• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과성분석

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Impact of Enterprise R&D Investment on International Trade in Korea under the new Normal Era (뉴 노멀 시대하 한국기업의 R&D투자가 무역에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Seon-Jae;Lee, Young-Hwa
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.357-368
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to empirically examine the impact of enterprise R&D investment on international trade in Korea under the new Normal Era. In order to test whether the time series data of trade variables are stationary or not, we put in operation unit root test and cointegration test. Based on VECM (Vector Error Correction Model), we also apply impulse response functions and variance decomposition to estimate the dynamic effects in the short-run and long-run. The results show that the relationship between enterprise R&D investment and international trade (export and import) exists in the long-run as well as in the short-run. The results of applying impulse response functions and variance decomposition also indicate that the impact of enterprise R&D investment on international trade is positive, and a significant portion of fluctuations in the trade variable is explained by enterprise R&D investment. Therefore, enterprise R&D investment must be continuously increased to improve economic growth with promoting trading competition power in Korea under the new Normal Era.

Research on Assessment of Impact of Big Data Attributes to Disaster Response Decision-Making Process (빅데이터 속성이 재난대응 의사결정에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Geum Young;Jeong, Duke Hoon
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.17-43
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    • 2013
  • This research is to assess the relationship Big Data attributes and disaster response process. The hypothesis are designed to form decision making between situation awareness and disaster response by defining major attribute of Big Data(Volume, Variety, Velocity, Complexity). It is proved whether there is a moderating effect in cause-and-effect relationship by visualizing Big Data. To test the hypotheses, it was conducted a questionnaire survey of civil servants in charge of disaster-related government employees, and collected 320 data(without 12 undependable responses). The research findings are suggested the attributes of accumulation, expandability, flexibility, real-time, analytical, combination of Big Data have a strong effect on disaster manager's situation awareness.

The Effects of Teenagers' Brand Perceptions on their Sociability -Focusing on Policy Implications- (청소년의 브랜드인식이 사회성에 미치는 영향 - 정책적 시사점을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Park, Hwie-Seo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest some policy implications for the youth through empirical study about the effects of middle school students' brand perception on their sociability. For the purpose of this study, this study established a causal model about the relationships between brand perception and sociability through review of previous studies and surveyed for empirical research. The results of this study are presented as follows: Preference, imitation, and relevance as brand purchase elements of teenagers affected their self-esteem and empathy for others significantly. Self-esteem that is meditating variable in this study did not have a significant effect on sociability, while empathy for others had a great effect on it. This study suggested policy implications for teenagers to have good standards and a sense of value in a brand purchase.

Causal Links from Innovative Activities to Financial Performance in Korean Manufacturing Firms: Mediating Effects of Innovative and Operational Performance (한국 제조업에서 혁신활동과 재무적 성과 간의 인과경로: 혁신성과 및 운영성과의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, KonShik
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.146-173
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    • 2014
  • Extant studies have explained that firm's innovations including technological product and process innovations contribute to its competitive advantage and growth, thereby supporting competitiveness and growth of industry. These studies, however, have focused mainly on the role and effect of technological change that is primarily measured by the patent numbers and R&D intensity. Aside from these traditional streams, there has been growing interest on the impact by various dimensions of innovation including non-technological innovations. Apart from the discussions on the dimensions and scope of innovation, stages or processes of innovation also have been studied. Extant studies on innovation process model, however, has limited its interests in the structure of the transformation of knowledge. This study have established a comprehensive model embracing operational and financial performance to investigate the causal paths between innovation and firm performance. Using multi-level generalized linear model with path analysis, this study have found results as follows: First, the processes from innovative activities to innovation output and outcomes including operational and financial performance at firm level were verified. Secondly, the influence of innovation decreases gradually as the distance away from the direct outputs of the innovation increase in the direction of financial outcomes. Third, the effect of innovation on the sales growth rate is higher for small businesses than for medium-sized businesses. The effect of innovation on the profit rate, however, is significant only for medium-sized businesses. For large businesses, innovation has no positive significant impact on any financial performance at all. Fourth, Fourth, the appropriability of innovation has positive impacts on innovative performance, patent applications, and operational performance.

A Study on the Effects of Determinants of Casino Security Management Service Quality on Organizational Trust and Loyalty of Internal Customers (카지노 보안관리 서비스품질 결정요인이 내부고객의 조직신뢰 및 충성도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Seung-Hoon;Kang, Min-Wan;Chun, Yong-Tae
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.42
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    • pp.115-153
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    • 2015
  • This study identified the cause-and-effect relationship of security management service quality by empirically analyzing whether the performance factors affecting the casino industry are improved when the quality of the security management service is improved. For this, Partial Least Squares (PLS) that can deduce the structural relationship between variables was used. To verify the representativeness of the population, SPSS 19.0 was utilized in a demographic analysis, a independent T-test and Scheffe test. The analysis of the data revealed that the casino industry must preferentially manage assurance, empathy, and security to improve the casino security management service quality, and that, of these, security was the most important factor. To help improve service quality, a theoretical and empirical basis that can consider the importance and priority of individual factors was presented based on the result of this analysis. It also revealed that the security management service is an essential factor for stable business activities of casinos. Further, the importance of the role of the security management service in business strategy formulation for improving the industry performance was recognized through the study results. A service quality improvement method was provided by focusing on the factors that must be preferentially considered for service quality improvement; moreover, implications that can predict the results of such method were presented.

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The Effects of the Service Quality of Food and Beverage Section at Hotels on Organization Value and Work Performance (호텔 식음료 부서의 서비스 품질이 조직 가치, 업무 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Min, Kye-Hong
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.205-218
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze what effects the service quality of the food and beverage section have on its organization value in the value-oriented hotel business, how the organization value influence work performance, and what causal relationships exist among variable factors such as service quality, organization value, and work performance for helping get the hotel business more profitable through guiding service improvements. For conducting the study, full-time staff working at the restaurants of premium hotels in Seoul participated in the test as samples from January 10th to January 22nd, 2009. The statistical data analyses were completed using the SPSS 12.0 program, and frequency analyses, reliability analysis, factor analysis, multiple regression analysis were conducted. The main results of this study were as follows. First, service quality of the food and beverage section in the hotel business caused positive effects on organization values. Second, it was found that the organization value and service quality also positively influenced work performance. Third, among service quality, organization value, and work performance, service quality had a direct effect on business performance, and organization value played an indirect role to cause effects on work performance through service quality. Accordingly, all of the workers engaging in the hotel business, including board of directors, ordinary managers and staff working at the food and beverage section, are highly required to recognize how keenly important service quality is for the hotel business.

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Forecasting Birthrate Change based on Big Data (빅데이터 기반의 출산율 변동 예측)

  • Joo, Se-Min;Ok, Seong-Hwan;Hwang, Kyung-Tae
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.20-35
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    • 2019
  • We empirically analyze the effects of psychological factors, such as the fear of parenting, on fertility rates. An index is calculated based on the share of negative news articles on child care in all social articles from 2000 to 2018. The analysis result shows that as the index increases, the fertility rate after three years falls. This result is repeated in the correlation analysis, simple regression, and VAR analysis. According to Granger causality analysis, it is found that the relation between the index and the fertility rate after three years is not just a simple correlation but a causal relationship. There are differences among age groups. The fertility rate of women in their 20s and 30s shows a significant response to the index, but that of the 40s does not. The index affects the birthrate of first child, but do not affect the birthrate of second or more children. These results are consistent with the intuition that younger women are more likely to be affected by the negative articles about parenting, but not to those who have already experienced childbirth. This study is meaningful in that a significant index for predicting social phenomena is extracted beyond the limited use of news big data such as a simple keyword mention volume monitoring. Also, this big data-based index is a 3-year leading indicator for fertility, which provides the advantage of providing information that helps early detection.

한국의 집권정당별 거시경제정책 실증분석 - 그랜져 인과성 검정 및 충격반응분석 중심으로 -

  • Kim, Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.503-516
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    • 2007
  • USA has distinct differences of economic policy by a ruling party. And, USA economy has mainly influenced on it of Korea. So, we examine whether a ruling party of Korea has different regime including rate of return in stock market. The Republican Party and Democratic Party have based on Milton Friedman and Keynes economy at each other's economic policy in the USA The Republican Party and Democratic Party have different interest level and excess return on equity, GDP growth rate, unemployment rate. Also, a ruling party of Korea has different regime and economic activity in this paper.

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Effects of Investors' Sentiment on Commodity Futures Prices (투자자 심리가 상품선물가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyun-Bok;Park, Cheol-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 2017
  • This study examines the relationship between sentiment of speculators and price movements in the futures markets of WTI crude oil, copper, and wheat during the period 2003~2014 using Granger causality tests. The results indicate that speculative positions overall has no predictive power for returns in each futures market. Rather, returns seem to have effects on speculators' sentiment especially during periods of both economic expansion and recovery. During a recession, meanwhile, changes of speculators' sentiment index in the WTI crude oil and copper markets provide predictive power for returns in a positive direction, suggesting that speculators' pessimistic sentiment aggravates declines in commodity prices. Since the effects of speculative positions on market prices are ambiguous, tight regulations on speculative trading are not advisable. In a bearish market, however, regulatory bodies should consider raising speculative position limits because large speculative short positions and (or) liquidation of index traders' long positions may lead steep price declines.

The Impact of CSV on Brand Image and Consumers' Behavioral Intentions: Focussing on CSV Intentionality and Company -Consumer Identification (기업의 CSV활동이 브랜드 이미지와 소비자행동의도에 미치는 영향 : CSV의도성과 기업 -소비자 동일시를 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Yoon-Hwan;Seo, Young-Wook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2019
  • This study examined the causal relationship between CSV and brand image and consumers' behavioral intentions by structural equation model using psychological variables such as CSV intentionality and company-consumer identification. 198 questionnaires were used to test 8 hypotheses using Smart PLS 2.0. Results are as follows: First, two hypotheses were rejected that CSV had a negative effect on CSV intentionality and CSV intentionality had a negative effect on brand image. Second, CSV has a positive effect on company-consumer identification and company-consumer identification has a positive effect on brand image, purchase intention, and willingness to pay. This study suggests the necessity of enhancing customer participation and communication for the company to establish CSV strategies.