• Title/Summary/Keyword: system lifetime

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Economic analysis on Sustainable Photovoltaic Systems (지속가능한 태양광발전시스템의 경제성 분석)

  • Park, Soo-Uk;Lee, Deok-Ki
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.1 no.3 s.3
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyses the economics of grid-connected photovoltaic systems. With the 2003 cost of photovoltaic systems, under prevailing capital market conditions, with a system lifetime of 30 years, and under the best climatic conditions, it appears that the cost of production of grid-connected electricity could be of 0.21 US $/kWh, and under medium climatic conditions, European locations, Switzerland, Japan and South Korean could be of 0.28$/kWh. If the lifetime if the system goes up, due to future technological improvements, to a very large value such as 50 years, these costs can be lowered by 10-20%. Competitiveness of grid-connected photovoltaic electricity, while it still cannot be taken for granted, is a possibility, especially if major technological advances further lowers the costs of photo cells and increases their lifetimes.

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Estimating the Probability of Perfect PM in the Brown-Proschan Imperfect PM Model (Brown-Proschan 불완전 PM 모형에서 완전 PM 확률의 추정)

  • 임태진
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 1997
  • We propose a method for estimating the probability of perfect PM from successive failure times of a repairable system. The system under study is maintained preventively at periodic times, and it undergoes minimal repair at failure. We consider Brown-Proschan imperfect PM model in which the system is restored to a condition as good as new with probability P and is otherwise restored to its condition just prior to failure. We discuss the identifiability problem when the PM modes are not recorded. The expectation-maximization principle is employed to handle the incomplete data problem. We assume that the lifetime distribution belongs to a parametric family with increasing failure rate. For the two parameter Weibull lifetime distribution, we propose a specific algorithm for finding the maximum lifelihood estimates of the reliability parameters : the probability of perfect PM (P), as well as the distribution parameters. The estimation method will provide useful results for maintaining real systems.

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A Case Study on Lifetime for Electric Multiple Units (도시철도차량의 내구연한관련 사례분석)

  • Chung, Jong-Duk;Pyun, Jang-Sik;Park, Kee-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1008-1013
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    • 2008
  • Currently, the use of the subway system as a public transportation has been an increasing demand due to the complex transportation structure in Korea. The subway system provides on time arrival and departure, relatively comfortable riding, and convenient access in the metropolitan area. Among several areas of the operation of the subway system, the safety of subway vehicle itself is of important because the rolling stocks carry the passengers, and the safety and reliability of rolling stocks are directly affected for the safety of subway passengers. In this research, various advanced engineering analysis techniques for the precision diagnosis assessment of subway EMUs have been introduced and the diagnosis assessment results have been used to provide the critical information for the lifetime assessment of EMUs.

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Reliability Assessment of Elevators Using Life Data of the Components (부품의 수명 데이터를 이용한 승강기의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Sohn, S.H.;Sohn, H.J.;Kim, S.J.;Yang, B.S.;Yoon, M.C.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2010
  • Engineering asset management (EAM) requires the accurate assessment of current and the prediction of future asset health condition. Suitable mathematical models that are capable of predicting time-to-failure and the probability of failure in future time are essential. In general reliability models, lifetime of component and system is estimated using failure time data. This paper deals with the reliability assessment of elevators using life of main components. Especially this work is concerned with the stochastic nature of life of elevator components. First, we investigate the Weibull statistical analysis of lifetime data for the components. The final goal is to establish the mathematical model for reliability assessment. This work provides more perspectives to future research in the fields of reliability and maintainability.

Validation on Reliability of Data for Development of Forecasting System of Service Lifetime in Marine Structures (해양구조물 수명예측 시스템 구축을 위한 데이터 신뢰성 검증)

  • Leem, Young-Moon;Yang, Eun-Ik;Hwang, Young-Seob
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2007
  • Because the damages of corrosion resulting from the chloride ion are very serious, many research studies have been performed to measure the penetration depth of the chloride ion. However, there is a problem with data selection obtained from collection during experiments. After careful study, it appears that the collected data are not conformed to a normal distribution. The result of this study will play a very important role, as a first step for the development and construction of a forecasting system to help determine a reliable service lifetime of marine structures.

Posbist Reliability Analysis of Typical Systems

  • Huang, Hong-Zhong;Tong, X.;He, L.P.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.137-151
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    • 2007
  • Posbist reliability of typical systems is preliminarily discussed in Cai (1991). In this paper, we focus on the posbist reliability analysis of some typical systems in depth. First, the lifetime of the system is dealt as a fuzzy variable defined on the possibility space (U, ${\phi}$, $P_{oss}$) and the universe of discourse is expanded from (0, $+{\infty}$) to ($-{\infty},\;+{\infty}$). Then, a concrete possibility distribution function of the fuzzy variable is given, i.e., a Gaussian fuzzy variable. Finally, posbist reliability of typical systems (series, parallel, series-parallel, parallel-series, cold redundant system) is deduced. The expansion makes the proofs of some theorems straightforward and allows us to easily obtain the posbist reliability of typical systems. To illustrate the method a numerical example is given.

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The Method of Battery Lifetime Optimization for V2G System considering Load Leveling (부하평준화를 고려한 V2G 시스템의 배터리 수명 최적화 기법)

  • Shin, Chang-Hyun;Kim, Do-Yun;Won, Il-Kuen;Kim, Young-Real;Won, Chung-Yuen
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2014.07a
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    • pp.538-539
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    • 2014
  • The development of smart grid technologies will enable enhanced utilization of electric vehicles(EV) as portable energy storage devices which can provide power system-wide. Because significant increase of EV in the near future, V2G(Vehicle-to-Grid) system will soon become a reality. This paper presents the optimal method of a battery lifetime depending on depth of discharge(DOD) considering load leveling.

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Storage Lifetime Prediction of Zr-Ni Delay System in Fuze K510 for High Explosive Shell (충격신관 K510용 Zr-Ni계 지연관의 저장수명 예측)

  • Park, Byung-Chan;Chang, Il-Ho;Back, Seung-Jun;Son, Young-Kap;Jung, Eun-Jin;Hwang, Taek-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.719-726
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    • 2009
  • A delay system in fuze for high explosive shell is an important safety device, but failure in the delay system usually causes failure of the shell. Root-cause analysis of failure in the delay system is required since failure in over 10-years stored delay system recently occurs. In this paper, failure in the delay system was reproduced experimentally to examine aged characteristics of the delay system, and the failed delay system shows the same characteristics as ones of failed delay systems in field. Based on the reproduced experiments, accelerated life testings and the data analysis of failure times of delay systems were performed to predict the storage lifetime.

Life Estimation of Organic Light Emission Diode by Accelerated Test (유기발광(有機發光) 다이오드의 가속(加速) 수명(壽命) 시험(試驗)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Choi, Young-Tei;Cho, Jai-Rip
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.262-268
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    • 2010
  • Organic light emitting diode is developed fast from 1963 after discovering electric light emitting phenomenon. First PMOLED(passive matrix OLED) product is manufactured and AMOLED(active matrix OLED) using TFT(thin film ransistor) is now in the center. PMOLED is mainly mounted at sub display. but AMOLED is mounted at main display. Also AMOLED expand the market to PMP(portable multimedia players), navigation and TV. Even thought OLED's market is opening to many applications, OLED is worried about lifetime until now. That's appeared in market in a very short time and is not known well about result of OLED's lifetime and reliability test. And there is no standard ssessment method and not enough study to standardization the method. A study's purpose is reduce the time for life test by accelerated current and it can do production possible design by accelerated life model in design phase. It's must be add to process variables and design variables(like ratio of light emitting, organic material structure, condition of aging, etc) to make the best use of supplied accelerated lifetime model in this paper. In terms of lifetime it needs each criterion of applications because of image sticking. In conclusion, it's possible to discover new defect because there is not much time to be opened in market and develop a method of manufacturing process & materials, so we need to study on the subject of this paper continuously.

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Performance Evaluation of the AODV-Based Extended Network Lifetime Protocol Using the Energy Mean Value over MANET (MANET환경에서 AODV 기반 에너지 평균값을 적용한 네트워크 수명연장 프로토콜의 성능평가)

  • Kim Jin-Man;Jang Jong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.1189-1194
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    • 2005
  • An Ad-hoc network which do not use wired and base station system is composed the group of mobile and wireless nodes. That is various type of restriction. The biggest restriction is depend on the confined energy of battery. The network is devide more than two, if one of nodes consumed all energy that node can no longer participate to network. In recent years, the many number of studies research not only energy saving but also the networks lifetime extension which is to solve this problem. In this paper, we examine a AODV routing protocol which is modified to improve networks lifetime in mobile ad-hoc network. The one of improvement for AODV protocol is maximize the networks lifetime as apply Energy Mean Value algorithm which considerate node energy. We show the effectiveness for modified AODV(New-AODV) compared with AODV using NS-2(Network Simulator 2) the various performance metrics.