• Title/Summary/Keyword: 가계소득감소

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Economic Impact Analysis of Hydrogen Energy Deployment Applying Dynamic CGE Model (동태 CGE 모형을 활용한 수소에너지 보급의 경제적 영향 추정)

  • Bae, Jeong-Hwan;Cho, Gyeong-Lyeob
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.275-311
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    • 2007
  • Hydrogen energy is emphasized as a substitutable energy of carbon-based energy system in the future, since it is non-depletable and clean energy. Long term vision of Korean government on the national energy system is to promote hydrogen energy by 15% of final energy demand until 2040. This study analyzes economic impacts of hydrogen energy development employing a dynamic CGE model for Korea. Frontier technology such as hydrogen energy is featured as slow diffusion at the initial stage due to the learning effect and energy complementarity. Without government intervention, hydrogen energy would be produced upto 6.5% of final energy demand until 2040. However, if government subsidizes sales price of hydrogen energy by 10%, 20%, and 30%, share of hydrogen energy would increase 9.2%, 15.2%, and 37.7% of final energy demand. This result shows that the slow diffusion problem of hydrogen energy as frontier technology could be figured out by market incentive policy. On the other hand, production levels of transportation sector would increase while growth rate of oil and electricity sectors would decline. Household consumption would be affected negatively since increase of consumption due to the price decrease would be overwhelmed by income reduction owing to the increase of tax. Overall, GDP would not decrease or increase significantly since total production, investment, and export would increase even if household consumption declines.

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새해기상도 - 2017년 거시경제 전망

  • Min, Seong-Hwan;Gang, Du-Yong
    • The Optical Journal
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    • s.167
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2017
  • 최근 국내 실물경기는 수출 부진이 지속되는 가운데 건설투자 중심으로 내수가 완만하게 증가하는 추이를 보이고 있다. 내수는 설비투자가 부진한 반면 건설투자가 높은 증가세를 보이면서 전체 성장을 주도하고 있고, 민간소비는 완만한 증가세를 지속하고 있다. 수출은 전년에 이어 감소세가 지속 중이나, 금년들어 감소폭이 줄어들고 있다. 전체적으로 수출 부진에 따른 성장 둔화를 건설투자가 보전하는 구조로, 경제성장의 건설투자 의존이 심화되는 특징을 보이고 있다. 2017년 세계경제는 완만한 회복세가 이어지면서 전년보다 소폭 높은 성장을 보일 것으로 예상된다. 선진권의 경우 비교적 꾸준하고 완만한 성장세가 이어질 것이나, 중국은 완만한 성장 둔화 추이가 이어질 전망이다. 유가는 세계경제의 소폭 개선과 OPEC의 감산 합의 등으로 2017년 중 평균 배럴당 50달러 내외로 높아질 전망이며, 원/달러 환율은 연중 비교적 높은 변동성을 보이겠지만, 연평균 기준으로 전년과 비슷한 수준(1,150원대)이 예상된다. 2017년 국내경제는 수출 부진이 다소 완화되겠지만, 2016년 경제성장을 견인해 온 건설투자 증가세가 크게 둔화되고 구조조정 등이 민간소비 증가를 제약하면서 전년보다 약간 낮은 2.5% 내외 성장을 보일 것으로 예상된다. 전기비로는 상${\cdot}$하반기 비슷한 성장이 예상되지만, 전년 패턴의 기저효과로 전년동기비 성장률은 소폭의 上低下高 흐름이 예상된다. 대외적으로는 미국 신정부의 정책 기조와 연준의 금리인상, 중국의 성장 둔화 폭 확대 가능성 등이, 국내적으로는 가계부채 문제와 구조조정 여파 등이 주요 변수로 작용할 전망이다. 부문별로 살펴보면 민간소비는 유가 반등에 따른 소득 증가세 둔화, 가계부채 부담, 구조조정 여파 등이 제약요인으로 작용하면서 전년보다 소폭 낮은 연간 2% 내외의 증가세가 예상된다. 설비투자는 수출 부진의 완화에 힘입어 소폭 증가세가 예상되며, 건설투자는 전년의 높은 증가에 따른 기저효과와 건설규제 등에 따라 증가세가 크게 둔화될 전망이다. 수출은 세계경제의 소폭 개선과 유가 반등에 따른 단가 하락세 진정 등으로 증가세로 돌아설 것이나, 매우 완만한 흐름이 예상된다. 2017년 수출은 2.1%, 수입은 3.6% 증가하면서 무역수지는 전년보다 약간 줄어든 857억 달러의 흑자를 보일 전망이다.

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Analysis of Chinese Consumer Preference of Country of Origin for Apples based on National Organic Certification (사과의 국가별 유기인증 결합에 대한 중국 소비자 선호분석)

  • Kwon, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jeong-Nyeon;Hong, Na-Kyoung;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates the effect of organic certification of apples on consumer preference in China as a way to support the expanded export of Korean apples to China. A choice experiment was designed to analyze the apple consumption in China. A total of 298 Chinese consumers answered the survey, and multinomial logit models were used to analyze the results. Organic certification was identified as an important determinant of consumer preference for apples in China, affecting both the evaluation and choice of country of origin. The results also indicated that Korean organic certification significantly increased the probability of Chinese consumers choosing Korean apples. Thus, organic certification by the Korean government should be strengthened to promote apple exports to China, plus the results of this study may provide useful information to promote agricultural product exports and improve the organic certification system.

An Analysis on the Anti-poverty Effectiveness of Public and Private Income Transfers; After the Enactment of National Basic Livelihood Security Act (공적 이전과 사적 이전의 빈곤 감소 효과 분석 : 기초생활보장제도 도입 이후를 중심으로)

  • Hong, Kyung-Zoon
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.50
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    • pp.61-85
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    • 2002
  • Using the 2001 Family Income and Expenditure Survey micro-data, this study analyses the anti-poverty effectiveness of public and private income transfers. In this study, the anti-poverty effectiveness of income transfers is summarized in two ways; 1) the poverty reduction effect of the income transfers, and 2) the poverty reduction efficiency of the income transfers. The poverty reduction effects are measured with several poverty indices including the head-count ratio, poverty gap, and Sen index. Using Beckerman's model, this study also analyses the poverty reduction efficiency of income transfers. This analysis documents substantial differences in the anti-poverty effectiveness of public and private income transfers. Although the private income transfers contribute more to reduce the head-count poverty ratio and Sen index than public income transfers, their differences are significantly reduced after the enactment of National Basic Livelihood Security Act. The results also reveal that the anti-poverty effectiveness of public and private income transfers vary by the types of families. In families headed by elderly and working aged, private income transfers have more anti-poverty effectiveness. But, public income transfers contribute more to reduce poverty than private income transfers among families headed by single adults with children. The results of this study suggest that recent changes in anti-poverty policies in Korea have been strengthened the Government's responsibility. And more importantly, to effectively reduce poverty among the poor families, anti-poverty polices must be designed to consider different family types.

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Effects of Fiscal Policy on Labor Markets: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis (조세·재정정책이 노동시장에 미치는 영향: 동태적 일반균형분석)

  • Kim, Sun-Bin;Chang, Yongsung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.185-223
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    • 2008
  • This paper considers a heterogeneous agent dynamic general equilibrium model and analyzes effects of an increase in labor income tax rate on labor market and the aggregate variables in Korea. The fiscal policy regarding how the government uses the additional tax revenue may take the two forms: 1) general transfer and 2) earned income tax credit (EITC). The model features are as follows: 1) Workers are heterogeneous in their productivity. 2)Labor is indivisible, hence the analysis focuses on the variation in labor supply through the extensive margin in response to a change in fiscal policy. 3) The incomplete markets are introduced, so individual workers can not perfectly insure themselves against risks related to stochastic changes in income or employment status. 4) The model is of general equilibrium, hence it is equiped to analyze the feedback effect of changes in aggregate variables on individual workers' decisions. In the case of general transfer policy, the government equally distributes the additional tax revenue to all workers regardless of their employment states. Under this policy, an increase in the labor income tax rate dampens work incentives of individual workers so that the aggregate employment rate decreases by 1% compared with the benchmark economy. In the case of EITC policy, only employed workers whose labor incomes are below a certain EITC ceiling are eligible for the EITC benefits. Unlike the general transfer policy, the EITC induces low-income workers to participate the labor market to be eligible for EITC benefits. Hence, the aggregate employment rate may increase by 2.7% at the maximum. As the EITC ceiling increases, too many workers can collect the EITC but the benefits per worker becomes too little so that the increase in employment rate is negligible. By and large, this study demonstrates that EITC may effectively raise the aggregate employment rate, and that it can be a useful policy tool in response to the decrease in the labor force due to population aging as observed in Korea recently.

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Perception of Native and Prohibitive Foods in Hansan - Do Area (한산도 지역의 향토음식과 금기식품에 대한 인식)

  • 박영선
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the kinds of native and prohibitive foods in Hansan-Do area. The kinds of the prohibitive foods and the reason prohibiting those from pregnant or lactating woman, fisherman and sick people were surveyed by using a guestionnaire from 1994 to 1998. The results showed that Chungmu Gimbab was perceived highly as a native foods and the reason for prohibiting specific foods was not based on scientific evidences.

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Poverty Reduction Effectiveness and Efficiency of Social Security Benefits (사회보장급여의 빈곤완화 효과성 및 효율성)

  • Noh, Hye-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effectiveness and efficiency of social security benefits to poverty alleviation. To this end, this study analyzed the poverty alleviation effect of public pension, basic pension, child-rearing allowance, disability allowance, basic living security subsidy, EITC, and other government subsidies using 2019 Household Financial Welfare Survey. The analysis results are as follows. First, social security benefits lowered the poverty rate by 6.8%p. Second, in terms of the poverty gap reduction effect, the public pension for the elderly male households, the basic pension for the elderly female householder, and the basic guarantee for the working female householder contributed the most. Finally, in terms of poverty alleviation efficiency, about 33% of social security benefits contribute to narrowing the poverty gap. Social security benefits for female heads of households were found to serve as a function of alleviating poverty gap and for male heads of households to supplement household income. Based on these results, this study suggested the discovery of various poverty states, expansion of basic security for the female elderly, and the connection between the purpose of social security benefits and key targets.

Socioeconomic Determinants of Suicide Rate in Korea (경제적 양극화와 자살의 상관성: 1997년 외환위기를 전후하여)

  • Eun, Ki-Soo
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.97-129
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    • 2005
  • Korean society recently witnesses a rapid lllcrease of suicide across all ages. In particular, suicide in old ages jumps up ill a very unexpected way. Furthermore, the order of suicide in the cause of death across all ages is becoming higher and higher in Korea. This study provides details of suicide that occurs in Korean society with the comparison to that of Japan at the descriptive level. It is not well known why suicide in Korean surges recently. Several previous research show the possibility that surging suicide is closely related to the worsened economic conditions especially since the economic crisis in 1997. They adopt economic growth, unemployment rate, income distribution, household finance index as economic indicators in their research. This study also adopts those indicators and conducts a correlation analysis in two periods, 1990-1997 and 1998-2004. It is found that there is no correlation between economic indicators and suicide in the period of 1990-1997. On the other hand, there is a very strong correlation between income distribution and suicide in the period of 1998-2004. Other economic indicators except income distribution does not have any significant correlation with suicide. This finding suggests that currently increasing suicide in Korea may be a result of economic polarization, which has been worsened since the economic crisis in 1997.

Portfolio of Real Estate Price Index for ICT Environment Study on Diversification Effect (ICT 환경에서 부동산 가격지수 포트폴리오 분산효과에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Dae-Seub;Min, Guy-Sik
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2014
  • ICT environment to the survey released by the Bureau of Statistics 2012 Household Finance. Korean Welfare survey 24.9% of all households in financial assets, real estate is about three times more than 69.9%, respectively. The problem is that the information is slow and income deciles(deciles 1-4), a relatively high proportion of households with low(78.8 to 69%) of the real estate assets of the expansion of the world economy with low growth and low uncertainty, work from home due to the information changes in the structure of the economy, such as increases in real estate prices remain exposed to the risk of a phenomenon such as Pour House Pour Talent and low-income people is bound to be more serious symptoms. This low correlation is by constructing a composite asset portfolio, the weighted average risk of the individual assets while increasing overall revenue decrease that risk is based on the principle of portfolio by type and different areas in the ICT environment in a portfolio of real estate price index low correlation to financial assets by including the effect of dispersion stable complex asset portfolio and empirical Growth was divided.

The Study on for Economic Stress And Quality of Life with Stroke Patients (뇌졸중 환자의 경제적 스트레스와 삶의 질에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Geol;Lee, Moo-Sik;Shin, Won-Seob;Lee, Byoung-Kwon;Lee, Dong-Yeop
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2009.12a
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    • pp.484-486
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 본 연구는 입원중인 뇌졸중 환자들이 겪는 경제적 스트레스 및 우울이 삶의 질에 미치는 영향을 알아보기 위해 대전에 소재하고 있는 대학병원, 종합병원, 재활센터 등에서 치료를 받고 있는 뇌졸중환자 209명으로 하였다. 자료수집방법은 각각 구조화된 설문지를 통해 1:1 면접조사를 실시하였다. 연구도구는 경제적-불편감척도(Gore, 1978)와 Arruda J.E가 개발한 시각상사척도와 GHO-60(Goldberg, 1972), MOS SF-36(Ware 등, 1992)을 김건엽(2002)이 표준화한 23문항 중 삶의 질을 측정하는 12문항을 수정, 변경하여 사용하였다. 수집된 자료는 SPSS(Statistical for the Social Science)12.0을 이용하여 분석하였고, 뇌졸중 환자의 일반적 특성, 물리치료 관련 특성, 질병 관련 특성, 경제적 스트레스, 독립변수로 빈도와 백분율, 평균과 표준편차를 구하고, 전체 연구 대상자의 기술 역학적 특성을 파악하기 위하여 기술통계와 일반적 특성, 물리치료, 질병관련 특성에 따른 환자의 경제적 스트레스, 우울, 삶의 질과의 차이를 알아보기위해 t-검정과 일원분산분석(analysis of variance, ANOVA)을 사용하였다. 발병 후 가계수입(p<0.05), 재정적 압박 수준(p<0.01), 삶의 질(p>0.05), 생활수준(p<0.05)이 통계적으로 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 감정상태가 낮고 생활수준과 재정적 압박 정도가 매우 심할 경우 더 유의하게 경제적 스트레스 점수가 높게 나왔다. 이는 뇌졸중환자가 겪는 경제적 스트레스 요인이 우울과 함께 중요한 영향을 미치며,인구분석학적 결과를 보더라도 가구의 소득수준이 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 건강에 대한 재정적 부담, 가족으로부터 소외 일과에의 영향, 올가미를 쓴 느낌 이상의 결과로 볼 때 본 연구에서는 시각적 감정 상태, 재정적 압박상태, 우울, 생활수준, 질병 관련 특성, 삶의 질을 위주로 하여 경제적 스트레스 관련 요인을 살펴본 결과 후속연구에서는 보다 정확한 경제적 부담 수준을 측정하고 더불어 보다 객관적인 경제적 스트레스를 측정할 수 있는 도구를 이용하여 조사를 한다면 임상적으로 중요한 자료가 될 것이다. 또한 뇌졸중 환자의 경제적 스트레스를 감소하고 삶의 질 수준을 증진시킬 수 있는 치료적 중재의 개발이 절실히 요구된다.

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