• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀단절모형

Search Result 10, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

An Efficiency Analysis of Public Enterprises Using Bootstrap DEA (부트스트랩 DEA를 이용한 공기업 효율성 분석)

  • Park, Man Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.15 no.5
    • /
    • pp.475-487
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study measures the managerial efficiency of Korea's 14 public enterprises using bootstrap DEA in 2013. In addition, it examines the factors that affect on the bootstrap bias-corrected efficiency using truncated regression analysis. The results and implications of this study are as follows. First, using bootstrap DEA model analysis, the results showed that the mean technical efficiency was 0.3182, the mean pure technical efficiency was 0.4994 and the mean scale efficiency was 0.6585. The main cause of technical inefficiency was due to pure technical inefficiency. Second, rank test between technical efficiency of general DEA model and bootstrap DEA model was no significant difference under CRS and VRS assumption. Third, the main cause of the inefficiency in 11 DMUs among 14 DMUs were mainly due to the pure technology and three DMUs were because of the scale efficiency. Finally, in the truncated regression analysis, cost of labor, profit, sales, return of equity, and the number of employees appeared as factors affecting the scale efficiency at the 10% significance level.

A Study on the Efficiency and Its Determinants in Korea's Service Sectors Using DEA (자료포락분석(DEA)를 이용한 우리나라 서비스산업의 효율성과 결정요인 분석)

  • Bae, Se-Young
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.19 no.10
    • /
    • pp.339-348
    • /
    • 2021
  • This paper aims to analyze the production efficiency in Korea's ten service sectors using DEA and its determinants utilizing a truncated-Tobit regression model and a censored-Tobit regression model in 2010-2019. This paper found: First, the Korean service sector's production efficiency in general has been significantly low and polarized. Especially, the inefficiency resulted from the scale inefficiency in the 'sewerage waste management industry.' Second, in the determinants analysis, the results show the positive effect of the investment and R&D expenses on technical efficiency, while FDI and lobbying expenses illustrate the negative impact. Moreover, it seems that the larger the industry, the higher the efficiency. Thus, the future Korean government's economic policy for the service sectors requires a mixed and integrated policy of the macroeconomic aspect such as active investment and R&D activities with microeconomic aspect including a convergence of FDI and human capital.

The Mediation Effect of the Work-Family Spillover between Full-time Married Working Women's Inefficient Working Culture and Career Interruption Intention (비효율적 업무문화와 경력단절의도와의 관계에서 일-가정 전이의 매개효과: 전일제 기혼 여성근로자를 대상으로)

  • Park, Cheong-Yeul;Shon, Young-Mi;Shin, Kyu-Lee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.15 no.8
    • /
    • pp.280-292
    • /
    • 2015
  • The current study examines the mediation effect of the work-family spillover between full-time married working women's inefficient working culture and career interruption intention. The mediation effect is tested by classifying the work-family spillover effect into two subfactors: the work-family conflict and the work-family facilitation. For this purpose, we sampled 281 full-time married working women aged between 30 and 50s and conducted a hierarchical regression analysis. The main results are as follows: both work-family conflict and work-family facilitation play the role of partial mediation. This finding implies that it is necessary to carefully examine the effects of subfactors for work-family spillover to married working women's career interruption.

Analysis of Water Balance in Paddy Fields using Open Source SWMMModel (Open source SWMM모형을 활용한 논배수로 물수지 분석)

  • Kim Beom gu;Choo In Kyo;Kareem Kola Yusuff;Jung Young Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.403-403
    • /
    • 2023
  • 도시화로 인한 생활, 공업, 농업용수의 수요는 증가하지만, 이를 해결하기 위한 댐 건설은 생태계의 단절, 수몰 지역 생성 등의 이유로 비판적인 여론이 많아 신규 수자원 확보가 어려워지고 있다. 따라서 우리는 신규 수자원을 확보하기보다 기존 수자원의 물관리 체계를 개선하고 합리적인 물 배분 기술을 개발할 필요가 있다. 이중 농업용수의 회귀 수량에 대하여 알아볼 필요가 있다. 수리 시설물에서 공급된 농업용수는 전량 작물에 의해 소비되는 것이 아니며, 포장으로 공급되지 않고 용수로를 통해 배수되기도 한다. 포장으로 공급된 수량은 물꼬를 넘어 배수되기도 하고, 일부는 침투되어 지하수를 통해 흘러나가기도 한다. 이 와 같이, 농업용수 공급량 중 소모되지 않고 하천으로 유입되는 수량을 관계 회귀 수량이라 한다. 따라서 본연구에서는 농업에 소모되지 않고 하천으로 유입되는 회귀수량을 정확히 조절할 수 있도록 농업용수 회귀수량을 계산하는 모델을 구현하였다. SWMM(Storm Water Management Model)은 도로, 도랑, 관로, 초지 등 주로 도시지역의 강우-유출-지표면 유출을 해석하는 모델이며 농지의 수로네트워크 특성을 잘 반영할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 이번 연구에서는 용수로를 개수로로 고려하여 테스트베드 모형을 구축할 것이다. SWMM은 농업용수 물순환 모의를 위해 이미 활용되고 있으나 논에서의 증산량이 미반영되며 수혜지역 내의 지하수위가 미반영 되는 등 정확한 물순환 모의를 위해서 한계점 개선이 필요하다. 이 한계점 개선을 위해서 회귀수량 공식을 c언어로 구현 후 EPA SWMM의 소스코드를 활용하여 회귀수량 추정이 가능한 SWMM을 구현하였다. 해당 연구를 통해 농업용수의 회귀수량을 계산하여 정확한 물수지 분석이 가능하여 농업지역의 수자원 확보에 도움을 줄 것이다.

  • PDF

A study on time series linkage in the Household Income and Expenditure Survey (가계동향조사 지출부문 시계열 연계 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sihyeon;Seong, Byeongchan;Choi, Young-Geun;Yeo, In-kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.35 no.4
    • /
    • pp.553-568
    • /
    • 2022
  • The Household Income and Expenditure Survey is a representative survey of Statistics Korea, which aims to measure and analyze national income and consumption levels and their changes by understanding the current state of household balances. Recently, the disconnection problem in these time series caused by the large-scale reorganization of the survey methods in 2017 and 2019 has become an issue. In this study, we model the characteristics of the time series in the Household Income and Expenditure Survey up to 2016, and use the modeling to compute forecasts for linking the expenditures in 2017 and 2018. In order to evenly reflect the characteristics across all expenditure item series and to reduce the impact of a specific forecast model, we synthesize a total of 8 models such as regression models, time series models, and machine learning techniques. In particular, the noteworthy aspect of this study is that it improves the forecast by using the optimal combination technique that can exactly reflect the hierarchical structure of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey without loss of information as in the top-down or bottom-up methods. As a result of applying the proposed method to forecast expenditure series from 2017 to 2019, it contributed to the recovery of time series linkage and improved the forecast. In addition, it was confirmed that the hierarchical time series forecasts by the optimal combination method make linkage results closer to the actual survey series.

Relationship Between Income Inequality with Gini Coefficient and Consumption Expenditure: The Case of U.S and U.K (Gini 계수에 의한 소득불평등과 소비지출의 관계 분석 : 미국과 영국을 중심으로)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.20 no.6
    • /
    • pp.392-405
    • /
    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of income inequality on consumption expenditure in other to understand income-led growth policy. This is basically resulted in the income inequality had gotten worse since global financial crisis in many economies. Malthusian hypothesis which signifies the relationship between the income inequality and the consumption expenditure revisited for this purpose. The paper utilizes multiple break points regression and TGARCH model, and these methodologies are tentatively applied to the case of U.S and U.K. This is because that long-run time series data enables to formulate a stylized fact in general. Empirical evidence suggests that there does not exist a solid relationship among APC, income inequality by Gini coefficient, and consumption expenditure before the year of 2000, but Malthusian hypothesis is supported by weak basis in U.S while strong basis in U.K after since then. It implies that the income inequality has to be alleviated to maximize its effectiveness of the income-led growth policy.

The Influence of Children's Elementary School Entrance on Working Conditions of Employed Mothers (자녀의 초등학교 입학이 취업모의 근로조건에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jaehee;Kim, Keun Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.19 no.12
    • /
    • pp.647-659
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the influence of children's elementary school entrance to working conditions of employed mothers. The data from 4th to 8th wave of Panel Study on Korean Children (PSKC) were used for analysis. Specifically, we examined changes in wages, working hours and regular employment of employed mothers after their children entered elementary schools. We adopted Heck selection model for unbalanced panel data after controlling sample selection bias, and compare results of analysis for unbalanced and balanced panel data. The results showed that children's elementary school entrance reduces employed mothers' wage, working hours and regular employment. These results indicate that mother tend to leave regular job and could not entry into decent job when their children are in elementary school.

Effects of the 2007 Act on the Protection of Fixed-term and Part-time Employees on Employment Levels (2007년 비정규직법의 고용효과 분석)

  • Yoo, Gyeongjoon;Kang, Changhui
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.67-94
    • /
    • 2013
  • Using data from the Economically Active Population Survey: Supplement by Employment Type, This paper examines the effects of the 2007 Act on the Protection of Fixed-term and Part-time Employees on employment levels. Since the Act is applied to only individuals below 55 years of age, we restrict the analysis sample to men whose ages are close to 55 at the time of the survey. For such a sample, the empirical analysis combines regression discontinuity design with a difference-in-differences. The results suggest that the employment effect of the 2007 Act takes a U-shape. The results suggest that the employment effect of the 2007 Act takes a U-shape. The negative effect of the Act was largest around August 2008, a year after it took effect. The negative effects on employment faded away toward August 2009.

  • PDF

Analysis of Export Behaviors of Busan, Incheon and Gwangyang Port (부산항, 인천항, 광양항의 수출행태분석)

  • Mo, Soowon;Chung, Hongyoung;Lee, Kwangbae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.35-46
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study investigates the export behavior of Busan, Gwangyang and Incheon Port. The monthly data cover the period from January 2000 to December 2015. We employ six export functions composed of various exchange rates and industrial production index. This paper finds that the nominal effective exchange rate is more appropriate for explaining the export behaviors of the three ports, regardless of the narrow and wide indices which comprise 26 and 61 economies for the nominal and real indices respectively. This paper tests whether exchange rate and industrial production are stationary or not, rejecting the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. The error-correction model is estimated to find that both Gwangyang and Incheon ports are much slower than Busan port in adjusting the short-run disequilibrium and Gwangyang port is a little slower than Incheon port. The rolling regressions show that the influence of exchange rate as well as industrial production tends to decrease in all of three ports. The variance decomposition, however, shows that the export variables are very exogenous and the export of Busan Port is the least exogenous and that of Gwangyang Port the most. This result indicates that the economic variables such as exchange rate and economic activity affect the export of Busan Port more strongly than that of Gwangyang and Incheon Port.

A comparison and prediction of total fertility rate using parametric, non-parametric, and Bayesian model (모수, 비모수, 베이지안 출산율 모형을 활용한 합계출산율 예측과 비교)

  • Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.31 no.6
    • /
    • pp.677-692
    • /
    • 2018
  • The total fertility rate of Korea was 1.05 in 2017, showing a return to the 1.08 level in the year 2005. 1.05 is a very low fertility level that is far from replacement level fertility or safety zone 1.5. The number may indicate a low fertility trap. It is therefore important to predict fertility than at any other time. In the meantime, we have predicted the age-specific fertility rate and total fertility rate by various statistical methods. When the data trend is disconnected or fluctuating, it applied a nonparametric method applying the smoothness and weight. In addition, the Bayesian method of using the pre-distribution of fertility rates in advanced countries with reference to the three-stage transition phenomenon have been applied. This paper examines which method is reasonable in terms of precision and feasibility by applying estimation, forecasting, and comparing the results of the recent variability of the Korean fertility rate with parametric, non-parametric and Bayesian methods. The results of the analysis showed that the total fertility rate was in the order of KOSTAT's total fertility rate, Bayesian, parametric and non-parametric method outcomes. Given the level of TFR 1.05 in 2017, the predicted total fertility rate derived from the parametric and nonparametric models is most reasonable. In addition, if a fertility rate data is highly complete and a quality is good, the parametric model approach is superior to other methods in terms of parameter estimation, calculation efficiency and goodness-of-fit.