• Title/Summary/Keyword: step-changed

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TIME SERIES PREDICTION USING INCREMENTAL REGRESSION

  • Kim, Sung-Hyun;Lee, Yong-Mi;Jin, Long;Chai, Duck-Jin;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.635-638
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    • 2006
  • Regression of conventional prediction techniques in data mining uses the model which is generated from the training step. This model is applied to new input data without any change. If this model is applied directly to time series, the rate of prediction accuracy will be decreased. This paper proposes an incremental regression for time series prediction like typhoon track prediction. This technique considers the characteristic of time series which may be changed over time. It is composed of two steps. The first step executes a fractional process for applying input data to the regression model. The second step updates the model by using its information as new data. Additionally, the model is maintained by only recent data in a queue. This approach has the following two advantages. It maintains the minimum information of the model by using a matrix, so space complexity is reduced. Moreover, it prevents the increment of error rate by updating the model over time. Accuracy rate of the proposed method is measured by RME(Relative Mean Error) and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error). The results of typhoon track prediction experiment are performed by the proposed technique IMLR(Incremental Multiple Linear Regression) is more efficient than those of MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and SVR(Support Vector Regression).

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Application of Multi-Frontal Method in Collaborative Engineering Environment

  • Cho, Seong-Wook;Choi, Young;Lee, Gyu-Bong;Kwon, Ki-Eak
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • v.3 no.1_2
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2003
  • The growth of the World Wide Web and the advances in high-speed network access have greatly changed existing CAD/CAE environment. The WWW has enabled us to share various distributed product data and to collaborate in the design process. An international standard for the product model data, STEP, and a standard for the distributed object technology, CORBA, are very important technological components for the interoperability in the advanced design and manufacturing environment. These two technologies provide background for the sharing of product data and the integration of applications on the network. This paper describes a distributed CAD/CAE environment that is integrated on the network by CORBA and product model data standard STEP. Several prototype application modules were implemented to verify the proposed concept and the test result is discussed. Finite element analysis server are further distributed into several frontal servers for the implementation of distributed parallel solution of finite element system equations. Distributed computation of analysis server is also implemented by using CORBA for the generalization of the proposed method.

I-PDA Controller Designed by CDM

  • Numsomran, Arjin;Sriratana, Witsarut;Julsereewong, Prasit;Kongratana, Viriya;Tirasesth, Kitti
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.284-287
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    • 1999
  • A design of I-PDA controller for the third order plant by CDM is presented in this paper. Using CDM in the controller design procedures, the step responses of the controlled system with the I-PDA controller satisfied both transient and steady state response specifications without adjustment, and also satisfy the requirements of stability, faster response and robustness. The step responses of the controlled system using I-PDA controller are coiniciding to the ones using PIDA controller, and the integral gain of the I-PDA controller also equals to the prefilter gain of the PIDA controller designed by CDM. The effect of the disturbances can also be lastly eliminated. The fast step response of the controlled system can be obtained by reducing the equivalent time constant. MATLAB's numerical results show that the desired specifications of the controlled system using I-PDA controller is obtained. Furthermore, the results also show a good robustness that the desired performances of the controlled system have no significant changed when the plant parameters are varied.

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정보통신 표준화를 이용한 시장 전략과 이의 대응 방안

  • 김영태;박기식;한상욱;박명철
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 1999.12a
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    • pp.63-81
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    • 1999
  • The environment of Information and Telecommunication industry has rapidly changed. This is leading the growth of the world economy. Because of the characteristic of the information and communication, the standardization plays a important role in this market. The company that owns the standardization in its industry has dominant power like Microsoft in personal computer software, and Qualcomm in digital cellular phone system. Therefore, to take advantage of this standardization power, it is important to find which technology will be set up as a new standard. This paper presents how to capitalize the standardization as a market strategy. To perform this strategy, we take two steps. The first step is to strategically choose the most important technology or service which would lead the information and telecommunication market. We used modified AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) to set the priorities among the various standard related technologies and services, We interviewed with the information and telecommunication experts to find out some criteria and the weights of them. The second step is to select the standard to realize the technology. Actually, this is very hard to decide which technology we should select, because there are lots of alternative standards to develop the technology. In this step, we use a strategic framework for choosing the standard. This framework provides how the research institution and company do to get a maximum benefit from the standardization strategy, Finally, we applied these to Korea's situation simply in order to show how to take advantage of the framework.

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A Study on the Desulfurization Efficiency as a Variation of Flow Field Applyed a Mixing Enhancement Apparatus (혼합촉진장치 적용시 유동장 변화에 의한 탈황효율 연구)

  • Chung, J.D.;Kim, J.W.;SeomMun, J.
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.177-181
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    • 2010
  • This paper has designed a mixing enhancement apparatus called Lobed-plate and Step-plate and comparatively calculated desulfurization efficiency of when its shape was changed. The parameters used at this time were the shape, SR ratio and the number of nozzles of the mixing enhancement apparatus and comparatively analyzed desulfurization efficiency according to these parameters. As a result, the Step-plate appeared as more highly by around 4% than Lobed-plate in desulfurization efficiency according to the shape of the mixing promotion apparatus, and when the desulfurization efficiency as a SR ratio is considered, it appeared highly by an average of 5% when the SR ratio is 3 rather than 2. As a result of comparing desulfurization efficiency by fixing the SR ratio and setting the number of nozzles as 4 pieces and 6 pieces, there was no big change in desulfurization efficiency when the SR ratio is 2, but it could be confirmed to improve by around 5% when the SR ratio is 3 when time passed 8 seconds.

The Suggestion and application of the Evaluation Method for Selecting Energy Plant on City Planning Step (도시계획단계에서의 에너지 플랜트 선정을 위한 평가방안 제시 및 적용)

  • Park, Jin-Young;Park, Tool;Yee, Jurng-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2012
  • The forecasted energy shortage tends to encourage to develop the next generation energy to countermove the energy problems and the climatic change all over the world. Korean government is pushing ahead with the policy for 'Low Carbon Green Growth' to deal with climate changes and to overcome energy problems. And many studies for low carbon green city or zero carbon city have been progressed. In this study, energy plants and energy scenarios are selected by energy supply suited features of city at city plan. The method to evaluate energy scenario can be proposed to apply various energy plants for energy demand on city planning step and evaluation method can be systematized to be used by users. Also the calculated values are changed into index for comparison according to each energy scenario.

Optimum failure-censored step-stress partially accelerated life test for the truncated logistic life distribution

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Mittal, N.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents an optimum design of step-stress partially accelerated life test (PALT) plan which allows the test condition to be changed from use to accelerated condition on the occurrence of fixed number of failures. Various life distribution models such as exponential, Weibull, log-logistic, Burr type-Xii, etc have been used in the literature to analyze the PALT data. The need of different life distribution models is necessitated as in the presence of a limited source of data as typically occurs with modern devices having high reliability, the use of correct life distribution model helps in preventing the choice of unnecessary and expensive planned replacements. Truncated distributions arise when sample selection is not possible in some sub-region of sample space. In this paper it is assumed that the lifetimes of the items follow Truncated Logistic distribution truncated at point zero since time to failure of an item cannot be negative. Optimum step-stress PALT plan that finds the optimal proportion of units failed at normal use condition is determined by using the D-optimality criterion. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example. Sensitivity analysis and comparative study have also been carried out.

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Estimation of the Sensor Location and the Step for Personal Navigation System (개인 항법 시스템을 위한 센서 위치와 보폭 추정 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Tae-Un;Lee, Ho-Won;Chwa, Dong-Kyoung;Hong, Suk-Kyo
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.11
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    • pp.2058-2065
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents the sensor location and step estimation algorithm for personal navigation system (PNS). PNS has the disadvantage in that the position of the sensor must be fixed on a human body. Three-axis acceleration sensor is used to solve the disadvantage and to consider the real situation. We simplify the measurement data by using the band pass filter, witch It has the advantage in the detection of characteristic point. Through the detected characteristic points, it is possible to setup the parameter for the pattern detection. Depending on the sensor location, the parameters have the different type of noise covariance. Particularly, when the position of the sensor is changed, the impulse noise shows up. Considering the noise, we apply the recursive least square algorithm using the variable forgetting factors, which can classify the sensor location based on the estimated parameters. We performed the experiment for the verification of the proposed algorithm in the various environments. Through the experimental results, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified.

ZnO thin films used in the piezoelectric layer of FBAR devices were deposited by 2-step methods using ALD equipment (FBAR 소자의 압전층으로 사용되는 ZnO 박막의 증착시 ALD틀 이용한 2-step 법 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Soon-Bum;Park, Sung-Hyun;Lee, Neung-Heon;Shin, Young-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07c
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    • pp.1651-1652
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    • 2006
  • In this study, the 2-step methode by ALD equipment was used to improve the characteristics of ZnO thin films used in a piezoelectric layer when the FBAR devices of a SMR type are fabricated. The Height of formed buffer layer was $400{\AA}$ and ZnO thin film of $13600{\AA}$ was deposited by RF sputter on the buffer layer. When ZnO thin films are deposited, deposition conditions such as pressure, injection time of source and purge time were changed variously. The characteristics of piezoelectric layer such as a crystal orientation and micro-structure of deposited ZnO thin films were studied by SEM, AFM and XRD.

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Identification of Excitation System Model Parameters from the Test of Switching from MVR Mode to AVR Mode (MVR모드에서 AVR모드로의 절환에 의한 여자계 모델정수 결정)

  • Kim, Dong-Joon;Moon, Yung-Hwan;Choi, Kyung-Sun;Lyu, Seung-Hhon;Song, Seok-Ha;Lee, Heung-Taek
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.91-94
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    • 1996
  • A simulation procedure was developed for identifying Yungnam unit 2 excitation model parameters to improve the accuracy of stability simulation of KEPCO. First, generator model parameters are derived by using modified load rejection technique from measured load rejection test. For identifying excitation model parameters, switch was changed from MVR mode to AVR mode in Yungnam unit 2 excitation system instead of applying to a small step to the voltage reference($V_{ref}$) because of saving time and efforts, assuming the test result would show coincided result with applying to a small step to the $V_{ref}$. However, it was found that the response of switching from MVR to AVR is greatly different from it of applying small signal to the $V_{ref}$. A simulation procedure was needed to take into accounts of real AVR component status before and after switching from MVR to AVR. This paper reports the procedure which duplicated the measured response and addresses the merits of this test on conventional AVR step test.

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