• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수문 계절성

Search Result 162, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Development of Daily Rainfall Simulation Model Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain (동질성 Hidden Markov Chain 모형을 이용한 일강수량 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae Jeong;Hwang, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1861-1870
    • /
    • 2013
  • A climate change-driven increased hydrological variability has been widely acknowledged over the past decades. In this regards, rainfall simulation techniques are being applied in many countries to consider the increased variability. This study proposed a Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain(HMM) designed to recognize rather complex patterns of rainfall with discrete hidden states and underlying distribution characteristics via mixture probability density function. The proposed approach was applied to Seoul and Jeonju station to verify model's performance. Statistical moments(e.g. mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis) derived by daily and seasonal rainfall were compared with observation. It was found that the proposed HMM showed better performance in terms of reproducing underlying distribution characteristics. Especially, the HMM was much better than the existing Markov Chain model in reproducing extremes. In this regard, the proposed HMM could be used to evaluate a long-term runoff and design flood as inputs.

Analysis for Precipitation Trend and Elasticity of Precipitation-Streamflow According to Climate Changes (기후변화에 따른 강우 경향성 및 유출과의 탄성도 분석)

  • Shon, Tae Seok;Shin, Hyun Suk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.30 no.5B
    • /
    • pp.497-507
    • /
    • 2010
  • Climate changes affect greatly natural ecosystem, human social and economic system acting on constituting the climate system such as air, ocean, life, glacier and land, etc. and estimating the current impact of climate change would be the most important thing to adapt to the climate changes. This study set the target area to Nakdong river watershed and investigated the impact of climate changes through analyzing precipitation tendency, and to understand the impact of climate changes on hydrological elements, analyzed elasticity of precipitation-streamflow. For the analysis of precipitation trend, collecting the precipitation data of the National Weather Service from major points of Nakdong river watershed, resampling them at the units of year, season and month, used as the data of precipitation trend analysis. To analyze precipitation-streamflow elasticity, collecting area average precipitation and long-term streamflow data provided by WAMIS, annual and seasonal time-series were analyzed. In addition, The results of this study and elasticity, and other abroad study compared with the elasticity analysis and the validity of this study was verified. Results of this study will be able to be utilized for study on a plan to increase of flood control ability of flooding constructs caused by the increase of streamflow around Nakdong river watershed due to climate changes and on a plan of adapting to water environment according to climate changes.

A Study on Domestic Applicability for the Korean Cosmic-Ray Soil Moisture Observing System (한국형 코즈믹 레이 토양수분 관측 시스템을 위한 국내 적용성 연구)

  • Jaehwan Jeong;Seongkeun Cho;Seulchan Lee;Kiyoung Kim;Yongjun Lee;Chung Dae Lee;Sinjae Lee;Minha Choi
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.233-246
    • /
    • 2023
  • In terms of understanding the water cycle and efficient water resource management, the importance of soil moisture has been highlighted. However, in Korea, the lack of qualified in-situ soil moisture data results in very limited utility. Even if satellite-based data are applied, the absence of ground reference data makes objective evaluation and correction difficult. The cosmic-ray neutron probe (CRNP) can play a key role in producing data for satellite data calibration. The installation of CRNP is non-invasive, minimizing damage to the soil and vegetation environment, and has the advantage of having a spatial representative for the intermediate scale. These characteristics are advantageous to establish an observation network in Korea which has lots of mountainous areas with dense vegetation. Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the applicability of the CRNP soil moisture observatory in Korea as part of the establishment of a Korean cOsmic-ray Soil Moisture Observing System (KOSMOS). The CRNP observation station was installed with the Gunup-ri observation station, considering the ease of securing power and installation sites and the efficient use of other hydro-meteorological factors. In order to evaluate the CRNP soil moisture data, 12 additional in-situ soil moisture sensors were installed, and spatial representativeness was evaluated through a temporal stability analysis. The neutrons generated by CRNP were found to be about 1,087 counts per hour on average, which was lower than that of the Solmacheon observation station, indicating that the Hongcheon observation station has a more humid environment. Soil moisture was estimated through neutron correction and early-stage calibration of the observed neutron data. The CRNP soil moisture data showed a high correlation with r=0.82 and high accuracy with root mean square error=0.02 m3/m3 in validation with in-situ data, even in a short calibration period. It is expected that higher quality soil moisture data production with greater accuracy will be possible after recalibration with the accumulation of annual data reflecting seasonal patterns. These results, together with previous studies that verified the excellence of CRNP soil moisture data, suggest that high-quality soil moisture data can be produced when constructing KOSMOS.

An Uncertainty Assessment of AOGCM and Future Climate Projection over East Asia (동아시아 지역에서의 AOGCM 불확실성 평가 및 기후전망)

  • Kim, Min-Ji;Shin, Jin-Ho;Lee, Hyo-Shin;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.1058-1062
    • /
    • 2008
  • 지구 온난화에 의한 대기 순환의 변화와 이에 따른 수증기 수송 및 강수량의 변화는 전지구 및 지역적인 수문환경의 변화를 초래하므로 장기적인 차원의 수자원 계획 수립에는 반드시 기후 변화에 따른 영향이 제대로 반영되어야 한다. 그러나 개별 모델이 사용하는 역학과정과 물리과정의 모수화 및 분해능이 다르고 이에 따른 모의 결과도 다르게 나타나는 등의 상당한 불확실성이 내재되어 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 관한 정부간 패널인 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에 참여한 대기해양결합 대순환모델(AOGCMs)이 온실가스 배출 시나리오를 바탕으로 생산한 기온과 강수의 불확실성을 동아시아에 대해 평가하고 이를 바탕으로 미래 기후를 전망하였다. 국립기상연구소 ECHO-G/S 모델과 IPCC 23개 모델의 배출 시나리오(Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, SRES) 자료는 20세기(1900-1999년)와 21세기(2000-2099년)의 200년 동안이고, 관측자료는 영국 CRU(Climate Research Unit) 월평균 2m 기온의 30년(1961-1990년) 평균값과 CMAP 월 평균 강수량의 21년간(1979-1990년) 평균값을 이용하였다. 동아시아지역 기온과 강수의 불확실성을 평가하기 위해서 모델과 관측간 편이, 평균제곱근오차(RMSE) 등의 통계적인 방법을 사용하였다. 동아시아 지역의 연평균 기온은 대체로 모델의 기온이 관측보다 적게 모의되는 음의 편이를 나타내고, 강수는 모델이 관측보다 더 크게 모의 되는 양의 편이를 나타냈다. 계절적으로는 여름철 강수와 봄철 기온의 편이가 크게 나타났다. 연평균 및 겨울철 강수와 기온의 RMSE는 비례하는데 이는 기온 모의성능이 좋은 모델이 강수 모의성능도 좋게 나타나는 것을 의미한다.

  • PDF

Seasonal Characteristics of Pore Development and Hydraulic Properties of Surface Soil in Two Forested Watershed (두 산림유역의 표층 토양의 공극 발달과 수리학적 성질의 계절적 특성)

  • Joo, Sung-Hyo;Gwak, Yong-Seok;Kim, Su-Jin;Kim, Joon;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.151-161
    • /
    • 2009
  • Configuration of soil hydraulic property is an essential component to understand the hydrological processes at the hillslope scale. In this study, we investigated temporal variations in pore development and soil hydraulic properties during the period from March to October in 2008. Characteristics for macropore flow and hydraulic conductivity were measured at two hillslopes: one is the hillslope located at the Buprunsa in Sulmachun watershed, and the other is the hillslope located in Gwangneung Research Forest. Vertical fluxes through macropore were measured using a tension infiltrometer at the depth of surface. The saturated hydraulic conductivities in March, June, July and September were relatively high compared to those in May and October. Temporal variations in several soil hydraulic features could be explained by the differences in vegetation activity and soil moisture content determined by antecedent precipitation. Particularly, the features of macropores had a substantial impact on hydraulic conductivity in the forest hillslope. The temporal nonuniformity of the soil hydraulic properties observed in this study manifests the dynamic features of hydrological processes in the hillslope scale and the experimental results will be useful to understand the internal hydrological processes in the mountainous hillslope.

Validation of ECOSTRESS Based Land Surface Temperature and Evapotranspiration (PT-JPL) Data Across Korea (국내에서 ECOSTRESS 지표면 온도 및 증발산(PT-JPL) 자료의 검증)

  • Park, Ki Jin;Kim, Ki Young;Kim, Chan Young;Park, Jong Min
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.44 no.5
    • /
    • pp.637-648
    • /
    • 2024
  • The frequency of extreme weather events such as heavy and extreme rainfall has been increasing due to global climate change. Accordingly, it is essential to quantify hydrometeorological variables for efficient water resource management. Among the various hydro-meteorological variables, Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Evapotranspiration (ET) play key roles in understanding the interaction between the surface and the atmosphere. In Korea, LST and ET are mainly observed through ground-based stations, which also have limitation in obtaining data from ungauged watersheds, and thus, it hinders to estimate spatial behavior of LST and ET. Alternatively, remote sensing-based methods have been used to overcome the limitation of ground-based stations. In this study, we evaluated the applicability of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS) LST and ET data estimated across Korea (from July 1, 2018 to December 31, 2022). For validation, we utilized NASA's MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data and eddy covariance flux tower observations managed by agencies under the Ministry of Environment of South Korea. Overall, results indicated that ECOSTRESS-based LSTs showed similar temporal trends (R: 0.47~0.73) to MODIS and ground-based observations. The index of agreement also showed a good agreement of ECOSTRESS-based LST with reference datasets (ranging from 0.82 to 0.91), although it also revealed distinctive uncertainties depending on the season. The ECOSTRESS-based ET demonstrated the capability to capture the temporal trends observed in MODIS and ground-based ET data, but higher Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Square Error were also exhibited. This is likely due to the low acquisition rate of the ECOSTRESS data and environmental factors such as cooling effect of evapotranspiration, overestimation during the morning. This study suggests conducting additional validation of ECOSTRESS-based LST and ET, particularly in topographical and hydrological aspects. Such validation efforts could enhance the practical application of ECOSTRESS for estimating basin-scale LST and ET in Korea.

Seasonal Ground Water Table Changes Following Forest Harvesting in Small Headwater Riparian Areas (산지계류 수변지역에서 산림벌채 후 지하수위의 계절 변화)

  • Choi, Byoung-Koo
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.620-628
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study addressed the influence of forest harvesting on seasonal water table dynamics in small headwater riparian areas. Four treatments including potential Best Management Practices(BMPs) for ephemeral and intermittent streams were implemented(BMP1, BMP2, clearcut and reference). Water table measurements were obtained at bi-monthly intervals for 3 years including one year of pre- and two years of post-harvest observations. Overall, water table responses affected largely by rainfall amount. In addition, significant increases in water table levels following harvesting occurred throughout the two post-harvest years. Water table levels increased up to 28.2cm in the clearcut treatment during 2008 and up to 54.2cm in BMP2 during 2009. However, increase in water table elevation was not directly related to basal area removal despite considerable differences in basal area removed between BMP2 and clearcut treatments. Water table rises were apparent in that water table were more elevated during dry season(June through November) than during wet season(December through May). These seasonal fluctuations were presumably driven by changes in evapotranspiration caused by differences in leaf area of overstory canopy and understory following harvest.

Development and application of inflow drought index considering the dam operation rule coping with the drought (가뭄대응 댐 운영기준을 고려한 유입량 가뭄지수의 개발 및 적용)

  • Kown, Minsung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.56-56
    • /
    • 2017
  • 홍수와 달리 가뭄은 장기적인 강수량 부족에 의해 발생하는 자연해로, 불확실성이 큰 장기(계절) 기상예보를 토대로 대비하기는 어려운 것이 현실이다. 가뭄에 대비하기 위해 가뭄의 진행상황을 관찰할 수 있는 다양한 가뭄지수가 활용되고 있다. 가뭄은 기상학적 가뭄, 농업적 가뭄, 수문학적 가뭄, 사회경제학적 가뭄으로 분류되고, 이를 정량적으로 평가하고 가뭄의 진행상황을 파악하기 위해 강수량, 유출량, 저수지의 저수량, 지하수, 토양수분 등 다양한 인자들이 사용된다. 일반적으로 널리 사용되고 있는 가뭄지수는 평균에 대한 부족한 정도를 지수화해서 나타낸다. 하지만 우리가 가용할 수 없는 많은 양의 강수량 및 유출량(또는 저수지 유입량)이 가뭄지수를 산정하는 기간 동안 지속적으로 영향을 주게 된다. 이는 짧은 기간 동안 매우 많은 강수 후 가뭄이 지속 되었을 경우, 이를 정상의 상태로 나타낼 수 있다는 것을 의미한다. 이와 같은 가뭄지수를 통해 가뭄에 대처하기 위한 기준을 수립하기에는 한계가 있음을 나타낸다. 우리나라의 경우 취수량의 대부분을 댐과 하천수에 의존한다. 하천수량이 댐의 방류량에 의한 의존도가 높은 현실에서 우리가 체감하는 가뭄은 댐의 용수확보와 공급에 가장 큰 영향을 받는다고 할 수 있다. 댐은 용량의 제한이 있으며, 계획된 용수공급량과 저수량 부족 시 용수공급을 조절하는 기준이 있다. 따라서 과거 관측된 유입량과 용수공급 계획량, 용수공급 조정 기준을 통해 저수지 운영을 모의하게 되면, 용수공급을 감축하는 시점을 확인 할 수 있다. 이를 활용하여 적절한 유입량의 상한계를 설정할 수 있으며, 이는 가뭄에 대비하는 댐 운영에 활용할 수 있는 가뭄지수로 활용할 수 있다. 이는 댐의 용수 공급과 직접적으로 연관되어 있으므로, 체감할 수 있는 가뭄전달 도구로 활용이 가능하다. 이와 같이 제시된 유입량 가뭄지수를 기존의 대표적인 가뭄지수와 비교하여 활용성을 평가하였다. 우리가 사용할 수 있는 물이 부족한 현상을 '물부족'으로 표현하고, 강수량의 부족을 '가뭄'으로 표현해야 한다는 주장이 있다. 하지만 강수량 부족에 기인한 물부족을 가뭄으로 표현하고 이를 정량적으로 나타내는 것이 가뭄에 대처해야하는 용수 관리자에게 유용할 뿐만 아니라, 일반 국민들에게 체감할 수 있는 가뭄정보를 제공하는데 도움이 될 것이다.

  • PDF

Microbial Influence on Soil Properties and Pollutant Reduction in a Horizontal Subsurface Flow Constructed Wetland Treating Urban Runoff (도시 강우유출수 처리 인공습지의 토양특성 및 오염물질 저감에 따른 미생물 영향 평가)

  • Chiny. C. Vispo;Miguel Enrico L. Robles;Yugyeong Oh;Haque Md Tashdedul;Lee Hyung Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.168-181
    • /
    • 2024
  • Constructed wetlands (CWs) deliver a range of ecosystem services, including the removal of contaminants, sequestration and storage of carbon, and enhancement of biodiversity. These services are facilitated through hydrological and ecological processes such as infiltration, adsorption, water retention, and evapotranspiration by plants and microorganisms. This study investigated the correlations between microbial populations, soil physicochemical properties, and treatment efficiency in a horizontal subsurface flow constructed wetland (HSSF CW) treating runoff from roads and parking lots. The methods employed included storm event monitoring, water quality analysis, soil sampling, soil quality parameter analysis, and microbial analysis. The facility achieved its highest pollutant removal efficiencies during the warm season (>15℃), with rates ranging from 33% to 74% for TSS, COD, TN, TP, and specific heavy metals including Fe, Zn, and Cd. Meanwhile, the highest removal efficiency was 35% for TOC during the cold season (≤15℃). These high removal rates can be attributed to sedimentation, adsorption, precipitation, plant uptake, and microbial transformations within the CW. Soil analysis revealed that the soil from HSSF CW had a soil organic carbon content 3.3 times higher than that of soil collected from a nearby landscape. Stoichiometric ratios of carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) in the inflow and outflow were recorded as C:N:P of 120:1.5:1 and 135.2:0.4:1, respectively, indicating an extremely low proportion of N and P compared to C, which may challenge microbial remediation efficiency. Additionally, microbial analyses indicated that the warm season was more conducive to microorganism growth, with higher abundance, richness, diversity, homogeneity, and evenness of the microbial community, as manifested in the biodiversity indices, compared to the cold season. Pollutants in stormwater runoff entering the HSSF CW fostered microbial growth, particularly for dominant phyla such as Proteobacteria, Actinobacteria, Acidobacteria, and Bacteroidetes, which have shown moderate to strong correlations with specific soil properties and changes in influent-effluent concentrations of water quality parameters.

Estimating Fine Particulate Matter Concentration using GLDAS Hydrometeorological Data (GLDAS 수문기상인자를 이용한 초미세먼지 농도 추정)

  • Lee, Seulchan;Jeong, Jaehwan;Park, Jongmin;Jeon, Hyunho;Choi, Minha
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.35 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.919-932
    • /
    • 2019
  • Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is not only affected by anthropogenic emissions, but also intensifies, migrates, decreases by hydrometeorological factors. Therefore, it is essential to understand relationships between the hydrometeorological factors and PM2.5 concentration. In Korea, PM2.5 concentration is measured at the ground observatories and estimated data are given to locations where observatories are not present. In this way, the data is not suitable to represent an area, hence it is impossible to know accurate concentration at such locations. In addition, it is hard to trace migration, intensification, reduction of PM2.5. In this study, we analyzed the relationships between hydrometeorological factors, acquired from Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), and PM2.5 by means of Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). By BMA, we also selected factors that have meaningful relationship with the variation of PM2.5 concentration. 4 PM2.5 concentration models for different seasons were developed using those selected factors, with Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) from MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Finally, we mapped the result of the model, to show spatial distribution of PM2.5. The model correlated well with the observed PM2.5 concentration (R ~0.7; IOA ~0.78; RMSE ~7.66 ㎍/㎥). When the models were compared with the observed PM2.5 concentrations at different locations, the correlation coefficients differed (R: 0.32-0.82), although there were similarities in data distribution. The developed concentration map using the models showed its capability in representing temporal, spatial variation of PM2.5 concentration. The result of this study is expected to be able to facilitate researches that aim to analyze sources and movements of PM2.5, if the study area is extended to East Asia.