• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통행시간모형

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Predictive Modeling of the Bus Arrival Time on the Arterial using Real-Time BIS Data (실시간 BIS자료를 이용한 간선도로의 버스도착시간 예측모형구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Gon;Ahn, Hyeun Chul;Kim, Seung Gil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1D
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2009
  • Bus information system(BIS), as a part of the intelligent transportation system(ITS), is one of the most advanced public transportation systems which provide the real-time bus traffic information for the users waiting the buses at the bus stop. However, correct bus information data, such as the present bus location, the user waiting time, the bus arrival time, etc. are not provided for the bus users because the proper bus arrival time predictive models are not used yet in most of the cities operating the bus information system, including the metropolitan City of Ulsan. Thus, the purpose in this study is to investigate real-time bus traffic characteristic data for identifying the bus operation characteristics on the arterial under the study in the metropolitan City of Ulsan, analyze real-time bus traffic characteristic data on the ID locations of the arterial under the study, construct the optimal unit segment models for the unit segments which are the bus stop, node and travel section using the exponential smoothing, weighted smoothing and Kalman Filter methods, respectively, and finally suggest the optimal integrated model for predicting the real-time bus arrival time at the bus stop of the arterial under the study.

A study on the Demand Variations of Gyeongchun line Upon Terminating at Seongbuk Station (경춘선 성북역 시종착에 따른 수요변화 연구)

  • Kim, Ick-Hee;Lee, Sang-Myoung;Yoon, Kyoung-Man
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.1707-1714
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    • 2011
  • Since 2010 December, the Gyeongchun line can provide better service than the other modes in respect of cost & time efficiency by operating electric double track from Sangbong station to Chuncheon station. However customers living in the Northern part of capital area, which there are stations of line No.1, have inconvenience to transfering twice to access Gyeongchun line. To minimize inconvenience, this study has analyzed the demand variation of Geongchun line upon changing the terminal of some trains on Gyeongchun line which reduces the number of transfer. In this study, the demand variation has been estimated by the direct demand model considering only saving time between O/D. So some additional modifications are required, because the effect of fare and accession convenience has not been considered.

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Internalizing Environmental Cost using TDM Alternatives (교통수요관리 기법을 활용한 환경오염비용의 내부화 방안연구)

  • 김운수;엄진기;황기연;장지희
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 1999
  • With a growing awareness, transportation is the maior source of urban air pollution. Planners and policy-makers are strongly urged to care the impacts of transportation management strategies on environment. Since transport-related air Pollution can be regarded as negative externalities of transport, it is indispensable to evaluate chanties in air quality which seems to occur when proposed transport measures are implemented. In addition, transport measures should be integrated in a set of combined Paradigm regarding transport and environment. Based on the integrated Paradigm between transportation demand management(TDM) and environmental planning, the main focus is given to apply environment cost internalizing measures to the short-term congestion management Program(SCMP) in Seoul, that has been developed in 1998 by Seoul Development Institute. Three modules are analyzed: without and/or with ₩500, ₩1000 emission plus gas tax, respectively. From the empirical applications on Seoul city, one of the most exemplary findings in SCMP program is that, emission plus gas tax can be a very useful measure to reduce vehicular emissions by targeting major Pollutants differently, rather than by dealing with pollutants collectively. Further research that provides (1)showing the spatial variation of pollution levels along the intersections, (2)more developing combined Paradigm between transport, land use, and environment, (3)using environmental road capacity rather than Physical-aspects of road capacity, and (4)continuing R&D on air quality constrained TDM, can contribute significantly to applications of the real and efficient environment-constrained transportation planning.

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A Study on the Development of an Economic Efficiency Model Considering Vehicle Operating Cost Properties of Signalized Intersections (신호교차로의 차량운행비용 특성을 고려한 경제성분석 모형개발)

  • Byeon, Eun-A;Kim, Yeong-Chan;An, So-Yeong;Go, Gwang-Deok;Yun, Su-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2009
  • In relation with economical efficiency analysis on investment evaluation of transportation system, among vehicle operating cost saving benefit that is applied to general preliminary assessment guidelines and investment evaluation guidelines, oil expense calculated data which concentrated and analyze on the relationship between oil consumption amount on running state and running speed. For uninterrupted flow which does not have stopped delay due to traffic signal, consideration for reduction benefit is possible due to the changes of running speed and travel time however, for interrupted flow which the stopping occurs due to signal control on actual signal intersection has no consideration for stopping delay time reduction and stopping rate improvement thus reflection of reality on improved effect analysis is difficult. Therefore, this research makes a framework to analyze benefits that reflects the features of signalized intersections by benefits associated with decrease of stopping delay time with existing research and developing vehicle operating cost calculation model formula. Vehicle operating cost has been redefined considering the stopping delay time by applying the oil consumption amount at idling and the economical benefit between conventional model and newly developed model when applied for the optimization of traffic signal system on the two roads in Seosan city has been analyzed comparative. While the importance of traffic system maintenance is being emphasized due to the increase of congested areas on roads, it is expected to assist in more realistic economical analysis which reflect the delay improvement through the presentation of an economic analysis model that considers the features of signalized intersections in signal optimization system improvements and effect analysis of congestion improvement projects`.

A Study for Estimation of Link Travel Time Using Chaos Theory (카오스이론을 이용한 링크통행시간 산정)

  • 노승만;이인원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 1999
  • Past nears many Studies have been described for present state and forecasted for the future phenomena in various areas. Many theories and methodologies in transportation have been developed and applied by researchers and planners. On the other hand, many theories and methodologies had disappeared caused by their critical limitations. One of this cause that was discovered of the Chaos in traffic flows. The occurrence of Chaos in traffic flows has affected to the traffic volume and decreased significancy of a simulation result of a specific traffic flow. According to this fact, long-term forecast of traffic flow is difficult, moreover a butterfly effect impedes development and establishment of transportation model. A methodology to solve Chaos character in traffic flow can be able to provide more effective transport planning. This study tackles to enhance and revise the existing theories for the traffic flow applying Chaos theory to estimating travel time.

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Calculation of Passenger Car Equivalents on National Highway using Time Headway (차두시간을 이용한 일반국도의 승용차 환산계수 산정)

  • Kim, Tae-woon;Oh, Ju-sam
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.52-61
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    • 2015
  • PCE(Passenger Car Equivalents) is used to analysis of road capacity and LOS(Level of Service). In this study calculates PCE by number of lane and 12 vehicle type by MOLIT(Minister of Land, Infra Structure and Transport) using individual vehicle data. The results of the calculation, PCEs are increased when high vehicle classification level, many number of lanes and weekend. Heavy vehicle factors are smaller than KHCM on 4, 6 lane. Also, In this study estimates of PCE variation model by heavy vehicle percentage. Impact of Heavy vehicles on PCEs is the most sensitive on 2 lane. The results of the study, heavy vehicles low impact on PCE on multi-lane and business trips are a little in weekend.

An Estimation of the Congestion Tolls Considering External Costs in Seoul (외부비용을 반영한 도시내 도로의 혼잡통행료 추정: 서울시를 대상으로)

  • PARK, Chanwoon;KIM, Sungsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.520-530
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    • 2015
  • This paper formulates the methodologies to estimate optimal congestion tolls from long-run and short-run perspectives and applies them to the highways of Seoul. An optimal long-run congestion toll is estimated with an optimal volume-capacity-ratio to minimize the total costs which consist of two components: road construction and maintenance costs and traveler costs. By contrast, an optimal short-run congestion toll is estimated with a supply-demand equilibrium which is determined by using a speed-flow function and a disaggregate modal choice model. The results of a long-run analysis for the Seobu urban expressway suggest the optimal volume-capacity-ratio of 1.35 and the optimal congestion toll of 503 Won per automobile kilometer. By contrast, those of a short-run analysis for the Mia-ro urban arterial suggest 1.31 and 420 Won, respectively. Although our results are to some degree dependent on the interest rate and time value assumed, one basic conclusion holds up: the congestions toll tested could generate substantial gains in social welfare if applied to Seoul.

An Estimation of Link Travel Time by Using BMS Data (BMS 데이터를 활용한 링크단위 여행시간 산출방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Ok-Hee;Ahn, Gye-Hyeong;Hyun, Cheol-Seung;Hong, Kyung-Sik;Kim, Hyun-Ju;Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.78-88
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    • 2014
  • Now, UTIS collects and provides traffic information by building RSE 1,150(unit) and OBE about 51,000(vehicle). it's inevitable to enlarge traffic information sources which use to improve quality of UTIS traffic information for Stabilizing UTIS's service. but there are missing data sections. And, In this study as a way to overcome these problems, based on BIS(Bus information system) installed and operating in the capital area to develop normal vehicle's link transit time estimation model which is used realtime collecting BMS data, we'll utilize the model to provide missing data section's information. For these problem, we selected partial section of suwon-city, anyang-city followed by drive only way or not and conducted model estimating and verification each of BMS data and UTIS traffic information. Consequently, Case2,4,6,8 presented highly credibility between UTIS communication data and estimated value but In the Case 3,5 we determined to replace communication data of UTIS' missing data section too hard for large error. So we need to apply high credibility model formula adjusting road managing condition and the situation of object section.

A study on the spatial mismatch by income and regional characteristics (지역 특성에 따른 소득별 직주불일치에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Minju;Park, In Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.67-82
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to test the spatial mismatch hypothesis by exploring the relationship between income and commuting time in Seoul, Korea. For this purpose, we analyze the commuting times of individuals who commute to Seoul, using the data for the metropolitan household survey. We employed a hierarchial linear model(HLM) to capture the effects of both individual attributes and regional attributes, and their interactions. The results show that the commuting time decreases with household income controlling for the regional attributes, and the effect of income increases with the housing price of the location of a commuter's firm. This implies that the spatial mismatch holds for Seoul as follows: Lower personal income and housing affordablility extend individuals' commuting times, and the destinations' characteristics such as housing type and land use also have impacts on commuting time. These results have some policy implications for achieving social equity in terms of spatial structure of the city.

A Model for VMS Message Reading Time Using Driving Simulator (Driving Simulator를 이용한 VMS 메시지 판독시간모형 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Kim, Sung-Min;Oh, Cheol;Kim, Jeong-Wan
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2007
  • Variable message sign (VMS), which is used for providing real-time information on traffic conditions and accident occurrences, is one of the important components of intelligent transportation systems. It is essential that the scheme of VMS message phase and duration should be designed with the consideration of drivers' message reading time that will be depended on various causal factors, such as the amount of VMS messages, drivers' travel speed, and geometric conditions. However, there have been not much efforts to explore the relationships between the drivers' message reading time and the above causal factors. Driving simulator experiments were conducted to obtain drivers' message reading time with respect to the amount of VMS messages, drivers' travel speed, and different geometric conditions. Regression modeling techniques were applied to develop an estimation model for drivers' message reading time. Probabilistic outcomes of the proposed model would be greatly utilized to design proper VMS message phase and duration.

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