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Study on Estimate Optimum Area of State Forests Through Case Study of OECD Countries

OECD국가 분석을 통한 국유림의 적정 면적 산정

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun (Department of Global Forestry, National Institute of Forest Science) ;
  • Kim, Bo-Kyeong (Department of Forest Resources, Gyeongsang National University) ;
  • Kim, Eui-Gyeong (Department of Forest Environmental Resources, Gyeongsang National University (Institute of Agriculture and Life Science))
  • 김동현 (국립산림과학원 국제산림연구과) ;
  • 김보경 (경상대학교 산림자원학과) ;
  • 김의경 (경상대학교 산림환경자원학과(농업생명과학연구원))
  • Received : 2018.09.13
  • Accepted : 2018.12.07
  • Published : 2018.12.31

Abstract

This study aims to find out factors to affect forest area of public sector such as state forest and estimate optimum area of state forest in Korea. This study was carried out with the rate of public forest and public forest per capita as dependent variables and 15 independent variables to the 35 countries in OECD countries using analysis of linear regression. From research, optimum area of the public forests of Korea was estimated from to minimum 2,136,000 hectares to maximum 2,667,000 hectares, based on OECD countries. The public forest areas of Korea were 1,984,000 hectares in 2010. To reach the average level of OECD countries, it is required that public forest areas of Korea are expended from minimum 152,000 hectares to maximum 683,000 hectares. It is hard to expect that enhancing the areas of public forest in Korea through expanding local government owned forest areas. Therefore, it required that state forest areas are expanded by Korea government.

이 연구는 국유림과 같은 공공부문의 산림면적에 영향을 미치는 요인을 도출하고, 우리나라 국유림의 적정 면적을 파악하는데 목적이 있다. OECD 가입국인 35개국을 대상으로 국 공유림률과 1인당 국 공유림면적을 종속변수로 하여 영향을 미치는 15개의 독립변수를 가지고 선형회귀분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과, 우리나라의 적정 국공유림면적은 OECD 가입국을 기준으로 최소 약 2,136천ha에서 최대 2,667천ha로 나타났다. 우리나라 2010년도 국 공유림면적이 1,984천ha이기 때문에 우리나라는 국 공유림 면적을 적게는 152천ha에서 많게는 683천ha까지 늘리는 것이 OECD국가의 평균수준에 달하는 것으로 나타났다. 우리나라 국 공유림면적의 확대는 지자체림의 증가를 통해서 확보하기는 현실적으로 불가능하기 때문에 국유림을 확대하여 확대하는 것이 타당할 것으로 판단된다.

Keywords

Table 1. Purpose of state forest management of EUSTAFOR.

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Table 2. Model Specification.*

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Table 3. Foundation stat.

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Table 4. Ratio of public forest model.

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Table 5. Public forest per capita model.

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Table 6. Estimate optimum area of public forest.

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