• Title/Summary/Keyword: time-delayed estimation

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The Characteristics of Probable Maximum Flood on Wi Stream Watersheds (위천유역(渭川流域)의 가능최대홍수량(可能最大洪水量) 특성(特性))

  • Choi, Kyung-Sook;Suh, Seung-Duk
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.16
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 1998
  • The estimation of PMP (Probable Maximum Precipitation) and the analysis of characteristics of PMF (Probable Maximum Flood) according to the types of time distribution of rainfall and variations of base flow for the determination of design flood of major hydraulic structures in the watershed area of Wi stream were analysed. The PMP was estimated by the hydro-meteorological method suggested by the guideline of the World Meteorological Organization(WMO). The Blocking method was cited to transpose from PMP to PMS (Probable Maximum Storm) with time distribution. The unit hydrograph, applied for the estimation of PMF was derived by Clark's method. The summaryzed results : (1) The 72 hrs duration PMP in the area is 477.3mm which is 80mm less than the PMP map in Korea and 134 mm lager than the maximum precipitation of 342.9mm in Taegu, near the Wi stream watershed. (2) According to the types of time distribution and variations of base flow, the ranges of PMF for advanced type, central type and delayed type are 3,145.3~3,348.3cms, 3,774.6~3,977.7cms and 3,814.6~4,017.3cms, respectively. Those mean that peak discharge of advanced type is 600cms less than the central type and delayed type. (3) Delayed type among three types by Blocking method has been estimated the largest PMF of 4,017.3cms, and the advanced type has been estimated the smallest PMF of 3,145.3cms. The mean value of the peak PMF of 3,653.6cms may probably be resonable PMF in the Wi stream watershed. The mean PMF could probably be 1.7 times lager than the result of Gajiyama's equation. It is equivalent to the flood of return period 1,000 to 10,000 yrs.

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The Comparative Study for Property of Learning Effect based on Truncated time and Delayed S-Shaped NHPP Software Reliability Model (절단고정시간과 지연된 S-형태 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 근거한 학습효과특성 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2012
  • In this study, in the process of testing before the release of the software products designed, software testing manager in advance should be aware of the testing-information. Therefore, the effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and applied property of learning effect based on truncated time and delayed S-shaped software reliability. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model can be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis was performed, using time between failures, according to the small sample and large sample sizes. The parameter estimation was carried out using maximum likelihood estimation method. Model selection was performed using the mean square error and coefficient of determination, after the data efficiency from the data through trend analysis was performed.

Kalman Filtering for Linear Time-Delayed Continuous-Time Systems with Stochastic Multiplicative Noises

  • Zhang, Huanshui;Lu, Xiao;Zhang, Weihai;Wang, Wei
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2007
  • The paper deals with the Kalman stochastic filtering problem for linear continuous-time systems with both instantaneous and time-delayed measurements. Different from the standard linear system, the system state is corrupted by multiplicative white noise, and the instantaneous measurement and the delayed measurement are also corrupted by multiplicative white noise. A new approach to the problem is presented by using projection formulation and reorganized innovation analysis. More importantly, the proposed approach in the paper can be applied to solve many complicated problems such as stochastic $H_{\infty}$ estimation, $H_{\infty}$ control stochastic system with preview and so on.

Calculation of kinetic parameters βeff and L with modified open source Monte Carlo code OpenMC(TD)

  • Romero-Barrientos, J.;Dami, J.I. Marquez;Molina F.;Zambra, M.;Aguilera, P.;Lopez-Usquiano, F.;Parra, B.;Ruiz, A.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.811-816
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    • 2022
  • This work presents the methodology used to expand the capabilities of the Monte Carlo code OpenMC for the calculation of reactor kinetic parameters: effective delayed neutron fraction βeff and neutron generation time L. The modified code, OpenMC(Time-Dependent) or OpenMC(TD), was then used to calculate the effective delayed neutron fraction by using the prompt method, while the neutron generation time was estimated using the pulsed method, fitting Λ to the decay of the neutron population. OpenMC(TD) is intended to serve as an alternative for the estimation of kinetic parameters when licensed codes are not available. The results obtained are compared to experimental data and MCNP calculated values for 18 benchmark configurations.

Estimating Failure Rate Using Warranty Claim Data with Delayed Report of Customers (고객의 지연보고를 고려한 보증수리내역자료에서의 고장률 추정)

  • Park, J.H.;Kim, Y.H.;Baek, J.H.;Lie, C.H.
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2010
  • Warranty claim data analysis is a useful tool for the manufacturer because it contains many useful informations regarding reliability of the product in the real-world environments. Because of the nature of uncertainty and the incompleteness of data, some bias patterns are observed on warranty claim rate known as 'spikes'. Two types of spikes are considered. One is due to manufacturing-related failures. The other is caused by customer's behavior. This paper proposes a model by considering two types of spikes. Warranty claim data is analyzed with the proposed model. To represent spikes observed on the early warranty period, we classify failures into manufacturing-related failures and usage-related failures. Uniform distribution is assumed for the time delayed to diagnose and report by customers. By reducing maximum value of the delayed time by customers, the proposed model characterizes customer's rush in the vicinity of the warranty expiration limit. Experimental results by using the real warranty claim data show that the proposed model is better than the existing one in respect to MSE(Mean Squared Error). Moreover it is expected to estimate the failure rate more realistically with proposed model because it considers the delayed time to diagnose and report by customers.

Intramuscular EMG signal estimation using surface EMG signal analysis (표면 근전도 신호 해석에 의한 내부 근육 근전도 신호의 추정)

  • 왕문성;변윤식;박상희
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1986.10a
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    • pp.641-642
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    • 1986
  • We present a method for the estimation of intramuscular electromyographic(EMG) signals from the given surface EMG signals. This method is based on representing the surface EMG signal as an autoregressive(AR) time model with a delayed intramuscular EMG signal as an input. The parameters of the time series model that transforms the intramuscular signal to the surface signal are identified. The identified model is then used in estimating the intramuscular signal from the surface signal.

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Time Delay Estimation using Wavelet Transform (웨이블릿 변환을 이용한 시간 지연 추정법)

  • Kim Doh-Hyoung;Park Youngjin
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • spring
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    • pp.165-168
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    • 2000
  • A fast estimation method using wavelet transform for a time delay system is proposed. Main point of this method is to get the wavelet transform of the correlation between the input signal and delayed signal using transformed signals. But wavelet transform using Haar wavelet functions has basis with different phases and can offers a bisection method to estimate a time delay of a signal. Selective computation of the transform of correlation is performed and the computational complexity is reduced. Computational order of this method is O(N log N) and it is much love. than a simple correlation esimation when the length of signal is long.

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Roll Angle Estimation of Slowly Rolling Guided Munition With Time-delayed Measurement and Its Verification Through Flight Experiment (지연된 측정치를 가진 저속 회전 유도형 탄약의 롤각 추정 및 비행 실험을 통한 검증)

  • Park, Junwoo;Ahn, Hyungjoo;Jung, Sungmin;Noh, Junyoung;Hong, Kyungwoo;Jang, Kwangwoo;Kim, Sungjoong;Bang, Hyochoong;Kim, Jin-Won;Heo, Junhoe;Pak, Chang-Ho;Seo, Songwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.373-381
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    • 2021
  • This paper details the result of flight experiment that examines performance of roll angle estimation algorithm of slowly rolling munition taking time delay of measurement into account when measurement comes in delayed fashion. As the measurement is passed through low pass filter for numerical stabilization and de-noising purpose which induces time delay, we design augmented state Kalman filter that incorporates distribution models of stochastic delay over time. Flight experiment was conducted to verify the algorithm at around 250m high AGL(Above Ground Level) conveying velocity of 28m/s from fixed-wing mother plane to the munition. Munition was made spun with respect to its roll axis using internal reaction wheel afterward. Numerical comparison of proposing method's roll estimation performance with that of commercial aerospace graded GPS/INS shows that proposed filter design can effectively compensate time delay of measurement.

Fuzzy H$\infty$ Filtering for Nonlinear Systems with Time-Varying Delayed States

  • Lee, Kap-Rai;Lee, Jang-Sik;Oh, Do-Chang;Park, Hong-Bae
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a fuzzy H$\infty$ filtering problem for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems with time-varying delayed states and unknown inital state on the basis of Takagi-Sugeno(T-S) fuzzy model. The nonlinear systems are represented by T-S fuzzy models, and the fuzzy control systems utilize the concept of the so-called parallel distributed compensation. Using a single quadraic Lyapunov function, the stability and L2 gain performance from the noise signals to the estimation error are discussed. Sufficient conditions for the existence of fuzzy H$\infty$ filters are given in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). The filtering gains can also be directly obtained from the solutions of LMIs.

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