• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical approach

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Information & Analytical Support of Innovation Processes Management Efficience Estimations at the Regional Level

  • Omelyanenko, Vitaliy;Pidorycheva, Iryna;Voronenko, Viacheslav;Andrusiak, Nataliia;Omelianenko, Olena;Fyliuk, Halyna;Matkovskyi, Petro;Kosmidailo, Inna
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.400-407
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    • 2022
  • Innovations significantly affect the efficiency of the socioeconomic systems of the regions, acting as a system-forming element of their development. Modern models of economic development also consider innovation activity, intellectual potential, knowledge as the basic factors for stimulating the economic growth of the region. The purpose of the study is to develop methodological foundations for evaluating the effectiveness of a regional innovation system based on a multidimensional analysis of its effects. To further study the effectiveness of RIS, we have used one of the methods of multidimensional statistical analysis - canonical analysis. The next approach allows adding another important requirement to the methodological provision of evaluation of the level of innovation development of industries and regions, namely - the time factor, the formalization of which is realized in autoregressive dynamic economic and mathematical models and can be used in our research. Multidimensional Statistical Analysis for RIS effectiveness estimation was used to model RIS by typological regression. Based on it, multiple regression models were built in groups of regions with low and relatively high innovation potential. To solve the methodological problem of RIS research, we can also use the approach to the system as a "box" with inputs and outputs.

합성곱 신경망과 복셀화를 활용한 선박 저항 성능 예측 (Prediction of Ship Resistance Performance Based on the Convolutional Neural Network With Voxelization)

  • 박종서;최민주;송지수
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.110-119
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    • 2023
  • The prediction of ship resistance performance is typically obtained by Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations or model tests in towing tank. However, these methods are both costly and time-consuming, so hull-form designers use statistical methods for a quick feed-back during the early design stage. It is well known that results from statistical methods are often less accurate compared to those from CFD simulations or model tests. To overcome this problem, this study suggests a new approach using a Convolution Neural Network (CNN) with voxelized hull-form data. By converting the original Computer Aided Design (CAD) data into three dimensional voxels, the CNN is able to abstract the hull-form data, focusing only on important features. For the verification, suggested method in this study was compared to a parametric method that uses hull parameters such as length overall and block coefficient as inputs. The results showed that the use of voxelized data significantly improves resistance performance prediction accuracy, compared to the parametric approach.

통계적 기법을 이용한 경로 선택 알고리즘 (A Route Selection Algorithm using a Statistical Approach)

  • 김영민;안상현
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:정보통신
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2002
  • 현재 사용중인 경로 선택 방법은 최단 경로 알고리즘을 이용하므로 망 자원을 효율적으로 이용하지 못하며 특정 경로로 트래픽이 집중될 경우 혼잡(congestion) 상황을 발생시킬 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 새롭게 요청되는 연결 설정 요구에 대해 요청된 대역폭을 충족시킬 수 있는 경로를 결정하는데 있어서 통계적 기법을 이용함으로써 망을 효율적으로 사용하며, 혼잡 상황을 줄일 수 있는 통계적 경로 선택(Statistical Route Selection; SRS) 알고리즘을 제안한다. MPLS의 등장으로 부하 균등화(load balancing)에 필요한 명시적인(explicit) LSP 설정을 할 수 있게 되었으며, MPLS의 LSP를 설정하기 위해 SRS 알고리즘을 이용할 수 있다. SRS 알고리즘은 경로 선택을 위해 링크들의 이용률을 구하고, 통계적인 기법을 사용하여 가중치를 결정하며, 그 가중치를 이용한 최단 경로를 구한다. 여기서 사용되는 통계적 기법은 링크들의 이용률의 평균과 분산을 이용하는 것으로, 이정보를 기반으로 링크의 가중치에 대해 분산을 작게 하는 방향으로 경로를 결정함으로써 부하 균등화 효과를 얻게 되어 혼잡 링크 수를 줄이고, 망 자원 이용률을 높인다. 실험을 통해 다른 경로 선택 알고리즘들에 비해 SRS 알고리즘이 망 자원을 효율적으로 이용하여 연결 설정 실패의 수와 혼잡 링크의 수를 줄이는 것을 보인다.

A Penalized Spline Based Method for Detecting the DNA Copy Number Alteration in an Array-CGH Experiment

  • Kim, Byung-Soo;Kim, Sang-Cheol
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of statistical analyses of array-CGH experiment data is to divide the whole genome into regions of equal copy number, to quantify the copy number in each region and finally to evaluate its significance of being different from two. Several statistical procedures have been proposed which include the circular binary segmentation, and a Gaussian based local regression for detecting break points (GLAD) by estimating a piecewise constant function. We propose in this note a penalized spline regression and its simultaneous confidence band(SCB) approach to evaluate the statistical significance of regions of genetic gain/loss. The region of which the simultaneous confidence band stays above 0 or below 0 can be considered as a region of genetic gain or loss. We compare the performance of the SCB procedure with GLAD and hidden Markov model approaches through a simulation study in which the data were generated from AR(1) and AR(2) models to reflect spatial dependence of the array-CGH data in addition to the independence model. We found that the SCB method is more sensitive in detecting the low level copy number alterations.

두 개의 이상원인을 고려한 VSSI$\bar{X}$ 관리도의 경제적-통계적 설계 (Economic-Statistical Design of VSSI$\bar{X}$ Control Charts Considering Two Assignable Causes)

  • 이호중;임태진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2005
  • This research investigates economic-statistical characteristics of variable sampling size and interval (VSSI)$\bar{X}$charts under two assignable causes. A Markov chain approach is employed in order to calculate average run length (ARL) and average time to signal (ATS). Six transient states are derived by carefully defining the state. A steady state cost rate function is constructed based on Lorenzen and Vance(1986) model. The cost rate function is optimized with respect to six design parameters for designing the VSSI $\bar{X}$ charts. Computational experiments show that the VSSI $\bar{X}$ chart is superior to the Shewhart $\bar{X}$ chart in the economic-statistical sense, even under two assignable causes. A comparative study shows that the cost rate may increase up to almost 30% by overlooking the second cause. Critical input parameters are also derived from a sensitivity study and a few guideline graphs are provided for determining the design parameters.

한국 연안역 수질성분들(COD, DIN, DIP, Chlorophyll-a)의 해역별 농도 특성과 등급화: 통계적 접근 (Concentration Level and Grading of Water Quality Components (COD, DIN, DIP, Chlorophyll-a) in Korean Coastal Waters: A Statistical Approach)

  • 임동일;최현우;김영옥;정회수;강영실
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2011
  • Comprehensive data collection was carried out between 2001-2006 to investigate the concentration levels of chlorophyll-a, nutrients (DIN and DIP), and COD for surface waters of Korean coastal areas. A statistical analysis of these parameters was carried out on the basis of the frequency distribution of their concentration. Furthermore, the numeric grading for chlorophyll-a, DIN, DIP, and COD concentrations were derived statistically from the normalized frequency distribution of log-transformed data. The statistical grading clearly reflects the water quality characteristics of three Korean coastal water bodies (Western, Southern and Eastern coastal zones), which indicate common environmental and ecological characteristics. So, this study could provide useful information to set up the guideline for water quality assessment of Korean coasts.

Statistical division of compressive strength results on the aspect of concrete family concept

  • Jasiczak, Jozef;Kanoniczak, Marcin;Smaga, Lukasz
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.145-161
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    • 2014
  • The article presents the statistical method of grouping the results of the compressive strength of concrete in continuous production. It describes the method of dividing the series of compressive strength results into batches of statistically stable strength parameters at specific time intervals, based on the standardized concept of "concrete family". The article presents the examples of calculations made for two series of concrete strength results, from which sets of decreased strength parameters were separated. When assessing the quality of concrete elements and concrete road surfaces, the principal issue is the control of the compressive strength parameters of concrete. Large quantities of concrete mix manufactured in a continuous way should be subject to continuous control. Standardized approach to assessing the concrete strength proves to be insufficient because it does not allow for the detection of subsets of the decreased strength results, which in turn makes it impossible to make adjustments to the concrete manufacturing process and to identify particular product or area on site with decreased concrete strength. In this article two independent methods of grouping the test results of concrete with statistically stable strength parameters were proposed, involving verification of statistical hypothesis based on statistical tests: Student's t-test and Mann - Whitney - U test.

다방향파의 수치시뮬레이션 및 통계적 검토 (The Numerical Simulation of Muti-directional Wasves and Statistical Investigation)

  • 송명재;조효제;이승건
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.114-120
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    • 1993
  • Responses of marine vehicles and ocean structures in a seaway can be predicted by applying the probabilistic approach. When we consider a linear system, the responses in a random seaway can be evaluated through spectral analysis in the frequency domain. But when we treat nonlinear system in irregular waves, it is necessary to get time history of waves. In the previous study we introduced one-directional waves (long crested waves)as wave environment and carried out calculations and experiments in the waves. But the real sea in which marine vehicles and structures are operated has multi-directional waves (short crested waves). It is important to get a simulated random sea and analyse dynamic problems in the sea. We need entire sample function or probabillty density function to infer statistical value of random process. However if the process are ergodic process, we can get statistical values by analysis of one sample function. In this paper, we developed the simulation technique of multi-directional waves and proved that the time history given by this method keep ergodic characteristics by the statistical analysis.

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신뢰성 공학적 피로 균열의 발생, 진전 수명 평가 및 예측에 관한 연구 ( I ) -피로 균열 진전 수명의 통계학적 분포 특성- (Evalustion and Prediction for the Fatigue crack Initiation and Growth Life by Reliability Approach (I) -Statistical Consideration for Fatigue Crack Growth Life-)

  • 권재도;최선호;황재석;곽상국;전경옥;장재영
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.1583-1591
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    • 1990
  • 본 연구에서는 결함체의 정도 높은 수명 예측을 하기 위한 기초연구의 일환으 로서 다수의 피로 실험을 통한 다수의 실험 데이터로부터 확률 통계학적 방법을 적용 해서 피로 균열의 발생, 진전 및 파단 특성의 정략적인 파악을 수행하여, 수명예측 및 신뢰성 평가를 위한 시스템에 도입함으로써 실제 구조물의 수명예측에 적용하고자 한 다. 피로 균열의 발생 및 파단수명의 통계적 분포특성과 수명예측에 관해서는 제2보 등에서 보고할 예정이다.

Numerical and statistical analysis of permeability of concrete as a random heterogeneous composite

  • Zhou, Chunsheng;Li, Kefei
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates the concrete permeability through a numerical and statistical approach. Concrete is considered as a random heterogeneous composite of three phases: aggregates, interfacial transition zones (ITZ) and matrix. The paper begins with some classical bound and estimate theories applied to concrete permeability and the influence of ITZ on these bound and estimate values is discussed. Numerical samples for permeability analysis are established through random aggregate structure (RAS) scheme, each numerical sample containing randomly distributed aggregates coated with ITZ and dispersed in a homogeneous matrix. The volumetric fraction of aggregates is fixed and the size distribution of aggregates observes Fuller's curve. Then finite element method is used to solve the steady permeation problem on 2D numerical samples and the overall permeability is deduced from flux-pressure relation. The impact of ITZ on overall permeability is analyzed in terms of ITZ width and contrast ratio between ITZ and matrix permeabilities. Hereafter, 3680 samples are generated for 23 sample sizes and 4 contrast ratios, and statistical analysis is performed on the permeability dispersion in terms of sample size and ITZ characteristics. By sample theory, the size of representative volume element (RVE) for permeability is then quantified considering sample realization number and expected error. Concluding remarks are provided for the impact of ITZ on concrete permeability and its statistical characteristics.