• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Procedure

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Bayesian Test for the Equality of Gamma Means

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1413-1425
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    • 2006
  • When X and Y have independent gamma distributions, we develop a Bayesian procedure for testing the equality of two gamma means. The reference prior is derived. Using the derived reference prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of two gamma means using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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Bayesian Test for Equality of Coefficients of Variation in the Normal Distributions

  • Lee, Hee-Choon;Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1023-1030
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    • 2003
  • When X and Y have independent normal distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedure for the equality of two coefficients of variation. Under the reference prior of the coefficient of variation, we propose a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of two coefficients of variation using fractional Bayes factor. A real data example is provided.

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Bayesian Model Selection in Weibull Populations

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1123-1134
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    • 2007
  • This article addresses the problem of testing whether the shape parameters in k independent Weibull populations are equal. We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for equality of the shape parameters. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian model selection procedure based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real example are provided.

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A Study on Bayesian p-values

  • Hwnag, Hyungtae;Oh, Heejung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.725-732
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    • 2002
  • P-values are often perceived as measurements of degree of compatibility between the current data and the hypothesized model. In this paper, a new concept of Bayesian p-values is proposed and studied under the non-informative prior distributions, which can be thought as the Bayesian counterparts of the classical p-values in the sense of using the concept of significance level. The performances of the proposed Bayesian p-values are compared with those of the classical p-values through several examples.

Bayesian Method in Forecasting of time Series (Bayesian 시계열 예측방법에 관한 소고)

  • 박일근
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 1984
  • In many forecasting problem, there is little or no useful historical information available at the time the initial forecast is required, The propose of this paper is study on Bayesian Method in forecasting. I : Introduction. II : Bayesian estimation. III : Constant Model. IV : General time series Models. V : Conclusion. The Bayesian procedure are then used to revise parameter estimates when time series information is available, in this paper we give a general description of the bayesian approach and demonstrate the methodology with several specific cases.

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A Detection Procedure of a Parameter Change Point in AR(1) Models by Bayesian Approach

  • Ryu, Gui Yeol;Lee, Yong Gun;Cho, Sinsup
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 1989
  • We investigate a procedure which detects the parameter change point in AR(1) by Bayesian Approach using Jeffrey prior, for example, coefficient change point, variance change point, coefficient and variance change point, etc. And we apply our procedure to the simulated data.

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Testing Two Exponential Means Based on the Bayesian Reference Criterion

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Chung, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.677-687
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    • 2004
  • We consider the comparison of two one-parameter exponential distributions with the complete data as well as the type II censored data. We adapt Bayesian test procedure for nested hypothesis based on the Bayesian reference criterion. Specifically we derive the expression for the Bayesian reference criterion to solve our problem. Also we provide numerical examples using simulated data sets to illustrate our results.

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Bayesian Model Selection for Nonlinear Regression under Noninformative Prior

  • Na, Jonghwa;Kim, Jeongsuk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.719-729
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    • 2003
  • We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for nonlinear regression models under noninformative prior. For informative prior, Na and Kim (2002) suggested the Bayesian model selection procedure through MCMC techniques. We extend this method to the case of noninformative prior. The difficulty with the use of noninformative prior is that it is typically improper and hence is defined only up to arbitrary constant. The methods, such as Intrinsic Bayes Factor(IBF) and Fractional Bayes Factor(FBF), are used as a resolution to the problem. We showed the detailed model selection procedure through the specific real data set.

Bayesian estimation of kinematic parameters of disk galaxies in large HI galaxy surveys

  • Oh, Se-Heon;Staveley-Smith, Lister
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.62.2-62.2
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    • 2016
  • We present a newly developed algorithm based on a Bayesian method for 2D tilted-ring analysis of disk galaxies which operates on velocity fields. Compared to the conventional ones based on a chi-squared minimisation procedure, this new Bayesian-based algorithm less suffers from local minima of the model parameters even with high multi-modality of their posterior distributions. Moreover, the Bayesian analysis implemented via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling only requires broad ranges of posterior distributions of the parameters, which makes the fitting procedure fully automated. This feature is essential for performing kinematic analysis of an unprecedented number of resolved galaxies from the upcoming Square Kilometre Array (SKA) pathfinders' galaxy surveys. A standalone code, the so-called '2D Bayesian Automated Tilted-ring fitter' (2DBAT) that implements the Bayesian fits of 2D tilted-ring models is developed for deriving rotation curves of galaxies that are at least marginally resolved (> 3 beams across the semi-major axis) and moderately inclined (20 < i < 70 degree). The main layout of 2DBAT and its performance test are discussed using sample galaxies from Australia Telescope Compact Array (ATCA) observations as well as artificial data cubes built based on representative rotation curves of intermediate-mass and massive spiral galaxies.

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Locally Powerful Unit-Root Test (국소적 강력 단위근 검정)

  • Choi, Bo-Seung;Woo, Jin-Uk;Park, You-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.531-542
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    • 2008
  • The unit root test is the major tool for determining whether we use differencing or detrending to eliminate the trend from time series data. Dickey-Fuller test (Dickey and Fuller, 1979) has the low power of test when the sample size is small or the true coefficient of AR(1) process is almost unit root and the Bayesian unit root test has complicated testing procedure. We propose a new unit root testing procedure, which mixed Bayesian approach with the traditional testing procedure. Using simulation studies, our approach showed locally higher powers than Dickey-Fuller test when the sample size is small or the time series has almost unit root and simpler procedure than Bayesian unit root test procedure. Proposed testing procedure can be applied to the time series data that are not observed as process with unit root.