• Title/Summary/Keyword: time to failure

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Determination of the profit-maximizing configuration for the modular cell manufacturing system using stochastic process (실시간 고장포용 생산시스템의 적정 성능 유지를 위한 최적 설계 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Seung-Kyu
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.614-621
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, the analytical appproaches are presented for jointly determining the profit-miximizing configuration of the fault-tolerance real time modular cell manufacturing system. The transient(time-dependent) analysis of Markovian models is firstly applied to modular cell manufacturing system from a performability viewpoint whose modeling advantage lies in its ability to express the performance that truly matters - the user's perception of it - as well as various performance measures compositely in the context of application. The modular cells are modeled with hybrid decomposition method and then availability measures such as instantaneous availability, interval availability, expected cumulative operational time are evaluated as special cases of performability. In addition to this evaluation, sensitivity analysis of the entire manufacturing system as well as each machining cell is performed, from which the time of a major repair policy and the optimal configuration among the alternative configurations of the system can be determined. Secondly, the recovery policies from the machine failures by computing the minimal number of redundant machines and also from the task failures by computing the minimum number of tasks equipped with detection schemes of task failure and reworked upon failure detection, to meet the timing requirements are optimized. Some numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the work.

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Failure Prediction and Behavior of Cut-Slope based on Measured Data (계측결과에 의한 절토사면의 거동 및 파괴예측)

  • Jang, Seo-Yong;Han, Heui-Soo;Kim, Jong-Ryeol;Ma, Bong-Duk
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2006
  • To analyze the deformation and failure of slopes, generally, two types of model, Polynomial model and Growth model, are applied. These two models are focused on the behavior of the slope by time. Therefore, this research is more focused on predicting of slope failure than analyzing the slope behavior by time. Generally, Growth model is used to analyze the soil slope, to the contrary, Polynomial model is used for rock slope. However, 3-degree polynomial($y=ax^3+bx^2+cx+d$) is suggested to combine two models in this research. The main trait of this model is having an asymptote. The fields to adopt this model are Gosujae Danyang(soil slope) and Youngduk slope(rock slope), which are the cut-slope near national road. Data from Gosujae are shown the failure traits of soil slope, to the contrary, those of Youngduk slope are shown the traits of rock slope. From the real-time monitoring data of the slope, 3-degree polynomial is proved as excellent system to analyze the failure and behavior of slope. In case of Polynomial model, even if the order of polynomials is increased, the $R^2$ value and shape of the curve-fitted graph is almost the same.

A Study on behavior of Slope Failure Using Field Excavation Experiment (현장 굴착 실험을 통한 사면붕괴 거동 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Yong;Jung, Hee-Don;Kim, Young-Ju;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the occurrence of landslides has been increasing over the years due to the extreme weather event. Developments of landslides monitoring technology that reduce damage caused by landslide are urgently needed. Therefore, in this study, a strain ratio sensor was developed to predict the ground behavior during the slope failure, and the change in surface ground displacement was observed as slope failed on the field model experiment. As a result, in the slope failure, the ground displacement process increases the risk of collapse as the inverse displacement approaches zero. It is closely related to the prediction of precursor. In all cases, increase in displacement and reverse speed of inverse displacement with time was observed during the slope failure, and it is very important event for monitoring collapse phenomenon of risky slopes. In the future, it can be used as disaster prevention technology to contribute in reduction of landslide damage and activation of measurement industry.

Improved GLR Method to Instrument Failure Detection (측정기기 고장진단에 관한 개선된 GLR방식)

  • Hak Yeoung Jeong;Soon Heung Chang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 1985
  • The Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) method performs statistical tests on the innovations sequence of a Kalman-Buchy filter state estimator for system failure detection and its identification. However, the major drawback of the conventional GLR is to hypothesize particular failure type in each case. In this paper, a method to solve this drawback is proposed. The improved GLR method is applied to a PWR pressurizer and gives successful results in detection and identification of any failure. Furthermore, some benefit on the processing time lier each cycle of failure detection and its identification can be accompanied.

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Accelerated Life Test Model for Life Prediction of Piston Assemblies in Hydraulic Pump and Motor (유압펌프 및 모터 피스톤 조립체의 수명예측을 위한 가속실험 모델)

  • Lee Y.B.;Kim H.E.;Yoo Y.C.;Park J.H.
    • Transactions of The Korea Fluid Power Systems Society
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 2005
  • The safety factor of hydraulic piston pumps & motors due to high pressurization, high speedization and low weight/volume realization to enhance the output density shows a tendency to decrease. Therefore more effective test methods are necessary to predict the exact life. The failure of hydraulic pumps & motors operating in high pressure and high speed mainly occurs in piston-shoe assemblies, and the major failure mode is wearout of the shoe surface. The sensitive parameters in the endurance life test are speed, pressure and temperature, and the failure production increases in proportion to the operating time. In this research, the authors propose the combined accelerated life test model using the analysis method of the combined accelerated life test results of piston-shoe assemblies by applying simultaneously high speed, high pressure and high temperature in accordance with variation of speed, pressure and temperature to reduce the life test time.

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Detecting of Scuffing Failure Using Acoustic Emission (AE 센서를 이용한 스커핑 손상의 감시)

  • Cho, Yong-Joo;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Wan;Cho, Yong-Joo
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.351-356
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    • 2002
  • The surfaces of machine components in sliding contact such as bearing, gears and pistons etc. frequently operate under the condition of mixed lubrication due to high load, high speed and slip. These machine components often undergo the inception of scuffing in practical application. The scuffing failure is a critical problem in modern machine components, especially for the requirement of high efficiency and small size. However, it is difficult to find a universal mechanism to explain all scuffing phenomena because there are so many factors affecting the onset of scuffing. In this study, scuffing experiments are conducted using Acoustic Emission(AE) measurement by an indirect sensing approach to detect scuffing failure. Acoustic Emission(AE) signal has been widely utilized to monitor the interaction at the friction interface. Using AE signals we can get an indication about the state of the friction processes, about the quality of solid and liquid layers on the contacting surfaces in real time. The FFT(Fast Fourier Transform) analyses of the AE signal are sued to understand the interfacial interaction and the relationship between the AE signal and the state of contact is presented.

Monitoring of Cut-Slope Behavior with Consideration of Rock Structure and Failure Mode (개착사면의 구조적 특성과 파괴양상을 고려한 계측 해석)

  • Cho, Tae-Chin;Park, So-Young;Lee, Sang-Bae;Lee, Geun-Ho;Won, Kyung-Sik
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.16 no.6 s.65
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    • pp.451-466
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    • 2006
  • Analysis of slope behavior concerning the structural characteristics of field rock mass can be processed by virtue of borehole information of joint orientation and position acquired from DOM drilled core. Anticipated sliding potential of pre-failed rock slope is analyzed and the regional slope instability is investigated by inspecting the hazardous joints and blocks the traces of which is projected on the cut-face. Cross section has been set at the center of rock slope and the traces of both joints and tetrahedral blocks, which potentially can induce the slope failure, are drawn to investigate the failure modes and the triggering mechanism. Automated monitoring system has been established to measure the slope movement and especially, inclinometer has been installed inside DOM borehole to analyze the slope movement by considering the internal rock structure. Algorithms for predicting the slope failure time have been reviewed and the significance of heavy rainfall on the slope behavior has been investigated.

The Comparative Study for Software Reliability Model Based on Finite and Infinite Failure Property using Rayleigh Distribution (레일리분포를 이용한 유한고장과 무한고장 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2014
  • The NHPP software reliability models for failure analysis can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, finite failure NHPP models that assuming the expected value of the defect and infinite failures NHPP models that repairing software failure point in time reflects the situation, were presented for comparing property. Commonly used in the field of software reliability based on Rayleigh distribution software reliability model finite failures and infinite failures were presented for comparison problem. As a result, infinite fault model is effectively finite fault models, respectively. The parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation was conducted. In this research, can be able to help software developers for considering software failure property some extent.

Empirical Bayesian Prediction Analysis on Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료를 이용한 경험적 베이즈 예측분석)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level, and based on the time the performances of items are investigated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior of a failure rate is known in the exponential lifetime distribution with censored accelerated failure time data, we utilize the empirical Bayesian method by using the moment estimators in order to estimate the parameters of the prior distribution and obtain the empirical Bayesian predictive density and predictive intervals for a future observation under the normal stress level.

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The Stockpile Reliability of Propelling Charge for Performance and Storage Safety using Stochastic Process (확률과정론을 이용한 추진장약의 성능과 저장안전성에 관한 저장신뢰성평가)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This paper presents a method to evaluate the stockpile reliability of propelling charge for performance and storage safety with storage time. Methods: We consider a performance failure level is the amount of muzzle velocity drop which is the maximum allowed standard deviation multiplied by 6. The lifetime for performance is estimated by non-linear regression analysis. The state failure level is assumed that the content of stabilizer is below 0.2%. Because the degradation of stabilizer with storage time has both distribution of state and distribution of lifetime, it must be evaluated by stochastic process method such as gamma process. Results: It is estimated that the lifetime for performance is 59 years. The state distribution at each storage time can be shown from probability density function of degradation. It is estimated that the average lifetime as $B_{50}$ life is 33 years from cumulative failure distribution function curve. Conclusion: The lifetime for storage safety is shorter than for performance and we must consider both the lifetime for storage safety and the lifetime performance because of variation of degradation rate.