• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제52권11호
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• pp.895-904
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• 2019

극치 강우 자료는 정상성 빈도모델에서 효과적으로 구현되지 않는 비정상성 거동을 종종 보인다. 또한, 극치 사상의 확률밀도함수는 여름 장마와 태풍 등의 서로 다른 강우 패턴에 의해 2개 이상의 첨두를 가지는 혼합분포형태이다. 이러한 강우 패턴의 변화에 대해 Bayesian 이론을 활용한 비정상성 혼합분포(mixture distribution based nonstationary frequency, MDNF)모델을 제안하였다. 2개의 Gumbel 분포형이 혼합된 MDNF 모델은 Gumbel 분포형 매개변수 중 하나인 위치매개변수의 시변성을 효과적으로 설명한다. 제안한 모델의 성능평가를 위해 정상성 혼합분포모델과의 다양한 통계치 결과를 비교하였다. 정상성 혼합분포모델보다 전반적으로 향상된 성능을 보여주는 MDNF 모델을 통해 극치 강우 패턴이 비정상성을 보인다는 가정을 확인할 수 있다.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제10권12호
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• pp.1295-1304
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• 2004

In this paper, the Bayesian recurrent neural network is proposed to predict time series data. A neural network predictor requests proper learning strategy to adjust the network weights, and one needs to prepare for non-linear and non-stationary evolution of network weights. The Bayesian neural network in this paper estimates not the single set of weights but the probability distributions of weights. In other words, the weights vector is set as a state vector of state space method, and its probability distributions are estimated in accordance with the particle filtering process. This approach makes it possible to obtain more exact estimation of the weights. In the aspect of network architecture, it is known that the recurrent feedback structure is superior to the feedforward structure for the problem of time series prediction. Therefore, the recurrent neural network with Bayesian inference, what we call Bayesian recurrent neural network (BRNN), is expected to show higher performance than the normal neural network. To verify the proposed method, the time series data are numerically generated and various kinds of neural network predictor are applied on it in order to be compared. As a result, feedback structure and Bayesian learning are better than feedforward structure and backpropagation learning, respectively. Consequently, it is verified that the Bayesian reccurent neural network shows better a prediction result than the common Bayesian neural network.

• International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.130-141
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• 2014

As a high specific speed pump, the contra-rotating axial flow pump with two rotors rotating reversely has been proved with higher hydraulic and cavitation performance, while in our previous researches, the potential interaction between two blade rows was distinctly observed for our prototype rotors designed with equal rotational speed for both front and rear rotors. Based on the theoretical and experimental evidences, a rotational speed optimization methodology was proposed and applied in the design of a new combination of contra-rotating rotors, primarily in expectation of the optimized blade pressure distributions as well as pertinently improved hydraulic performances including cavitation performance. In the present study, given one stationary and two rotating frames in the contra-rotating rotors case, a pressure measurement concept taking account of the revolutions of both front and rear rotors simultaneously was adopted. The casing wall pressure data sampled in time domain was successfully transferred into space domain, by which the ensemble averaged blade-to-blade pressure distributions at the blade tip of two contra-rotating rotors under different operation conditions were studied. It could be seen that the rotor pair with the optimized rotational speed combination as well as work division, shows more reasonable blade-to-blade pressure distribution and well weakened potential interaction. Moreover, combining the loading curves estimated by the measured casing wall pressure, the cavitation performance of the rotor pairs with new rotational speed combination were proved to be superior to those of the prototype pairs.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.171-177
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• 2006

정치성 구획어업 개발예정지의 해양환경특성을 조사하기 위하여 2001년 8월과 11월 2회에 걸쳐 해양관측이 실시되었다. 관측결과 수온은 마산만에 비해 진동 내 외만 및 서부해역이 8월에는 $2^{\circ}C$, 11월에는 약 $0.7^{\circ}C$ 정도 놀게 나타났다. 염분은 진동만 서부 해역의 표층 염분농도가 가장 낮았고 진동만과 마산만으로 갈수록 점점 높아지는 경향을 보였다. 마산만 부근해역이 상대적으로 저온 고염을 나타내며, 진동만 서부해역과 진동 내 외만은 고온 저염으로 나타났다. 부유물질의 농도를 살펴보면, 8월의 경우 진동 내만에서 부유물질의 농도가 15mg/L 이상으로 높았다. 11월에는 진동 내만에서 외만으로 갈수록 농도가 마산만의 경우는 내해에서 외해로 갈수록 낮아지는 역 현상을 보였다. 화학적 산소요구량(COD)의 농도는 만산만에서 7mg/L로 가장 높게 나타났다.

• 대한기계학회논문집
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.575-583
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• 1991

The weld pool convection problem that occurs during the stationary GTA welding has been studied, considering the four driving forces for weld pool convection, i.e., the electromagnetic force, the buoyancy force, the aerodynamic drag force, and the surface tension force at the weld pool surface. In the numerical simulation, the difficulties associated with the irregular moving liquid-solid interface have been successfully overcome by adopting a Boundary-Fitted Coordinate system. In the experiments to show the validity of the numerical analysis, a deep periphery and shallow centerpentrated weld pool shape was observed from the etched specimen. It could be revealed that this type of weld pool shape could be simulated, only when some of aerodynamic drag force distributions are considered. Although slight disagreement arose, the calculated and the observed weld pool shapes were in a reasonable agreement.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.15-23
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• 2001

In regulation of IGC code 12.1 mechanical ventilation should be arranged to ensure sufficient air movement through the space to avoid the accumulation of flammable or toxic vapours and ensure a safe working environment, but in no case should the ventilation system have a capacity of less than 30 changes of air per hour baed upon the total volume of the space. In this study, a scaled mode chamber was constructed to investigate the ventilation characteristics and stagnation area in the hood room of LNG carrier and pump room in tanker. An experimental study was performed on the model by using visualization equipment with a laser apparatus and an image intensifier CCD camera. Twelve different kinds of measuring areas were selected as the experimental condition. Instant simultaneous velocity vectors in the whole fields were measured by a 2-D PIV system A three-dimensional numerical simulation was also carried out for three different Reynolds numbers. Then the CFD predictions were discussed with the experimental results. The results show the spiral L-shape flow that moves from the opening on the left wall diagonally to the upper right part dominates the ventilation structure. The stationary area of hood room in the velcoity distributions was located in the upper left stern part.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.127-144
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• 2010

Pressure measurements on static and autorotating flat plates have been recently reported by Lin et al. (2006), Holmes, et al. (2006), and Richards, et al. (2008), amongst others. In general, the variation of the normal force with respect to the angle of attack appears to stall in the mid attack angle range with a large scale separation in the wake. To date however, no surface pressures have been measured on auto-rotating plates that are typical of a certain class of debris. This paper presents the results of an experiment to measure the aerodynamic forces on a flat plate held stationary at different angles to the flow and allowing the plate to auto-rotate. The forces were determined through the measurement of differential pressures on either side of the plate with internally mounted pressure transducers and data logging systems. Results are presented for surface pressure distributions and overall integrated forces and moments on the plates in coefficient form. Computed static force coefficients show the stall effect at the mid range angle of attack and some variation for different Reynolds numbers. Normal forces determined from autorotational experiments are higher than the static values at most pitch angles over a cycle. The resulting moment coefficient does not compare well with current analytical formulations which suggest the existence of a flow mechanism that cannot be completely described through static tests.

• 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지하수토양환경학회 2001년도 추계학술발표회
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• pp.92-96
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• 2001

Although the problem of seawater intrusion at the coastal aquifer was recognized before over one hundred years at the coastal aquifer, much groundwater keep on being salinitized by several reasons such as groundwater exhaustion, coastalline change, and human activities. The horizontal and vertical electrical soundings and geostatistical methods were used to define the local characteristics of saltwater intrusion and to estimate the saltwater interface in the southeastern area of the Pusan City. The 24 points of the Schlumberger vertical electrical soundings(VES) to loom depth and the 2 lines of dipole-dipole horizontal soundings are peformed. The resistivity data have lognormal distributions. The horizontal extents of saline water intrusion were estimated from the inversion of horizontal prospecting data. Lognormal ordinary kriging is used in A-A' resistivity profiles on May and July because the data have stationary models in semivariograms. Lognormal IRF-k kriging is used for the isopleth maps using vertical resistivity data. The 10 ohm-m resistivity line on the isopleth maps of 21m, 30m, 50m, and 70m depth using resisitivity data measured in July is sifted to the east, cpomparing that of the isopleth maps measured in May. The kriged vertical and horizontal resistivity isopleth maps suggested that the geostatistical methods can be used to define the variation of earth resistivity distribution at the saltwater interface.

• 한국세라믹학회지
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.602-615
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• 1996

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the microstructural effect on the R-curve behavior in three aluminas with different grain size distributions by analyzing the bridging stress distribution. The crack opening displacement (COD) according to the distance behind the stationary crack tip was measured using an in situ SEM fracture method. The measured COD values in the fine-grained alumina agreed well with Wiederhorn's sollution while they deviated from Wiederhorn's solution in the two coarse-grained aluminas because of the increase of the crack closure due to the grain interface bridging in the crack wake. A numerical fitting procedure was conducted by the introduction of the power-law relation and the current theoretical model together with the measured COD's in order to obtain the bridging stress distribution. The results indicated that the bridging stress function and the R-curve computed by the current model were consistent with those computed by the power-law relation providing a reliable evidence for the bridging stress analysis of the current model. The strain-softening exponent in the power-law relation n, was calculated to be in the range from 2 to 3 and was closely related to the grain size distribution. Thus it was concluded from the current theoretical model that the grain size distribution affected greatly the bridging stress distribution thereby resulting in the quantitative analysis of microfracture of polycrystalline aluminas through correlating the local-fracture-cont-rolling microstructure.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.1241-1251
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• 2016

일정한 시간 간격으로 임의의 점프크기가 계속 누적되는 이산시간 확률보행을 고려한다. 각 시점에서의 점프크기가 이전 시점의 점프크기에 종속되어 결정되는 상관 확률보행과 각 시점에서의 점프크기가 이전 시점의 점프크기와 무관하게 독립적으로 결정되는 무상관 확률보행의 점근적 평균을 각각 계산한다. 그리고 상관 확률보행과 무상관 확률보행을 임의적으로 혼합하여 결합하거나 또는 일정한 패턴에 따라 주기적으로 반복하여 결합하는 혼합 확률보행의 점근적 평균 식을 유도한다. 각 확률보행의 점근적 평균은 0으로 공정한 게임을 나타내지만 두 확률보행을 결합한 혼합 확률보행의 점근적 평균은 음수가 되어 지는 게임이 되거나 또는 양수가 되어 이기는 게임이 되는 파론도 역설 현상이 나타남을 확인하고 해당되는 각 모수의 범위를 찾는다.