• Title/Summary/Keyword: time to failure

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Lifetime Reliability Analysis of Irrigation System (관개조직의 수명기간 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim Han-Joong;Lee Jeong-Jae;Im Sang-Joon
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2003
  • A system reliability method is proposed to decide reliable serviceability of agricultural irrigation system. Even though reliability method is applied to real engineering situations involving actual life environments and maintaining costs, a number of Issues arise as a modeling and analysis level. This article use concepts that can be described the probability of failure with time variant and series-parallel system reliability analysis model. A proposed method use survivor function that can simulate a time-variant performance function for a lifetime before it is required essential maintenance or replacement to define a target probability of failure in agricultural irrigation canal. In the further study, it is required a relationship between a state of probability of failure and current serviceability to make the optimum repair strategy to maintain appropriate serviceability of an irrigation system.

A Study of Reliability Analysis and Application on Naval Combat System Using Field Critical Failure Data (야전 치명고장자료를 이용한 함정전투체계 신뢰성 분석 및 활용 방안)

  • Kim, Young-Jin;Oh, Hyun-Seung;Choi, Bong-Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2016
  • Naval combat system developed in-country is progressing at an alarming rate since 2000. ROK navy will be achieved all vessels that have combat system in the near future. The importance of System Engineering and Integrated Logistics Support based on reliability analysis is increasing. However, reliability analysis that everyone trusted and recognized is not enough and applied practically for development of Defense Acquisition Program. In particular, Existing Reliability Analysis is focusing on reliability index (Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) etc.) for policy decision of defense improvement project. Most of the weapon system acquisition process applying in the exponential distribution simply persist unreality due to memoryless property. Critical failures are more important than simple faults to ship's operator. There are no confirmed cases of reliability analysis involved with critical failure that naval ship scheduler and operator concerned sensitively. Therefore, this study is focusing on Mean Time To Critical Failure (MTTCF), reliability on specific time and Operational Readiness Float (ORF) requirements related to critical failure of Patrol Killer Guided missile (PKG) combat system that is beginning of naval combat system developed in-country. Methods of analysis is applied parametric and non-parametric statistical techniques. It is compared to the estimates and proposed applications. The result of study shows that parametric and non-parametric estimators should be applied differently depending on purpose of utilization based on test of normality. For the first time, this study is offering Reliability of ROK Naval combat system to stakeholders involved with defense improvement project. Decision makers of defense improvement project have to active support and effort in this area for improvement of System Engineering.

The Optimized Standards and Criteria for Installing Switches on Distribution Feeder (국내 배편계통의 최적 개폐기 설치 기준)

  • Jo, Nam-Hun;Ha, Bok-Nam;Lee, Heung-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.238-246
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    • 2002
  • Utilities are trying to install the equipment of high quality to avoid deterioration of supply reliability. In addition, many sectionalizing switches which can decrease the total outage value for a fault are installed for the same reason. Therefore, utilities are interested in stun dards and criteria for installing switches to optimize the total cost on distribution systems. The affect of sectionalizing switches installed on distribution feeder is gradually decreased because the failure rate on distribution feeder is decreased. Also the automation for distribution systems is widely applied for the efficient operation. Therefore, the renewal for installation standards of sectionalizing switches Is required to reflect the current operation situation. The variable data is used to consider the KEPCO's real situation of distribution feeder as follows; the feeder capacity, connecting rate, feeder length, failure rate of distribution feeder, the failure rate of switches, perception time of feeder fault, the restoration time for a faulted section, the transfer time to other feeders, and the switching time. In this study, We propose equations which can determine the number of sectionalizing switches for minimizing the outage and switch installation cost.

The optimized standards and criteria for installing switches on distribution feeder (국내 배전계통의 최적 개폐기 설치 기준(I))

  • Cho, Nam-Hun;O, Jae-Hyeong;Lee, Heung-Ho;Ha, Bok-Nam
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.70-73
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    • 2002
  • Utilities are trying to install the equipment of high quality to avoid deterioration of supply reliability. In addition, many sectionalizing switches which can decrease the total outage value for a fault are installed for the same reason. Therefore, utilities are interested in standards and criteria for installing switches to optimize the total cost on distribution systems. The affect of sectionalizing switches installed on distribution feeder is gradually decreased because the failure rate on distribution feeder is decreased. Also the automation for distribution systems is widely applied for the efficient operation. Therefore, the renewal for installation standards of sectionalizing switches is required to reflect the current operation situation. The variable data is used to consider the KEPCO's real situation of distribution feeder as follows; the feeder capacity, connecting rate, feeder length, failure rate of distribution feeder, the failure rate of switches, perception time of feeder fault, the restoration time for a faulted section, the transfer time to other feeders, and the switching time. In this study, We propose equations which can determine the number of sectionalizing switches for minimizing the outage and switch installation cost.

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Cost Optimizing Burn-in Time Determination (비용을 극소화하는 최적 번인시간 결정)

  • Lee, Sang-Yong;Park, Hae-Geun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.102-108
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    • 1993
  • The purpose of burn-in is to eliminate the early failures of the products before they are delivered for customer use. Therefore burn-in should he continued until one is reasonally sure that all the weak items have failed, thus leaving the remaining items in a healthy state of reliability. From this point of view, burn-in time dependent costs such as a cost per product per burn-in time, and cost of repair of the product per failure occurred during burn-in time will he increased. Conversely, the cost of field repair of the product per failure occurred during the guarantee period will be decreased since the early failure of the product is fully eliminated during burn-in. Hence, this paper intend to determine optimal burn-in time which minimize the total of above costs associated with burn-in.

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Effect of Boundary Conditions on Failure Probability of Corrosion Pipeline (부식 배관의 경계조건이 파손확률에 미치는 영향)

  • 이억섭;편장식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.873-876
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the effect of internal corrosion, external corrosion, material properties, operation condition, earthquake, traffic load and design thickness in pipeline on the failure prediction using a failure probability model. A nonlinear corrosion is used to represent the loss of pipe wall thickness with time. The effects of environmental, operational, and design random variables such as a pipe diameter, earthquake, fluid pressure, a corrosion rate, a material yield stress and a pipe thickness on the failure probability are systematically investigated using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

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Effect of Boundary Conditions on failure Probability of Corrosion Pipeline (부식 배관의 경계조건이 파손확률에 미치는 영향)

  • 이억섭;편장식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.403-410
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the effect of internal corrosion, external corrosion, material properties, operation condition, earthquake, traffic load and design thickness in pipeline on the failure prediction using a failure probability model. A nonlinear corrosion is used to represent the loss of pipe wall thickness with time. The effects of environmental, operational, and design random variables such as a pipe diameter, earthquake, fluid pressure, a corrosion rate, a material yield stress and a pipe thickness on the failure probability are systematically investigated using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

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An Application of Bayesian Network for Dynamic System Reliability Assessment (동적시스템의 신뢰도 평가를 위한 베이지안망의 적용)

  • Ahn Sun-Eung;Koo Jung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2004
  • This paper is intended to assess a dynamic system reliability. Bayesian networks, however, have difficulties in their application for assessing the system reliability especially when the system consists of dependent components and the probability of failure of each component varies over time. Hence, we suggest a method for resolving the difficulties by considering a hoist system composed of two wires. Firstly, we explain the method of calculating the failure probability of the system components. Secondly, we show how to calculate the failure probability of the system for two cases that failure probability of each wire is constant and varying in time, respectively. finally, based on the calculated failure probability of the system, we infer the probability that two interesting events occur.

Determination of Resetting Time to the Process Mean Shift with Failure (고장을 고려한 공정평균 이동에 대한 조정시기 결정)

  • Lee, Do-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2019
  • All machines deteriorate in performance over time. The phenomenon that causes such performance degradation is called deterioration. Due to the deterioration, the process mean of the machine shifts, process variance increases due to the expansion of separate interval, and the failure rate of the machine increases. The maintenance model is a matter of determining the timing of preventive maintenance that minimizes the total cost per wear between the relation to the increasing production cost and the decreasing maintenance cost. The essential requirement of this model is that the preventive maintenance cost is less than the failure maintenance cost. In the process mean shift model, determining the resetting timing due to increasing production costs is the same as the maintenance model. In determining the timing of machine adjustments, there are two differences between the models. First, the process mean shift model excludes failure from the model. This model is limited to the period during the operation of the machine. Second, in the maintenance model, the production cost is set as a general function of the operating time. But in the process mean shift model, the production cost is set as a probability functions associated with the product. In the production system, the maintenance cost of the equipment and the production cost due to the non-confirming items and the quality loss cost are always occurring simultaneously. So it is reasonable that the failure and process mean shift should be dealt with at the same time in determining the maintenance time. This study proposes a model that integrates both of them. In order to reflect the actual production system more accurately, this integrated model includes the items of process variance function and the loss function according to wear level.

The optimal system for series systems with warm standby components and a repairable service station

  • Rashad, A.M.;El-Sherbeny, M.S.;Gharieb, D.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.89-106
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    • 2010
  • This paper deals with the reliability and availability characteristics of three different series system configurations with warm standby components and a repairable service station. The failure time of the primary and warm standby are assumed to be exponentially distributed with parameters ${\lambda}$ and ${\alpha}$ respectively. The repair time distribution of each server is also exponentially distributed with parameter ${\mu}$. The breakdown time and the repair time of the service station are also assumed exponentially distributed with parameters ${\gamma}$ and ${\beta}$ respectively. We derive the reliability dependent on time, availability dependent on time, the mean time to failure, $MTTF_i$, and the steady-state availability $A_i$(${\infty}$) for three configurations and perform comparisons. Comparisons are made for specific values of distribution parameters and of the cost of the components. The three configurations are ranked based on: $MTTF_i$, $A_i$(${\infty}$), and $C_i/B_i$ where $B_i$ is either $MTTF_i$ or $A_i$(${\infty}$).

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