• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Loop

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Construction of New Administrative Capital and Urban Dynamics Analyses (신행정수도의 건설과 도시동태성 분석)

  • 이만형;최남희
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.69-91
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    • 2003
  • Using qualitative methods hinged on urban dynamics models, the paper addresses major issues concerned with new administrative capital construction. It tries to summarize the existing debates on new administrative capital construction and reinterpret diverse interacting factors in terms of reinforcing or balancing feedback structure. The paper suggests that understanding up on the dynamic mechanism imbedded in circular causal loop diagrams is the key to set up appropriate proposals and action plans for the new administrative capital, as they would reveal complicated linkages between the Capital Region and the rest, in addition to the urban dynamic of new administrative capital. In the same context, the paper can confirm similar features reflected in the relocation of capital functions at Canberra, Australia and Berlin, Germany. It has paid special attention to the fact that both Australian and German governments altogether stress the positive feedback loops as they have overcome unprecedented political confrontation among rival cities: Basically, they have encouraged gives-and-takes among major stake-holders. These research findings indicate that the future of new administrative capital construction depends on consensus buildings that can accommodate socio-economic and territorial changes between pros and cons. Although further researches and validations are needed, the system approach presented in this paper could assist Korean decision-makers in developing robust and responsive policy initiatives under uncertainties.

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Development of Dynamic Simulation Model for Measuring of Organization Intelligence (조직지능 측정을 위한 동태적 시뮬레이션 모델 개발 -측정요인의 개념화와 인과지도를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Park, Sang-Hyun;Shin, Mal-Sook;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.5-26
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    • 2006
  • Ever increasing dependence of organization on information technology stimulates interactions between individuals and groups in the process of knowledge creation, which overall impies that a reciprocal mechanism lies within the structure of the growth of group intelligence. Individual's intelligence may affect the group intelligence, and vise versa. However, the level of group intelligence is not necessarily determined by the sum of individual's intelligence but the quality of the interactions among the individuals. This study thus aims to conceptually identify the dynamic structure of interactions among the factors influencing the group intelligence level, which is believed to be used as a tool to measure the difference of intelligence between groups. To achieve this goal several attempts were made. First, determinants of intelligence at indiviual level and group level and similarities and differences between individual's and group intelligence were identified from the previous research. Second, causal loop diagrams were developed, which show how individual's intelligence influences group intelligence and vise versa. Third, it was attempted to identify and interpret which feedback loops are most influential in either improving or hapering group intelligence as a whole. Since this study remains only at exploratory level, a more detailed and workable model for field applications has to be developed in the future.

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Development of System Dynamics Model for the Variation of Plasma Glucose Levels in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (당뇨병 환자의 혈당 변동에 대한 시스템다이내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Choi, Eun-Ok;Kwak, Chan-Yeong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.155-170
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a system dynamics model for management of glucose metabolism disorders that demonstrated dynamic relationships between insulin and plasma glucose levels over the time. The model was developed to 1) represent the physiology of glucose metabolism for an normal adult subject, 2) to draw causal loop diagram that demonstrate feedback systems of glucose regulation in normal condition and pathologic condition of the type 2 diabetes, 3) to develop an interactive computer simulation model for management of glucose metabolism disorders. The simulation results showed the plasma glucose level for normal persons varied from 75 to 140 which was consistent with clinical findings. As an example for patients we selected a case which varied from 110 to 310. Two types of interventions were chosen to review the model; meal control and insulin administration. The simulation results for those cases also matched well with clinical findings. The developed model can be used as an effective educational tool for patients to develop healthy lifestyle choices. The results also provide a blueprint for health providers to maintain normal blood glucose levels in diabetes patients.

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A System Simulation for Investigation of IT and Society Co-evolution Dynamics and Its Policy Implications (시스템 시뮬레이션을 통한 기술과 사회 공진화의 동태성 고찰)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Jung, Jae-Lim
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.171-197
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    • 2008
  • By applying Systems Simulation technique, this paper aims to investigates the dynamics underlying the coevolution of IT(information technology) and the society. Particularly, a series of basic questions are explored to answer by developing a simulation model for the mechanisms underlying the 'hype curve' ever occurring in the course of technology diffusion into society: First, why hype curve appears in the process of technology and society coevolution. Second, how to enhance the tapering level at the final stage of coevolution. Third, what are the key policy leverages and when is the right time for the policy intervention. As now, inflated expectations regarding ubiquitous information technology (u-IT) are growing very fast and higher than those for the previous technologies, which would result in overshoot followed by collapse of visibility and thus incur tremendous amount of social costs. In this regard implications drawn from this study perhaps give some insights not necessarily to the academics but also to the practitioners and policy makers facing the advent of u-IT as a new emerging horizon of information society.

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A Study on the outcome-oriented evaluation using System Dynamics: Focused on the Field of Disaster and Safety Management in the Combined Evaluation of Local Governments (SD를 활용한 성과지향적 평가에 관한 연구: 자치단체 합동평가 재난안전분야를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kun Wee;Choi, In Soo;Jeon, Dae Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.143-163
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    • 2013
  • This study is firstly aiming at diagnosing the present problems of evaluating the performance, especially in the field of disaster and safety management, of LGA (Local Government Authorities) in Korea. The study also deals with developing alternatives to solve a series of barrier factors revealed during the evaluation process using System Dynamics. This paper therefore presents literature review including the official documents published by the government and the performance evaluation studies of LGA. Moreover the authors analyze the current practice of the CELG (Combined Evaluation of Local Governments) as performance management, address and map a series of barrier factors in the CELG process to elaborate the CLDs (Causal-Loop Diagrams) and find solutions using system thinking with the CLDs. According to the analysis results, the core barrier factors to overcome is lack of proactive indicators/indices in the current practice of the CLEG. The authors therefore recommend to develop more proactive indicators that leads to avoid difficulties in measuring the LGA output, as well as to lessen the burden in competition for rankings and goal of the displaced.

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Qualitative Simulation on the Dynamics between Social Capital and Business Performance in Strategic Networks

  • Kim, Dong-Seok;Chung, Chang-Kwon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.9
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - This study develops a simulation model that looks at the dynamics between social capital and business performance in strategic networks to understand their behaviors in relation to each other, and to suggest dynamic relationship strategies. Research design, data, and methodology - Based on existing literature, this study identifies the complex causal loop diagram on social capital and business performance in strategic networks, and converts them into a simulation model for observing how the changes in business environment and relationship dependency affect social capital and business performance. Results - The simulation results showed that, first, the formation in social capital and business performance of networks with low relationship dependency was less affected by the changes in business environment. Second, the formation in social capital and business performance of networks with high relationship dependency was negatively impacted by the changes in business environment. In other words, higher relationship dependency strengthened the impact of changes in business environment on business performance. Conclusions - Thus, this study confirmed that in strategic networks, the changes in business environment and the degree of relationship dependency dynamically affect business performance, and that relationship dependency mediates the degree in which changes in the business environment affect business performance. The results of the simulations were further verified through actual business cases.

A Basic Study on Optimal Price Estimation Model Development of Residential Officetel Project (주거용 오피스텔의 최적 분양가 산정 모델 개발 연구)

  • Jeon, Sang-Sub;Jang, Jun-Ho;Ha, Sun-Geun;Lee, Joo-Hyeong;Son, Ki-Young;Son, Seung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.124-125
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    • 2018
  • Recently, risk analysis studies regarding the architecture development project have been carried out by applying probabilistic method. However, it had a limit that this studies was conducted in only an apartment. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop an optimal price estimation model that can be utilized on residential officetel project by applying Monte Carlo simulation. To achieve the objective, first, the variables are selected affecting the feasibility of an officetel based on literature review. Second, causal loop diagram is constructed by arranging the relationship between variables, then the import and expense model is suggested. Third, to carry out optimized parcel price, the range limits are set for each variables then Monte Carlo simulation is performed. In the future, the developed model is expected to help decision-makers as a tool to determine both risk and feasibility of the officetel development project.

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A Basic Study on Estimation Model Development by Applying Probabilistic Forecasting Method for Determining Optimal Price of Residential Officetel (확률론적 추정 기법을 적용한 주거형 오피스텔의 최적 분양가 산정 모델 개발 기초연구)

  • Jang, Jun-Ho;Kim, Tae-Hui;Ha, Sung-Eun;Son, Ki-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2017.11a
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    • pp.191-192
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    • 2017
  • In response to the economic depression, the demand for fixed rent income has increased according to the easing construction regulations. it caused indiscriminated investment to stakeholders. This leads to oversupply in the multi-family Housing market and increases unsold housing and vacancy rates except specific area such as Gangnam-gu.In order to solve this issue, although studies on the optimization price of apartment houses has been conducted, the study is insufficient regarding on residential officetel. Therefore, the objective is to suggest a basic study on optimal price estimation model development by using probabilistic forecasting method in planning phase. To achieve the objective, first, variables are defined such as expenses, financial costs, income, etc. Second, causal loop diagram is suggested. Third, basic optimization prices estimation model is developed. In the future, this study can be used as one of decision making tools in planning phase of officetel development projects.

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Dynamic Information Service Quality Model (동태적 정보서비스 품질 관리 모델)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Jung, Jae-Lim;Jo, Hyun-Woong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.125-156
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    • 2011
  • The information service management models developed thus far have put their focuses mostly on technical dimensions of information systems (IS), finding their rationale from the goods-dominant logic (GDL) that IS as goods has value in itself. Information systems, however, is nothing more than a mechanism by which value is delivered to the users. According to the service-dominant logic (SDL), value is created and determined not at the time serve is made by the providers but at the time it is consumed by the users. The users therefore should be regarded as active value creators not as passive consumers of the value delivered by the providers. Based on the service-dominant logic, DISQM (Dynamic Information Service Quality Model) is developed. DISQM's backbone is designed in causal loop diagrams referring to and reinterpreting in systems thinking the 'Parasuraman, Zeithaml & Berry's GAP Model' and 'SERVQUAL' as an operational tool for the GAP Model, and the main IS success constructs are mapped onto the model exploiting the 'DeLone & MacLean's IS Success Model'. With VENSIM simulation software, this paper also shows how DISQM works in computer-simulation settings. After confirming DISQM's validity with the base simulation run, two scenarios are developed for the exemplary purpose and tested in terms of IS quality, service quality, and net benefits from the service for the public information service. Implications from the simulation runs are also discussed.

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Dynamic Analysis of Mindfulness and Therapeutic Relationship using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 마음챙김과 치료관계 간의 동태적 분석)

  • Choi, Yeon-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.121-143
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study to analyze the effect of Mindfulness on the Therapeutic Relationship using System Dynamics. The biggest factor in psychotherapy's treatment outcome is the Therapeutic Relationship including the quality of the therapist (empathy, therapeutic presence) and therapy alliance. Mindfulness practice can facilitate the therapeutic relationship. In order to analyze the therapeutic relationship, I measure FFMQ(Five Facet Mindfulness Questionnaire), Empathy, Therapeutic presence and Therapy alliance. Participants consist of 55 mental health professionals (doctor, psychologist, psychiatrist, counselor, social worker). The result of the study will be explained. First, with the causal loop diagram research, I analyze how mindfulness can influence the quality of therapist and therapy alliance. The result of literature research indicate that mindfulness increase therapist's empathy, congruence, therapeutic presence, flow, therapy alliance. And then mindfulness reinforces the ability of therapeutic relationship. Secondly, through the real data research and simulation analysis, mindfulness practicing period (year and hour a day) of therapist is studied. The result of the therapist experiencing mindfulness practice period is over 5 years and the daily hours of practice is 2 - 2.5 hours in order to enhance the therapeutic relationship. After reviewing the result of the research it is important to understand the practicing period and daily practice of mindfulness. With daily practice and time, the level of mindfulness will increase and influence positively the therapeutic relationship between therapist and client.