• Title/Summary/Keyword: 포아송모형

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Analyzing the Characteristics of Traffic Accidents and Developing the Models by Day and Night in the Case of the Cheongju Arterial Link Sections (청주시 간선가로 구간의 주.야간 사고특성 및 모형개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Lim, Jin-Kang;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics of traffic accidents and to develop the models by day and night-time in the case of the arterial link sections. In pursuing the above, this study uses the 224 accident data occurred at the 24 arterial link sections in Cheongju. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, it was analyzed that the number of accidents during day was more than night, but the accidents rate during night was higher than day. Second, four models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between the day and night models were comparatively analyzed using independent variables.

Boundary conditions for Time-Domain Finite-Difference Elastic Wave Modeling in Anisotropic Media (이방성을 고려한 시간영역 유한차분법 탄성파 모델링에서의 경계조건)

  • Lee, Ho-Yong;Min, Dong-Joo;Kwoon, Byung-Doo;Lim, Seung-Chul;Yoo, Hai-Soo
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2008
  • Seismic modeling is used to simulate wave propagation in the earth. Although the earth's subsurface is usually semi-infinite, we cannot handle the semi-infinite model in seismic modeling because of limited computational resources. For this reason, we usually assume a finite-sized model in seismic modeling. In that case, we need to eliminate the edge reflections arising from the artificial boundaries introducing a proper boundary condition. In this study, we changed three kinds of boundary conditions (sponge boundary condition, Clayton and Engquist's absorbing boundary condition, and Higdon's transparent boundary condition) so that they can be applied in elastic wave modeling for anisotropic media. We then apply them to several models whose Poisson's ratios are different. Clayton and Engquist's absorbing boundary condition is unstable in both isotropic and anisotropic media, when Poisson's ratio is large. This indicates that the absorbing boundary condition can be applied in anisotropic media restrictively. Although the sponge boundary condition yields good results for both isotropic and anisotropic media, it requires too much computational memory and time. On the other hand, Higdon's transparent boundary condition is not only inexpensive, but also reduce reflections over a wide range of incident angles. We think that Higdon's transparent boundary condition can be a method of choice for anisotropic media, where Poisson's ratio is large.

Analysis of the Characteristics of Road and Transportation Safety Facilities Affecting Pedestrian Traffic Accidents around School Zones: Using Spatial Poisson Model (어린이보호구역 내 도로 및 교통안전시설이 보행자 교통사고에 미치는 영향 분석: 공간포아송모형을 이용하여)

  • Ko, Dong-Won;Park, Seung-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2021
  • It is very important to build a safe walking environment for children because children are more likely to be exposed to traffic accidents than adults due to their behavioral and physical characteristics. Therefore, this study analyzed the characteristics of road and transportation safety facilities that affect pedestrian traffic accidents around school zones using spatial poisson regression. The pedestrian-vehicle crash data in Seoul 2016-2018 was provided by the Traffic Accident Analysis System(TAAS). The main analysis results are as follow; First, the more intersections and the higher percentage of neighborhood roads in the school zone, the higher the risk of pedestrian traffic accidents. Second, the pedestrian push button was found to reduce the occurrence of pedestrian traffic accidents. Third, except for the pedestrian push button, none of the transportation safety facilities considered in this study were effective in reducing the risk of pedestrian traffic accidents. On the other hand, if not only the improvement of physical facilities but also non-physical factors such traffic safety education are supported, the effect for reducing traffic pedestrian traffic accidents in the school zone is expected to be further maximized.

The Study for NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model Based on Hyper-exponential Distribution (초지수분포(Hyper-exponential)를 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, Goel-Okumoto and Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed, proposes the hyper-exponential distribution reliability model, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. For model determination and selection, explored goodness of fit (the error sum of squares). The methodology developed in this paper is exemplified with a software reliability random data set introduced by of Weibull distribution (shape 0.1 & scale 1) of Minitab (version 14) statistical package.

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The Study for ENHPP Software Reliability Growth Model based on Superposition Coverage Function (중첩커버리지 함수를 고려한 ENHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous poission process (ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-shaped model was reviewed, proposes the superposition model, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

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The Comparative Study for NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model Based on Non-linear Intensity Function (비선형 강도함수를 가진 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault (intensity function). In this paper, intensity function of Goel-Okumoto model was reviewed, proposes Kappa (2) and the Burr distribution, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. For model determination and selection, explored goodness of fit (the error sum of squares) The methodology developed in this paper is exemplified with a software reliability real data set introduced by NTDS (Naval Tactical Data System)

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The Comparative Software Reliability Model of Fault Detection Rate Based on S-shaped Model (S-분포형 결함 발생률을 고려한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, reliability software model considering fault detection rate based on observations from the process of software product testing was studied. Adding new fault probability using the S-shaped distribution model that is widely used in the field of reliability problems presented. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model was used. In a software failure data analysis considering the time-dependent fault detection rate, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of failure time data and reliability make out.

Analysis of Pull-out Behavior of Tunnel-type Anchorage for Suspended Bridge Using 2-D Model Tests and Numerical Analysis (2차원 모형실험 및 수치해석을 통한 현수교 터널식 앵커리지의 인발거동 특성 분석)

  • Seo, Seunghwan;Park, Jaehyun;Lee, Sungjune;Chung, Moonkyung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.34 no.10
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the pull-out behavior of tunnel type anchorage of suspension bridges was analyzed based on results from laboratory size model tests and numerical analysis. Tunnel type anchorage has found its applications occasionally in both domestic and oversea projects, therefore design method including failure mode and safety factor is yet to be clearly established. In an attempt to improve the design method, scaled model tests were conducted by employing simplified shapes and structure of the Ulsan grand bridge's anchorage which was the first case history of its like in Korea. In the model tests, the anchorage body and the surrounding rocks were made by using gypsum mixture. The pull-out behavior was investigated under plane strain conditions. The results of the model tests showed that the tunnel type anchorage underwent wedge shape failure. For the verification of the model tests, numerical analysis was carried out using ABAQUS, a finite element analysis program. The failure behavior predicted by numerical analysis was consistent with that by the model tests. The result of numerical analysis also showed that the effect of Poisson's ratio was negligible, and that a plugging type failure mode could occur only when the strength of the surrounding rocks was 10 times larger than that of anchorage body.

Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model with Gamma Family Distribution (감마족 분포를 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰 성장 모형의 분석)

  • Kan, Kwang-Hyun;Jang, Byeong-Ok;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.9 no.2 s.17
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2005
  • Finite failure NHPP models proposed in the literature exhibit is either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. For the sake of proposing shape parameter of the Gamma family distribution, used the special pattern. Data set, where the underlying failure process could not be adequately described by the knowing models, which motivated the development of the Gamma or Weibull model and Gompertz model. Analysis of failure data set that led us to the Gamma or Weibull model and Gompertz model using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests was presented in this Paper.

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Comparing the performance of likelihood ratio test and F-test for gamma generalized linear models (감마 일반화 선형 모형에서의 가능도비 검정과 F-검정 비교연구)

  • Jo, Seongil;Han, Jeongseop;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2018
  • Gamma generalized linear models are useful for non-negative and skewed responses. However, these models have received less attention than Poisson and binomial generalized linear models. In particular, hypothesis testing for the significance of regression coefficients has not been thoroughly studied. In this paper we assess the performance of various test statistics for gamma generalized linear models based on numerical studies. Our results show that the likelihood ratio test and F-type test are generally recommended and that the partial deviance test should be avoided in practice.