• Title/Summary/Keyword: system uncertainty

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The Impacts of Requirement Uncertainty and Standardization on Software Project Performance : A Comparison of Korea and USA (요구사항 불확실성과 표준화가 소프트웨어 프로젝트 성과에 미치는 영향 : 한국과 미국의 비교연구)

  • 나관식
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2004
  • Most software projects inevitably involve various types and degrees of uncertainty. Without proper risk assessment and coordination, software projects can easily run out of control and consume significant additional resource. Thus, risk management techniques are critical issues to information system researchers. Previous empirical studies of U.S. software firms support the adoption of development standardization and user requirement analysis techniques in risk-based software project management. Using data collected from software projects developed in Korea during 1999-2000, we conduct a comparative study to determine how risk management strategies impact software product and process performance in countries with dissimilar IT capabilities. In addition, we offer an alternative conceptualization of residual performance risk. We show that the use of residual performance risk as an intervening variable is inappropriate in IT developing countries like Korea where the role of late stage risk control remedies are critical. A revised model is proposed that generates more reliable empirical implications for Korean software projects.

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An output feedback control based on the adaptatation law for the estimation of the bound of the uncertainty (Uncertainty의 경계치 추정기법을 기초로 한 출력궤환제어)

  • Yoo, Dong-Sang;Choi, Han-Ho;Chung, Myung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1991.07a
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    • pp.687-690
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    • 1991
  • In deterministic design of feedback controllers for uncertain dynamical systems, the bound on the uncertainty is an important clue to guarantee the asymptotic stability or uniform ultimate boundedness of the closed-loop system. In this paper, using only the measurable output we propose an adaptation law for the estimation of the bound of the uncertainty. And based on this adaptation law an adaptive control which renders the uncertain dynamical systems uniformly ultimately bounded is constructed.

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Accounting for Uncertainty Propagation: Streamflow Forecasting using Multiple Climate and Hydrological Models

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il;Park, Se-Hoon;Oh, Tae-Suck
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1388-1392
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    • 2008
  • Water resources management depends on dealing inherent uncertainties stemming from climatic and hydrological inputs and models. Dealing with these uncertainties remains a challenge. Streamflow forecasts basically contain uncertainties arising from model structure and initial conditions. Recent enhancements in climate forecasting skill and hydrological modeling provide an breakthrough for delivering improved streamflow forecasts. However, little consideration has been given to methodologies that include coupling both multiple climate and multiple hydrological models, increasing the pool of streamflow forecast ensemble members and accounting for cumulative sources of uncertainty. The approach here proposes integration and coupling of global climate models (GCM), multiple regional climate models, and numerous hydrological models to improve streamflow forecasting and characterize system uncertainty through generation of ensemble forecasts.

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A Study on Robustness of a Two-Degree-of-Freedom Servosystem with Nonlinear Type Uncertainty(II) - Rubust Stability Condition (비선형 불확실성에 대한 서보계의 강인성에 관한 고찰(II) - 강인 안정성 조건)

  • Kim, Young-Bok
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.3B
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 1999
  • In order to reject the steady-state tracking error, it is common to introduce integral compensators in servosystems for constant reference signals. However, if the mathematical model of the plant is exact and no disturbance input exists, the integral compensation is not necessary. From this point of view, a two-degree-of-freedom(2DOF) servosystem has been proposed, in which the integral compensation is effective only when there is a modeling error or a disturbance input. The present paper considers a robust stability of this 2DOF servosystem with nonlinear type uncertainty in the system, and a robust stability condition for the servosystem is introduced. This result guarantees that if the plant uncertainty is in the permissible set defined by the condition, gain tuning can be carried out to suppress the influence of the plant uncertainties and disturbance inputs.

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State--Feedback Guaranteed-Cost Controllers for Systems with Controller Gain Variation

  • Park, Sung-Wook;Oh, Jun-Ho
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.75.3-75
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    • 2001
  • This paper addresses the design of State-feedback Robust Guaranteed-Cost Controllers with controller gain variations. Since the unstructured uncertainty is the most dominant uncertainty in the modeling of the plant, the plant is assumed to have the unstructured uncertainty. It is necessary to take the controller parameter perturbation into consideration when we design the robust controller. Otherwise, the resulting controller may show the fragility property. That is to say, the extremely small controller parameter variation may result in the instability of the overall closed-loop system. Therefore, the design purpose is that the maximum performance index is guaranteed in the presence of the unstructured plant uncertainty and controller parameter variations ...

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A Survey of Robust Control in Both Frequency Domain and Time Domain (주파수와 시간영역에서의 강인제어에 관한 연구동향조사)

  • Jeung, Eun Tae;Park, Hong Bae
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.270-276
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    • 2014
  • This survey paper reviews robust control problems in both frequency domain and time domain. Robust control is focused on model uncertainties such as modeling error, system parameter variations, and disturbances. Robust control design problems are discussed according to parameter uncertainty, polytopic uncertainty, and norm-bounded uncertainty. Nowadays, robust control theory is combined with various control theory such as model predictive control, adaptive control, intelligent control, and time delay control.

Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique (Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Stop Maneuver of Autonomous Vehicles under Perception Uncertainty (자율주행 자동차 정지 거동에서의 인지 불확실성을 고려한 확률적 모델 예측 제어)

  • Sangyoon, Kim;Ara, Jo;Kyongsu, Yi
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) for stop maneuver of autonomous vehicles considering perception uncertainty of stopped vehicle. The vehicle longitudinal motion should achieve both driving comfortability and safety. The comfortable stop maneuver can be performed by mimicking acceleration profile of human driving pattern. In order to implement human-like stop motion, we propose a reference safe inter-distance and velocity model for the longitudinal control system. The SMPC is used to track the reference model which contains the position uncertainty of preceding vehicle as a chance constraint. We conduct simulation studies of deceleration scenarios against stopped vehicle in urban environment. The test results show that proposed SMPC can execute comfortable stop maneuver and guarantee safety simultaneously.

H-infinity controller design for robust speed control against disturbance and model uncertainty of DC motors (외란과 모델 불확실성에 강인한 DC모터의 속도 제어용 H-infinity 제어기 설계)

  • JEONG, Tae-Young;KIM, Dong-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2022
  • This paper describes the design of H-infinity controller for robust control of a DC motor system. The suggested controller can ensure robustness against disturbance and model uncertainty by minimizing H-infinity norm of the transfer function from exogenous input to performance output and applying the small gain theorem. In particular, the controller was designed to reduce the effects of disturbance and model uncertainty simultaneously by formalizing these problems as a mixed sensitivity problem. The validity of the proposed controller was demonstrated by computer simulations and real experiments. Moreover, the effectiveness of the proposed controller was confirmed by comparing its performance with PI controller, which was tested under the same experimental condition as the H-infinity controller.

Control of Flexible Link using Mixed $H_2$/H$\infty$ and $\mu$-Synthesis Method

  • Y.W. Choe;Lee, H.K.;J.I. Bae
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.95.3-95
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    • 2001
  • This paper investigates the simultaneous use of mixed H2/H_inf and mu-synthesis design methodology to design a robust controller for flexible link. We adopt four steps to design control system as follows: Step 1 : Generally, there are differences between the nominal and real model, so we consider the plant as a combination of parametric model uncertainty and unstructured uncertainty represents real structural uncertainties associated with the damping ratios of the flexible modes retained in the nominal model without payload. denotes the uncertainty which is due to the payload added at the tip. Step 2 : We adopt the mixed H2/H_inf theory to design a feedback controller K(s) by using the model uncertainty ...

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