• Title/Summary/Keyword: typhoon simulation

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Evaluation of Typhoon Hazard Factors using the EST Approach (EST 기법에 의한 태풍의 재해위험인자 평가)

  • Lee, Soon-Cheol;Kim, Jin-Kyoo;Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Jun, Byong-Ho;Hong, Il-Pyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.10 s.159
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    • pp.825-839
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    • 2005
  • Application of the EST approach for the simulation of the risk-based typhoon hazard potential is described in this paper. For six selected cities In the Korean peninsula, EST simulations for one hundred years were performed one hundred times using historical typhoon data as a training data set. The analytical results of EST simulations were then post-processed to estimate the means, standard deviations, and ranges of variation for the maximum wind velocities and the daily rainfalls. From the comparison of the averages of the wind velocities for the 100 year recurrence interval typhoons, the wind hazard potential of them was revealed to be highest for Mokpo among the six cities, followed by Busan, Cheju, Inchun, Taegu, and Seoul in descending order For the flood hazard potential associated with a typhoon, Busan was ranked to be the highest hazard potential area, followed by Mokpo, Cheju, Seoul, Inckun, and Taegu. In terms of the overall typhoon hazard potential, cities in the southern coastal regions were identified as being exposed to the most severe typhoon hazard.

Simulation of Sea Water Response in Deukryang Bay to Typhoon Using the Princeton Ocean Model

  • Hong, Chul-Hoon
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1998
  • The Princeton ocean model (POM) with free surface in sigma-coordinate, governed by primitive equations, is used to examine the response of sea water in Deukryang Bay to a typhoon. The model reproduces reasonably well the main features in the wind-driven dynamics due to passing of a typhoon. In response to the wind, the coastal jet develops and the upwelling(or downwelling) occurs dominantly in both sides of the bay. This result implies that there should be an overturn in the bay water with the passing of typhoons. Numerical results of POM are also compared to those of a depth-averaged model. From the comparison, it is postulated that the bottom drag coefficient conventionally used for the two-dimensional flow models is inadequate due to overestimation of the computed current field.

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Realtime Tide and Storm-Surge Computations for the Yellow Sea Using the Parallel Finite Element Model (병렬 유한요소 모형을 이용한 황해의 실시간 조석 및 태풍해일 산정)

  • Byun, Sang-Shin;Choi, Byung-Ho;Kim, Kyeong-Ok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2009
  • Realtime tide and storm-surge computations for the Yellow Sea were conducted using the Parallel Finite Element Model. For these computations a high resolution grid system was constructed with a minimum node interval of loom in Gyeonggi Bay. In the modeling, eight main tidal constituents were analyzed and their results agreed well with the observed data. The realtime tide computation with the eight main tidal constituents and the storm-surge simulation for Typhoon Sarah(1959) were also conducted using parallel computing system of MPI-based LINUX clusters. The result showed a good performance in simulating Typhoon Sarah and reducing the computation time.

Assessment of Typhoon Trajectories and Synoptic Pattern Based on Probabilistic Cluster Analysis for the Typhoons Affecting the Korean Peninsula (확률론적 클러스터링 기법을 이용한 한반도 태풍경로 및 종관기후학적 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Ki-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 2014
  • Lately, more frequent typhoons cause extensive flood and wind damage throughout the summer season. In this respect, this study aims to develop a probabilistic clustering model that uses both typhoon genesis location and trajectories. The proposed model was applied to the 197 typhoon events that made landfall in the Korean peninsula from 1951 to 2012. We evaluate the performance of the proposed clustering model through a simulation study based on synthetic typhoon trajectories. The seven distinguished clusters for typhoons affecting Korean peninsula were identified. It was found that most of typhoon genesis originated from a remote position ($10^{\circ}{\sim}20^{\circ}N$, $120^{\circ}{\sim}150^{\circ}E$) near the Equator. Cluster, type B can be regarded as a major track due to the fact that its frequency is approximately about 25.4% out of 197 events and its direct association with strong positive rainfall anomalies.

Numerical Simulations of the Storm Surges in the Seas Around Korea (한국(韓國) 근해(近海)의 폭풍(暴風) 해일(海溢) 수식(數植) 시뮬레이션)

  • OH, IM SANG;KIM, SEONG IL
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.161-181
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    • 1990
  • A numerical model is established in order to simulate the storm surges which were observed in the seas around Korea during typhoon and winter storm periods. The typhoons are Brenda (1985), Vera (1986) and Thelma (1987). the winter storm period is January 1-6, 1986. The simulated surges for the typhoon periods show good agreements with the recorded ones for the periods at the Korean coasts, but those for the winter storm show fair agreements in general tendencies, not in details. The model simulation in open sea shows a positive sea level near the typhoon center and a native sea level behind the typhoon. the positive surge seems to be due to the low pressure near a typhoon center and the negative on due to the wind stresses of the typhoon. The negative sea level is usually in the form of an elongated gyre. In the gyre, there is a cyclonic circulation of sea water, in which the pressure gradient force induced by the circular depression of the sea surface is balanced by the Coriolis force in readjusting stage.

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Development of the Combined Typhoon Surge-Tide-Wave Numerical Model Applicable to Shallow Water 1. Validation of the Hydrodynamic Part of the Model (천해에 적용가능한 태풍 해일-조석-파랑 수치모델 개발 1. 해수유동 모델의 정확성 검토)

  • Chun, Je-Ho;Ahn, Kyung-Mo;Yoon, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.63-78
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the development of dynamically combined Typhoon generated surge-tide-wave numerical model which is applicable to shallow water. The newly developed model is based on both POM (Princeton Ocean Model) for the surge and tide and WAM (WAve Model) for wind-generated waves, but is modified to be applicable to shallow water. In this paper which is the first paper of the two in a sequence, we verified the accuracy and numerical stability of the hydrodynamic part of the model which is responsible for the simulation of Typhoon generated surge and tide. In order to improve the accuracy and numerical stability of the combined model, we modified algorithms responsible for turbulent modeling as well as vertical velocity computation routine of POM. Verification of the model performance had been conducted by comparing numerical simulation results with analytic solutions as well as data obtained from field measurement. The modified POM is shown to be more accurate and numerically stable compare to the existing POM.

Inundation Simulation on a Vertical Dock Using Finite Element Storm Surge Model (유한요소 폭풍해일 모형을 이용한 직립안벽에 대한 범람모의)

  • Suh, Seung-Won;Lee, Hwa-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.235-246
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    • 2012
  • Typhoon induced surge simulations are done to make an establishment of coastal disaster prevention plan. To apply efficient run-up and overtopping on vertical harbor docks, in which prevailing wet-dry scheme cannot be satisfied due to infinite steepness, an imaginary internal barrier concept introduced and analyzed. Before real application on the Mokpo harbor area, feasibility tests are done on an idealized simple geometry and as a result it is found that the moderate width of the barrier might be 1 m. The threshold value of the minimum wet depth $H_{min}$ for land area, which behaves sensitive role in inundation area and depth, depends on grid size. However it is revealed that 0.01 m is adequate value in this fine finite element with 10 m spacing. A hypothetical typhoon of 100 years return period in central pressure and maximum velocity is generated based on historical tracks. Simulation of possible inundation on Mokpo area is performed with asymmetrical vortex of hypothetical typhoon and wave coupling. Model results show general agreement in pattern compared to other's prediction, however possibility of inundation enlargement is expected in harbor area.

Wind Data Simulation Using Digital Generation of Non-Gaussian Turbulence Multiple Time Series with Specified Sample Cross Correlations (임의의 표본상호상관함수와 비정규확률분포를 갖는 다중 난류시계열의 디지털 합성방법을 이용한 풍속데이터 시뮬레이션)

  • Seong, Seung-Hak;Kim, Wook;Kim, Kyung-Chun;Boo, Jung-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.569-581
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    • 2003
  • A method of synthetic time series generation was developed and applied to the simulation of homogeneous turbulence in a periodic 3 - D box and the hourly wind data simulation. The method can simulate almost exact sample auto and cross correlations of multiple time series and control non-Gaussian distribution. Using the turbulence simulation, influence of correlations, non-Gaussian distribution, and one-direction anisotropy on homogeneous structure were studied by investigating the spatial distribution of turbulence kinetic energy and enstrophy. An hourly wind data of Typhoon Robin was used to illustrate a capability of the method to simulate sample cross correlations of multiple time series. The simulated typhoon data shows a similar shape of fluctuations and almost exactly the same sample auto and cross correlations of the Robin.

Estimation of Frequency of Storm Surge Heights on the West and South Coasts of Korea Using Synthesized Typhoons (확률론적 합성태풍을 이용한 서남해안 빈도 해일고 산정)

  • Kim, HyeonJeong;Suh, SeungWon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2019
  • To choose appropriate countermeasures against potential coastal disaster damages caused by a storm surge, it is necessary to estimate the frequency of storm surge heights estimation. As the coastal populations size in the past was small, the tropical cyclone risk model (TCRM) was used to generate 176,689 synthetic typhoons. In simulation, historical paths and central pressures were incorporated as a probability density function. Moreover, to consider the typhoon characteristics that resurfaced or decayed after landfall on the southeast coast of China, incorporated the shift angle of the historical typhoon as a function of the probability density function and applied it as a damping parameter. Thus, the passing rate of typhoons moving from the southeast coast of China to the south coast has improved. The characteristics of the typhoon were analyzed from the historical typhoon information using correlations between the central pressure, maximum wind speed ($V_{max}$) and the maximum wind speed radius ($R_{max}$); it was then applied to synthetic typhoons. The storm surges were calculated using the ADCIRC model, considering both tidal and synthetic typhoons using automated Perl script. The storm surges caused by the probabilistic synthetic typhoons appear similar to the recorded storm surges, therefore this proposed scheme can be applied to the storm surge simulations. Based on these results, extreme values were calculated using the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) method, and as a result, the 100-year return period storm surge was found to be satisfactory compared with the calculated empirical simulation value. The method proposed in this study can be applied to estimate the frequency of storm surges in coastal areas.

Improvement in the Simulation of Sea Surface Wind over the Complex Coastal Area Using WRF Model (WRF 모형을 통한 복잡 연안지역에서의 해상풍 모의 개선)

  • Kim, Yoo-Keun;Jeong, Ju-Hee;Bae, Joo-Hyun;Oh, In-Bo;Kweon, Ji-Hye;Seo, Jang-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.309-323
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    • 2006
  • We focus on the improvement in the simulation of sea surface wind over complex coastal area located in the southeastern Korea. In this study, it was carried out sensitivity experiment based on PBL schemes and dynamic frame of MM5 and WRF. Two widely used PBL parameterization schemes were chosen : Medium-Range Forecast (MRF) and Mellor-Yamada-Janjic (MYJ). Thereafter, two cases of sea fog days with weak wind speed and typhoon days with strong wind speed were simulated and analyzed. The result of experiments indicated that wind fold of WRF model was shown more similar distribution with observational data, compared with that of MM5. Simulation of sea surface wind during sea fog days with weak wind speed and typhoon days with strong wind speed were shown similar horizontal distribution with observational data using MYJ and MRF PBL schemes of WRF model, respectively. Horizontal distribution of sea surface wind was more sensitive according to dynamic frame and PBL Schemes of model during sea fog days and typhoon days, respectively.