• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian posterior

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Bayesian analysis of an exponentiated half-logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kang, Suk Bok;Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1455-1464
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of unknown parameters in an exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on a progressively type-II censored sample. We obtain approximate confidence intervals for the MLEs by using asymptotic variance and covariance matrices. Using importance sampling, we obtain Bayes estimators and corresponding credible intervals with the highest posterior density and Bayes predictive intervals for unknown parameters based on progressively type-II censored data from an exponentiated half logistic distribution. For illustration purposes, we examine the validity of the proposed estimation method by using real and simulated data.

On Estimation of HPD Interval for the Generalized Variance Using a Weighted Monte Carlo Method

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.305-313
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    • 2002
  • Regarding to inference about a scalar measure of internal scatter of Ρ-variate normal population, this paper considers an interval estimation of the generalized variance, │$\Sigma$│. Due to complicate sampling distribution, fully parametric frequentist approach for the interval estimation is not available and thus Bayesian method is pursued to calculate the highest probability density (HPD) interval for the generalized variance. It is seen that the marginal posterior distribution of the generalized variance is intractable, and hence a weighted Monte Carlo method, a variant of Chen and Shao (1999) method, is developed to calculate the HPD interval of the generalized variance. Necessary theories involved in the method and computation are provided. Finally, a simulation study is given to illustrate and examine the proposed method.

Bayesian Estimation of k-Population Weibull Distribution Under Ordered Scale Parameters (순서를 갖는 척도모수들의 사전정보 하에 k-모집단 와이블분포의 베이지안 모수추정)

  • 손영숙;김성욱
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2003
  • The problem of estimating the parameters of k-population Weibull distributions is discussed under the prior of ordered scale parameters. Parameters are estimated by the Gibbs sampling method. Since the conditional posterior distribution of the shape parameter in the Gibbs sampler is not log-concave, the shape parameter is generated by the adaptive rejection sampling. Finally, we applied this estimation methodology to the data discussed in Nelson (1970).

Bayesian Mode1 Selection and Diagnostics for Nonlinear Regression Model (베이지안 비선형회귀모형의 선택과 진단)

  • 나종화;김정숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.139-151
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    • 2002
  • This study is concerned with model selection and diagnostics for nonlinear regression model through Bayes factor. In this paper, we use informative prior and simulate observations from the posterior distribution via Markov chain Monte Carlo. We propose the Laplace approximation method and apply the Laplace-Metropolis estimator to solve the computational difficulty of Bayes factor.

Robust Multidimensional Scaling for Multi-robot Localization (멀티로봇 위치 인식을 위한 강화 다차원 척도법)

  • Je, Hong-Mo;Kim, Dai-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a multi-robot localization based on multidimensional scaling (MDS) in spite of the existence of incomplete and noisy data. While the traditional algorithms for MDS work on the full-rank distance matrix, there might be many missing data in the real world due to occlusions. Moreover, it has no considerations to dealing with the uncertainty due to noisy observations. We propose a robust MDS to handle both the incomplete and noisy data, which is applied to solve the multi-robot localization problem. To deal with the incomplete data, we use the Nystr$\ddot{o}$m approximation which approximates the full distance matrix. To deal with the uncertainty, we formulate a Bayesian framework for MDS which finds the posterior of coordinates of objects by means of statistical inference. We not only verify the performance of MDS-based multi-robot localization by computer simulations, but also implement a real world localization of multi-robot team. Using extensive empirical results, we show that the accuracy of the proposed method is almost similar to that of Monte Carlo Localization(MCL).

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Efficient random number generation from extreme tail areas of a t-distribution (t 분포의 극단 꼬리부분으로부터의 효율적인 난수생성)

  • 오만숙;김나영
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.165-177
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    • 1996
  • It is often needed to generate random numbers from truncated t-distributions to carry out Bayesian inferences, especially in Monte Carlo integration for estimation of posterior densities of constrained parameters. However, when the restricted area is an extreme tail area with a small probability most existing random generation methods are not efficient. In this paper, we propose an efficient acceptance-rejection method to generate random numbers from extreme tail areas of a t-distribution. Using some simulation results, we compare the proposed algorithm with other popular methods.

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Derivation of the Fisher Information Matrix for 4-Parameter Generalized Gamma Distribution Using Mathematica

  • Park, Tae Ryong
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.138-144
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    • 2014
  • Fisher information matrix plays an important role in statistical inference of unknown parameters. Especially, it is used in objective Bayesian inference where we calculate the posterior distribution using a noninformative prior distribution, and also in an example of metric functions in geometry. To estimate parameters in a distribution, we can use the Fisher information matrix. The more the number of parameters increases, the more its matrix form gets complicated. In this paper, by using Mathematica programs we derive the Fisher information matrix for 4-parameter generalized gamma distribution which is used in reliability theory.

CONSISTENCY AND ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY OF A MODIFIED LIKELIHOOD APPROACH CONTINUAL REASSESSMENT METHOD

  • Kang, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2003
  • The continual reassessment method (CRM) provides a Bayesian estimation of the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) in phase I clinical trials. The CRM has been proposed as an alternative design of the standard design. The CRM has been modified to improve practical feasibility and, recently, the likelihood approach CRM has been proposed. In this paper we investigate the consistency and asymptotic normality of the modified likelihood approach CRM in which the maximum likelihood estimate is used instead of the posterior mean. Small-sample properties of the consistency is examined using complete enumeration. Both the asymptotic results and their small-sample properties show that the modified CRML outperforms the standard design.

Bayesian estimation for the exponential distribution based on generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.413-430
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    • 2020
  • The multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme is disadvantaged by an experiment time that is too long. To overcome this limitation, we propose a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. Some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution are derived under a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. First, the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution is obtained under the proposed censoring scheme. Second, we obtain the Bayes estimators under different loss functions with a noninformative prior and an informative prior. We approximate the Bayes estimators by Lindleys approximation and the Tierney-Kadane method since the posterior distributions obtained by the two priors are complicated. In addition, the Bayes estimators are obtained by using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo samples. Finally, all proposed estimators are compared in the sense of the mean squared error through the Monte Carlo simulation and applied to real data.

On the Bayes risk of a sequential design for estimating a mean difference

  • Sangbeak Ye;Kamel Rekab
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.427-440
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    • 2024
  • The problem addressed is that of sequentially estimating the difference between the means of two populations with respect to the squared error loss, where each population distribution is a member of the one-parameter exponential family. A Bayesian approach is adopted in which the population means are estimated by the posterior means at each stage of the sampling process and the prior distributions are not specified but have twice continuously differentiable density functions. The main result determines an asymptotic second-order lower bound, as t → ∞, for the Bayes risk of a sequential procedure that takes M observations from the first population and t - M from the second population, where M is determined according to a sequential design, and t denotes the total number of observations sampled from both populations.