• Title/Summary/Keyword: water quality prediction

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A Study on Water Quality Prediction for Climate Change Using Watershed Model in Andong Dam Watershed (유역모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 안동댐 유역의 미래 수질 예측)

  • Noh, Hee-Jin;Kim, Young-Do;Kang, Boo-Sik;Yi, Hye-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.945-945
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 낙동강 수계의 안동댐 유역을 대상지역으로 선정하여 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 댐 유역의 수환경 영향을 예측해 보고자 하였다. 특히 미래기후에 대한 수환경 평가는 기후자료를 입력 값으로 요구하는 강우-유출모형을 이용하거나 유량 이외에 유사, 영양물질과 같은 수질인자를 동시에 모의할 수 있는 유역모형을 이용하여 평가하는 것이 일반적이다. 이를 위해 선행연구로 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 AR4 시나리오의 RCM 자료를 ANN(Artificial Neural Network)기법을 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 총 4개 기상관측소에 대한 과거 20년(1991~2010) 실측자료를 바탕으로 미래 강수 및 습도 그리고 온도에 대해 상세화 하여 미래 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 또한 안동댐 유역 단위의 수질을 예측하기 위해 토양과 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태에 따른 수문-수질 모의가 가능한 유역모형인 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하였다. 과거의 기상자료와 수질자료를 이용하여 유역모델의 검 보정을 실시하였으며 모형의 보정 및 검증결과에 따른 적합성과 상관성을 판단하기 위해 결정계수($R^2$)와 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE)를 사용하였으며, 모형의 효율성 검증으로는 Nash and Sutcliffe(1970)가 제안한 모형효율성계수(NSE)를 사용하였다. 최종적으로 기후 시나리오에 대해서 전망된 지역상세기후를 유역모형의 입력자료로 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 미래수문 및 수질을 예측하고자 하였다.

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Water Digital Twin for High-tech Electronics Industrial Wastewater Treatment System (II): e-ASM Calibration, Effluent Prediction, Process selection, and Design (첨단 전자산업 폐수처리시설의 Water Digital Twin(II): e-ASM 모델 보정, 수질 예측, 공정 선택과 설계)

  • Heo, SungKu;Jeong, Chanhyeok;Lee, Nahui;Shim, Yerim;Woo, TaeYong;Kim, JeongIn;Yoo, ChangKyoo
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.79-93
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    • 2022
  • In this study, an electronics industrial wastewater activated sludge model (e-ASM) to be used as a Water Digital Twin was calibrated based on real high-tech electronics industrial wastewater treatment measurements from lab-scale and pilot-scale reactors, and examined for its treatment performance, effluent quality prediction, and optimal process selection. For specialized modeling of a high-tech electronics industrial wastewater treatment system, the kinetic parameters of the e-ASM were identified by a sensitivity analysis and calibrated by the multiple response surface method (MRS). The calibrated e-ASM showed a high compatibility of more than 90% with the experimental data from the lab-scale and pilot-scale processes. Four electronics industrial wastewater treatment processes-MLE, A2/O, 4-stage MLE-MBR, and Bardenpo-MBR-were implemented with the proposed Water Digital Twin to compare their removal efficiencies according to various electronics industrial wastewater characteristics. Bardenpo-MBR stably removed more than 90% of the chemical oxygen demand (COD) and showed the highest nitrogen removal efficiency. Furthermore, a high concentration of 1,800 mg L-1 T MAH influent could be 98% removed when the HRT of the Bardenpho-MBR process was more than 3 days. Hence, it is expected that the e-ASM in this study can be used as a Water Digital Twin platform with high compatibility in a variety of situations, including plant optimization, Water AI, and the selection of best available technology (BAT) for a sustainable high-tech electronics industry.

A Method for Critical Heat Flux Prediction in Vertical Round Tubes with Axially Non-uniform Heat Flux Profile

  • Shim, Jae-Woo
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2008
  • In this study a method to predict CHF(Critical heat flux) in vertical round tubes with axially non-uniform cosine heat flux distribution for water was examined. For this purpose a local condition hypothesis based CHF prediction correlation for uniform heat flux in vertical round tubes for water was developed from 9,366 CHF data points. The local correlation consisted of 4 local condition variables: the system pressure(P), tube diameter(D), mass flux of water(G), and 'true mass quality' of vapor($X_t$). The CHF data points used were collected from 13 different published sources having the following operation ranges: 1.01 ${\leq}$ P (pressure) ${\leq}$ 206.79 bar, 9.92${\leq}$ G (mass flux) ${\leq}$ 18,619.39 $kg/m^2s$, 0.00102 ${\leq}$ D(diameter) ${\leq}$ 0.04468 m, 0.0254${\leq}$ L (length) ${\leq}$ 4.966 m, 0.11 ${\leq}$ qc (CHF) ${\leq}$ 21.41 $MVW/m^2$, and -0.87 ${\leq}X_c$ (exit qualities) ${\leq}$ 1.58. The result of this work showed that a uniform CHF correlation can be easily extended to predict CHF in axially non-uniform heat flux heater. In addition, the location of the CHF in axially non-uniform tube can also be determined. The local uniform correlation predicted CHF in tubes with axially cosine heat flux profile within the root mean square error of 12.42% and average error of 1.06% for 297 CHF data points collected from 5 different published sources.

Early Prediction of Concrete Strength Using Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag by Hot-Water Curing Method (열수양생법에 의한 고로슬래그미분말 혼합 콘크리트의 강도 추정)

  • Moon Han-Young;Choi Yun-Wang;Kim Yong-Gic
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.16 no.1 s.79
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2004
  • Recently, production cost of ready mixed concrete(remicon) has been increased due to the rising cost of raw materials such as cement and aggregate etc. cause by the upturn of oil price and increase of shipping charge. The delivery cost of remicon companies, however, has been decreased owing to their excessive competition in sale. Consequently, remicon companies began to manufacture the concrete by mixing ground granulated blast furnace slag(GGBF) in order to lower the production cost. Therefore, the objective of this study was to predict 28-day strength of GGBF slag concrete by early strength(1 day-strength, 7 day-strength) for the sake of managing with ease the quality of remicon. In experimental results, the prediction equation for 28 day-strength of GGBF slag concrete could be produced through the linear regression analysis of early strength and 28 day-strength. In order to acquire the reliability, all mixture were repeated as 3 times and each mixture order was carried out by random sampling. The prediction equation for 28 day-strength of GGBF slag concrete by 1-day strength(hot-water method) won the good reliability.

Development of Turbid Water Prediction Model for the Imha Dam Watershed using HSPF (HSPF를 활용한 임하댐 유역의 탁수 예측모델 구축)

  • Yi, Hye-Suk;Kim, Jeong-Kon;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.760-767
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    • 2008
  • A watershed model was constructed using HSPF(Hydrological Simulation Program - Fortran) for predicting flow and suspended solid in the Imha dam watershed. The whole watershed was divided into 33 sub-watersheds in the watershed model, which was calibrated for flow using measured data from 2001 to 2007. The accuracy of watershed model prediction was evaluated using statistical coefficients of R$_{eff}$(Nash-Sutcliffe), R$^2$(Correlation coefficient) and graphical comparison. Then, the model was calibrated for suspended solid using field data measured during 3 major rainfall events in July 2006, and then validated against data obtained in 2 rainfall events from July to August in 2007. Overall, the model showed good agreements with the field measurements for flow and suspended solid. The watershed model constructed in this study can provide flow and suspended solid entering the Imha reservoir and will be utilized for turbid water management in linkage with reservoir water quality models.

Spatio-Temporal Trends in Temperature, Acidification and Dissolved Oxygen in Lower Mekong Basin for 1985-2005

  • Ratanavong, Nilapha;Lim, Sam-Sung;Lee, Hyung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2011
  • Understanding of water sediment trends is an important part of water quality monitoring. Water quality variables change over time and space, and cannot be modeled or explained clearly by either temporal or spatial analysis alone. This research analysed the trends of temperature, pH levels and dissolved oxygen levels based on the sediment records and spatial data obtained in Lower Mekong Basin (LMB) during 1985-2005. Our aim is to evaluate spatio-temporal trends and graphical analyses using an Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) interpolation method. The main results from this research can be summarized as follows. The maximum temperature and pH have been stable during the study period and the maximum dissolved oxygen has been increasing gradually until 2002. The minimum pH and dissolved oxygen have been changing in an unsteady trend during the period. A spatial analysis shows that the water temperature in this region has been increasing over time. The pH trend shows that it is decreasing during 1993-2005. Dissolved oxygen concentration has been increasing from 1989 onwards and stays in that track.

Two-dimensional Spatial Distribution Analysis Using Water Quality Measurement Results at River Junctions (하천 합류부에서의 수질계측결과를 활용한 2차원 공간분포 해석)

  • Lee, Chang Hyun;Park, Jae Gon;Kim, Kyung Dong;Ryu, Si Wan;Kim, Dong Su;Kim, Young Do
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2022
  • High-resolution data are needed to understand water body mixing patterns at river junctions. In particular, in river analysis, hydrological and water quality characteristics are used as basic data for aquatic ecological health, so observation through continuous monitoring is necessary. In addition, since measurement is carried out through a one-dimensional and fixed measurement method in existing monitoring systems, a hydrological and water quality characteristics investigation of an entire river, except for in the immediate vicinity of the measurement point, is not undertaken. In order to obtain high-resolution measurement data, a measurer has to consider multiple factors, and the area or time that can be measured is limited. Although the resolution might be lowered, an appropriate interpolation method must be selected in order to acquire a wide range of data. Therefore, in this study, a high-elevation measurement method at a river junction was introduced, and the interpolation method according to the measurement results was compared. The overall hydraulic and water quality information of the river was indicated through the visualization of the prediction and interpolation method in the low-resolution measurement result. By comparing each interpolation method, Inverse Distance Weighting, Natural Neighbor, and Kriging techniques were applied in river mapping to improve the precision of river mapping through visualized data and quantitative evaluation. It is thought that this study will offer a new method for measuring rivers through spatial interpolation.

Development of Multiple Regression Models for the Prediction of Daily Ammonia Nitrogen Concentrations (일별 암모니아성 질소(NH3-N)농도 예측을 위한 다중회귀모형 개발)

  • Chug, Se-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1047-1058
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    • 2003
  • Seasonal occurrence of high ammonia nitrogen(NH3-N) concentrations has hampered chemical treatment processes of a water plant that intakes water at Buyeo site of Geum river. Thus it is often needed to quantify the effect of Daecheong Dam ouflow on the mitigation of $NH_3$-N contamination. In this study, multiple regression models were developed for forecasting daily $NH_3$-N concentrations using 8 years of water quality and dam outflow data, and verified with another 2 years of data set. During model development, the coefficients of determination($R^2$) and model efficiency($E_{m}$) were greater than 0.95. The verification results were also satisfactory although those statistical indices were slightly reduced to 0.84∼0.94 and 0.77∼0.93, respectively. The validated model was applied to assess the effect of different amounts of dam outflow on the reduction of $NH_3$-N concentrations in 2002. The NH3-N concentrations dropped by 0.332∼0.583 mg/L on average during January∼March as outflow increases from 5 to 50cms, and was most significant on February. The results of this research show that the multiple regression approach has potential for efficient cause and effect analysis between dam outflow and downstream water quality.

Time series Analysis of State-space Model and Multiplication ARIMA Model in Dissolved Oxygen Simulation (용존산소 농도모의시 상태공간모형과 승법 ARIMA모형의 시계열 분석)

  • 이원호;서인석;한양수
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the stochastic stream water quality model for the intake station of Chung-Ju city waterworks in the Han river system. This model was based on the theory of Box-Jenkins Multiplicative ARIMA(SARIMA) and the state space model to simulate changes of water qualities. Variable of water qualities included in the model are temperature and dissolved oxygen(DO). The models development were based on the data obtained from Jan. 1990 to Dec. 1997 and followed the typical procedures of the Box-Jenkins method including identification and estimation. The seasonality of DO and temperature data to formulate for the SARIMA model are conspicuous and the period of revolution was twelve months. Both models had seasonality of twelve months and were formulates as SARIMA {TEX}$(2,1,1)(1,1,1)_{12}${/TEX} for DO and temperature. The models were validated by testing normality and independency of the residuals. The prediction ability of SARIMA model and state space model were tested using the data collected from Jan. 1998 to Oct. 1999. There were good agreements between the model predictions and the field measurements. The performance of the SARIMA model and state space model were examined through comparisons between the historical and generated monthly dissolved oxygen series. The result reveal that the state space model lead to the improved accuracy.

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Prediction of Water Quality Variation According to Weir Construction Using EFDC Model - Focused on Dalsung Weir - (EFDC 모형에 의한 보 설치에 따른 수질변화 예측 - 달성보를 중심으로 -)

  • Jo, Eun-Hui;Yeo, Kyu-Dong;Kim, Gil-Ho;Kim, Hyun-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.186-190
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    • 2011
  • 정부는 홍수대응능력 강화, 대체수원확보, 안정적 물 공급 등을 목표로 '4대강 살리기 사업'을 추진 중이며, 이 가운데 수량확보 및 수질개선을 목적으로 권역별 중요지점에 보를 설치 중이다. 아직도 논란이 되고 있는 보설치 효과에 대해 본 연구는 수직 수평적으로 수리 및 수질 모의가 가능한 비정상 상태의 3차원 모형인 EFDC 모형을 이용하여 낙동강 유역 내 건설 중인 달성보의 설치 전후 수질변화를 비교함으로써 사업의 수질목표 달성 가능성을 확인하고자 하였다. 모의결과 연평균 DO는 미비하게 감소하는 경향이 있으나, T-N과 T-P의 경우 연평균 0.138mg/L, 0.069mg/L 가량 감소되는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, COD의 경우 연평균 1.911mg/L 감소하는 것으로 나타나 T-N, T-P, COD 항목을 기준으로 하였을 때 수질개선효과가 나타났다. 시기별로 살펴보면, 갈수기시 보로 인해 유량이 확보되면서 수질이 개선되는 것으로 나타났고, 이에 반해 홍수 기시에는 개선효과가 미비했다. 고정보를 가정한 한계는 있지만, 본 연구로부터 달성보 설치에 따른 수질개선효과를 확인할 수 있었으며 고정보가 아닌 가동보에서의 효율적인 운영시 보다 높은 수질개선 효과가 나타날 것으로 판단된다.

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