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Industrial Structure and Development of Welfare State : Using Fuzzy-set Analysis

산업구조와 복지국가 발달 관계에 관한 연구 : Fuzzy-set 질적 비교분석을 활용하여

  • Jung, Yuiryong (Dept. of Public Administration, Korea National University of Tranportation)
  • Received : 2018.10.11
  • Accepted : 2019.01.08
  • Published : 2019.02.28

Abstract

The industrialization theory that industry and economic development of country has an important influence on the development of the welfare state had become a major theory explaining the development of the welfare state. However, the theory of industrialization faced criticism that the size of public welfare was relatively weak even in advanced industrial countries where industrialization developed. To complement and explain these limitations, The theory of democracy that the welfare state could be expanded as a strategy for election competition, and the theory of power-resources theory that welfare states could develop when the power of unions and left parties demanding welfare states were strengthened. This study uses Fuzzy-set analysis for the data of OECD countries adding industrial structure variables to existing theory of the development of welfare state. The result suggests that the proportion of manufacture such as industry structure of country is important for the development of welfare state.

일찍이 복지국가 발달에 산업화가 중요한 영향을 끼친다는 산업화 이론은 복지국가 발달을 설명하는 주요한 이론으로 자리매김해 왔다. 그러나 산업화 이론은 산업화가 발달한 서구 선진국가들이라 하더라도 공공복지의 규모는 상대적으로 약하다는 비판에 직면하였고, 이러한 한계를 보완, 설명하기 위해 이익집단들이 선거 경쟁에서 승리하기 위한 전략으로 공공부문의 복지가 확대될 수 있었다는 민주주의 이론, 복지국가를 요구하는 노조와 좌파정당들의 힘이 강화될 때, 복지국가 또한 발달할 수 있었다는 권력자원 이론 등이 부각되었다. 본 연구는 복지국가 발달을 설명하기 위한 새로운 시도로서 복지국가의 발달에 영향을 주는 기존 이론들에 따른 요인들 외에 산업구조에 따른 요인들을 추가하여 퍼지셋 질적비교 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과 복지국가발달에 있어 기존이론 외에 제조업의 비중 또한 복지국가 발전의 중요 요소로서 작용할 수 있다는 점을 발견할 수 있었다. 이러한 분석결과는 산업화 이론, 민주주의와 선거경쟁이론, 권력자원 등과 같은 복지국가를 설명하는 기존이론 뿐만 아니라 제조업 비중과 같은 산업구조 또한 복지국가 발달에 영향을 줄 수 있는 요소임을 시사하고 있다.

Keywords

표 1. 변수의 설정 및 관련 지표 Table 1. Main parameters

GJMGCK_2019_v5n1_27_t0001.png 이미지

표 3 퍼지셋 분석결과 Table 3. Fuzzy Analysis Results

GJMGCK_2019_v5n1_27_t0002.png 이미지

표 2. 국가별 퍼지점수 Table 2. Fuzzy Calibration by Country

GJMGCK_2019_v5n1_27_t0003.png 이미지

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