• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bivariate normal distribution

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Correlation Test by Reduced-Spread of Fuzzy Variance

  • Kang, Man-Ki
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2012
  • We propose some properties for a fuzzy correlation test by reduced-spread fuzzy variance for sample fuzzy data. First, we define the condition of fuzzy data for repeatedly observed data or that which includes error term data. By using the average of spreads for fuzzy numbers, we reduce the spread of fuzzy variance and define the agreement index for the degree of acceptance and rejection. Given a non-normal random fuzzy sample, we have bivariate normal distribution by apply Box-Cox power fuzzy transformation and test the fuzzy correlation for independence between the variables provided by the agreement index.

Multivariate empirical distribution plot and goodness-of-fit test (다변량 경험분포그림과 적합도 검정)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Park, Yongho;Park, Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.579-590
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    • 2017
  • The multivariate empirical distribution function could be defined when its distribution function can be estimated. It is known that bivariate empirical distribution functions could be visualized by using Step plot and Quantile plot. In this paper, the multivariate empirical distribution plot is proposed to represent the multivariate empirical distribution function on the unit square. Based on many kinds of empirical distribution plots corresponding to various multivariate normal distributions and other specific distributions, it is found that the empirical distribution plot also depends sensitively on its distribution function and correlation coefficients. Hence, we could suggest five goodness-of-fit test statistics. These critical values are obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. We explore that these critical values are not much different from those in text books. Therefore, we may conclude that the proposed test statistics in this work would be used with known critical values with ease.

A New Integral Representation of the Coverage Probability of a Random Convex Hull

  • Son, Won;Ng, Chi Tim;Lim, Johan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the probability that a given point is covered by a random convex hull generated by independent and identically-distributed random points in a plane is studied. It is shown that such probability can be expressed in terms of an integral that can be approximated numerically by function-evaluations over the grid-points in a 2-dimensional space. The new integral representation allows such probability be computed efficiently. The computational burdens under the proposed integral representation and those in the existing literature are compared. The proposed method is illustrated through numerical examples where the random points are drawn from (i) uniform distribution over a square and (ii) bivariate normal distribution over the two-dimensional Euclidean space. The applications of the proposed method in statistics are are discussed.

On the Confidence Region of Vector-valued Process Capability Indices $C_p$& $C_pk$ (2차원 벡터 공정능력지수 $C_p$$C_pk$의 근사 신뢰영역)

  • 박병선;이충훈;조중재
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.44-57
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we study two vector-valued process capability indices $C_{p}$=($C_{px}$, $C_{py}$ ) and $C_{pk}$=( $C_{pkx}$, $C_{pky}$) considering process capability indices $C_{p}$ and $C_{pk}$. First, we derive two asymptotic distributions of plug-in estimators (equation omitted) and (equation omitted) under. some proper. conditions. Second, we examine the performance of asymptotic confidence regions of our process capability indices $C_{p}$=( $C_{px}$ , $C_{py}$ ) and $C_{pk}$=( $C_{pkx}$, $C_{pky}$) under BN($\mu$$_{x}$, $\mu$$_{y}$, $\sigma$$^2$$_{x}$, $\sigma$$^2$$_{y}$,$\rho$)$\rho$)EX>)EX>)EX>)

Regime Dependent Volatility Spillover Effects in Stock Markets Between Kazakhstan and Russia

  • CHUNG, Sang Kuck;ABDULLAEVA, Vasila Shukhratovna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.297-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, to capture the skewness and kurtosis detected in both conditional and unconditional return distributions of the stock markets of Kazakhstan and Russia, two versions of normal mixture GARCH models are employed. The data set consists of daily observations of the Kazakhstan and Russia stock prices, and world crude oil price, covering the period from 1 June 2006 through 1 March 2021. From the empirical results, incorporating the long memory effect on the returns not only provides better descriptions of dynamic behaviors of the stock market prices but also plays a significant role in improving a better understanding of the return dynamics. In addition, normal mixture models for time-varying volatility provide a better fit to the conditional densities than the usual GARCH specifications and has an important advantage that the conditional higher moments are time-varying. This implies that the volatility skews implied by normal mixture models are more likely to exhibit the features of risk and the direction of the information flow is regime-dependent. The findings of this study contain useful information for diverse purposes of cross-border stock market players such as asset allocation, portfolio management, risk management, and market regulations.

Study on Estimating the Optimal Number-right Score in Two Equivalent Mathematics-test by Linear Score Equating (수학교과의 동형고사 문항에서 양호도 향상에 유효한 최적정답율 산정에 관한 연구)

  • 홍석강
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we have represented the efficient way how to enumerate the optimal number-right scores to adjust the item difficulty and to improve item discrimination. To estimate the optimal number-right scores in two equivalent math-tests by linear score equating a measurement error model was applied to the true scores observed from a pair of equivalent math-tests assumed to measure same trait. The model specification for true scores which is represented by the bivariate model is a simple regression model to inference the optimal number-right scores and we assume again that the two simple regression lines of raw scores and true scores are independent each other in their error models. We enumerated the difference between mean value of $\chi$* and ${\mu}$$\_$$\chi$/ and the difference between the mean value of y*and a+b${\mu}$$\_$$\chi$/ by making an inference the estimates from 2 error variable regression model. Furthermore, so as to distinguish from the original score points, the estimated number-right scores y’$\^$*/ as the estimated regression values of true scores with the same coordinate were moved to center points that were composed of such difference values with result of such parallel score moving procedure as above mentioned. We got the asymptotically normal distribution in Figure 5 that was represented as the optimal distribution of the optimal number-right scores so that we could decide the optimal proportion of number-right score in each item. Also by assumption that equivalence of two tests is closely connected to unidimensionality of a student’s ability. we introduce new definition of trait score to evaluate such ability in each item. In this study there are much limitations in getting the real true scores and in analyzing data of the bivariate error model. However, even with these limitations we believe that this study indicates that the estimation of optimal number right scores by using this enumeration procedure could be easily achieved.

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Multiple Change-Point Estimation of Air Pollution Mean Vectors

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Cheon, Sooy-Oung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.687-695
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    • 2009
  • The Bayesian multiple change-point estimation has been applied to the daily means of ozone and PM10 data in Seoul for the period 1999. We focus on the detection of multiple change-points in the ozone and PM10 bivariate vectors by evaluating the posterior probabilities and Bayesian information criterion(BIC) using the stochastic approximation Monte Carlo(SAMC) algorithm. The result gives 5 change-points of mean vectors of ozone and PM10, which are related with the seasonal characteristics.

Bootstrap Confidence Regions of 2-dimensional Vector-valued Process Capability Indices $C_p\;and\;C_{pk}$

  • Park Byoung-Sun;Nam Kyung-Hyun;Cho Joong-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 2004
  • In actual manufacturing industries, process capability indices(PCI) are used to determine whether a production process is capable of producing items within a specified specification limits. We study some vector-valued PCIs $C_p=(C_{px},\;C_{py})$ and $C_{pk}=(C_{pkx},\; C_{pky})$ in this article. We propose some asymptotic confidence regions of PCIs with bootstrapping and examine the performance of those asymptotic confidence regions under the assumption of bivariate normal distribution.

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A Study on a Hit Probability Model for Polygonal Target (다각형 표적의 명중확률 산정모델의 연구)

  • 황흥석
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 1999
  • This research focussed on developing a hit probability model for polygonal target to increase the survivability of weapon systems by its shape design. First, we defined the delivery errors and derived functions for these errors based on the assumption of bivariate normal distribution, and the derived functions for probability of shot hitting of various shapes of polygonal target. Also, we developed computer program for computation of the probability of hitting a general n-sided polygon and we have shown a sample run output. The model could be used to improve the survivability from design phase by designing optimal polygonal shape of weapon system.

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Hydrological Drought Analysis using Copula Theory (Copula 이론을 이용한 수문학적 가뭄 분석)

  • Kwak, Jae Won;Kim, Duck Gil;Lee, Jong Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.3B
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2012
  • Drought is a normal and recurrent phenomenon. But, recurring prolonged droughts have caused consequences and diverse impacts on human system. Therefore, understanding drought characteristics is indispensable element in well-prepared drought management. This study aims to investigate the hydrological droughts of Pyongchang stream and Upstream of Namhan-river in Korean peninsula. For modelling of the joint distribution of drought duration and drought severity, the copula method is used to construct the bivariate drought distribution and return period from the predetermined marginal distributions of drought duration and drought severity. As the result, the most severed drought of the Pyongchang stream and Upstream of Namhan-river occuring during period 1967 to 2007 is the 1981 and 1973. Return period for this drought derived from copula is 550 and 110 years.