• Title/Summary/Keyword: uncertainty management

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A Study on Technology Trajectory Tracking in Convergence Industry : Focusing on the Micro Medical Robot Industry (융합산업의 기술궤적 추적에 관한 연구 : 마이크로의료로봇 산업을 중심으로)

  • Sawng, Yeong-wha;Lim, Seon-yeong;Hong, You-jung;Na, Won-jun
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.63-81
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    • 2021
  • The advent of the convergence era led to the convergence of industries while increasing the uncertainty of R&D. R&D uncertainty can be addressed by identifying and addressing industrial innovation patterns, which Neo-Schumpeterian suggested can be identified through the process of identifying the technical characteristics of a particular industry, which can be embodied in the concept of technology trajectory. Thus, this study considered and proposed a method to track the technology trajectory of the convergence industry through topic modeling and patent citation network analysis, and applied it to the micro medical robot industry, which is a representative convergence industry, to track the technology trajectory of active catheter. In particular, it is intended to identify the unique characteristics of the industry by identifying the industry before the promotion of the national-led medical robot industry support policy. Therefore, we tried to understand the innovation pattern of the industry by tracking the technology trajectory of the industry before 2017, the time of full-scale support for the medical robot industry in the United States. Through tracking technology trajectories, the role of each technology classification, the development path, and the knowledge flow between applicants were analyzed empirically. The results of this study are expected to contribute to resolving the remaining uncertainties in the process of establishing an active catheter R&D strategy, one of the leading convergence industries, and furthermore, it is expected to be available for tracking technology trajectories in other industries.

A Robust Pricing/Lot-sizing Model and A Solution Method Based on Geometric Programming

  • Lim, Sung-Mook
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2008
  • The pricing/lot-sizing problem of determining the robust optimal order quantity and selling price is discussed. The uncertainty of parameters characterized by an ellipsoid is explicitly incorporated into the problem. An approximation scheme is proposed to transform the problem into a geometric program, which can be efficiently and reliably solved using interior-point methods.

On the Optimal Selection of Smart Phone by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP를 이용한 스마트폰의 최적선정에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Soon-Suk;Kim, Kwang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2010
  • Decision analysis has becomes an important technique for decision making in the face of uncertainty. It is characterized by enumerating all the available courses of action, identifying the payoffs for all possible outcomes, and quantifying the subjective probabilities for the all possible random events. When the data are available, decision analysis becomes a powerful tool for determining an optimal course of action. In this paper, we use the analytic hierarchy process in weights calculating. For the purpose of making optimal decision, the data of three different smart phones models are used.

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Variability Analysis in QFD: Prioritizing Engineering Characteristics (품질기능전개에서의 변동성 분석: 설계특성의 우선순위 결정)

  • Min, Dae-Gi;Kim, Gwang-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.479-482
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a new framework for variability analysis in QFD. The proposed framework considers the uncertainty of the information contained in the house of quality chart and analyzes the variability resulting in the outcome. A new framework provides a dominance index and a difference index for each pairwise ECs. The indices are helpful to evaluate priorities of each pairwise EC.

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Empirical Evidence on Closed-End Mutual Fund Discounts (폐쇄형 투자신탁회사의 할인현상에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.311-340
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    • 1996
  • This paper investigates the determinants of discounts on closed-end mutual funds. Empirical tests on a panel of closed-end mutual funds show that the magnitude of discounts seems to be unequal for different types of funds. I find strong evidence on tax-timing option effect even after controlling for other variables which have been theorized to be important in determining discounts on closed-end mutual funds. Also, the uncertainty about the value of underlying assets in the fund's portfolio has a significant influence on discounts.

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불확실성 하에서의 신시장 개척을 위한 최적 마케팅 자원 배분

  • 이동주;안재현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.157-160
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    • 2001
  • Firms pursue new business opportunities for growth. Market development strategy is one of the growth strategies, which develops new market segments with current products. However, new market generally has high uncertainty, or high risk. Firms should consider the risk in making and implementing the market development strategy. In this paper, an optimal marketing resource allocation model is developed, taking into account the risk attitude of a firm in market development. Under the assumption of exponential utility function, the global optimal solution is derived, and the implications are provided.

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Asynchronous Waste: An Alternative Performance Measure for Pull Production Control System

  • Kim, ll-hyung
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.37-63
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    • 2000
  • An important objective of pull-based production control is to achieve synchronized and smooth production flow in a multi-stage system that is subject to uncertainty. To our knowledge, previous research has not generated a performance measure that captures this objective of pull-based probased production control system. This performance material with respect to the instant when the operation is required. We examine the issue of asynchronous waste in a two-stage kanban control system.

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Planning the Korea Information Infrastructure : Models and a Case Example (초고속정보통신망 구축을 위한 기획분석 모형의 개발 및 분석)

  • 전용수;장석권
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.91-124
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    • 2002
  • The use of network planning models and tools is essential for effective KII (Korea Information Infrastructure) planning and analysis in that it will significantly reduce the risk and uncertainty embeded in the development and the provision of future broadband services. The purpose of this study is to develop a theoretical framework and a computer tool for modeling the various aspects of the KII topology and architecture and evaluating the techno-economic feasibility of the KII implementation strategy.

An Artificial Immune system using Memory Cell for the Inventory Routing Problem (기억 세포를 이용한 재고-차량 경로 문제의 인공면역시스템)

  • Yang, Byoung-Hak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.236-246
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    • 2008
  • We consider the Inventory Routing problem(IRP) for the vending machine operating system. An artificial immune system(AIS) is introduced to solve the IRP. The IPR is an rolling wave planning. The previous solution of IRP is one of good initial solution of current IRP. We introduce an Artificial Immune system with memory cell (AISM) which store previous solution in memory cell and use an initial solution for current problem. Experiment results shows that AISM reduced calculations time in relatively less demand uncertainty.

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Predicting typhoons in Korea (국내 태풍 예측)

  • Yang, Heejoong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2015
  • We develop a model to predict typhoons in Korea. We collect data for typhoons and classify those depending on the severity level. Following a Bayesian approach, we develop a model that explains the relationship between different levels of typhoons. Through the analysis of the model, we can predict the rate of typhoons, the probability of approaching Korean peninsular, and the probability of striking Korean peninsular. We show that the uncertainty for the occurrence of various types of typhoons reduces dramatically by adaptively updating model parameters as we acquire data.