• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사용수명 예측

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초기고장률과 와이불분포의 적합성 검토

  • 원형규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1992.04b
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    • pp.204-212
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    • 1992
  • 기술의 발전으로 전자기기(또는 부품)의 수명은 상당히 길어졌다. 따라서 장기간에 걸친 기기의 신뢰성을 예측하기 위해 초기고장률로 부터 일정기간 지난후 부터를 상수고장률로 추정하여 사용하고 있다. 그러므로 초기고장률은 기기의 수명예측에 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 본 고에서는 초기고장률 모형으로서 와이불분포의 적합성을 검토하는 새로운 통계적 방법을 소개한다.

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A Study on the Evaluation and Prediction for the Fatigue Crack Initiation and Growth Life by Reliability Approach ( II ) (신뢰성 공학적 피로 균열의 발생, 진전 수명 평가 및 예측에 관한 연구 (II))

  • 권재도;곽상국;최선호;황재석;진영준
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.907-915
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 피로 크랙 발생 및 파단수명의 통계학적 분포특성을 명확히 하 기 위해서 단축인장을 받고, 크랙 선단 곡율반경이 일정한 중앙 크랙을 가진 81개의 시험편을 사용하여 4개의 응력 레벨하에서 피로 시험을 행한후 많은 데이터들로 부터 피로크랙의 발생, 파단특성에 대한 신뢰성 있는 통계학적 확률특성을 제시하고, 이들 데이터를 활용하여 수명예측을 행해보고저 한다.

Response Surface Approximation for Fatigue Life Prediction Using Chebyshev Orthogonal Polynomials (Chebyshev 직교다항식을 이용한 피로수명예측을 위한 반응표면근사화)

  • Jin, Ki-Chul;Baek, Seok-Heum;Cho, Seok-Swoo;Jang, Deuk-Yul;Joo, Won-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.319-322
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    • 2007
  • 철도차량의 피로수명예측은 안전성과 신뢰성을 확보하고 높은 품질을 위한 중요한 관점이다. 이것은 최적설계 과정에서 추가의 제한조건으로 최소 피로수명값을 사용해서 접근할 수 있다. 하지만 피로수명은 회수의 함수이기 때문에 최적설계 적용에 제약이 따른다. 본 연구는 피로수명예측을 위한 최적설계에 대해 2단계 반응표면모델의 응용을 제안한다. 적용 예제로 컨테이너 화차의 제동 브라켓 엔드빔의 피로파손 문제에 대해 제안한 방법의 유효성을 설명한다.

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Optimization of the Tool Life Prediction Using Genetic Algorithm (유전 알고리즘을 이용한 공구 수명 예측 최적화)

  • Kong, Jung-Shik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 2018
  • Recently, a computer numerical control (CNC) machine is used widely for mold making in various industries. In the operation of a CNC machine, the production quality and safety of workers are becoming increasingly important as the product process increases. A variety of tool life prediction studies has been conducted to standardize the quality of production and improve reproducibility. When the tool life is predicted using the conventional tool life equation, there is a large error between the experimental result and result by the conventional tool life equation. In this paper, an algorithm that can predict the precise tool life was implemented using a genetic algorithm.

Service life prediction of CFRP bar for concrete reinforcement based on accelerated degradation tests (가속열화시험에 의한 콘크리트용 탄소섬유 강화플라스틱 바의 사용수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Il;Kim, Seung-Jin;Lee, Hyoung-Wook
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2009
  • This paper discusses the service life prediction methods for CFRP bar for concrete reinforcement using accelerated degradation tests. The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed for the temperature accelerated degradation tests. Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life of the CFRP bar using the degradation model are presented.

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A Comparative Study of Life Prediction using Accelerated Aging Tests and Machine Learning Techniques to Predict the Life of Composite Materials including CNT Materials (CNT소재를 포함하는 복합소재의 수명예측을 위해 가속열화 시험 및 머신러닝 기법을 이용한 수명예측 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Dong;Kim, Nam-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.456-458
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    • 2022
  • Due to the environmental regulations of the International Maritime Organization, shipyards are conducting various researches to improve the efficiency of ships, and efforts are being made to reduce the weight of ships. Recently, composite materials including CNT materials have the advantage of being able to reduce weight by 40% or more compared to general steel plate materials, and have the advantage of being able to be used as a substitute for ship clamps or door skins. Therefore, in this study, to predict the life of composite materials including CNT materials, the results were compared through the accelerated deterioration test method and the life prediction using machine learning techniques. The accelerated degradation test used the Arrhenius model equation, and the machine learning method predicted the life using a regression analysis algorithm.

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A three-dimensional patent evaluation model that considers the factors for calculating the internal and external value of a patent: Arrhenius chemical reaction kinetics-based patent lifespan prediction (특허의 내적.외적 가치산정요인을 고려한 입체적 특허평가모델: 아레니우스 화학반응속도론 기반의 특허수명예측)

  • Choi, Yong Muk;LEE, JAEWON;Cho, Daemyeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.113-132
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    • 2021
  • This study is a new evaluation using the Arrhenius equation, which is known as the chemical reaction rate estimation equation, to evaluate the intrinsic and extrinsic value elements of patents as a model. The performance of the evaluation model was superior to the SVM, Logistic reg. and ANN models that were used as patent evaluation models in prior studies. In addition, there was a strong correlation between the predicted lifespan of the patent and the actual lifespan of the patent. These evaluation models may be used for evaluation purposes only, or if an evaluation is required, including a commercialization entity or technical characteristics.

Study on Fatigue Damage Model and Multi-Stress Level Fatigue Life Prediction of Composite Materials (II) -Fatigue Damage Model using Reference Modulus- (복합재료의 피로손상 모형 및 다응력 수위 피로수명 예측 연구 (II) - 참고계수를 이용한 피로 손상 모형 -)

  • 이창수;황운봉;한경섭
    • Composites Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 1999
  • During fatigue loading of composite materials, damage accumulation can be monitored by measuring their material properties. In this study, fatigue modulus is used as the damage index. Fatigue life of composite materials may be predicted analytically using damage models which are based on fatigue modulus and resultant strain. Damage models are propesed as funtions of applied stress level, number of fatigue cycle and fatigue life. The predicted life was comparable to the experimental result obtained using E-glass fiber reinforced epoxy resin materials and pultruded glass fiber reinforce polyester composites under two-stress level fatigue loading.

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Prediction of Lifetime of Steel Bridge Coating on Highway for Effective Maintenance (고속도로 강구조물의 효율적 유지관리를 위한 도막수명예측)

  • Lee, Chan-Young;Cheong, Haimoon;Park, Jin-Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3A
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    • pp.341-347
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    • 2008
  • Among coating systems used for steel bridge coatings on highway such as red lead-pigmented alkyd, chlorinated rubber, waterborne inorganic zinc, inorganic zinc/epoxy/urethane and inorganic zinc/epoxy/fluororesin, evaluation of deterioration degree and prediction of lifetime through regression analysis were carried out for coating systems widely used and grossly degraded. For evaluation of deterioration degree, 75 bridges on highway were selected, and evaluations were carried out according to point offering method regulated by Guideline of maintenance coating for steel bridges used in Korea Expressway Corporation. Lifetime prediction results showed 13.0~13.3 years for the whole nation, 11.8 years for urban and industrial region in the metropolitan area, 13.2 years for rural region except the metropolitan area, 13.5~13.7 years for chlorinated rubber coating systems, and 12.86 years for red lead-pigmented alkyd systems. For prediction of the rest life of coating, we tried to execute parallel translations of standard deterioration curve to current life and deterioration degree for both x and y axes, and it was thought that parallel translation for x axis corresponded to deterioration aspects in actual environment. Maximum and minimum equations were derived from standard deterioration equation by adding and subtracting error values deduced in regression analysis to/from each coefficient in order to establish maintenance coating criteria for overall steel bridges on highway. Whole domain was divided into 8 parts in order to predict the rest life of coating and optimum time of maintenance coating, and maintenance coating criteria for each 8 domains were presented.

Accelerated Life Prediction of Ethylene-Propylene Diene Monomer Rubber Subjected to Combined Degradation (복합노화를 받는 EPDM 고무의 가속수명예측)

  • Han, Seung Wook;Kwak, Seung Bum;Choi, Nak Sam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.505-511
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    • 2014
  • The EPDM(ethylene-propylene diene monomer) rubbers used for manufacturing engine radiator hoses can be degraded by locally generated electrical stress in addition to thermal and mechanical stresses. This study presents an accelerated life prediction of the EPDM rubber under electrochemical stresses using the Arrhenius formula under various aging temperatures($60^{\circ}C$, $80^{\circ}C$, and $100^{\circ}C$). The modified life prediction formula considers the relationship between the gradient($E_a/R$) and the Arrhenius constant(C). The effects of tensile strain(5%, 10%) on the life of these rubbers were investigated. The aging temperature influences EPDM rubber life, and tensile strain was predicted. It was confirmed that the modified life prediction was within the data deviation level of the test.