• Title/Summary/Keyword: Area estimation

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A Comparative Study of Small Area Estimation Methods (소지역 추정법에 관한 비교연구)

  • Park, Jong-Tae;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2001
  • Usually estimating the means is used for statistical inference. However depending the purpose of survey, sometimes totals will give the better and more meaningful in statistical inference than the means. Here in this study, we dealt with the unemployment population of small areas with using 4 different small area estimation methods: Direct, Synthetic, Composite, Bayes estimation. For all the estimates considered in this study, the average of absolute bias and men square error were obtained in the Monte Carlo Study which was simulated using data from 1998 Economic Active Population Survey in Korea.

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Performance Analysis of Location Estimation Algorithm Using an Enhanced Decision Scheme for RTLS

  • Lee Hyun-Jae;Jeong Seung-Hee;Oh Chang-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.397-401
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we proposed a high precision location estimation algorithm using an enhanced decision scheme for RTLS and analyzed its performance in point of an average estimation error distance at 2D coordinates searching area, $300m\times300m$ and LOS propagation environments. Also the performance was compared with that of conventional TDOA algorithm according to the number of available reader and received sub-blink. From the results, we confirmed that the proposed location estimation algorithm using an enhanced decision scheme was able to improve an estimation accuracy even in boundary region of searching area. Moreover, effectively reduced an error distance in entire searching area so that increased the stability of location estimation in RTLS. Therefore, we verified that the proposed algorithm provided a more higher estimation accuracy and stability than conventional TDOA.

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Rainfall Seasonality and Estimation Errors of Area-Average Rainfall (강수의 계절성과 면적평균강수량의 추정오차)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.575-581
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    • 2002
  • This study evaluates the variation of estimation error of area-average rainfall due to rainfall seasonality. Both the cases considering and not considering the spatial correlation are compared to derive the characteristics of estimation error. Similar cases with different accumulation time without considering the rainfall seasonality are also investigated. This study was applied to the Geum-river basin with total 28 rain gauge measurements haying more than 30 years of daily rainfall measurements. As results of the study we found that: (1) The absolute estimation error of monthly area-average rainfall show strong seasonality like the total rainfall amount. However, the relative estimation error normalized by its mean was estimated to have similar values about 5 to 8% except January and December. (2) The relative estimation error of annual area-average rainfall estimated was found to have the estimation error about 3% of its annual mean. (3) However, the relative estimation error normalized by the standard deviation remains almost the same for both monthly and annual rainfall amounts, which was estimated about 11% of its standard deviation. (4) Finally, the estimation error without considering the spatial correlation was found to become almost twice the estimation error with considering the spatial correlation.

Analysis of the Present State of Air Pollutant Emission Data for the Greater Seoul Area (서울.수도권 지역 주요 대기오염물질 배출원 자료 현황 분석)

  • 김진영;김영성;김용표
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.813-826
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    • 1999
  • To understand the present status of air pollutant emission data for the greater Seoul area, existing air pollutant emission data were analyzed and compared. For the criteria pollutants, estimation methods of emissions from point, line, and area sources adopted in the previous studies were analyzed and their results were compared. Two sets of VOC emission estimation were also compared and analyzed. There exists a large discrepancy among previous emission data due to the differences in the scope of emission sources and the estimation method including emission factors employed in each estimation. Applications of previous air pollutant emission studies for air quality modeling and related problems were discussed.

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Small area estimation of the insurance benefit for customer segmentations (고객집단별 보험금에 대한 소지역 추정)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2009
  • Bayesian methods have been focused in recent years for solving small area estimation problems. In this paper, the hierarchical Bayes procedure is implemented via MCMC techniques and compared with the results of One-way, GLM-Normal, and GLM-Gamma cases by analyzing real data of insurance benefit for customer segmentations. After analyzing insurance benefit real data for customer segmentations, we can conclude that the insurance benefit estimator through the small area estimation is more efficient than the estimators by other methods. In addition, we found that the small area estimation gave accurate estimation result for the small number domains.

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Performance Analysis of Location Estimation Algorithm Considering an Extension of Searching Area (탐색범위 확장을 고려한 위치추정 알고리즘의 성능분석)

  • Jeong, Seung-Heui;Lee, Hyun-Jae;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.385-393
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we proposed a location estimation algorithm considering an extension of searching area in 2.45GHz band RTLS and analyzed its performance in terms of an average estimation error distance. The extendable searching area was assumed to be square of $300m{\times}300m$ and 2 dimensions. The arrangement shape of available readers was considered circle, rectangle, and shrinkage rectangle for extendable searching area. Also, we assumed that propagation path was LOS (Line-Of-Sight) environment, and analyzed the estimation error performance as a function of the number of received sub-blink considering an arrangement shape of available readers in searching area. From the results, compared with rectangle shape, circle shape showed the higher estimation accuracy. Also, we confirmed that the proposed location estimation algorithm provided high estimation accuracy in the shrinkage rectangle shape that was suitable for extension of searching area.

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Small Area Estimation to Unemployment Statistics in Korea (시군 실업통계 작성을 위한 소지역 추정모형)

  • Kim, Jin;Kim, Jae-Kwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.337-347
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    • 2010
  • Most sample surveys are designed to estimate reliable statistics for the whole population and for some large subpopulations. However, the research for small area estimation have been increasing in recent years because users demand to reliable estimates for smaller subpopulations like small areas or specific domains. In Korea, the Economically Active Population Survey(EAPS) is the main household survey that produces monthly unemployment rates for nationwide and 16 large areas (7 metropolitans and 9 provinces) in Korea. For county level estimation, direct estimators are not reliable because of the small sample sizes. We consider small area estimation of the county level unemployment ratesfrom the sample observations in EAPS. To do this, we use an area level model to "borrow strength" from the auxiliary information, such as administrative data and census data. The proposed method is based on the assumption of normality of the model errors in the area level model. The proposed method is compared with the other alternatives in terms of the estimated mean squared errors.

Estimation of the Number of the Unemployed Using Small Area Estimation Methods (소지역 추정방법을 이용한 실업자 수 추정 사례연구)

  • Kwon, Se-Hyug
    • Survey Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2009
  • With the current sampling scheme, the sampling variance is getting larger in producing smaller regional statistics than the designed area, The larger sample size can make the variance reduced but the efficiency of sample survey lower. The desired confidence level of sampling survey can be obtained using the current sample scheme with the same sample size and administrative data. In this paper, the number of the unemployed of 5 regions in Daejon are estimated using small area estimation methods and the CV values in each estimation method is calculated and compared for their estimation efficiency as empirical study. Jackknife method is proposed to estimate the MSE of synthetic estimator and composite estimator more accurately.

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Estimation of Small Area Proportions Based on Logistic Mixed Model

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo;Son, Jung-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2009
  • We consider a logistic model with random effects as the superpopulation for estimating the small area pro-portions. The best linear unbiased predictor under linear mired model is popular in small area estimation. We use this type of estimator under logistic mixed motel for the small area proportions, on which the estimation of mean squared error is also discussed. Two kinds of estimation methods, the parametric bootstrap and the linear approximation will be compared through a Monte Carlo study in the respects of the normality assumption on the random effects distribution and also the magnitude of sample sizes on the approximation.

Emission Estimation of Air Pollutants in Kimhae Area (김해시 대기오염물질 배출량 산정)

  • 박종길;김종필;김지형
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.647-652
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    • 1998
  • This study is to find out the emission estimation in Kimhae area. For this purpose, the Kimhae statistical yearbook and data of waste facilities issued by Kimhae city and the report on energy census issued by the ministry of trade, industry and energy are used. Each item for the emission estimation is $SO_2$, CO, HC, Nox, TSP from point, line, area sources. The results were as follows; The air pollutants with the highest mont of emission from the emission sources is CO followed by Nox, $SO_2$, TSP, HC in descending order of magnitude. The emission consists of 66.15% of line, 24.65% of area and 9.20% of point sources at Kimhae.

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