• Title/Summary/Keyword: system uncertainty

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The Sensitivity Analyses of Initial Condition and Data Assimilation for a Fog Event using the Mesoscale Meteorological Model (중규모 기상 모델을 이용한 안개 사례의 초기장 및 자료동화 민감도 분석)

  • Kang, Misun;Lim, Yun-Kyu;Cho, Changbum;Kim, Kyu Rang;Park, Jun Sang;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.567-579
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    • 2015
  • The accurate simulation of micro-scale weather phenomena such as fog using the mesoscale meteorological models is a very complex task. Especially, the uncertainty arisen from initial input data of the numerical models has a decisive effect on the accuracy of numerical models. The data assimilation is required to reduce the uncertainty of initial input data. In this study, the limitation of the mesoscale meteorological model was verified by WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model for a summer fog event around the Nakdong river in Korea. The sensitivity analyses of simulation accuracy from the numerical model were conducted using two different initial and boundary conditions: KLAPS (Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) and LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) data. In addition, the improvement of numerical model performance by FDDA (Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation) using the observational data from AWS (Automatic Weather System) was investigated. The result of sensitivity analysis showed that the accuracy of simulated air temperature, dew point temperature, and relative humidity with LDAPS data was higher than those of KLAPS, but the accuracy of the wind speed of LDAPS was lower than that of KLAPS. Significant difference was found in case of relative humidity where RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) for LDAPS and KLAPS was 15.7 and 35.6%, respectively. The RMSE for air temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity was improved by approximately $0.3^{\circ}C$, $0.2m\;s^{-1}$, and 2.2%, respectively after incorporating the FDDA.

A Study of Information Systems Development for Marketing Strategy (효율적(效率的)인 마아케팅 정보(情報) 시스템 구축(構築) 방안(方案)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Won, Doo-Hi
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.4
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    • pp.355-383
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    • 1991
  • 1. The Purpose of This study research: The focus of marketing until recently has simply been on sales which means the transfer of goods from the producer to the consumer and on profits therefrom. However, the excess supply of goods due to the expansion of the economy and the resulting fierce competition between companies have changed the nature of marketing. Maximizing consumers' satisfaction and establishing marketing mix strategies for market subdivision and penetration into the target market are now significant roles of the marketing manager. In addition, with regard to company management, information within the company which had been collected, managed and processed sporadically indegrated manner. The purpose of this research on marketing information systems in connection with the above will be to seek ways enabling us to create an efficient and integrated information system for an entire company. 2. The Method and Scop of This Stdudy: Marketing information systems, as a part of management information systems, shall be examined based on relevant theoretical literature. The research process shall be generally developed as follows: 1) The basic structure of the marketing information systems, including its fundamental purpose and necessity, shall be examined. 2) The method for a specific plan shall be presented through fundamental marketing strategy concepts and marketing decision-making. 3) A general model shall be presented based on examinations of various mod els used for marketing information systems and on research of the models' relationship with management information systems. 4) The direction of development shall be presented as the basis for gradual development following examination of the scope, pertinent issues, and means of improvement of the marketing information systems. 3. Summary and Conclusion: As the competition among the enterprises has become keen and thus the management of the contemporary enterprises shows the tendencies of uncertainty as well as complexity, all the managers must make the correct and prompt decision of their mind. Otherwise, the danger which will lead to and failure in the failure in the business may befall to the enterprise. Though computer system and information related techniques have the endless potentiality for the improvement of the enterprise, those are granted only to the enterprise which will be able to manage the computer system and information related techniques. In the contemporary industrial society, the need to a managerial information system has been increasing because all the complicated information can be stored, disposed and managed by the efficient method. And the marketing information system is also the integrated system which has been formed and developed through the efficient mixture of all the constituent elements including the definition of marketing research as the definition of the information system has been enlarged due to the reason shown above. The common point of the two systems is the man machine system functioning to help the efficient decision of the mind by introducing the computer system on the basis of user manager centered thought in order to provide informations to be useful in operation and management of the organization and the function of the mind decision. The purpose for the marketing information system lies in making the utmost use of marketing information available in the course of the mind decision. The reason why the contemporary enterprises necessitate the marketing information system are as follows: 1) The stages of the business operation are expanded wide to the world. 2) As the living standards of the consumers have been on the rise, the enter prise has to satisfy the consumer's "wants" than simple "needs".

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Application of Digital Signal Analysis Technique to Enhance the Quality of Tracer Gas Measurements in IAQ Model Tests

  • Lee, Hee-Kwan;Awbi, Hazim B.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.23 no.E2
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2007
  • The introduction of tracer gas techniques to ventilation studies in indoor environments provides valuable information that used to be unattainable from conventional testing environments. Data acquisition systems (DASs) containing analogue-to-digital (A/D) converters are usually used to function the key role that records signals to storage in digital format. In the testing process, there exist a number of components in the measuring equipment which may produce system-based inference to the monitored results. These unwanted fluctuations may cause significant error in data analysis, especially when non-linear algorithms are involved. In this study, a pre-processor is developed and applied to separate the unwanted fluctuations (noise or interference) in raw measurements and to reduce the uncertainty in the measurement. Moving average, notch filter, FIR (Finite Impulse Response) filters, and IIR (Infinite Impulse Response) filters are designed and applied to collect the desired information from the raw measurements. Tracer gas concentrations are monitored during leakage and ventilation tests in the model test room. The signal analysis functions are introduced to carry out the digital signal processing (DSP) work. Overall the FIR filters process the $CO_2$ measurement properly for ventilation rate and mean age of air calculations. It is found that, the Kaiser filter was the most applicable digital filter for pre-processing the tracer gas measurements. Although the IIR filters help to reduce the random noise in the data, they cause considerable changes to the filtered data, which is not desirable.

Parallel Robust $H_{\infty}$ Control for Weakly Coupled Bilinear Systems with Parameter Uncertainties Using Successive Galerkin Approximation

  • Kim, Young-Joong;Lim, Myo-Taeg
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.689-696
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a new algorithm for the closed-loop $H_{\infty}$ composite control of weakly coupled bilinear systems with time-varying parameter uncertainties and exogenous disturbance using the successive Galerkin approximation(SGA). By using weak coupling theory, the robust $H_{\infty}$ control can be obtained from two reduced-order robust $H_{\infty}$ control problems in parallel. The $H_{\infty}$ control theory guarantees robust closed-loop performance but the resulting problem is difficult to solve for uncertain bilinear systems. In order to overcome the difficulties inherent in the $H_{\infty}$ control problem, two $H_{\infty}$ control laws are constructed in terms of the approximated solution to two independent Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaac equations using the SGA method. One of the purposes of this paper is to design a closed-loop parallel robust $H_{\infty}$ control law for the weakly coupled bilinear systems with parameter uncertainties using the SGA method. The other is to reduce the computational complexity when the SGA method is applied to the high order systems.

Capacity evaluation of PC-slab composite actions for the railway steel plate girder according to an experimental construction (PC-Slab 합성 철도판형교 유도상화 시험부설에 따른 성능 비교평가)

  • Min, Kyung-Ju;Lee, Sung-Uk;Choi, Hyung-Soo;Woo, Yong-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.697-706
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    • 2011
  • There are more than 800 railway steel plate girder bridges which are in use and the total length is approximately 50 km. Among these, it shall be pointed out that non-ballast rail systems which lay on wood sleepers are the most critical members. To strengthen this type of structures, mainly two methods have been applied. The first one is the most typical method which is to replace the girders with slab girder system or steel composite girders and to add ballast. It is not uncommon that the construction cost of substructure is more than ten time higher than that of superstructures and even in this case, the structural uncertainty for the substructures is not diminished. To resolve above mentioned problems, new method was developed to rehabilitate railway steel girder bridge by adding PC-slab using transport equipment. Using this method, substructure strengthen is rarely required because the additional weight to the bridge superstructure is only up to 1.0t/m. Also it was possible to save the construction cost by reducing construction duration and by simplifying the construction process. Experimental construction was performed for Jewon bridge and measurements were performed before and after construction to verify the bridge capacity.

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Virtual Brake Pressure Sensor Using Vehicle Yaw Rate Feedback (차량 요레이트 피드백을 통한 가상 제동 압력 센서 개발)

  • You, Seung-Han
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents observer-based virtual sensors for YMC(Yaw Moment Control) systems by differential braking. A high-fidelity empirical model of the hydraulic unit in YMC system was developed for a model-based observer design. Optimal, adaptive, and robust observers were then developed and their estimation accuracy and robustness against model uncertainty were investigated via HILS tests. The HILS results indicate that the proposed disturbance attenuation approach indeed exhibits more satisfactory pressure estimation performance than the other approach with admissible degradation against the predefined model disturbance.

Comparative Study of GPS-Integrated Concrete Supply Management using Discrete Event Simulation

  • Zekavat, Payam Rahnamayie;Mortaheb, Mohammad Mehdi;Han, Sangwon;Bernold, Leonhard
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2014
  • The management of vehicular supply of "perishable" construction material, such as concrete mixes, faces a series of uncertainties such as weather, daily traffic patterns and accidents. Presented in this paper is a logistics control model for managing a hauling fleet with interrelated processes at both ends and queue capacities. Discrete event simulation is used to model the complex interactions of production units and the randomness of the real world. Two alternative strategies for ready mix concrete delivery, with and without an off-site waiting queue, are studied to compare supply performance. Secondly, the paper discusses the effect of an agent-based GPS tracking system providing real-time travel data that lessens the uncertainty of trucking time. The results show that the combination of GPS information with off-site queuing reduces productivity loss and process wastes of concrete placement as well as the idleness of supply trucks when crew or pump experience an unexpected stoppage.

A Qualitative Study on the Career-interrupted Lives of Career-Interrupted Women in their thirties (직업 경력단절 기혼 여성에 대한 질적 연구: 30대 여성의 경력단절 이후의 삶을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Su Ri;Lee, Sulim;Ryu, Jeong Yi
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.75-99
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the career-interrupted lives of highly educated career-interrupted women. The participants were 11 women in their thirties who had graduated from university graduated and had a child. We collected the qualitative data using a focused group interview. The results of this study can be summarized as follows. First, in personal histories of the career-interrupted women, there were marriages and births, difficulties with child care, priority placed on the family, pressure to retire, and an absence of a layoff system related to births and child care. Second, with regard to their interrupted lives, while there was comfort and an absence of work-stress, there was child care stress, financial stress, anxiety due to career uncertainty, a loss of the social self, depression, emptiness, low self-esteem, dependence on husbands, regret, conflict in career choices, and envy of childcare support. Third, their reasons for seeking reemployment included the financial benefits, increased independence, self-realization in their job, hope for a stable job, self-management, and hope for a social network.

A Comparison of Estimation Approaches of Structural Equation Model with Higher-Order Factors Using Partial Least Squares (PLS를 활용한 고차요인구조 추정방법의 비교)

  • Son, Ki-Hyuk;Chun, Young-Ho;Ok, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.64-70
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    • 2013
  • Estimation approaches for casual relation model with high-order factors have strict restrictions or limits. In the case of ML (Maximum Likelihood), a strong assumption which data must show a normal distribution is required and factors of exponentiation is impossible due to the uncertainty of factors. To overcome this limitation many PLS (Partial Least Squares) approaches are introduced to estimate the structural equation model including high-order factors. However, it is possible to yield biased estimates if there are some differences in the number of measurement variables connected to each latent variable. In addition, any approach does not exist to deal with general cases not having any measurement variable of high-order factors. This study compare several approaches including the repeated measures approach which are used to estimate the casual relation model including high-order factors by using PLS (Partial Least Squares), and suggest the best estimation approach. In other words, the study proposes the best approach through the research on the existing studies related to the casual relation model including high-order factors by using PLS and approach comparison using a virtual model.

Terrain-referenced Underwater Navigation using Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filter (라오-블랙웰라이즈드 입자필터를 이용한 지형참조 수중항법)

  • Kim, Taeyun;Kim, Jinwhan;Choi, Hyun-Taek
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.682-687
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    • 2013
  • Navigation is a crucial capability for all types of manned or unmanned vehicles. However, vehicle navigation in underwater environments still remains a challenging problem since GPS signals for position fixes are not available in the water. Terrain-referenced underwater navigation is an alternative navigation technique that utilizes geometric information of the subsea terrain to correct drift errors due to dead-reckoning or inertial navigation. Terrain-referenced navigation requires the description of an undulating terrain surface as a mathematical function or table, which often leads to a highly nonlinear estimation problem. Recently, PFs (Particle Filters), which do not require any restrictive assumptions about the system dynamics and uncertainty distributions, have been widely used for nonlinear filtering applications. However, PF has considerable computational requirements which used to limit its applicability to problems of relatively low state dimensions. This study proposes the use of a Rao-Blackwellized particle filter that is computationally more efficient than the standard PF for terrain-referenced underwater navigation involving a moderate number of states, and its performance is compared with that of the extended Kalman filter algorithm. The validity and feasibility of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated through numerical simulations.