• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.114-119
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• 2009

본 논문에서는 수량화 방법과 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) 기법을 사용하여 산사태 발생에 대한 통계적 예측모형을 구축하는데 목적이 있다. 수량화(Quantification) 방법은 질적변수에 수량을 부여하는 통계적 방법으로, 기 조사된 자료에 기반하여 분석을 수행하는 방법이다. 본 논문에서는 서구의 다변량분석 기법인 정준상관분석의 결과를 토대로 수량화 과정을 구체적으로 제안한다. 데이터에 기반한 수량화 방법과는 달리 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) 기법은 일종의 다기준 의사결정을 위해 사용되는 기법으로, 설문자료에 기반한 분석법이다. 실제자료에 대한 분석으로 산사태 발생여부를 측정한 자료(한국지질자원연구원 제공)와 전문가 설문을 통해 수집된 자료를 이용하였다. 이들 자료에 대해 수량화 분석과 AHP분석을 통해 산사태 발생여부를 예측할 수 있는 두 종류의 평가표와 함께 로지스틱 회귀를 통한 통계적 예측모형을 개발하였으며, 두 모형간의 성능비교와 안정성 평가를 수행하였다.

• Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.527-542
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• 2016

In the mathematics curriculum that was revised in 2009, statistical literacy is explicitly addressed as a goal and specific objectives are included. However, statistical literacy has not been addressed in the studies on KSAT. This study aimed to draw implications on how to improve KSAT in a sense that statistical literacy could be evaluated instead of testing typical facts or skills by comparing KSAT with SAT. We used mathematical problem solving process and category of context of PISA framework (OECD, 2013) to administer the comparison of KSAT and SAT. Result shows that both KSAT and SAT use various context, but items in KSAT is limited in assessing critical understanding. We suggested several ways to develop context-based items for KSAT in which statistical literacy could be assessed.

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1996.11a
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• pp.270-275
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• 1996

국내 WH 형 발전소의 노심 DNB 분석에 사용되고 있는 THINC-W 코드에 대한 이해와 분석체제에 대한 개선의 일환으로 고리 2호기를 대상으로 하여 노심 분석모형에 대한 민감도 조사 및 이에 따른 설계 한계 DNBR의 변화를 각 열설계 방법론에 대하여 평가하였다. 적용된 열설계 방법론은 웨스팅하우스사의 STDP, ITDP. RTDP, 그리고 Mini-RTDP 등이며, 노심분석 모형은 경계면에서의 대칭을 가정하고 있는 기존모델(Old Model)과 개선된 모델(Improved Model)을 비교분석 하였다. 평가결과 두 분석모형은 부수로내 질량유속 거동과 통계적 열설계 방법론의 설계한계 DNBR에서 유사한 결과를 보여주었으며, 고출력 영역에서는 개선된 분석모형의 적용이 보다 타당한 것으로 평가되었다. 따라서 운전영역 전반에 걸친 제한적 조건에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행할 경우, 원자로 출력증강이나 첨두치의 증가, 운전전략의 변경등으로 발생할 수 있는 여러가지 불리한 조건에 대하여 열적 여유도를 확보할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• School Mathematics
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.691-712
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• 2017

It is an important to develop teachers' statistical reasoning or thinking by teacher education. In this study, the "comparing two data sets" tasks is focused as a way to develop pre-service elementary teachers' reasoning about core ideas of statistics such as distribution, variability, center, and spread. 6 teams of each 4 pre-service elementary teachers participated on the tasks and their presentations are analyzed based on Pfannkuch's (2006) teachers' inference model in comparing two data sets. As a result, they paid attention to the distribution and variability in the statistical problem solving by the "comparing two data sets" tasks, and used their contextual knowledge to make a statistical decision. In addition, they used some statistics and graphs as the reference for statistical communication, which is expected to provide implications for improving statistical education. The finding implies that the "comparing two data sets" tasks can be used to develop statistical reasoning of pre-service elementary teachers. Some recommendations are suggested for teacher education by these tasks.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1191-1196
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• 2009

온실가스 증가에 따른 미래 기후변화가 수자원에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위하여 전구기후모델(AOGCM)의 기온과 강수 자료를 이용하여 한반도 지역에 대한 통계적 규모 상세화(statistical downsacaling, SDS) 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 기법은 Cyclostationary Empirical Orthogonal Function (CSEOF) 분석과 회귀분석을 결합한 것으로 관측과 AOGCM 시계열의 통계적 상관성을 이용하고 있다. 20세기말(1973-2000) 동안의 광역규모의 기온(ECMWF)과 강수량(CMAP) 및 AOGCM의 기온과 강수량 자료에 통계적 상세화 기법을 적용하고 비교함으로써 이 기법의 유효성을 검증하였는데, 상세화된 기온과 강수량 자료는 관측된 계절변동성과 월변동성을 잘 모사하였다. 특히, 여름철 관측에 비해 저평가된 AOGCM의 강수량 크기와 변동성이 상세화를 통해 관측치에 근접하게 되었다. AOGCM의 미래 강수량 변화는 21세기 후반에 계절적으로 봄과 여름에 증가할 것을 예상되었다. 상세화된 AOGCM의 강수는 겨울을 제외한 모든 계절에서, 특히 여름철에 가장 많이 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. AOGCM의 미래 기온변화는 21세기 후반으로 갈수록 상승하며, 계절적으로 겨울철의 기온 상승폭이 더 클 것으로 전망되는데, AOGCM을 상세화한 결과에서는 겨울과 더불어 여름에도 기온 상승폭이 클 것으로 전망되었다. 개발된 기법은 역학적 결과와 관측과의 통계적 상관성을 이용하기 때문에 광역규모의 기후적 특성뿐만 아니라 한반도 지형 등 지역적 특성도 모두 반영함과 더불어 광역규모의 자료를 빠른 시간내에 효과적으로 상세화시킬 수 있는 장점도 지닌다. 한편 상세화에 사용된 CSEOF의 모드수 등에 따른 불확실성 등은 통계적 상세화 과정에 개선될 여지가 남아있음을 보여준다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.11 no.12
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• pp.201-211
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• 2013

This study compares Customer Satisfaction Index(CSI) and the weight for each dimension by applying various methods of weight calculation and attempts to suggest some implications. For the purpose, the study classified the methods of weight calculation into the subjective method and the statistical method. Constant sum scale was used for the subjective method, and the statistical method was again segmented into correlation analysis, principal component analysis, factor analysis, structural equation model. The findings showed that there is difference between the weights from the subjective method and the statistical method. The order of the weights by the analysis methods were classified with similar patterns. Besides, the weight for each dimension by different methods of weight calculation showed considerable deviation and revealed the difference of discrimination and stability among the dimensions. Lastly, the CSI calculated by various methods of weight calculation showed to be the highest in structural equation model, followed by in the order of regression analysis, correlation analysis, arithmetic mean, principal component analysis, constant sum scale and factor analysis. The CSI calculated by each method showed to have statistically significant difference.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.38-47
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• 1986

A statistical procedure, which uses response surface method and Monte Carlo simulation technique, is proposed for analyzing the thermal margin of light water reactor core. The statistical thermal margin analysis method performs the best.estimate thermal margin evaluation by the probabilistic treatment of uncertainties of input parameters. This methodology is applied to KNU-1 core thermal margin analysis under the steady state nominal operating condition. Also discussed are the comparisons with conventional deterministic method and Improved Thermal Design Procedure of Westinghouse. It is deduced from this study that the response surface method is useful for performing the statistical thermal margin analysis and that thermal margin improvement is assured through this procedure.

• Journal of Industrial Convergence
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.33-46
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• 2018

Personal credit scoring is an effective tool for banks to properly guide decision profitably on granting loans. Recently, many classification algorithms and models are used in personal credit scoring. Personal credit scoring technology is usually divided into statistical method and non-statistical method. Statistical method includes linear regression, discriminate analysis, logistic regression, and decision tree, etc. Non-statistical method includes linear programming, neural network, genetic algorithm and support vector machine, etc. But for the development of the credit scoring model, there is no consistent conclusion to be drawn regarding which method is the best. In this paper, we will compare the performance of the most common scoring techniques such as logistic regression, neural network, and support vector machines using personal credit data of the financial institution in China. Specifically, we build three models respectively, classify the customers and compare analysis results. According to the results, support vector machine has better performance than logistic regression and neural networks.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.131-134
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• 2018

Structural equation modeling is pointing to statistical procedures that simultaneously perform path analysis and confirmatory factor analysis. Today, this statistical procedure is an essential tool for researchers in the social sciences. There are as (AMOS, LISREL and PLS) representative tools that can perform structural equation modeling analysis. AMOS provides a convenient graphical user interface for beginners to use. PLS has the advantage of not having a constraint on normal distribution as well as a graphical user interface. Therefore, we compared and analyzed the three most commonly used tools in social sciences. This study suggests practical and theoretical implications based on the results.

• Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.86-91
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• 2008

In the field of network data analysis, the research of how much the estimation data reflects the population data is inevitable. This paper compares and analyzes the well known MIT Lincoln Lab network data, which is composed of collectable standard information from the network with the KDD CUP 99 dataset which was composed from the MIT/LL data. For comparison and analysis, the protocol information of both the data was used. Correspondence analysis was used for analysis, SVD was used for 2 dimensional visualization and weigthed euclidean distance was used for network data quantification.