Korea Trade based on MRIO Model

  • Song, Jie;Kim, Yeong-Gil
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.58-74
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper research on the embodied carbon emission in Sino-Korea trade. It calculates and analyzes the carbon emission coefficient and specific carbon emissions in Sino-Korea trade from 2005 to 2014. Design/methodology - This paper conducted an empirical analysis for embodied carbon emission in Sino-Korea trade during the years 2005-2014, using a multi-region input-output model. First, direct and complete CO2 emission coefficient of the two countries were calculated and compared. On this basis, combined with the world input-output table, the annual import and export volume and sector volume of embodied carbon emission are determined. Then through the comparative analysis of the empirical results, the reasons for the carbon imbalance in Sino-Korea trade are clarified, and the corresponding suggestions are put forward according to the environmental protection policies being implemented by the two countries. Findings - The results show that South Korea is in the state of net trade export and net embodied carbon import. The carbon emission coefficient of most sectors in South Korea is lower than that of China. However, the reduction of carbon emission coefficient in China is significantly faster than that in South Korea in this decade. The change of Korea's complete CO2 emission coefficient shows that policy factors have a great impact on environmental protection. The proportion of intra industry trade between China and South Korea is relatively large and concentrated in mechanical and electrical products, chemical products, etc. These sectors generally have large carbon emissions, which need to be noticed by both countries. Originality/value - To the best knowledge of the authors, this study is the first attempt to research the embodied carbon emission of ten consecutive years in Sino-Korea Trade. In addition, In this paper, some mathematical methods are used to overcome the error problem caused by different statistical caliber in different databases. Finally, the accurate measurement of carbon level in bilateral trade will provide some reference for trade development and environmental protection.

중국의 수산물 생산과 어정관리에 관한 연구 (A Study on aquatic products and fishery administration in china)

  • 고재모
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.77-96
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    • 1999
  • Since the onset of its economic reform and the open door policy in the late 1970s, China's overall economic growth rate has been continuing about 10% per year. The marine sector is not allowed exception, aquatic products increased sharply from 4.66 million MT in 1978 to 36.02 million MT in 1997, and then China is remained the largest producing country in the world aquatic market and her role would be expanded. Korea having a common boundaries to China is subjected unescapably both in domestic and export markets by the influence of the remarkable growth of China's aquatic products. If China were admitted entrance of WTO(World Trade Organization)in the near future, her influence is getting more serious. Well, we are necessary to understand the characteristics of China's aquatic products and to review fishery policies implemented by the China government. This paper is organized into two major parts, the one includes the structural changes of aquatic products, fishing and cultivating in the coast, latent and estimated production in China, and the other includes the main contents of fishery policies and measures of government administration. A characteristic of China's aquatic products is that cultivated production, especially, shellfish outputs continues to rapid increase. The major means of administration are an execution of fishing license system and setting up no-fishing zone and closed season for fishery. China is no longer a marginal player in international economic and world aquatic market. So, we will not only understand China's aquatic conditions and problems, but will also see the usefulness in continuing the cooperative relationship for a long time to come.

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China's Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks and South Korea's Exports: A TVP-VAR Approach with an SMSS Structure

  • Liu, Lin;Zhang, Manman;Li, Wei
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - Since China has been South Korea's biggest export destination, uncertainty shocks originating from it would influence South Korea's exports. This paper evaluates the effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to explore the transmission channels. Design/methodology - Incorporating endogeneities and nonlinearities, this study employs a quarterly time-varying parameters vector autoregressive model to investigate the relationships between China's economic policy uncertainty and Korea's exports, where the overparameterization due to time-varying specifications is overcome by a novel stochastic model specification search framework. According to previous theoretical studies, this paper assesses two channels, demand shock channel and exchange rate channel, through which foreign uncertainty affects Korea's exports. This paper identifies the primary drivers of Korea's aggregate exports and analyzes the rationales for the time-variant impacts of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to China. Findings - Our empirical results reveal that Korea's aggregate exports are less responsive to China's economic policy uncertainty shocks and significantly move together with global demand. In contrast, its bilateral exports to China are highly responsive in a negative and time-variant way. Moreover, Chinese investment is an important channel through which China's economic policy uncertainty affects Korea's exports to China after 2010. Further, the time-variant effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to China are related to changes in China's foreign trade policies, global economic conditions, and China's degree of economic freedom. Originality/value - Few previous studies touch the effects of external uncertainty shocks on South Korea's exports. This paper attempts to fill this gap and explicitly investigate the impacts of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports from a time-varying perspective. As Korea is an export-oriented economy, this study provides insights for the Korean government to understand the transmissions of external uncertainty better.

South Korea's Strategic Directions in the Context of the US-China Trade War: An Application of the ABCD Model

  • Dilong HUANG;Hwy-Chang MOON;Guy Major NGAYO FOTSO
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: South Korea is a close ally of the US and an important partner of China. Caught between the two most powerful countries, South Korea's strategic directions are critical. This article emphasizes that the deeper core of the US-China trade war is to improve the business environment to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) to boost the economy, rather than engaging in the trade war. Research design, data, and methodology: Considering the complexity of this issue, this article applies a systematic analytical tool, the ABCD (Agility, Benchmarking, Convergence, and Dedication) model, to provide strategic guidance for inducing investments into South Korea in the context of the ongoing US-China trade war. Results: Specifically, South Korea needs to provide a more attractive business environment along the four points: expedite commercial activities through deregulation (Agility); adopt global standards of the flexible labor markets and technological developments (Benchmarking); integrate various industries and connect them to global value chains (Convergence); and create more economy-friendly policies rather than politics-oriented ones such as protectionism (Dedication). Conclusion: This study stands out not just by utilizing the ABCD model but, also by providing more systematic analysis and practical implications, particularly within the context of the escalating US-China competition. Unlike many existing studies that analyze the broader impacts of this geopolitical rivalry, this research delves into specific strategic guidelines for South Korea to attract FDI. The findings also provide implications for multinational corporations (MNCs) in choosing the locations for their overseas operations, particularly in South Korea.

A Study on the Change and Development Strategies of E-Commerce Industry in China

  • Byoung-Goo KIM;Chunsu LEE
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to explore the development and characteristics of e-commerce in China and analyze the current status of e-commerce platforms in China. Research design, data and methodology: To explore the development of e- commerce in China, this study collects and analyzes Chinese journals and secondary sources. It also conducts a case analysis of the success strategies of leading Chinese e-commerce companies. Results: The analysis showed that China's e-commerce is active in various forms of e-commerce, including B2B, B2C, and C2C, and that the development of e-commerce in China has been divided into three main stages. The Chinese government has been actively implementing various policies to promote the development of e-commerce. Conclusions: In this context, this paper specifically examines the development process of e- commerce in China, the current status of the Chinese e-commerce market, and the characteristics of the Chinese e-commerce market. In addition, the paper analyzes representative B2B, B2C, and C2C companies in China's e-commerce market. The results of the analysis show that Huichongwang, a B2B company, Jingdong, a B2C company, and Taobao, a C2C company, have achieved rapid growth through their core strategies and capabilities. The study also analyzed in detail the problems faced by the Chinese government and companies.

노동자 집단적 저항의 일상화와 중국의 노동정책 변화: 광둥성을 중심으로 (Routinization of Collective Labor Protests and Changing Labor Policies in China: Focusing on Guangdong Province Case)

  • 장영석;백승욱
    • 산업노동연구
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.231-276
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    • 2017
  • 최근 몇 년 동안 중국의 노동 영역에서는 '건국 이후 최초'라는 수식어가 붙는 다양한 노동문제와 노동쟁의가 발생하고 있으며, 이는 특히 개혁개방의 전초기지인 광둥성에 집중되어 나타났다. 주목되는 점은 중국의 농민공이 점차 노동자의 정체성을 획득해 가면서 이익추구형 협상모델이 자리를 잡아가고 있다는 점이다. 중국 정부는 '안정유지'를 기조로 삼지만 노동쟁의를 제도화된 틀로 끌어들여 해결가기 위한 새로운 시도를 추진하고 있다. 중앙정부는 2015년 <조화로운 노동관계 확립에 관한 중국공산당 중앙 및 국무원 의견>을 발표해 구체적 방침들을 지시하였다. 광둥성은 이런 기조를 수용하면서 한 걸음 더 나아가 <단체협약조례>를 제정해 단체협상을 통해 노동-자본 갈등을 제도화하고자 한다. 그런데 이런 정책방침이 실효성을 얻으려면 공회(노동조합)가 제대로 기능을 하여야 하며, 이를 위해 이주노동자가 집중된 광둥성에서는 공회가 외부 전문 인력을 채용해 기층 조직 간부로 활용하는 '사회화간부'모델을 실험 중이다.