• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모형적합도

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Estimation of Hydrometeorologic Parameters using Dynamic Multiple Linear Regression Model (동적 다중선형회귀 모형을 이용한 한반도 수문기상인자 산정)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Kim, Baek-Jo;Lim, Yoon-Jin;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.286-286
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    • 2016
  • 기후변화를 고려한 위한 미래 수자원 계획은 신뢰성 있는 수문기상인자의 산정을 통한 수자원 영향 평가 결과로 수립되는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 DHSVM모형과 TOPLATS모형에서 생산된 결과를 가지고 제약조건을 가지는 다중선형회귀 모형을 통하여 2012년-2014년 동안의 한반도 유역에 대한 수문기상인자를 산정하였다(Fig. 1). 다중선형회귀 모형은 하나의 종속변수의 변화를 설명하기 위하여 두 개 이상의 독립변수를 사용하는 모형으로 일반적으로 다중선형회귀 모형의 회귀 계수는 음의 값을 가질 수 있으므로 본 연구의 적용을 위하여 검정지점에 대하여 산정된 음의 회귀계수 값이 그대로 적용될 경우 적합하지 않으므로 회귀 계수에 제약조건을 부여하였다. 제한된 회귀 계수의 범위는 0-1사이를 가진다. 동적 다중선형 모형의 구성은 광릉 GCK, GDK 지점자료를 활용하였다.

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A Study on Interpolation methods and size of grid to the various topographical characteristics for the construction of DEM(Digital Elevation Model) (수치표고모형(DEM) 구축을 위한 지형별 보간 방법 및 격자크기에 관한 연구)

  • Woo, Je-Yoon;Koo, Jee-Hee;Hong, Chang-Hee;Kim, Tae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.3 no.2 s.6
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    • pp.5-19
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    • 2001
  • We are able to construct and utilize DEM(Digital Elevation Model) throughout the NGIS(National Geographic Information System) project. It is important that interpolation methods and appreciate size of grid for the construction of accurate DEM(Digital Elevation Model). There were several references related to the DEM(Digital Elevation Model) construction method, however they couldn't consider various topographical characteristics in the korea. In this study, we recommended that suitable interpolation method for each topographic element. After dividing Poonggi area into mountain, hill, urban, agricultural land, we constructed DEM(Digital Elevation Model) with various interpolation methods and grid size using 1:5,000 digital map. Then evaluated accuracy using elevation data which extracted from air-photo. The interpolation methods were analyzed and compared for various topographical conditions. As a result, Kriging method was superior to TIN method for all the topographical conditions. Another experiment was performed to examine optimal grid space for DEM with each topographical condition. 10m grid space was most suitable for mountain area and hilly districts, while 30m grid space was most suitable for urban area and farm land.

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Gifted College Students' Rational Decision Making and Intrinsic Motivation in Relation to Their Major Conviction: Mediating Effect of Career Decision Efficacy (대학생 과학영재의 합리적 의사결정, 내재적 동기와 전공선택 확신의 관계에서 진로결정 효능감의 매개효과)

  • Yang, Taeyoun;Han, Kisoon;Park, Inho
    • Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.951-970
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to explore related variables to influence gifted college students' career conviction and to propose a structural model. For the study, 292 college students who have experienced university affiliated gifted education program during their school days. Rational decision making test, intrinsic motivation test, career decision efficacy test, and major conviction test were utilized. SPSS program and AMOS were used for statistical analyses. The results are summarized as follows. The fit of measurement model was found to be TLI=.923, CFI=.951, RMSEA=.077, indicating most of the fit indexes were acceptable. The path to career conviction from rational decision making and intrinsic motivation was found to be insignificant, suggesting a revised model. The fit of final revised measurement model was found to be TLI =.926, CFI=.951, RMSEA=.075, indicating the model was acceptable. Interestingly, the career decision efficacy was found to be the complete mediator among the rational decision making, intrinsic motivation, and career conviction. The results of the study showed that career decision efficacy has a very important role in gifted college students'career choice and decision. Implication of the study related to the career education and counseling has been discussed in depth.

Analysis of Model of Sport for All Participate Behavior with People with Physical Disabilities Applied to the TPB (계획행동이론을 적용한 지체장애인 생활체육 참여행동 모형 분석)

  • Lee, Hyun-Su
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.431-440
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to positively examine whether people with physical disabilities participation behavior model of sport for all applying the theory of planned behavior was appropriate for explaining the participation behavior of sport for all and to investigate the effects of causality within the variables. For this study, a questionnaire was designed base on the contents of measuring total five sub variables drawn from Lee Hyun Su's(2011) via an expert conference. Through validity and reliability verification, the final questionnaire was developed. For data analysis, used PASW statistics 18.0, this study conducted Cronbach's α analysis and exploratory analysis to verify the questionnaire's validity and reliability. It also used SEM and CFA as well utilizing AMOS Ver. 7.0. The results of this study were shown below. First, according to the result of verifying the appropriateness of this study model, the model for this study was found to be appropriate since its evaluation indexes for the appropriateness of a model, such as Normed χ2, RMR, IFI, TLI, CFI, and RMSEA, satisfied the criteria for acceptance. Second, there was significantly positive (+) effect of behavioral attitudes on behavioral intention, subjective norms on behavioral intention, perceived behavioral control on behavioral intention, behavioral intention on actual behavior, and perceived behavioral control on actual behavior.

Factors Influencing the Performance of Knowledge Management Systems: Focused on Individual Characteristics and Task-Technology Fit (지식경영시스템 성과 영향요인 -개인적 특성과 과업·기술적합을 중심으로-)

  • Yoo, Hyo-Sook;Ryu, Il;Choi, Hyuk-Ra;Kim, Seon-Myung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.376-390
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study are as follows : First, This study conceptually and artificially defines concepts of OCB, absorptive capacity, IT group-efficacy, and TTF. Second, this study confirms the relationship among the KMS performance, the result of using KMS, and the result drawn from OCB, absorptive capacity, group-efficacy, and TTF by the preceding researches, suggesting the research model and verifying through empirical study. Lastly, this study suggests the practical and strategic advices to the groups wanting to get on the edge through KMS. The results of data analysis showed that TTF was found to have a positive influence on KMS performance. IT group-efficacy and absorptive capacity were also found to have a positive effect on TTF. And IT group-efficacy was found to have a positive influence on OCB. The findings are discussed and further research topics are suggested as well.

A experimental study on the depth of scour to formula estimated of the pattern pier (원형 교각의 세굴심 산정식 개발에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Park, Park;Lee, Yeong-Seop;Lee, Jung-Yung;Baek, Kyung-Won;Choi, Han-Kuy
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.698-702
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 강원도 영서지방의 지방하천을 중심으로 수리특성 및 교각제원 등을 조사하여 기존 세굴심 산정식의 산정 값과 모형실험 산정 값을 비교 검토 하였으며, 또한 교각의 세굴에 영향을 주는 인자에 대하여 통계학적 방법인 민감도 분석을 하였다. 이에 따른 분석결과 기존 세굴심 산정식의 경우 전체 적으로 교각 크기가 커지면서 산정 값과 모형실험 산정 값간의 편차가 $1.09%{\sim}63.98%$ 를 보이고 있어, 강원도 하천의 경우 기존 세굴심 산정식을 적용하여 산정하기에는 적합하지 않은 것으로 판단되었으며, 기존 세굴심 산정식 중 교각크기만으로 형성된 산정식의 경우 세굴심산정이 간편하기는 하나, 수리특성을 충분히 반영하지 못한 산정식의 경우 민감도가 크게 떨어지는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 모형실험 산정 값과 세굴심에 대한 민감도 분석결과, 교각크기 64%, 수심 36% 순으로 세굴심 발생에 유의적인 영향을 미쳤으며, 모형실험의 세굴심 값을 토대로 회귀분석을 통하여 강원도 하천에 적합한 세굴심 산정식을 제안 하였다.

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A study on the forecast of container traffic using hybrid ARIMA-neural network model (하이브리드 ARIMA-신경망 모델을 통한 항만물동량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Chang-Hoon;Kang, Jeong-Sick;Park, Soo-Nam;Lee, Ji-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2007.12a
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    • pp.259-260
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    • 2007
  • The forecast of a container traffic has been very important for port plan and development Generally, statistic methods, such as regression analysis, ARIMA, have been much used for traffic forecasting. Recent research activities in forecasting with artificial neural networks(ANNs) suggest tint ANNs am be a promising alternative to the traditional linear methods. In this paper, a hybrid methodology that combines both ARIMA and ANN models is proposed to take advantage of the unique strength of ARIMA and ANN models in linear and nonlinear modeling. The results with port traffic data indicate tint effectiveness can differ according to the ch1racteristics of ports.

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Type III sums of squares by projections (사영에 의한 제3종 제곱합)

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.799-805
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with a method for getting the Type III sums of squares on the basis of projections under the assumption of two-way fixed effects model. For unbalanced data in general total sum of squares is not equal to the sum of componentwise Type III sums of squares. There are some differencies between two quantities. The suggested method using projections can detect where the differences occur and how much they are different. The traditional ANOVA method could not explain clearly the differences. It also discusses how eigenvectors and eigenvalues of the projection matrices can be used to get the Type III sums of squares.

A linearity test statistic in a simple linear regression (단순회귀모형에서 선형성 검정통계량)

  • Park, Chun Gun;Lee, Kyeong Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 2014
  • In a simple linear regression, a linear relationship between an explanatory variable and a response variable can be easily recognized in the scatter plot of them. The lack of fit test for the replicated data is commonly used for testing the linearity but it is not easy to test the linearity when the explanatory variable is not replicated. In this paper, we propose three new test statistics for testing the linearity regardless of replication using the principle of average slope and validate them through several simulations and empirical studies.

Functional ARCH (fARCH) for high-frequency time series: illustration (고빈도 시계열 분석을 위한 함수 변동성 fARCH(1) 모형 소개와 예시)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Kim, Jong-Min;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.983-991
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    • 2017
  • High frequency time series are now prevalent in financial data. However, models need to be further developed to suit high frequency time series that account for intraday volatilities since traditional volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH are concerned only with daily volatilities. Due to $H{\ddot{o}}rmann$ et al. (2013), functional ARCH abbreviated as fARCH is proposed to analyze intraday volatilities based on high frequency time series. This article introduces fARCH to readers that illustrate intraday volatility configuration on the KOSPI and the Hyundai motor company based on the data with one minute high frequency.