• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal association

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A Study on the Development of Causal Knowledge Base Based on Data Mining and Fuzzy Cognitive Map (데이터 마이닝과 퍼지인식도 기반의 인과관계 지식베이스 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.247-250
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    • 2003
  • Due to the increasing use of very large databases, mining useful information and implicit knowledge from databases is evolving. However, most conventional data mining algorithms identify the relationship among features using binary values (TRUE/FALSE or 0/1) and find simple If-THEN rules at a single concept level. Therefore, implicit knowledge and causal relationships among features are commonly seen in real-world database and applications. In this paper, we thus introduce the mechanism of mining fuzzy association rules and constructing causal knowledge base form database. Acausal knowledge base construction algorithm based on Fuzzy Cognitive Map(FCM) and Srikant and Agrawal's association rule extraction method were proposed for extracting implicit causal knowledge from database. Fuzzy association rules are well suited for the thinking of human subjects and will help to increase the flexibility for supporting users in making decisions or designing the fuzzy systems. It integrates fuzzy set concept and causal knowledge-based data mining technologies to achieve this purpose. The proposed mechanism consists of three phases: First, adaptation of the fuzzy membership function to the database. Second, extraction of the fuzzy association rules using fuzzy input values. Third, building the causal knowledge base. A credit example is presented to illustrate a detailed process for finding the fuzzy association rules from a specified database, demonstration the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

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The Role of Domain-specific Causal Mechanism and Domain-general Conditional Probability in Young Children's Causal Reasoning on Physics and Psychology (영역특정론과 영역일반론에 따른 유아의 인과추론 - 물리, 심리 영역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jihyun;Yi, Soon Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.243-269
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    • 2008
  • The role of domain-specific causal mechanism information and domain-general conditional probability in young children's causal reasoning on physics and psychology was investigated with the participation of 121 3-year-olds and 121 4-year-olds recruited from seven child care centers in Seoul, Kyonggi Province, and Busan. Children watched moving pictures on physical and psychological phenomena, and were asked to choose an appropriate cause and justify their choice. Results showed that young children's causal reasoning differed depending on domain-specific mechanism. In addition, their causal reasoning on physics and psychology differed by the developmental level of causal mechanism. The interaction of domain-specific mechanism and domain-general conditional probability influenced children's causal reasoning : evident conditional probability between domain-appropriate cause and effect helped children make more inferences based on domain-specific causal mechanism.

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Proposition of causal association rule thresholds (인과적 연관성 규칙 평가 기준의 제안)

  • Park, Hee Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1189-1197
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    • 2013
  • Data mining is the process of analyzing a huge database from different perspectives and summarizing it into useful information. One of the well-studied problems in data mining is association rule generation. Association rule mining finds the relationship among several items in massive volume database using the interestingness measures such as support, confidence, lift, etc. Typical applications for this technique include retail market basket analysis, item recommendation systems, cross-selling, customer relationship management, etc. But these interestingness measures cannot be used to establish a causality relationship between antecedent and consequent item sets. This paper propose causal association thresholds to compensate for this problem, and then check the three conditions of interestingness measures. The comparative studies with basic and causal association thresholds are shown by numerical example. The results show that causal association thresholds are better than basic association thresholds.

A Longitudinal Study of Causal Relationships between Delinquency and Self-Esteem among Adolescents (청소년의 비행과 자아존중감간의 인과적 관계에 대한 종단 연구)

  • 김희화;김경연
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of the study was to explore the causal relationships between delinquency and self-esteem among adolescents. The subjects of this study were 497 adolescents attending middle schools in Pusan. The data was collected by longitudinal research design of 9 month interval In first, second wave, the participants completed the delinquency scale and the multidimensional self-esteem inventory that includes home self, peer-related self, teacher-related self, academic-general serif, physical appearance self, physical competence self, and personality self, respectively The major findings of this study were as follows: these causal relationships differed among subdimensions of self-esteem, 1)the causal relationship between delinquency and home self was bidirectional, 2)the causal relationship between delinquency and peer-related self, teacher-related self, academic-general self, and personality self was unidirectional, 3)the causal relationship between delinquency and physical appearance self, physical competence self was not statistically significant.

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Young Chilldren's Causal Reasoning on Psychology and Biology : Focusing on the Interaction between Domain-specificty and Domain-generality (심리와 생물 영역에서의 유아의 인과추론 : 영역특정성과 영역일반성의 상호작용)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.333-354
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    • 2008
  • This study aimed to investigate the role of domain-specific causal mechanism information and domain-general conditional probability in young children's causal reasoning on psychology and biology. Participants were 121 3-year-olds and 121 4-year-olds recruited from seven childcare centers in Seoul, Kyonggi Province, and Busan. After participants watched moving pictures on psychological and biological phenomena, they were asked to choose appropriate cause and justify their choices. Results of this study were as follows: First, young children made different inferences according to domain-specific causal mechanisms. Second, the developmental level of causal mechanisms has a gap between psychology and biology, and biological knowledge was proved to be separate from psychological knowledge during the preschool period. Third, young children's causal reasoning was different depending on the interaction effect of domain-specific mechanisms and domain-general conditional probability: children could make more inferences based on domain-specific causal mechanisms if conditional probability between domain-appropriate cause and effect was evident. To conclude, it can be inferred that the role of domain-specific causal mechanisms and domain-general conditional probability is not competitive but complementary in young children's causal reasoning.

인과적 마코프 조건과 비결정론적 세계

  • Lee, Yeong-Eui
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.47-67
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    • 2005
  • Bayesian networks have been used in studying and simulating causal inferences by using the probability function distributed over the variables consisting of inquiry space. The focus of the debates concerning Bayesian networks is the causal Markov condition that constrains the probabilistic independence between all the variables which are not in the causal relations. Cartwright, a strong critic about the Bayesian network theory, argues that the causal Markov condition cannot hold in indeterministic systems, so it cannot be a valid principle for causal inferences. The purpose of the paper is to explore whether her argument on the causal Markov condition is valid. Mainly, I shall argue that it is possible for upholders of the causal Markov condition to respond properly the criticism of Cartwright through the continuous causal model that permits the infinite sequence of causal events.

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The Problem of Disjunctive Causal Factors: In Defense of the Theory of Probabilistic Causation

  • Kim, Joon-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2002
  • The problem of disjunctive causal factors is generalized as follows. Suppose that there are no factors of the kind considered so far that need to be held fixed in background contexts. Nevertheless, it is still possible that within the background contexts, each disjunct of a disjunctive causal factor X v W confers a different probability on an effect factor in Question. So a problem arises of how we identify a single causally significant probability of the effect factor in the presence of the disjunctive causal factor, assuming that each disjunct of the disjunctive causal factor confers a different probability on the effect factor. In this paper, I first introduce an experiment in which disjunctive causal factors seem to pose a problem for the theory of probabilistic causation. Second, I show how Eells' solution to the problem of disjunctive causal factors meets the problem that arises in the experiment. Third, I examine Hitchcock's arguments against Eells' solution, arguing that Hitchcock misconstrues Eells' solution, and disregards the feature of the theory of probabilistic causation such that a factor is a causal factor for another factor relative to a population P of a population type Q.

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Comparing Interaction Effects between Causal and Control Factors in College Students' Online Contact and Distribution of Sexually Explicit Material (대학생의 온라인상의 불법 성콘텐츠 접촉과 불법 성콘텐츠 유통의 원인요인과 통제요인의 상호작용효과 비교)

  • Lee, Seong-Sik;Lim, Hyeong Yeon;Shin, Ji-Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.465-476
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    • 2021
  • This study considers both causal and control factors for explaining both contact and distribution of sexually explicit material and tests their interaction effects for examining buffering effects of control factors in causal process. This study examines the effect of low self-control, differential association with peers and patriarchy family environmental factor as causal factors. It also considers three control factors such as morality. legal punishment, and lack of opportunity and test interaction effect between causal and control factors in both contact and distribution cases. Using data from college students in Seoul, results show that the effects of all causal factors are significant in both contact and distribution of sexually explicit material and the effect of differential association is the most significant. However, their interaction effects between causal and control factors are different across contact and distribution cases. In the contact case, all interaction effects are not significant. It means that causal factors have independent effects and control factors have no buffering effects. However, in the distribution case, the interaction effects between low self-control and morality, between differential association and morality, between patriarchy family and punishment, and between patriarchy family and lack of opportunity are significant. Empirical implications are discussed.

Causal Instrumental Variables, Intervention, and Causal Transitivity (인과 도구 변수와 조종자 그리고 인과 이행성의 관계)

  • Kim, Joonsung
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.183-209
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, I first examine Reiss'(2005) arguments for the causal instrumental variable. Second, I argue that the conditions for causal transitivity I consider meet what the causal instrumental variables and the interveners of the manipulation theory of causation are intended to hold. Reiss shows that two conditions for instrumental variables are not sufficient for causal significance of independent variables for dependent variables. Reiss articulates and reformulates the conditions for instrumental variables in terms of the conditions on causality, while naming his instrumental variables as causal instrumental variables. Reiss argues that the causal instrumental variables are similar to the interveners of the manipulation, or intervention theory of causation. He further argues that the causal instrumental variables do a better job the interveners do. I argue that the conditions for causal transitivity I consider meet the goal the conditions for the causal instrumental variables and the conditions for the interveners both are intended to achieve.

Exploring the Causal Structure of Adolescent Media Addiction and Policy Intervention

  • Hwang, In Young;Park, Jeong Hun
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2016
  • Adolescent media addiction has emerged as an important social agenda in Korea. However, there has not been enough discussion on the causal structure of media addiction and policy interventions. The objective of this study is to identify and assess the mechanism of the existing and the revised Shutdown policy based on the systems thinking approach. To achieve this purpose, we establish the relationship between media usage, flow, and addiction, and develop a causal loop diagram. Based on the causal loop diagram, we explore the causal structure of two policy scenarios: shutdown policy and deregulation. Our study suggests that policy interventions inducing direct parental control on children's media usage time are ineffective since the time control reduces children's autonomy, which helps alleviate media addiction. Therefore, this study suggests that policy intervention should focus on alleviating addiction itself rather than on controlling media usage time.