• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간적자기상관

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Spatial Autocorrelation and the Turnout of the Early Voting and Regular Voting: Analysis of the 21st General Election at Dong in Seoul (공간적 자기상관성과 관내사전투표와 본투표의 투표율: 제21대 총선 서울시 동별 분석)

  • Lim, Sunghack
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2020
  • This study is meaningful in that it is the first analysis of Korean elections using the concept of spatial autocorrelation. Spatial autocorrelation means that an event occurring in one location in space has a high correlation with an event occurring in the surrounding area. The voter turnout rate in the 21st general election of Seoul area was divided into the early-voting turnout and voting-day turnout, and the spatial pattern of the turnout was examined. Most of the previous studies were based on the unit of the precinct and personal data, but this study analyzed on the basis of the lower unit, Eup-myeon-dong, and analyzed using spatial data and aggregate data. Moran I index showed a fairly high spatial autocorrelation of 0.261 in the voting-day turnout, while the index of the early-voting turnout was low at 0.095, indicating that there was little spatial autocorrelation despite statistical significance. The voting-day turnout, which showed strong spatial autocorrelation, was compared and analyzed using the OLS regression model and the spatial statistics model. In the general regression model, the coefficient of determination R2 rose from 0.585261 to 0.656631 in the spatial error model, showing an increase in explanatory power of about 7 percentage points. This means that the spatial statistical model has high explanatory power. The most interesting result is the relationship between the early-voting turnout and the voting-day turnout. The higher the early-voting turnout is, the lower the voting-day turnout is. When the early-voing turnout increases by about 2%, the voting-day turnout drops by about 1%. In this study, the variables affecting the early-voting turnout and the voting-day turnout are very different. This finding is different from the previous researches.

Spatial Distribution of Empty Deserted Houses and Its Implications on the Urban Decline and Regeneration (공폐가 분포 분석을 통한 도시쇠퇴의 공간적 구조 연구: 광주광역시 주거 지역을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hwahwan;Choi, Hyeonggwan;Lee, Minseok;Jang, Munhyun
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.118-135
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    • 2017
  • The decline in urban center, changes in the population structure, economic slump and etc. have caused empty or deserted houses in the city. The government recognizes the houses as the reason for the accelerated formation of local slum, and as the negative element threatening the residential environment, urban landscape, social stability and others. This research aims at investigating the spatial distribution of empty or deserted houses in Gwangju metro city, identifying hotspots and classifying those hotspot according to the socioeconomic indicators as well as physical ones, and examining their characteristics and problems in the urban space. The results of this study are as follows. First of all, there is a positive spatial autocorrelation in the spatial distribution of empty and deserted houses in Gwangju metro city. Second, several hotspots are identified mainly around the old CBD area showing a sign of urban decline. Third, the indicators of urban decline were visualized using triangulation charts, and hotspots of empty(deserted) houses are classified so that the classification could serve for effective urban regeneration policy making tailored for each region.

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An Analysis on the Spatial Pattern of Local Safety Level Index Using Spatial Autocorrelation - Focused on Basic Local Governments, Korea (공간적 자기상관을 활용한 지역안전지수의 공간패턴 분석 - 기초지방자치단체를 중심으로)

  • Yi, Mi Sook;Yeo, Kwan Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2021
  • Risk factors that threaten public safety such as crime, fire, and traffic accidents have spatial characteristics. Since each region has different dangerous environments, it is necessary to analyze the spatial pattern of risk factors for each sector such as traffic accident, fire, crime, and living safety. The purpose of this study is to analyze the spatial distribution pattern of local safety level index, which act as an index that rates the safety level of each sector (traffic accident, fire, crime, living safety, suicide, and infectious disease) for basic local governments across the nation. The following analysis tools were used to analyze the spatial autocorrelation of local safety level index : Global Moran's I, Local Moran's I, and Getis-Ord's G⁎i. The result of the analysis shows that the distribution of safety level on traffic accidents, fire, and suicide tends to be more clustered spatially compared to the safety level on crime, living safety, and infectious disease. As a result of analyzing significant spatial correlations between different regions, it was found that the Seoul metropolitan areas are relatively safe compared to other cities based on the integrated index of local safety. In addition, hot spot analysis using statistical values from Getis-Ord's G⁎i derived three hot spots(Samchuck, Cheongsong-gun, and Gimje) in which safety-vulnerable areas are clustered and 15 cold spots which are clusters of areas with high safety levels. These research findings can be used as basic data when the government is making policies to improve the safety level by identifying the spatial distribution and the spatial pattern in areas with vulnerable safety levels.

An Alternative Method for Assessing Local Spatial Association Among Inter-paired Location Events: Vector Spatial Autocorrelation in Housing Transactions (쌍대위치 이벤트들의 국지적 공간적 연관성을 평가하기 위한 방법론적 연구: 주택거래의 벡터 공간적 자기상관)

  • Lee, Gun-Hak
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.564-579
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    • 2008
  • It is often challenging to evaluate local spatial association among onedimensional vectors generally representing paired-location events where two points are physically or functionally connected. This is largely because of complex process of such geographic phenomena itself and partially representational complexity. This paper addresses an alternative way to identify spatially autocorrelated paired-location events (or vectors) at a local scale. In doing so, we propose a statistical algorithm combining univariate point pattern analysis for evaluating local clustering of origin-points and similarity measure of corresponding vectors. For practical use of the suggested method, we present an empirical application using transactions data in a local housing market, particularly recorded from 2004 to 2006 in Franklin County, Ohio in the United States. As a result, several locally characterized similar transactions are identified among a set of vectors showing various local moves associated with communities defined.

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The Measurements of Locational Effects in Land Price Prediction with the Spatial Statistical Analysis (공간통계분석을 이용한 지가의 입지값 측정에 관한 연구)

  • 이지영;황철수
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.233-246
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively measure the effect of location in evaluating the land value through the implementation of GIS coupled with spatial statistical analysis. We assumed that the hedonic price model, which was commonly used in modelling the land value, could not explain the spatial factor effectively. In order to add the spatial factor, the analysis of the spatial autocorrelation was used. The present project used 54 standard land price samples from 1421 parcel land values and applied Kriging to predict stochastically the unsampled values on the basis of spatial autocorrelation between location of vector data. This study confirms that the spatial variogram analysis has an advantage of predicting spatial dependence process and revealing the positive premium and the negative penality on location factor objectively.

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Testing Spatial Autocorrelation of Burn Severity (산불 피해강도의 공간 자기상관성 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo;Won, Myoung-Soo;Lee, Hyun-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.2
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to test presence of spatial autocorrelation of burn severity in Uljin and Youngduk areas burned in 2011. SPOT satellite images were used to compute the NDVI representing burn severity, and NDVI values were sampled for 5,000 randomly dispersed points for each site. Spatial autocorrelations of sampled NDVI values were analyzed with Moran's I and Variogram models. Moran's I values of burn severity in Uljin and Youngduk areas were 0.7745 and 0.7968, respectively, indicating presence of strong spatial autocorrelations. On the basis of Variogram and changes of Moran's I values by lag class, ideal sampling distance were proposed, which were 566-2,151 m for Uljin and 272-402 m for Youngduk. It was recommended to apply these ranges of sampling distance in flexible corresponding to Anisotropic characteristics of burned areas.

Application of Spatial Autocorrelation for the Spatial Distribution Pattern Analysis of Marine Environment - Case of Gwangyang Bay - (해양환경 공간분포 패턴 분석을 위한 공간자기상관 적용 연구 - 광양만을 사례 지역으로 -)

  • Choi, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Kye-Hyun;Lee, Chul-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.60-74
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    • 2007
  • For quantitative analysis of spatio-temporal distribution pattern on marine environment, spatial autocorrelation statistics on the both global and local aspects was applied to the observed data obtained from Gwangyang Bay in South Sea of Korea. Global indexes such as Moran's I and General G were used for understanding environmental distribution pattern in the whole study area. LISAs (local indicators of spatial association) such as Moran's I ($I_i$) and $G_i{^*}$ were considered to find similarity between a target feature and its neighborhood features and to detect hot spot and/or cold spot. Additionally, the significance test on clustered patterns by Z-scores was carried out. Statistical results showed variations of spatial patterns quantitatively in the whole year. Then all of general water quality, nutrients, chlorophyll-a and phytoplankton had strong clustered pattern in summer. When global indexes showed strong clustered pattern, the front region with a negative $I_i$ which means a strong spatial variation was observed. Also, when global indexes showed random pattern, hot spot and/or cold spot were/was found in the small local region with a local index $G_i{^*}$. Therefore, global indexes were useful for observing the strength and time series variations of clustered patterns in the whole study area, and local indexes were useful for tracing the location of hot spot and/or cold spot. Quantification of both spatial distribution pattern and clustering characteristics may play an important role to understand marine environment in depth and to find the reasons for spatial pattern.

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Analysing Spatial Usage Characteristics of Shared E-scooter: Focused on Spatial Autocorrelation Modeling (공유 전동킥보드의 공간적 이용특성 분석: 공간자기상관모형을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sujae;Koack, Minjung;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Sanghun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.54-69
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    • 2021
  • Policy improvement such as the revision of the Road Traffic Act are proposed for personal mobility(especially e-scooter) usage. However, there is not enough discussion to solve the problem of using shared e-scooter. In this study, we analyze the influencing factors that amount of pick-up and drop-off of shared e-scooter by dividing the Seoul into a 200m grid. we develop spatial auotcorrelation model such as spatial lag model, spatial error model, spatial durbin model, and spatial durbin error model in order to consider the characteristics of the aggregated data based on a specific space, and the spatial durbin error model is selected as the final model. As a result, demographic factor, land use factor, and transport facility factors have statistically significant impacts on usage of shared e-scooter. The result of this study will be used as basic data for suggesting efficient operation strategies considering the characteristics of weekday and weekend.

Analysis on the Characteristics of Urban Decline Using GIS and Spatial Statistical Method : The Case of Gwangju Metropolitan City (GIS와 공간통계기법을 활용한 도시쇠퇴 특성 분석 - 광주광역시를 중심으로 -)

  • Jang, Mun-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.424-438
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    • 2016
  • In an effort to prevent urban decline and hollowing-out phenomenon and to vitalize stagnant local economy, a new urban regeneration paradigm is on the rise. This study aims to analyze urban decline characteristics using the spatial statistical method and GIS on the basis of decline standards in the Urban Regeneration Special Act, and spatial autocorrelation technique. The Gwangju Metropolitan City was set as a research target, and the decline standards in the Urban Regeneration Special Act - population reduction, business declines, and outworn buildings - were applied as the indicator to secure the objectivity. In particular, this study has a distinctive feature from the other existing ones, as applying GIS and the spatial statistical technique, in a sense to make urban decline characteristics analysis by the spatial autocorrelation technique. The overall analysis procedure was carried out by applying the standards of designating urban regeneration regions, and following the spatial exploratory procedure step by step. Therefore, the spatial statistical method procedure and the urban decline characteristics analysis data being presented in this study, as the results, are expected to contribute to the urban decline diagnosis at the level of metropolitan city, as well as to provide useful information for spatial decision making in accordance with urban regeneration.

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Bayesian spatial analysis of obesity proportion data (비만율 자료에 대한 베이지안 공간 분석)

  • Choi, Jungsoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1203-1214
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    • 2016
  • Obesity is a risk factor for various diseases as well as itself a disease and associated with socioeconomic factors. The obesity proportion has been increasing in Korea over about 15 years so that investigation of the socioeconomic factors related with obesity is important in terms of preventation of obesity. In particular, the association between obesity and socioeconomic status varies with gender and has spatial dependency. In the paper, we estimate the effects of socioeconomic factors on obesity proportion by gender, considering the spatial correlation. Here, a conditional autoregressive model under the Bayesian framework is used in order to take into account the spatial dependency. For the real applicaiton, we use the obestiy proportion dataset at 25 districts of Seoul in 2010. We compare the proposed spatial model with a non-spatial model in terms of the goodness-of-fit and prediction measures so the spatial model performs well.