• 제목/요약/키워드: statistic evaluation

검색결과 183건 처리시간 0.027초

혼동행렬의 상관계수를 이용한 최적분류점 (Optimal threshold using the correlation coefficient for the confusion matrix)

  • 홍종선;오세현;최예원
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2022
  • 의학통계와 신용평가 분야에서 혼합분포함수를 판별하는 최적분류점 추정하기 위하여 판별력을 측정하는 다양한 정확도 측도들이 존재한다. 최근에 혼동행렬 빈도수로 표현되는 Matthews의 상관계수와 정밀도와 재현율의 조화평균인 F1 통계량의 정확도 측도들이 최적분류점을 추정하는데 연구되었다. 본 연구에서는 이런 정확도 측도들 중에서 표본크기에 의존하는 정확도 측도들은 두 표본크기 차이가 많은 경우에 최적분류점을 설정하는데 적절하지 않음을 발견한다. 그리고 대안적인 정확도 측도로 혼동행렬의 비율들의 함수인 상관계수를 정의하고, 이를 최대화하는 분류점을 최적분류점으로 추정하는 방법을 제안하고 이 방법의 유용성과 활용성에 대하여 토론한다.

중환자 중증도 평가도구의 타당도 평가 - APACHE III, SAPS II, MPM II (Comparing the Performance of Three Severity Scoring Systems for ICU Patients: APACHE III, SAPS II, MPM II)

  • 권영대;황정해;김은경
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.276-282
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    • 2005
  • Objectives : To evaluate the predictive validity of three scoring systems; the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation(APACHE) III, simplified acute physiology score(SAPS) II, and mortality probability model(MPM) II systems in critically ill patients. Methods : A concurrent and retrospective study conducted by collecting data on consecutive patients admitted to the intensive care unit(ICU) including surgical, medical and coronary care unit between January 1, 2004, and March 31, 2004. Data were collected on 348 patients consecutively admitted to the ICU(aged 16 years or older, no transfer, ICU stay at least 8 hours). Three models were analyzed using logistic regression. Discrimination was assessed using receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves, sensitivity, specificity, and correct classification rate. Calibration was assessed using the Lemeshow-Hosmer goodness of fit H-statistic. Results : For the APACHE III, SAPS II and MPM II systems, the area under the receiver operating characterist ic(ROC) curves were 0.981, 0.978, and 0.941 respectively. With a predicted risk of 0.5, the sensitivities for the APACHE III, SAPS II, and MPM II systems were 81.1, 79.2 and 71.7%, the specificities 98.3, 98.6, and 98.3%, and the correct classification rates 95.7, 95.7, and 94.3%, respectively. The SAPS II and APACHE III systems showed good calibrations(chi-squared H=2.5838 p=0.9577 for SAPS II, and chi-squared H=4.3761 p=0.8217 for APACHE III). Conclusions : The APACHE III and SAPS II systems have excellent powers of mortality prediction, and calibration, and can be useful tools for the quality assessment of intensive care units(ICUs).

영양부족 환자의 조기발견을 위한 선별검사의 적용 및 효용성 평가 (Application and Efficacy Evaluation of Nutritional Screening Tool)

  • 남궁환
    • 한국건강관리협회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2006
  • "본 논문은 대한외과학회지 2006년 제70권제1호에 실렸던 논문으로 대한외과학회 편집위원회 승인을 득하고 본 협회지에 게재함. Purpose: Malnutrition has been frequently reported for patients on their admission to the hospital and it has been associated with an increase in morbidity, mortality and the length of the hospital stay. Although a number of screening tools have been developed to identify those patients at risk for malnutrition, there is no' gold standard' for defining malnutrition and the malnourished patients remain largely unrecognized. The aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy of a nutritional screening tool for use in Dankook University Hospital. Methods Nutritional evaluation was performed for 53 patients who were admitted to the department of surgery and internal medicine between October and December 2004. The screening tool was completed by the ward nurse and the nutritional support team nurse on the same patients within24 hours of admission. The nutritional support team nurse performed the full assessment. The screening sheet included 4 questions regarding body mass index, recent unintentional weight loss, food intake and disease severity. Each answer was scored and a total of 5 was tested as the criterion fey malnutrition. The full assessment included current body weight, recent weight loss, triceps skinfold thickness, mid-arm muscle circumference, serum albumin)in and total lymphocyte count. Malnutrition was defined by 3 or more values below the reference values. The reliability of the screening tool was assessed using kappa statistic. Sensitivity, specificity and accuracy were calculated to evaluate the validity of the screening tool. The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve was drawn to choose a cutoff valve that maximizes sensitivity and specificity. Results' The level of agreement between the ward nurse and the NST nurse was good for BMI and food intake and moderate for weight loss and disease severity. The full assessment identified7 patients(13.2%) as malnourished. The screening sheet had a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 80%. According to the ROC curve, a score of 5 points provided the best validity. Conclusion The nutritional screening tool is reliable when completed by different observers and it is valid for nutritional assessment.

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타운하우스 거주자들의 거주 후 만족도에 관한 연구 - 경기도 파주에 위치한 'H 타운하우스'의 거주자를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Post Occupancy Evaluation of Residential Environments in a Townhouse based on Residents' Satisfactions - Centered on Residents of 'H Townhouse' which is Located at Paju in KyungGi-Do -)

  • 김미정;조명은
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2011
  • Townhouse have been developed as alternative housing types for combining the characteristics of detached houses and high-rise apartments, Much research on townhouse have investigated physical environments of townhouse and provide a number of planning factors to be considered. However, these factors do not reflect the residents' experiences of the environments sufficiently. The aim of this research is to investigate residents' satisfactions in townhouse as an exploratory study which can be a basis for the improvement of residential environments in townhouse. First of all, we selected a target townhouse and conducted a field study to examine the existing state of the townhouse. Then a customized questionnaire was developed and distributed to residents in the townhouse for investigating their satisfactions on the residential environment. The questions included are divided into four categories; site environment, unit space, community area and housing management. Through the statistic analyses of the residents' responses, the residents' satisfactions of the residential environment were identified. Especially the residents' satisfaction on the community area, which revitalizes neighborhood relationships, is very high. They were also satisfied with the conditions of the sub-categories, 'a distinctive exterior' 'a private planning', 'outdoors' and 'landscapes', in townhouse. In conclusion, we suggested considerations for the improvement of the residential environments and the quality of life in townhouse.

적외선 체열촬영을 이용한 통증 치료효과의 평가 (Evaluation of the Therapeutic Effects in Pain Management Using Infrared Thermal Imaging)

  • 김민정;이승윤;김성협;임정애;강포순;우남식;이예철
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.164-170
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    • 2001
  • Background: Infrared Thermal Imaging (ITI) is an effective tool for the diagnosis of disease and evaluation of the therapeutic effects following pain treatment. Patients who were treated for pain in pain clinic described the intensity of pain and the degree of change of their pain using a visual analogue scale (VAS). In this study, the usefulness of ITI following multimodal methods for pain management were compared with the change of VAS. Methods: 1119 patients were evaluated. The patients were treated with stellate ganglion block, epidural block or trigger points injection. Before treatment, the temperature difference (${\Delta}T$) of the involved area and the corresponding area on the opposite side of the body was measured using ITI and VAS was assessed. After treatment, the temperature difference (${\Delta}T$) between the normal and involved areas, the change of ${\Delta}T$ (${\Delta}dT$), VAS and the change of VAS (${\Delta}VAS$) were measured. Statistic correlations between ${\Delta}dT$and ${\Delta}VAS$ were calculated in all groups. Results: Correlation of the ${\Delta}dT$ and ${\Delta}VAS$ was significant by contingency coefficient test. (SGB group, C = 0.358, Epi group, C = 0.377, TPI group, C = 0.374, P < 0.05) Conclusions: ITI is a reliable tool for the assessment of therapeutic effects following multidimensional management of painful disease.

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대학생의 학습동기 촉진을 위한 ARCS 평가모형의 타당화 검증 (Validity Verification of ARCS Evaluation Models for Promoting University Students' Learning Motivation)

  • 김미례
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제17권12호
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2017
  • 학습동기 저하로 인해 중도탈락과 대학생활 부적응이 심화되어 가고 있기에 학습동기촉진 방안이 모색될 필요가 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 J 지역대학에 재학 중인 학습자 273명(남 116, 여 157)을 대상으로 Keller(1983)가 제안한 ARCS 평가모형이 동기수준을 평가하는데 타당한 모형인지 탐색적 차원에서 검증하고자 실시되었다. 이를 위해 평균통계량, 일원분산분석과 확인적 요인분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과 첫째, ARCS 요인별 동기수준은 관련성 요인이 가장 높게 나타났다. 둘째, 학년별의 경우 1학년 및 3학년 학생에 대한 ARCS 동기수준은 적절했다. 학년별로 '주의집중'과 '관련성' 경우만 차이가 나타났으며, 특히 1학년 집단이 2학년 집단에 비해 큰 것으로 확인되었다. 셋째, 동기수준 측정을 위한 구성타당도 및 수렴타당도가 확보되었다. 확인적 요인분석 결과도 변인의 평균분산추출지수(AVE) 및 복합신뢰도(CR)가 적절하였으며, 모형적합도도 양호하였다. 마지막으로 본 연구가 가지는 의의, 연구의 제한점, 추후 연구에 대한 제언을 제시하였다.

주성분 분석법을 이용한 시군단위별 농업가뭄에 대한 취약성 분석에 관한 연구 - 경기도를 중심으로 - (County-Based Vulnerability Evaluation to Agricultural Drought Using Principal Component Analysis - The case of Gyeonggi-do -)

  • 장민원
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2006
  • The objectives of this study were to develop an evaluation method of regional vulnerability to agricultural drought and to classify the vulnerability patterns. In order to test the method, 24 city or county areas of Gyeonggi-do were chose. First, statistic data and digital maps referred for agricultural drought were defined, and the input data of 31 items were set up from 5 categories: land use factor, water resource factor, climate factor, topographic and soil factor, and agricultural production foundation factor. Second, for simplification of the factors, principal component analysis was carried out, and eventually 4 principal components which explain about 80.8% of total variance were extracted. Each of the principal components was explained into the vulnerability components of scale factor, geographical factor, weather factor and agricultural production foundation factor. Next, DVIP (Drought Vulnerability Index for Paddy), was calculated using factor scores from principal components. Last, by means of statistical cluster analysis on the DVIP, the study area was classified as 5 patterns from A to E. The cluster A corresponds to the area where the agricultural industry is insignificant and the agricultural foundation is little equipped, and the cluster B includes typical agricultural areas where the cultivation areas are large but irrigation facilities are still insufficient. As for the cluster C, the corresponding areas are vulnerable to the climate change, and the D cluster applies to the area with extensive forests and high elevation farmlands. The last cluster I indicates the areas where the farmlands are small but most of them are irrigated as much.

절연링형 금속플렉시블호스(CSST)의 저항 특성 및 신뢰성 평가 (The Resistance Characteristics and Reliability Evaluation of an Insulation Ring Type of Corrugated Stainless Steel Tubing(CSST))

  • 이장우;김점식;최충석
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2016
  • This paper has analyzed the structure, applicable regulations and the resistance characteristics of insulation ring type of CSST (Corrugated Stainless Steel Tubing for Gas). With the flammability test conducted in accordance with KS C IEC 60811-1-1, the evaluation of insulation resistance, temperature characteristics, and reliability has been conducted. An insulation ring type CSST consists of protective coating, tube, nut, insulation ring, packing, socket, and ball valve. Connecting an insulation ring type CSST to gas tubings for gas appliance is not permitted, moreover, the product shall be installed inside a sleeve pipe in case of buried installation such as the ceiling. Damages on protective coating and tube were detected when fire was applied to the test sample with a portable torch for 60 seconds. The insulation resistance of a normal product was $49.59M{\Omega}$, while that of the product completed the flammability test reduced to $9.21M{\Omega}$. The mean insulation resistance within the confidence Interval of 95% using the mini tap program 17 was $49.59M{\Omega}$ and the mean insulation resistance within the confidence interval reduced to $9.21M{\Omega}$. In the normal distribution analysis of 95% confidence interval, the value-P of the normal product was stable at 0.075 and AD(Anderson-Darling) statistic value was turned out to be 0.063, which is very normal, and the standard deviation was analyzed as 0.2586. The value P of the product completed the flammability test resulted in 0.005, the AD was 1.355 and the standard deviation reduced to 0.07908.

RADARSAT-2 SAR를 이용한 서산 및 평양 지역의 벼 생육 모니터링 적용성 평가 -RapidEye와의 비교를 통해- (Evaluation of the Applicability of Rice Growth Monitoring on Seosan and Pyongyang Region using RADARSAT-2 SAR -By Comparing RapidEye-)

  • 나상일;홍석영;김이현;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제56권5호
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2014
  • Radar remote sensing is appropriate for rice monitoring because the areas where this crop is cultivated are often cloudy and rainy. Especially, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) can acquire remote sensing information with a high temporal resolution in tropical and subtropical regions due to its all-weather capability. This paper analyzes the relationships between backscattering coefficients of rice measured by RADARSAT-2 SAR and growth parameters during a rice growth period. And we applied the relationships to crop monitoring of paddy rice in North Korea. As a result, plant height and Leaf Area Index (LAI) increased until Day Of Year (DOY) 234 and then decreased, while fresh weight and dry weight increased until DOY 253. Correlation coefficients revealed that Horizontal transmit and Horizontal receive polarization (HH)-polarization backscattering coefficients were correlated highly with plant height (r=0.95), fresh weight (r=0.92), vegetation water content (r=0.91), LAI (r=0.90), and dry weight (r=0.89). Based on the observed relationships between backscattering coefficients and variables of cultivation, prediction equations were developed using the HH-polarization backscattering coefficients. Concerning the evaluation for the applicability of the LAI distribution from RADARSAT-2, the LAI statistic was evaluated in comparison with LAI distribution from RapidEye image. And LAI distributions in Pyongyang were presented to show spatial variability for unaccessible areas.

소비자의 글로벌 마인드와 글로벌 패션 브랜드의 옥외 광고에 대한 호의도가 브랜드 평가에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Consumer Global-Mindedness and Global Fashion Brand Out-Of-Home Advertising on Brand Evaluation)

  • 김앙영;황선진
    • 복식
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    • 제67권2호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to investigate how consumer global-mindedness affects global fashion out-of-home (OOH) advertising which global consumer culture positioning applies, and to examine the relations among global fashion brand OOH advertising, perceived fashion brand globalness, perceived quality and brand reputation. Data were collected from 238 general people in 20~30s in seoul and were analyzed by using statistic methods such as frequency analysis, reliability analysis, confirmatory factor analysis and structural d modelling by running both SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 7.0 program. The results of this study were as follows. First of all, it indicated that the fit indexes were satisfied and the overall model of this study showed a favorable goodness of it from the results of confirmatory analysis. Secondly, consumer global-mindedness had a positive impact on preference towards global fashion OOH advertising. Finally, preference towards global fashion brand OOH advertising positively affected perceived fashion brand globalness, perceived quality and fashion brand reputation. The results implies that it is necessary that fashion brands fully understand consumers' tendency and the benefits of marketing can be maximized through global positioning OOH advertising on subways which makes consumers recognize fashion brands as global ones.