• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2003년도 ISIS 2003
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• pp.7-10
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• 2003

In the field of financial technology, it is the U.S. initiative, and Japan is obliged to flattery in many respect. Currently Japan is in a too much defenseless situation that the economic structure is based on U.S. theory, In the conventional stochastic theory, it is also face that the prediction sometimes does not hit in the actual problem because it assumes a known probability distribution, none of which illustrates the real situation. A new research and development of management prediction support system is proposed based on fuzzy measures, that deals with the ambiguous, subjective evaluation by the people living in the real world well. Especially, the system will support venture, small and medium companies.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1155-1162
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• 2004

This research proposes a new risk analysis method in order to guarantee successful performance of construction projects. The proposed risk analysis methods consists of four phases. First step, AHP model can help contractors decide whether or not they bid for a project by analysing risks involved in the project. Second step, the influence diagraming, decision tree and Monte Carlo simulation are used as tools to analyze and evaluate project risks quantitatively. Third step, Monte Carlo simulation is used to assess risk for groups of activities with probabilistic branching and calendars. Finally, Fuzzy theory suggests a risk management method for construction projects, which is using subjective knowledge of an expert and linguistic value, to analyze and quantify risk. The result of study is expected to improve the accuracy of risk analysis because three factors, such as probability, impact and exposure, for estimating membership function are introduced to quantify each risk factor. Consequently, it will help contractors identify risk elements in their projects and quantify the impact of risk on project time and cost.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.151-161
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• 1998

In this study, an attempt is made to apply the concept of fuzzy-bayesian theory to the integrity assessment of RC highway bridge, and uncertainty states are represented in terms of fuzzy sets which define several linguistic variables such as "very good", "good", "average", "poor", "very poor", etc. Especially, the concept of fuzzy conditional probability aids to derive a new reliability analysis which includes the subjective assessment of engineers without introducing any additional correction factors. The fuzzy concept are also used as reliability indexes for the condition assessment based on the proposed models, the proposed fuzzy theory-based approach with the results of visual inspection and extensive field load tests are applied to the integrity assessment of a new RC highway bridge, namely, Jichok bridge.

• 한국치위생학회지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.31-38
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• 2015

Objectives: The purpose of this study is to investigate the factors of oral health beliefs on scaling performance by national health insurance coverage in consumers. Methods: The subjects were 353 people living in Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi-do from September 25 to October 20, 2013. They filled out the self-reported questionnaire after receiving informed consents. The questionnaire included 6 questions of general characteristics, 6 questions of oral health behavior, 6 questions of health insurance coverage, and 1 question of subjective oral health recognition. The oral health belief consisted of 6 questions of seriousness, 6 questions of susceptibility, 8 questions of barriers, 5 questions of benefit, and 3 questions of self-efficacy measure by Likert 5 scale. Cronbach's alpha in the study was 0.759. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 20.0 for frequency analysis, t-test, ANOVA, post-hoc Scheffe test, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and binary logistic regression. Results: The influencing factors of oral health belief model were Seriousness(${\beta}=0.091$), Self efficacy(${\beta}=-0.471$) and age(${\beta}=0.855$)(p<0.05). Those who had highly perceived seriousness and younger age tended to have probability of scaling performance. Higher self-efficacy tended to take more chance to have scaling performance probability. Conclusions: In order to cover the scaling by national health insurance, it is very important to notice the benefit of health insurance coverage of scaling to the consumers. National health insurance coverage enables the scaling practice to be easily accessible to the people. Easy access to scaling by low cost strategy can improve the oral health behavior.

• 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.623-635
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• 2011

Over the past few decades, the proportion of elderly people with depression in Korea has been rapidly increasing. The purpose of this study is to explore relative effects of health and family factors on geriatric depression. The data sources are from Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging(2008). The Analysis sample consists of 4,040 cases. Analysis results show that there is a significant variability in geriatric depression according to sociodemographic characteristics, health characteristics, and family characteristics. Hierarchical logistic regression analyses are employed to assess the causal relationship between health characteristics and geriatric depression. Model II showed that ADL(exp(B)=1.732), having difficulties due to sight deterioration(exp(B)=1.398), having difficulties due to masticatory force deterioration(exp(B)=1.414), having difficulties due to pain(exp(B)=2.435), and subjective health status(exp(B)=2.010) are reported as predictors of geriatric depression. Namely, the probability of having geriatric depression of the above predictors has been 1.7 times, 1.4 times, 1.4 times, 2.4 times. 2.0 times higher than normal figures. Among health characteristics, pain is the most prevalent factor. Model III showed that as for family characteristics, coresiding with children(exp(B)=1.312) and frequency of contacting with children by phones, letters, or emails(exp(B)=1.477) are reported as predictors of geriatric depression. Key findings are that health factors have larger effects than family factors on geriatric depression.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.159-167
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• 2019

The current higher education in Vietnam demonstrates the intense competition among local universities. Undoubtedly, the issue of enhancing the brand value to attract students is now placed at the top to Vietnamese universities. The research aims to identify the objective and subjective factors affecting the brand value of private universities in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam as mediated by students' perceptions. This paper employs the mixed research methods and data were then analyzed by measuring Cronbach's Alpha coefficient for reliability, analyzing EFA, and using PATH model to test the experiment on the research model affecting HUTECH's brand value. Probability sampling used is Stratified sampling and 500 students of 8 faculties of HUTECH surveyed by convenience sampling. Additionally, this paper also proposes some managerial implications on enhancing the brand value of private universities in Ho Chi Minh City. The results indicate that the new factor, namely geographic location is the most influential factor to enhance the brand value of private universities in general and HUTECH in particular. Brand still plays a determinant role in students' trust when choosing a university. Finally, some implications proposed to enhance the brand value of private universities in Ho Chi Minh City in the context of fierce competition in attracting students.

• 산업노동연구
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.181-214
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• 2018

본 연구는 한국고용정보원의 청년패널조사(YP2007 2~9차) 자료를 이용하여 청년층 노동시장에서 발생되는 주관적 미스매치의 현상을 살펴보고, 주관적 미스매치의 결정요인 및 임금효과를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 전반적으로 학력과 기술 수준 모두 미스매치 중 학력과잉과 기술과잉은 두드러지게 감소하는 것으로, 학력부족과 기술부족은 다소 완만하게 증가하는 추이를 보였다. 다음으로, 하향취업(학력/기술 과잉) 결정요인에 대한 분석 결과, 남성은 여성에 비해 하향취업(학력/기술 과잉)이 될 가능성이 낮았으며, 종사상 지위에서는 임시/일용직 보다 상용직 및 비임금근로자의 하향취업 확률이 낮게 나타났다. 마지막으로 pooled OLS 모형과 패널고정효과 모형으로 미스매치의 임금효과를 추정한 결과, 임금에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 미스매치는 학력과잉인 것으로 나타났고, 학력과잉인 청년취업자들은 그렇지 않은 집단(적정학력)에 비해 평균적으로 6.7% 낮은 임금을 받고 있는 것으로 추정되었다. 관찰되지 않은 개별의 특성을 통제한 후에도 3.2%의 낮은 임금을 받는 것으로 나타났으며, 기술과잉 미스매치의 경우 2.9%, 전공 미스매치가 2.3%로 기준집단에 비해 낮은 임금을 받고 있는 것으로 추정되었다.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.507-516
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• 2015

Debris flow is a representative natural disaster in Korea and occurs frequently every year. Recently, it has caused considerable damage to property and considerable loss of life in both mountainous and urban regions. Therefore, It is necessary to estimate the scope of damage for a large area in order to predict the debris flow. A response model such as the random walk model(RWM) can be used as a useful tool instead of a physics-based numerical model. RWM is a probability model that simplifies both debris flows and sedimentation characteristics as a factor of slopes for a subjective site and represents a relatively simple calculation method compared to other debris flow behavior calculation models. Although RWM can be used to analyzing and predicting the scope of damage caused by a debris flow, input variables for terrain conditions are yet to be determined. In this study, optimal input variables were estimated using DEM generated from the Aerial Photograph and LiDAR data of Mt. Umyeon, Seoul, where a large-scale debris flow occurred in 2011. Further, the deposition volume resulting from the debris flow was predicted using the input variables for a specific area in which the deposition volume could not be calculated because of work restoration and the passage of time even though a debris flow occurred there. The accuracy of the model was verified by comparing the result of predicting the deposition volume in the debris flow with the result obtained from a debris flow behavior analysis model, Debris 2D.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제49권5호
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• pp.761-778
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• 2014

본 논문은 거래빈도가 낮아 지금껏 적극적으로 시도되지 못한 상업용 토지의 가격을 정확히 추정하고자 하였다. 서울시 상업용 토지 실거래가 자료를 대상으로 선형 결합 형태의 평균 구조(전역적 경향), 지수 형태의 공분산함수 그리고 순수 오차항을 구성요소로 하는 모형을 구축 및 적용하였다. 상권별로 가격수준이 차별적으로 형성되는 상업용 토지 가격의 특성을 감안하여 대표적 공간보간기법인 크리깅 방법을 적용함으로써 지가의 공간적 상관성을 명시적으로 고려하였다. 더 나아가 희소한 자료의 한계를 극복하기 위해 전문가 지식을 사전 확률분포의 형태로 모형에 반영할 수 있는 베이지안 크리깅 방법을 활용하였다. 적용한 모형의 성능은 적합 과정에 사용되지 않은 검증 자료를 대상으로 검토하였으며, 전문가 지식의 반영과 공간적 상관성의 명시적 고려를 통해 가격 추정의 정확성이 높아진 사실을 확인하였다. 본 논문은 베이지안 크리깅 기법을 토지 가격 추정에 적용하되, 전문가의 주관적 지식을 명시적으로 모형에 반영하였다는 점 등에서 기존 연구와 차별성을 갖는다. 본 논문의 결과는 거래 자료가 희소한 상황에서도 신뢰성 있게 부동산 가격을 추정해야하는 경우에 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 정보과학회 논문지
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• 제42권5호
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• pp.609-620
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• 2015

시청자들은 영상을 시청할 때 화면상 시각이 집중된 곳 주변의 정보를 영향력 있게 받아들일 가능성이 크다. 이러한 사실을 이용하여 최근 연구들은 시각 주의 모델을 영상 제작 및 평가 방법에 이용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 실제로 사람들의 시각 주의도가 어떠한 인자에 영향을 많이 받는지, 또 시각 주의 모델은 구체적으로 어떠한 형태가 되는지를 통계적 실험 계획법을 이용하여 추정하였다. 분산 분석법을 이용하여 속도, 화면으로부터의 거리, 비초점흐림 정도가 시각 주의에 영향을 미치는 유의한 인자인 것을 확인하였고 반응 표면 계획법을 이용하여 이 세가지 인자들에 따른 시각 주의 점수 모델을 도출하였다. 이 시각 주의 점수 모델로부터 영상 각 픽셀의 시각 주의 확률을 구하였다. 본 연구의 뒷부분에서는 시각주의 확률 모델을 기존의 기울기(gradient) 기반 3차원 영상의 입체감 측정법에 적용하는 방법을 제안하였다. 화면 상에서 시선을 집중할 확률이 큰 부분에 높은 비중을 둠으로써 기존의 방법 보다 시청자가 느끼는 입체감을 더욱 정확하게 측정할 수 있도록 하였다. 제안한 방법의 성능을 검증하기 위해 주관적 평가를 실시하여 피실험자들이 느끼는 입체감과 제안된 방법으로부터 도출한 결과를 비교하였다. 실험 결과 제안한 방법이 기존의 방법에 비해 성능이 높은 것을 확인하였다.