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Long-term Precipitation Prediction with Icosahedral-hexagonal Gridpoint Model GME (Icosahedral-Hexagonal 격자 체계의 전구 모형 GME를 이용한 장기 강수량 예측)

  • Woo, Su-Min;Oh, Jai-Ho;Koh, A-Ra;Majewski, Detlev
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2207-2211
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    • 2008
  • 한반도 및 동아시아의 여름철은 장마와 태풍으로 인한 집중호우의 발생으로 많은 피해를 입는다. 따라서 여름철에 나타나는 이러한 집중호우가 나타나는 지역, 시기, 기간, 그리고 강수량 등을 예측하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 특히, 효율적인 수자원 관리를 위하여 이러한 예측은 매우 중요한데, 단기적으로 정확하고 신속하게 강수를 예측하는 것도 중요하지만, 장기적으로 계절 강수, 특히 여름철의 장마 또는 우기의 시기와 강수량과 태풍 발생의 시기 등을 미리 예측하여 이에 따른 집중 호우의 발생 지역, 기간, 강수량을 예측하여 사전에 대비하는 것도 매우 중요하다. 특히, 최근에는 6,7월 장마에 의한 집중 호우의 영향보다도 8월에 강수량이 높아지고 있는 경향을 보이므로 강수량의 장기적 경향의 파악이 매우 중요하다. 장기 기후를 예측하는 데는 과거 자료를 이용한 통계 방법도 유용하지만 최근에는 AOGCM (Atmospheric Oceanic General Circulation Model)을 이용한 연구가 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 하지만 강수와 같이 지역적으로 나타나는 현상은 저해상도의 AOGCM으로는 유용한 정보를 제공하기가 어려움이 따른다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 전구를 삼각형으로 된 20면체로 격자화 시켜 모든 격자의 크기가 거의 동일하고, 해상도 조절이 가능한 Geodesic 격자를 활용한 GME 모델을 사용하였다. GME 모델은 icosahedral-hexagonal grid 격자 체계를 가진 독일 기상청(Deutscher Wetterdient)에서 현업으로 사용 중인 모델이다. 본 연구에서는 수직/수평 해상도를 40km/40layers로 하여 GME 모델을 수행하였으며, 일간격의 장기 기후 자료를 생산하였다. 사용된 초기자료로는 ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) 자료이며, 경계 자료로는 ERA Climatology의 최근 30년간의 SST (Sea Surface Temperature) 평균 자료를 이용하여 규준 실험(Control Run), 즉, climatology 자료를 생산하였으며, persistent SST 아노말리와 ERA Climatology의 최근 30년간의 SST 자료를 이용하여 내삽 과정을 거친 SST forcing을 주어서 예측 실험(Prediction Run)을 통하여 모의 자료를 생산하였다. 특히, 규준 실험에서는 수치 모델이 가지는 불확실성을 줄이고 예보 정확도를 향상시키기 위하여 각각의 실험은 초기자료를 달리한 앙상블 모의실험을 수행하였다. 장기 모의 3개월을 위하여 모의 기간 1달 전부터 모의를 수행하여, 첫 1달은 모델의 spin-up 시간으로 분석에서 제외 하였다. 생산된 Climatology 자료와 Prediction 자료를 비교하여 아노말리와 Category 분석을 실시하여 한반도 및 동아시아 지역의 강수(Precipitation)를 중심으로 기압장(Pressure), 온도(2m Temperature) 위주로 분석하였다. 이러한 예측된 매 계절의 전망 자료 중에서도 수자원 분야에서 관심이 집중되는 여름철에 초점을 맞추어 실제 관측 자료와 비교하여 GME 모델의 계절 모의 예측성 성능을 분석하여 평가하고 다가올 여름철의 강수량의 장기 변화를 모의하고자 하였다.

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Device Authentication Protocol for LR-WPAN using Pre-Authentication Mechanism (LR-WPAN에서 사전인증기법을 이용한 기기 인증 프로토콜)

  • Lee, Sung-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a new authentication protocol for the LR-WPAN. In order to guarantee the reliability and safety of a protocol, this protocol uses the hierarchical authentication approach. In addition, in order to reduce the impact of the denial of service attack, the proposed protocol performs the authentication between a parent router and a joiner device prior to the authentication between a trust center and the joiner device. Moreover, this protocol reduces the authentication delay by decreasing the number of message exchanges during authentication procedure. This paper evaluates the safety of the proposed protocol by the security analysis and reliability of the proposed protocol by the GNY analysis. This paper also compares the number of message exchanges of the ZigBee authentication protocol and the proposed protocol when denial of service attack occurs to evaluate the resistance of the proposed protocol against the denial of service attack. We also analyze the delay for authentication of the joiner device through the implementation of both protocols. Those results show that the proposed protocol effectively protects networks from the denial of service attack and reduces the time for authenticating the joiner device up to maximum 30% as the number of hops increases.

Hazard Analysis of Autonomous Vehicle due to V2I Malfunction (V2I 오작동에 의한 자율주행자동차의 위험성 분석)

  • Ahn, Dae-ryong;Shin, Seong-geun;Baek, Yun-soek;Lee, Hyuck-kee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 2019
  • The importance of autonomous driving systems that utilize V2X services such as V2V(Vehicle to Vehicle) and V2I(Vehicle to Infrastructure) for safer and more comfortable driving is increasing with the recent development of autonomous vehicles. Partly autonomous vehicles based on environmental sensors have limitations for predicting and determining areas beyond the recognition distance of the mounted sensors and in response to atypical objects that are difficult to detect. Therefore, it is important to utilize the V2X service to improve the limit of sensor detection performance and to make driving safer and more comfortable. However, there may be an accident risk of autonomous vehicles due to incorrect information provided by V2X. Thus, the application of technology to prevent this needs to be considered. In this pater, we used the ISO-26262 Part3 Process and performed HARA (Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessment) to derive the risk sources of autonomous vehicles due to V2I malfunctions by using the communication between vehicles and infrastructure among V2X. We also developed ASIL ratings based on the simulations and real vehicle tests of the malfunctions of major cases of usnig V2I.

Design of User Clustering and Robust Beam in 5G MIMO-NOMA System Multicell (5G MIMO-NOMA 시스템 멀티 셀에서의 사용자 클러스터링 및 강력한 빔 설계)

  • Kim, Jeong-Su;Lee, Moon-Ho
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we present a robust beamforming design to tackle the weighted sum-rate maximization (WSRM) problem in a multicell multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) - non-orthogonal multipleaccess (NOMA) downlink system for 5G wireless communications. This work consider the imperfectchannel state information (CSI) at the base station (BS) by adding uncertainties to channel estimation matrices as the worst-case model i.e., singular value uncertainty model (SVUM). With this observation, the WSRM problem is formulated subject to the transmit power constraints at the BS. The objective problem is known as on-deterministic polynomial (NP) problem which is difficult to solve. We propose an robust beam forming design which establishes on majorization minimization (MM) technique to find the optimal transmit beam forming matrix, as well as efficiently solve the objective problem. In addition, we also propose a joint user clustering and power allocation (JUCPA) algorithm in which the best user pair is selected as a cluster to attain a higher sum-rate. Extensive numerical results are provided to show that the proposed robust beamforming design together with the proposed JUCPA algorithm significantly increases the performance in term of sum-rate as compared with the existing NOMA schemes and the conventional orthogonal multiple access (OMA) scheme.

Coated Tongue Region Extraction using the Fluorescence Response of the Tongue Coating by Ultraviolet Light Source (설태의 자외선 형광 반응을 이용한 설태 영역 추출)

  • Choi, Chang-Yur;Lee, Woo-Beom;Hong, You-Sik;Nam, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Sang-Suk
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2012
  • An effective extraction method for extracting a coated tongue is proposed in this paper, which is used as the diagnostic criteria in the tongue diagnosis. Proposed method uses the fluorescence response characteristics of the coated tongue that is occurred by using the ultraviolet light. Specially, this method can solved the previous problems including the issue in the limits of the diagnosis environment and in the objectivity of the diagnosis results. In our method, original tongue image is acquired by using the ultraviolet light, and binarization is performed by thresholding a valley-points in the histogram that corresponds to the color difference of tongue body and tongue coating. Final view image is presented to the oriental doctor, after applying the canny-edge algorithm to the binary image, and edge image is added to the original image. In order to evaluate the performance of the our proposed method, after building a various tongue image, we compared the true region of coated tongue by the oriental doctor's hand with the extracted region by the our method. As a result, the proposed method showed the average 87.87% extraction ratio. The shape of the extracted coated tongue region showed also significantly higher similarity.

Study for Characteristic of Frictional Heat Transfer in Rotating Brake System (회전을 고려한 브레이크 디스크의 마찰열전달 연구)

  • Nam, Jiwoo;Ryou, Hong Sun;Cho, Seong Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.817-822
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    • 2017
  • The braking system is one of the most important components in vehicles and machines. It must exert a reliable braking force when they are brought to a halt. Generally, frictional heat is generated by converting kinetic energy into heat energy through friction. As the kinetic energy is converted into heat energy, high temperature heat is generated which affects the mechanical behavior of the braking system. Frictional heat affects the thermal expansion and friction coefficient of the brake system. If the temperature is not controlled, the brake performance will be decreased. Therefore, it is important to predict and control the heat generation of the brake. Various numerical analysis studies have been carried out to predict the frictional heat, but they assumed the existence of boundary conditions in the numerical analysis to simulate the frictional heat, because the simulation of frictional heat is difficult and time consuming. The results were based on the assumption that the frictional heat is different from the actual temperature distribution in a rotating brake system. Therefore, the reliability of the cooling effect or thermal stress using the results of these studies is insufficient. In order to overcome these limitations and establish a simulation procedure to predict the frictional heat, this study directly simulates the frictional heat generation by using a thermal-structure coupling element. In this study, we analyzed the thermo-mechanical behavior of a brake model, in order to investigate the thermal characteristics of brake systems by using the Finite Element method (FEM). This study suggests the necessity to directly simulate the frictional heating and it is hoped that it can provide the necessary information for simulations.

Framework & Functions of Configuration Management (CM) in Nuclear Power Plants (NPP) (원자력발전소 형상관리 적용을 위한 Framework 및 생애주기단계별, 관리기법별 기능리스트 도출)

  • Kang, Mi-Yeon;Jung, Youngsoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2015
  • In the 1950s, the concept of configuration management (CM) was started by the US Department of Defense (DOD). Later, it has begun to be applied in aerospace, software, engineering, construction, and nuclear power industry. However, configuration management (CM) in the Korean nuclear industry was firstly utilized in 2006 only for selected parts of facilities, while the US nuclear industry has applied CM for the facilities' entire systems since 1990s. Furthermore, configuration management (CM) is in its conceptual stage in the Korean nuclear industry because of ambiguous CM concepts, lacks of CM professional manpower, non-computerization, and inadequacy of CM procedures and processes. In order to address this issues, seven industries (including defense, aerospace, software, engineering, architecture, civil engineering, nuclear power) that utilize the concept of configuration management (CM) were compared and analyzed based on the CM purpose, technique, and life-cycle perspectives. By an extensive literature review and expert interviews, this paper developed a framework of configuration management (CM) for the nuclear industry. And also, a list of functions based on life-cycle stages and CM techniques are developed for clarifying CM framework in order to promote practical applications.

Shipboard Fire Evacuation Route Prediction Algorithm Development (선박 화재시 승선자 피난동선예측을 위한 알고리즘 개발 기초연구)

  • Hwang, Kwang-Il;Cho, So-Hyung;Ko, Hoo-Sang;Cho, Ik-Soon;Yun, Gwi-Ho;Kim, Byeol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.519-526
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    • 2018
  • In this study, an algorithm to predict evacuation routes in support of shipboard lifesaving activities is presented. As the first step of algorithm development, the feasibility and necessity of an evacuation route prediction algorithm are shown numerically. The proposed algorithm can be explained in brief as follows. This system continuously obtains and analyzes passenger movement data from the ship's monitoring system during non-disaster conditions. In case of a disaster, evacuation route prediction information is derived using the previously acquired data and a prediction tool, with the results provided to rescuers to minimize casualties. In this study, evacuation-related data obtained through fire evacuation trials was filtered and analyzed using a statistical method. In a simulation using the conventional evacuation prediction tool, it was found that reliable prediction results were obtained only in the SN1 trial because of the conceptual and structural nature of the tool itself. In order to verify the validity of the algorithm proposed in this study, an industrial engineering tool was adapted for evacuation characteristics prediction. When the proposed algorithm was implemented, the predicted values for average evacuation time and route were very similar to the measured values with error ranges of 0.6-6.9 % and 0.6-3.6 %, respectively. In the future, development of a high-performance evacuation route prediction algorithm is planned based on shipboard data monitoring and analysis.

Effect of Nafion Chain Length on Proton Transport as a Binder Material (수소이온 전달 특성에 미치는 바인더로 활용 가능한 나피온의 주쇄 길이의 영향)

  • Kang, Hoseong;Park, Chi Hoon
    • Membrane Journal
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the water channel morphology and the proton conductivity by changing the number of repeating units of the polymer backbone of PEMs, and to present a criterion for selecting an appropriate polymer model for MD simulation. In the model with the shortest polymer main chain, the movement of the main chain and the sulfonic acid group was observed to be large, but no change in the water channel morphology was found. In addition, due to the nature of the proton transport ability that is most affected by the water channel morphology, the proton conductivity did not show a significant correlation with the length of the polymer backbone. These results provide important information, particularly for the preparation of ionomers for binders. In general, a low molecular weight polymer electrolyte material is used for a binder ionomer. Since the movement of the main chain/sulfonic acid group is improved, it can play a role of enclosing the catalyst layer well. However, there is no change in its proton conducting performance. In conclusion, the preparation of ionomers for binders will require molecular weight and structure design with a focus on physical properties rather than proton transfer performance.

In-Vitro Thrombosis Detection of Mechanical Valve using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 기계식 판막의 생체외 모의 혈전현상 검출)

  • 이혁수;이상훈
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 1997
  • Mechanical valve is one of the most widely used implantable artificial organs of which the reliability is so important that its failure means the death of patient. Therefore early noninvasive detection is essentially required, though mechanical valve failure with thrombosis is the most common. The objective of this paper is to detect the thrombosis formation by spectral analysis and neural network. Using microphone and amplifier, we measured the sound from the mechanical valve which is attached to the pneumatic ventricular assist device. The sound was sampled by A/D converter(DaqBook 100) and the periodogram is the main algorithm for obtaining spectrum. We made the thrombosis models using pellethane and silicon and they are thrombosis model on the valvular disk, around the sewing ring and fibrous tissue growth across the orifice of valve. The performance of the measurment system was tested firstly using 1 KHz sinusoidal wave. The measurement system detected well 1KHz spectrum as expected. The spectrum of normal and 5 kinds of thrombotic valve were obtained and primary and secondary peak appeared in each spectrum waveform. We find that the secondary peak changes according to the thrombosis model. So to distinguish the secondary peak of normal and thrombotic valve quantatively, 3 layer back propagation neural network, which contains 7, 000 input node, 20 hidden layer and 1 output was employed The trained neural network can distinguish normal and valve with more than 90% probability. As a conclusion, the noninvasive monitoring of implanted mechanical valve is possible by analysing the acoustical spectrum using neural network algorithm and this method will be applied to the performance evaluation of other implantable artificial organs.

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