• Title/Summary/Keyword: 타당성 분석단계

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Analysis on the Survivor's Pension Payment with Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 유족연금 수급 분석)

  • Kim, Mi-Jung;Kim, Jin-Hyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.183-200
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    • 2008
  • Research for efficient management of the National Pension has been emphasized as the current society trends toward aging and low birth rate. In this article, we suggest a statistical model for effective classification and prediction of the reserve for the survivor's pension in Korea. Logistic regression model is incorporated; correct classification rate, and distribution of the posterior probability for the reserve of survivor's pension are investigated and compared with the results from the general logistic models. Assessment of predictive model is also done with lift graph, ROC curve and K-S statistic. We suggest strategies for reducing financial risks in managing and planning the pension as an application of the suggested model.

Derivation of Components for Feasibility Study of Smart City Public and Private Partnership Projects (스마트시티 민관합동사업의 타당성분석 구성요소 도출)

  • Hyun, Kilyong;Jin, Chengquan;Lee, Sanghoon;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.98-110
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    • 2023
  • The smart city public and private partnership project is a project to build and operate a sustainable city by investing land and capital in public-private partnership to build urban infrastructure and providing various urban services. It highly depends on the precise feasibility study and the projection of the various factors affecting the project during the planning stage to get the project successful. However, it is very difficult to predict the possibility of the project success in advance due to various physical and social factors. It is necessary to derive factors affecting the project at the planning stage and respond with appropriate analysis in order to solve these problems and to carry out a successful project. Therefore, this study derived preliminary components for feasibility study through previous studies and order status analysis and presented feasibility study components such as five-step processes, 10 process items, 19 analysis items, and 54 detailed analysis items through the Delphi method. It can be expected that this research is to contribute corresponding to diversified possible risks and facilitate the projects during the promotion.

A Study on Cost-Benefit analysis for Geographic Information Systems in Local Governments (지자체 GIS사업을 위한 비용효과분석 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Hyung;Lee, Hyun-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.2 no.2 s.4
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2000
  • Because efficiency of the 1st-phase NGIS investment(1995-2000) has not been clearly measured, the action taken in the 2nd-phase NGIS project requires NGIS budgets to be evaluated in terms of effectiveness. Especially, the effective investments in local governments are critical for the NGIS projects, because they execute the much larger amount of budgets in total than other GIS projects. As indicated, for the successful NGIS implementation, it is important to obtain continuous political and financial supports from decision makers. As a persuasion measure for the budget appropriation, CBA(Cost-Benefit Analysis) and CEA(Cost-Efficiency Analysis) can play an important role for the decision makers. The major concern of this paper is how to measure the costs and benefits of the GIS implementation by considering important characteristics of the GIS projects in local governments, and existing theories are reviewed for this concern. The GISs in local governments can have different stages in terms of its evolution and the effectiveness of the applications can be represented variously. To identify categories for measuring costs and benefits of the various GISs, case studies and success stories are reviewed from both the foreign and domestic research. The categories of costs and benefits are determined from the tangible and intangible aspects. The categories for the quantitative and qualitative measure are proposed to evaluate the GISs in local governments. After measuring costs and benefits, three key evaluation methods in cost-benefit analysis are suggested as follows: 1) the benefit: cost ratio (B/C), 2) Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and 3) the net present values (NPV) of the costs and benefits. The sensitivity and uncertainty analysis are also helpful to make a decision for the GIS budget appropriation in local governments. In conclusion, although cost-benefit analysis is not an easy undertaking, it is certain that it can play an important role in the future for the GIS funding decisions in local governments.

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A Study on Developing the Calculation System of Disbursement for Government on the BTL Projects (BTL사업을 위한 정부지급금 산출 시스템 개발 연구)

  • Lee, Chun-Kyong;Cho, Bong-Ho;Jung, Young-Han;Park, Tae-Keun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2009
  • BTL projects, which has been 3 years since it was carried out in 2008, trigged the controversy on the adequacy in the calculation of disbursement for Government due to such problems as low earning rate and the burden of service level compared with the project suggestion. Thus, the purpose of this study is to offer a suggestion on the calculation system for the purpose of the standardized - expense appropriation by item and database including the antecedent study on the finance model and the feasibility in BTL projects. The system is composed of 4 steps - project management, basic database, an analysis on expense by item and the result, and an analysis on sensitivity, and it is possible to carry out a comparative analysis on single and multi alternatives by variable change along with the ground on expense calculation.

Use of Single-System Design to Evaluate the Effectiveness of Cognitive Behavioral Therapy of Depression (임상실천 평가를 위한 단일체계설계의 적용 -우울증 감소를 위한 인지행동치료에 대한 평가를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Yong-Seok;Shon, Dong-Gyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.60 no.2
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    • pp.175-209
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study, which has its focus on the utilization of single-system design for practice evaluation, is to evaluate the effectiveness of cognitive behavioral therapy of depression by using a AB design. 3 inpatients in a local hospital with a diagnosis of major depressive disorder agreed to participate in this study. The AB design includes a 2weeks of the baseline phase and 3 weeks of the intervention phase. More than one outcome measures were used in order to validate the results of the measurement. Data were analyzed statistically as well as visually. Tools such as trend line and trend index were used to improve the accuracy of the visual analysis and the 3 standard deviation approach was used for statistical significance test. The results showed that all clients improved. This study lists some advantages of using single-system design for evaluating clinical practice: monitoring, encouraging clients' active role in social work process, and easy data analysis.

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Analyzing Education Needs for the Development of Entrepreneurship of University Student (대학생의 창업역량 개발을 위한 교육요구 분석)

  • Lee, Ji An;Ahn, Young Sik
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2019
  • As the importance of entrepreneurship education has increased, universities are conducting various programs related to entrepreneurship for university students. Despite these efforts, however, the demand for a competency-oriented entrepreneurship education program to realize the entrepreneurial idea is not fully reflected. Therefore this study is conducted to provide strategies for the development, management, and facilitation of the entrepreneurship education program of university through the analysis of difference between the level of importance and level of performance for the development of entrepreneurship of university student. Through the literature review, entrepreneurship is classified the step of confirming entrepreneurial intention, drawing up a start-up model, and planning a venture start-up. This study is analyzed through the t-test to identify difference between level of importance and level of performance with the 15 items of 7 competencies. This study is used Borich needs analysis and the Locus for Focus Model to know the priority of education needs for the development of entrepreneurship of university student. As the result of study, university students' entrepreneurial competences between level of importance and level of performance are shown significantly different among 15 items, the first priority is 6 items and the second priority is 2 items using Borich needs analysis and the Locus for Focus Model. Four competence clusters such as self-analytic competence, ability of eliciting entrepreneurial idea, ability of analyzing idea validity, and business-plan presentation competency are suggested with the combination of first and second priority competence. In order to develop each competence, ability of eliciting entrepreneurial idea and ability of analyzing idea validity are the key of education, self-analytic competence is needed to strengthen the intention of entrepreneurship, and business-plan presentation competence is cultivated as the ability of persuading investors to realize business ideas and is applied to business situation.

인도네시아 항만 PPP 사업 지원사례

  • Lee, Ji-Hun;Lee, Jung-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.155-157
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    • 2019
  • 한-인니 간 해양 협력 MOU(2016.5)를 기반으로 현 정부의 신남방정책에 따라 협력사업 다변화 및 우리 기업의 진출 교두보 마련을 위한 해양수산부의 해외항만개발 협력지원사업으로 '인도네시아 항만개발 기본계획 및 타당성조사'를 추진중에 있다. 본 논문에서는 인도네시아 해양조정부(CMMA)의 주도하에 북깔리만탄 주정부와 민간기업이 합작 추진하는 따나쿠닝 신항만 및 산업단지의 PPP 사업 진행을 위한 OBC 단계의 주요 연구내용, 중앙정부 항만 정책, BAPPENAS가 규정하는 PPP 절차에 부합하는 타당성조사의 수행사례를 다룬다. 특히 인도네시아정부의 PPP사업 시행절차를 소개하고, 수요예측 및 개발규모, 항만기본계획, 경제적·재정적 타당성분석과 전체 PPP 추진전략을 제시하여 해외항만개발사업에 진출시 참고할 수 있도록 하였다.

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An Application of Radio-Controlled Model Testing Techniques to Validation of Air-Vehicle Design Configuration (비행체 설계 형상 타당성 확인을 위한 무선조종 모형시험 기법 적용)

  • Chung, In-Jae;Kim, Myung-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2007
  • an approach to air-vehicle design, an application of the radio-controlled model flight test techniques has been presented. The approach presented in this study is to validate the air-vehicle design configuration by analyzing the flight test results of scale model with dynamic similarities, and then to apply the analyzed results to the aerodynamic design process in early stage of the air-vehicle development. To develop practically applicable similarity laws for the subscale flying model design, the air-vehicle motions are decoupled into rotational motions for stability & control similarities and translational motions for flight performance similarities. Also, detail techniques for radio-controlled model flight test have been developed. Based on the results obtained from the radio-controlled flight test, the present approach for air-vehicle design has shown to be useful to validate the air-vehicle design configuration.

The Suggestion of Design Thinking Process and its Feasibility Study for Fostering Group Creativity of Elementary-Secondary School Students in Science Education (과학 교육에서 초·중등학생의 집단 창의성 함양을 위한 디자인적 사고 프로세스의 제안 및 타당성 검토 연구)

  • Lee, Dohyun;Yoon, Jihyun;Kang, Seong-Joo
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.443-453
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we suggested the design thinking process that was possible to be introduced in science education and also examined the validity of the process in terms of group creativity. To do this, the design thinking process applicable to science education was selected from a variety of design thinking processes developed abroad, and then the process was modified and supplemented. We created the education program based on the developed design thinking process and applied it to high school students. The results revealed that we could offer the design thinking process through the five stages: 'understanding knowledge', 'empathy', 'sharing perspective', 'generating idea', and 'prototype'. With the results of the application of the program, we could confirm the relationship building and information seeking attributes in the understanding knowledge stage and the user-orientation, relationship building, and interpersonal understanding attributes in the empathy stage. We could also find the organization of the team attribute in the sharing perspective stage and the analytical strategic thinking attributes in the generating idea stage. Finally, the communication and analytical strategic thinking attributes in the prototype stage were confirmed. All of the key attributes of the group creativity found from skilled professionals were not confirmed from the students. However, we could ascertain the possibilities that the students should experience the process of group creativity and learn the relevant values through the developed design thinking process.

Financial Feasibility Study by Considering Risk Factors for High-Rise Development Project (초고층 개발사업의 리스크 요인을 고려한 재무적 타당성 분석)

  • Chun, Young-Jun;Cho, Joo-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.3-16
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    • 2017
  • Forecasting cash flow is very important but is difficult and complicated to analysis in high-rise development projects. And An expected value which was forecasted on the early stage is likely to fluctuate due to uncertainties around such complicated huge project to consider the probable uncertainty. There are not objectified method which are able to cope with uncertainty of project, and feasibility study based on selected financial analysis does not include liquidity of cash flow. Through such a stochastic method, developer can cope with cash flow fluctuation and set up a financial plan. Also this study is meaningful for laying the foundation for high-rise development project and feasibility study as well as the suitability and accuracy of feasibility study. Analysis showed that NPV and IRR include residential apartments shows surplus revenue as return of apartments offset deficit of hotel and office. Factors influencing the project feasibility for high-rise development project are sales account of $1^{st}$ year and annual vacancy rate of office.