• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강우깊이-지속시간

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Analysis of behavior by duration of extreme rainfall based on radar precipitation data (레이더 강수 데이터 기반 극한 강우의 지속시간별 거동 분석)

  • Soohyun Kim;Dongkyun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.116-116
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    • 2023
  • 대규모 댐과 같은 수공구조물의 파괴시 상당한 피해가 발생하므로 구조물설계시 가능최대강수량(PMP) 기준이 적용된다. 포락선 방법은 가장 극심했던 강우량의 포락선을 작성하여 PMP를 산정하는 방법으로 기상 및 강수량자료가 부족시 PMP 추정이 어려운 경우에 사용한다. 포락선의 근사식은 지속시간의 거듭제곱인 멱함수 형태로 나타내며, 우리나라의 경우 1일을 전후로 계수와 차수가 다른 식을 사용한다. 이러한 근사식은 우리나라의 이상홍수 발생빈도 및 규모가 커짐에 따라 검토될 필요성이 있다. 또한, PMP 산정시 활용하는 제한된 수의 지상관측자료는 시공간적 변동성을 완전히 포착할 수 없어 한계가 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 한계를 극복하기 위하여 기상레이더 자료를 기반으로 우리나라 전역의 최대 강우깊이-지속시간 관계를 분석 및 새로운 PMP 포락선을 제시한다. 활용한 레이더는 CMAX(Column Maximum)로 2009~2018년간 10분 단위자료를 수집하였다. 레이더 자료와 비교하기 위하여 지상관측자료 AWS를 함께 수집하였다. AWS는 1997~2022년간 1분 단위자료로 우리나라 전역의 547개 지점관측자료를 활용하였다. 레이더자료는 Z-R 관계식으로 변환하여 가외치(outlier)를 제거 및 보정하였다. 그 후, 정규 크리깅기법으로 생성한 지상관측 강우장과 병합하는 CM(Conditional Merging)기법을 적용하였다. 우리나라 최대 강우깊이-지속시간 관계를 산정한 결과, 기존 포락선의 값이 낮게 산정되었음을 확인하였다. 이는 기후변화 등에 따라 최근 극한 호우가 발생한 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 실제 근사식은 멱함수 거동에서 벗어난 형태로 나타났고, 지점관측자료가 기상레이더 값보다 과소추정되는 경향을 확인하였다. 특히 같은 기간에서 확인하였을 때, 강우지속시간이 짧을수록 AWS값과 레이더자료의 강수량이 2배 정도 차이를 보여 지점관측소가 없는 지역의 국지성 호우 존재를 확인할 수 있었다. 추후, 미래에 더 긴 레이더 시계열을 사용한다면, 더욱 신뢰성 있는 자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단한다.

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Numerical Study on the Variation of Slope Stability for the Embankment Formed by Unsaturated Dredging Soils during Rainfall (강우시 불포화 준설토로 형성된 제방의 사면안정성 변화에 대한 수치해석적 연구)

  • You, Seung-Kyong;Song, Young-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the variation of wetting front and ground water level at the embankment constructed in the Saemangeum area were predicted considering rainfall duration times and the slope stability analysis of the embankment was carried out according to prediction results of wetting front and ground water level. The embankment was formed by dredging soils. A suction stress, a cohesion and a frictional angle of dreding soils measured by soil tests were applied to estimate the unsaturated soil properties. According to the analysis results of the wetting front and the ground water level for various rainfall duration time, the wetting front began to descend from the upper part of embankment at the beginning time of rainfall and after 1 hour of rainfall duration time. After that, the ground water level continued to ascend as the rainfall duration time was getting longer. After rainfall, the ground water level was distributed at a certain depth, and the ground water level was gradually descending as time goes by. According to the slope stability analysis of the embankment considering the variation of the wetting front and the ground water level, the safety factor of slope was rapidly reduced as the rainfall began to infiltrate into the ground, and the minimum safety factor of slope was estimated after 24 hours of rainfall duration time. Meanwhile, the safety factor of slope was increased with regaining the matric suction in the ground after rainfall.

Surficial Stability Evaluation of Homogeneous Slopes Considering Rainfall Characteristics (강우특성을 고려한 사면의 표면파괴에 대한 안정성 평가)

  • 조성은;이승래
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2000
  • 강우에 의한 얕은 사면파괴는 우리 나라에서 흔히 볼수 있는 사면파괴의 형태이다. 본 연구에서는 재현기간에 따른 강우강도와 지속시간을 고려한 한계평형법에 의하여 이러한 얕은 사면파괴의 가능성을 평가하기 위함 방법에 대하여 논의하였다. 이를 위해 일차원 침투모델인 Green-Ampt 모델에 바탕을 둔 두 방법을 고려하였다. 즉 침투능에 따른 침투깊이를 산정하는 Pradel과 Raad의 방법과 일정한(uniform) 강우강도가 작용할 경우 폰딩(ponding)에 대해 해를 주는 Mein과 Larson의 방법을 고려하여 함수특성이 알려진 화강풍화토사면에 적용하였다. 연구결과에 의하며 Pradel과 Raad 방법은 실제 적용된 강우강도가 아닌 침투능을 바탕으로 침투깊이를 산정하므로 Mein과 Larson 방법에 비해 보수적인 사면안정 해석결과를 예측한다.

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Spatio-Temporal Drought Quantification using Severity-Area-Frequency Curve (가뭄심도-영향면적-지속기간곡선을 이용한 가뭄의 시공간적 정량화)

  • Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kim, Sang-Dan;Kyoung, Min-Soo;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1991-1995
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 제반 수문학적 문제 해결을 위하여 강우사상에 대해 최대평균우량깊이-유역면적-지속기간 관계곡선의 항목 중 최대평균우량깊이를 가뭄심도의 항으로 대체한 가뭄심도-영향면적-지속기간 관계 곡선의 작성방법을 제시하고자 한다. 제주도를 포함한 우리나라 전역의 기상청 월강수량을 이용하여 SPI 가뭄지수를 산정하고 EOF 기법을 적용하여 공간정보로 축약하였다. 이후 Kriging 기법으로 $6km{\times}6km$의 해상도를 가진 SPI값으로 할당함으로써 격자기반의 가뭄지수 자료의 시간 및 공간특성을 고려할 수 있다. 이에 근거하여 주요 가뭄사상을 식별 및 분석하여 영향면적별 가뭄지수를 산정하고 이에 따라 가뭄심도-가뭄면적-가뭄지속기간 관계곡선을 도시하였다. 관계곡선 작성 결과 각 지속기간에 대하여 특정한 면적 이상에서 가뭄심도가 완만하게 감소하는 형태를 보여 공간적 국지성 및 시간적 단속성이 강한 홍수와는 시 공간적으로 다르게 거동되고 있었으며 가뭄심도의 면적에 따른 감소율은 가뭄분석시의 강우깊이의 면적에 따른 감소율과 비교하였을 때 훨씬 작은 것으로 분석되었다.

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Numerical Analysis of the Seepage from and Stability of a Mine Waste-dump Slope during Rainfall (강우시 광산폐기물 적치사면의 침투 및 안정성에 대한 수치해석)

  • Song, Young-Suk
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2015
  • A numerical analysis was performed of the seepage from and stability of a mine waste-dump slope in Imgi, Busan, considering rainfall intensity. The 40-45° slope angle of the waste dump is relatively steep, and the depth of the waste dump down to bedrock is 7-8 m. The groundwater level was 6.6 m below the surface. Various laboratory tests on samples obtained from the waste dump were performed to determine the input data for seepage and stability analyses of the waste-dump slope during rainfall. The results of seepage analysis for various rainfall intensities using the SEEP/W program show that the wetting front moved down with increasing rainfall duration. When the rainfall intensity was > 50 mm/ hour and the duration was > 24 hours, the waste dump became fully saturated because the wetting front reached the groundwater level. The results of slope stability analysis coupled with seepage analysis using the SLOPE/W program show that the safety factor of the slope decreased as the wetting front moved down due to rainfall infiltration. After continuous rainfall for 5-6 hours, the safety factor of the slope suddenly decreased but then recovered and converged. The sudden decrease was induced by an increase in pore-water pressure and a decrease in matric suction down to a certain depth as the wetting front approached the potential sliding surface.

Shallow Failure Characteristics of Weathered Granite Soil Slope in accordance with the Rainfall Infiltration (강우침투에 따른 화강풍화토 사면의 얕은파괴 특성)

  • Kim, Sun-Hak
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.2810-2818
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    • 2009
  • In order to examine the characteristic of shallow failure in cut slopes composed of weathered granite soil, this study calculated critical permeability coefficient according to rainfall characteristic in Korea, performed stability analysis according to the representative physical properties of weathered granite soil distributed in Korea such as horizontal distance to the failure surface of cut slope, slope inclination, slope height, and the depth of wetting by rainfall, and analyzed the results. In the results of analyzing critical permeability coefficient, when the local rainfall characteristic was considered, the maximum critical permeability coefficient was $7.16{\times}10^{-4}cm/sec$. We judged that shallow failure according to wetting depth should be considered when rainfall below the critical rainfall intensity lasts longer than the minimum rainfall duration in cut slopes composed of weathered granite soil, which had a critical permeability coefficient lower than the maximum critical permeability coefficient. Furthermore, using simulated failure surface, this study could understand the characteristic of shallow failure in cut slopes based on the change in slope safety factor according to horizontal distance, wetting depth, and strength parameter.

Application of Grid-based DAD Analysis Program According to Rainfall Spatial Distribution Technique (공간보간 기법에 따른 격자기반 DAD 분석 프로그램 적용)

  • Kim, Young-Kyu;Yu, Wan-Sik;Jeong, An-Chul;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.191-211
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    • 2017
  • Assessment of a storm is accomplished by the duration and storm area rather than a simple analysis given by the ground rain gauge stations. One of the best method for assessing storm is Depth-Area-Duration(DAD) of rainfall analysis. but existing DAD analysis method is likely to possible errors. Therefore, DAD analysis and its applicability were examined using a grid-based DAD analysis program that can reduce the possibility of errors in this study. Three spatial distribution techniques were used to analyze the applicability. Then, DAD analysis was performed using the converted grid-based rainfall data. As a result, it was possible to estimate the MAAR values by area for each duration, and showed high applicability in the rainfall data using ordinary kriging technique.

Effect of Hysteresis on Soil-Water Characteristic Curve in Weathered Granite and Gneiss Soil Slopes during Rainfall Infiltration (풍화계열 사면의 불포화 함수특성곡선 이력이 강우 침투에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Gil-Ho;Park, Seong-Wan
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2006
  • Shallow failures of slopes in weathered soils are caused by infiltration caused by prolonged rainfall. These failures are mainly triggered by the deepening of the wetting band accompanied by a decrease in suction induced by the water infiltration. In this paper, hysteresis on soil-water characteristic curve (SWCC) of granite and gneiss weathered soils is investigated using transient flow analysis respectively. Each case was subjected to artificial rainfall intensities and time duration depending on the laboratory-based drying and wetting processes. The results show that the unsaturated seepage on weathered slopes are very much affected by the initial suction of soils and unsaturated permeability of the soils. In addition, a granite weathered soil has a lower air-entry value, residual matric suction, and wetting front suction and less hysteresis loop than a gneiss weathered soil.

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Droughts in Korea: Construction of Drought Severity-Area-Duration Curves (가뭄의 시공간적 분포 특성 연구: 가뭄심도-가뭄면적-가뭄지속기간 곡선의 작성)

  • Kim, Bo Kyung;Kim, Sang Dan;Lee, Jae Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1B
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2006
  • The rainfall depth-area-duration analysis which is used to characterize precipitation extremes for specification of so-called design storms, provides a basis for evaluation of drought severity when storm depth is replaced by an appropriate measure of drought severity. So we propose a method for constructing drought severity-area-duration curves in this study. Monthly precipitation data over the whole Korea are used to compute SPI. Such SPIs are abstracted to several independent spatial components from EOF analysis. Using Kriging method, these spatial components are used to constitute grid-based SPI data set over the whole Korea including Jeju island with $6km{\times}6km$ resolution. After identifying main drought events, the drought severity-area-duration curves for these events over 32-year period of record are finally constructed. As a result, such curves show the similar shape with storm-based curves in the sense that the drought severity (or rainfall depth) is inversely proportional to drought area from the curves, but drought-based curves are different from storm-based curves in the sense that the drought severity decreasing rate with respect to drought area is much less than depth decreasing rate.

Stability Analysis of Unsaturated Weathered Soil Slopes Considering Rainfall Duration (지속강우특성에 따른 불포화 풍화토사면의 안정성분석)

  • Jeong, Sang-Seom;Choi, Jae-Young;Lee, Jae-Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1C
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the influence of wetting band depth by continuous rainfall and the magnitude of wetting front suction on the stability of slopes in weathered soils were investigated by using finite element programs SEEP/W and SLOPE/W. Three different intensities of rainfall (10mm/hr, 30mm/hr, 50mm/hr) were chosen, and the total duration of rainfall was 96 hours. Three infinite slopes with the inclination of 1:1.5 and 1:1.8, 1:2.0 were considered and the typical properties and the shear strength parameters of the weathered soil were applied. It is shown that rainfall duration plays an important role in slope stability. Based on the analytical results, it is found that as the rainfall duration increases, the wetting band depth also increases. Also, the increasing rate of the wetting band depth was decreased as the soil density was increased. These results come from the decrease of the coefficient of permeability and the increase of the soil suction. Finally, it is also shown that the safety factors of slopes by unsaturated analysis are mostly larger than those by saturated analysis. Therefore, commonly used saturated analysis may substantially underestimate the degree of safety factor in realistic situations.