• Title/Summary/Keyword: 과소추정

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Analysis on Characteristics of Radiosonde Sensors Bias Using Precipitable Water Vapor from Sokcho Global Navigation Satellite System Observatory (속초 GNSS 가강수량을 이용한 라디오존데 센서별 편향 분석)

  • Park, Chang-Geun;Cho, Jungho;Shim, Jae-Kwan;Choi, Byoung-Choel
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we compared the Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) data derived from the radiosonde observation at Sokcho observatory and the PWV data at Sokcho Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observatory provided by Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, for the summer of 2007~2014, and analyzed the radiosonde diurnal and rainfall-dependent bias according to radiosonde sensor types. In the scatter diagram of the daytime and nighttime radiosonde PWV data and GNSS PWV data, dry bias was found in the daytime radiosonde observation as known in the previous study and dry bias of RSG-20A sensor was larger than other sensors. Overall, the tendency that the wet bias of the radiosonde PWV increased as GNSS PWV decreased and the dry bias of the radiosonde PWV increased as GNSS PWV increased. The quantitative analysis of the bias and error of the radiosonde PWV data showed that the mean bias decreased in the nighttime except for 2007, 2008 summer. In comparison for summer according to the presence or absence of rainfall, RS92-SGP sensor showed the highest quality.

A Study on the Optimal Sampling for Predicting Failure Rate of One-Shot Weapon Systems (원샷 무기체계 고장률 예측을 위한 최적 샘플링 방안 연구)

  • Ahn, Joo Han;Ma, Jungmok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.366-372
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    • 2020
  • The Army's rocket missile is a one-shot weapon system, which is produced and used for only one mission, and requires high reliability. While reliability analysis with failure data can result in underestimation of the life distribution, reliability analysis with all the non-failure data can result in overestimation of the life distribution. Under or overestimation of the life distribution can lead to cost increase by early disposal or complete observation of all rocket missiles. In order to overcome this problem, the Army suggests the guideline of the number of samples from non-failure data for reliability analysis with failure data. However, the currently used sampling method can generate errors for predicting the failure rate. To solve this problem, this study proposes a new sampling procedure for predicting a future failure rate using non-failure data. The comparison test between the currently used sampling method and the proposed sampling method is conducted and the result shows that the proposed sampling method can predict the future failure rate more accurately.

Egg Production of the Copepod Acartia steueri in Ilkwang Bay, Southeastern Coast of Korea (한국 동해 남부 연안 일광만의 요각류 Acartia steueri의 알 생산력)

  • KANG Hyung-Ku;KANG Yong Joo
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.288-295
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    • 1998
  • Egg production of Acartia steueri was estimated in llkwang Bay, located in the southeastern coast of Korea. The equation, combining fecundity, temperature and chlorophyll a, obtained under the laboratory experiments, was applied to the in situ temperature and chlorophyll a for the estimation of field egg production. Mean egg size was $80.52{\mu}m$. Prosome length of adult females was not correlated with egg size. Egg production of field population ranged from 0.32 to $63.32{\mu}gC\;m^{-3}d^{-1}$ with a mean of $13.33{\mu}gC\;m^{-3}d^{-1}$, which were equivalent to $7.1\~1407.1\;eggs\;m^{-3}d^{-1}$ and $296.1\;eggs\;m^{-3}d^{-1}$, respectively. Fecundity of adult females ranged from 5.4 to $12.5\;eggs\;female^{-1}d{-1}$ with a mean of $8\;eggs\;female^{-1}d^{-1}$. Specific egg production rates ranged from 0.028 to 0.117 $d^{-1}$ with a mean of 0.064 $d^{-1}$. Considering the egg Production ($\%$ female body carbon) as a function of temperature and chlorophlrll a concentration, our results showed rather low fecundity, which might be underestimated. Probable cannibalism of egg by the adults were thought to be pan of the reason for this low estimated fecundity.

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Constructing Transfer Data in Seoul Metropolitan Urban Railway Using Transportation Card (교통카드기반 수도권 도시철도 환승자료 구축방안)

  • Lee, Mee Young;Sohn, Jhieon;Cho, Chong Suk
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2016
  • Public transportation card data, which is collected for purposes of the Integrated Public Transportation Fare System, provides neither transfer time nor transfer frequency occurring on the metropolitan city-rail (MCR). And because there are no transfer toll gates installed on the MCR, data on transfers between lines are estimated through means such as elicitations using survey questionnaire, or otherwise through macroscopic observations, which poses the risk of transfer time and frequencies being underestimated. For the accurate estimation thereof, an explanation of the transit path that arises between the Entry-and Exit-Gates must be provided. The purpose of this research is twofold : 1) to build a transit path model to reflect the current state of transfer movements on the basis of transportation card reader data, and 2) to deduce information on transfers occurring in the greater metropolis. To achieve these aims, the idea of Big Nodes is introduced in the model to align transportation card reader operation system characteristics with those of the MCR network. The link-label method is applied in the model as well to make certain that the MCR network runs in an effective manner. Administrative information obtained by the transportation card reader is used to derive transfer time and frequency both in the city's mid-zones, and in the Seoul-Gyeonggi-Incheon district's large-zones. Public transportation card data from a single specific day in year 2014 is employed in the building of the quantified transfer specific data. Extended usage thereof as providing comprehensive data of transfer resistance on the MCR is also examined.

Comparing Construct and Predictive Validities of the Measurement of Children's Approximate Number Acuity Depending on Numerosity Comparison Task Format (수량 비교 과제의 형식에 따른 아동의 수 민감도 측정치의 구성 타당도 및 예측 타당도 비교)

  • Park, Yunji;Cho, Soohyun
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.159-187
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    • 2014
  • Approximate number sense(hereafter, ANS) is the ability to compare and operate upon numerosity information. The numerosity comparison task is used to measure ANS. However, there is considerable variance among previous reports of ANS acuity which may be related to different task formats used. Here, we aim to investigate whether the format of the numerosity comparison task influences measurements of ANS acuity. We compared two task formats; 1) an intermixed format presenting two intermixed arrays of black and white dots, and 2) a side-by-side format showing two arrays of dots side by side. The intermixed format likely makes additional demands on general cognitive resources for inhibitory control, selective attention, or visuospatial working memory. The performance on the intermixed format was significantly lower than that of the side-by-side format resulting in an underestimation of ANS acuity compared to the expected trajectory of ANS development. In addition, the ANS acuity measured from only the side-by-side format was correlated with children's mathematical achievement and age. Our results demonstrate that measurement of ANS from the side-by-side format has higher construct and predictive validity compared to that of the intermixed format.

Retrieval and Validation of Aerosol Optical Properties Using Japanese Next Generation Meteorological Satellite, Himawari-8 (일본 정지궤도 기상위성 Himawari-8을 이용한 에어로졸 광학정보 산출 및 검증)

  • Lim, Hyunkwang;Choi, Myungje;Kim, Mijin;Kim, Jhoon;Chan, P.W.
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.681-691
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    • 2016
  • Using various satellite measurements in UV, visible and IR, diverse algorithms to retrieve aerosol information have been developed and operated to date. Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) onboard the Himawari 8 weather satellite was launched in 2014 and has 16 channels from visible to Thermal InfRared (TIR) in high temporal and spatial resolution. Using AHI, it is very valuable to retrieve aerosol optical properties over dark surface to demonstrate its capability. To retrieve aerosol optical properties using visible and Near InfRared (NIR) region, surface signal is very important to be removed which can be estimated using minimum reflectivity method. The estimated surface reflectance is then used to retrieve the aerosol optical properties through the inversion process. In this study, we retrieve the aerosol optical properties over dark surface, but not over bright surface such as clouds, desert and so on. Therefore, the bright surface was detected and masked using various infrared channels of AHI and spatial heterogeneity, Brightness Temperature Difference (BTD), etc. The retrieval result shows the correlation coefficient of 0.7 against AERONET, and the within the Expected Error (EE) of 49%. It is accurately retrieved even for low Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD). However, AOD tends to be underestimated over the Beijing Hefei area, where the surface reflectance using the minimum reflectance method is overestimated than the actual surface reflectance.

Estimation of spatial evapotranspiration using Terra MODIS satellite image and SEBAL model in mixed forest and rice paddy area (SEBAL 모형과 Terra MODIS 영상을 이용한 혼효림, 논 지역에서의 공간증발산량 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Yong Gwan;Jung, Chung Gil;Ahn, So Ra;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.227-239
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    • 2016
  • This study is to estimate Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) daily spatial evapotranspiration (ET) comparing with eddy covariance flux tower ET in Seolmacheon mixed forest (SMK) and Cheongmicheon rice paddy (CFK). The SEBAL input data of Albedo, Land Surface Temperature (LST), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from Terra MODIS products and the meteorological data of wind speed, and solar radiation were prepared for 2 years (2012-2013). For the annual average flux tower ET of 302.8 mm in SMK and 482.0 mm in CFK, the SEBAL ETs were 183.3 mm and 371.5 mm respectively. The determination coefficients ($R^2$) of SEBAL ET versus flux tower ET for total periods were 0.54 in SMK and 0.79 in CFK respectively. The main reason of SEBAL ET underestimation for both sites was from the determination of hot pixel and cold pixel of the day and affected to the overestimation of sensible heat flux.

An Analysis of the Relationship between Inherent Optical Properties and Ocean Color Algorithms Around the Korean Waters (한반도 주변의 해수 고유광특성과 해색 알고리즘의 관계 분석)

  • Min, Jee-Eun;Ryu, Joo-Hyung;Park, Young-Je
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.473-490
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    • 2015
  • There are diverse sea areas within the coverage of GOCI which is observed around the Korea at one-hour intervals. It includes not only very clear ocean of East Sea, but also extremely turbid waters of the Yangtze River estuary. In this study, we analyzed the different optical characteristics of various sea areas using absorption coefficients of phytoplankton, Suspended Particulate Matter(SPM), Dissolved Organic Matter(DOM). Totally 959 sets of bio-optical and marine environmental data were obtained from 2009 to 2014 around the sea area of Korea. The East Sea, South Sea, East China Sea and offshore part of Yellow Sea showed similar pattern having high levels of contribution of phytoplankton and DOM. On the other hands, the coastal part of Mokpo and Gyeonggi Bay showed opposite pattern having high levels of contribution of SPM and DOM. As a result of the algorithm performance for chlorophyll-a(Chl-a) and SPM, Chl-a is mostly overestimated and SPM is mainly tended to be underestimated. Large amount of errors are induced by the SPM rather than the chl-a and DOM. These errors are primarily founded in the coastal waters having relatively high levels of $a_{SPM}$ contribution of more than 60%.

Improved Scatter Correction for SPECT Images : A Monte Carlo Simulation Study (SPECT 영상 산란보정 개선: 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Bong, Jung-Kyun;Kim, Hee-Joung;Son, Hye-Kyung;Lee, Jong-Doo;Jung, Hae-Jo
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.163-173
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: Abutted scatter energy windows used for a triple energy window (TEW) method may provide wrong estimation of scatter. This study is to propose an extended TEW (ETEW) method, which doesn't require abutted scatter energy windows and overcomes the shortcomings of TEW method. Materials & Methods: The ETEW is a modification of the TEW which corrects for scatter by using abutted scatter rejection windows, which can overestimate or underestimate scatter. The ETEW is compared to the TEW using Monte Carlo simulated data for point sources as well as hot and cold spheres in a cylindrical water phantom. Various main energy window widths (10 %, 15 % and 20 %) were simulated. Both TEW and ETEW improved image contrast, % recovery coefficients and normalized standard deviation. Results: Both of TEW and ETEW improved image contrast and % recovery coefficients. Estimated scatter components by the TEW were not proportional to the true scatter components over the main energy windows when ones of 10 %, 15 %, and 20 % were simulated. The ETEW linearly estimated scatter components over the width of the main energy windows. Conclusion: We extended the TEW method into the method which could linearly estimate scatter components over the main energy windows.

Evaluation of Kinetic Energy of Raindrops at Daejeon city using Laser-optical Disdrometer (레이저-옵티컬 디스드로미터를 활용한 대전지역의 강우에너지 특성 평가)

  • LIM, Young Shin;KIM, Jong Wook;KIM, Jin Kwan;PARK, Byong Ik
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2012
  • To evaluate the kinetic energy of the raindrops, the drop size distribution and the terminal velocity of the raindrops had been measured from January to September 2010 using the laser-optical disdrometer in KIGAM, Daejeon, Korea. The relationship between kinetic energy (KE) and rainfall intensity (I) was computed as logarithmic and exponential model, respectively, under the rainfall intensity of about 142mm/h. The exponential model is more suitable for the relationship of KE-I than the logarithmic model, because the exponential model presented better fit for KE over 50mm/h of rainfall intensity. Meanwhile, the differences of the total kinetic energy existed in rainfall events with almost same total rainfall depth, and KE values of Daejeon at high rainfall intensity underestimated rather than the others under temperate climate. Therefore, these differences of KE in rainfall events and geographical regions imply the result from the variations of rainfall intensity within a rainfall event.