• 제목/요약/키워드: species distribution modelling

검색결과 15건 처리시간 0.029초

Predictive Distribution Modelling of Calamus andamanicus Kurz, an Endemic Rattan from Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India

  • Sreekumar, V.B.;Suganthasakthivel, R.;Sreejith, K.A.;Sanil, M.S.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.94-98
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    • 2016
  • Calamus andamanicus Kurz is one of the commercially important solitary rattans endemic to Andaman and Nicobar islands. The habitat suitability modeling program, MaxEnt, was used to predict the potential ecological niches of this species, based on bioclimatic variables. The study revealed high potential distribution of C. andamanicus across both Andaman and Nicobar islands. Of the 33 spatially unique points, 21 points were recorded from South and North Andamans and 12 from Great Nicobar Islands. The islands like Little Andaman, North Sentinel, Little Nicobar, Tllangchong, Teressa were also predicted positive even though this rattan is not recorded from these islands. Mean diurnal range, higher precipitation in the wettest month of the year, annual precipitation and precipitation in the driest month are the main predictors of this species distribution.

Tree species migration to north and expansion in their habitat under future climate: an analysis of eight tree species Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

  • Muhammad Abdullah Durrani;Rohma Raza;Muhammad Shakil;Shakeel Sabir;Muhammad Danish
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.96-109
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    • 2024
  • Background: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government initiated the Billion Tree Tsunami Afforestation Project including regeneration and afforestation approaches. An effort was made to assess the distribution characteristics of afforested species under present and future climatic scenarios using ecological niche modelling. For sustainable forest management, landscape ecology can play a significant role. A significant change in the potential distribution of tree species is expected globally with changing climate. Ecological niche modeling provides the valuable information about the current and future distribution of species that can play crucial role in deciding the potential sites for afforestation which can be used by government institutes for afforestation programs. In this context, the potential distribution of 8 tree species, Cedrus deodara, Dalbergia sissoo, Juglans regia, Pinus wallichiana, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Senegalia modesta, Populus ciliata, and Vachellia nilotica was modeled. Results: Maxent species distribution model was used to predict current and future distribution of tree species using bioclimatic variables along with soil type and elevation. Future climate scenarios, shared socio-economic pathways (SSP)2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 were considered for the years 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. The model predicted high risk of decreasing potential distribution under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate change scenarios for years 2041-2060 and 2081-2100, respectively. Recent afforestation conservation sites of these 8 tree species do not fall within their predicted potential habitat for SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. Conclusions: Each tree species responded independently in terms of its potential habitat to future climatic conditions. Cedrus deodara and P. ciliata are predicted to migrate to higher altitude towards north in present and future climate scenarios. Habitat of D. sissoo, P. wallichiana, J. regia, and V. nilotica is practiced to be declined in future climate scenarios. Eucalyptus camaldulensis is expected to be expanded its suitability area in future with eastward shift. Senegalia modesta habitat increased in the middle of the century but decreased afterwards in later half of the century. The changing and shifting forests create challenges for sustainable landscapes. Therefore, the study is an attempt to provide management tools for monitoring the climate change-driven shifting of forest landscapes.

Two-dimensional continuum modelling of an inductively coupled plasma reactor

  • Kim, Dong-Ho;Shung, Won-Young;Kim, Do-Hyun
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.128-133
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    • 2000
  • Numerical analysis of the transport phenomena in an inductively coupled plasma reactor was conducted with two-dimensional axisymmetric model including the electromagnetic field model, electron and species density models. The spatial distribution of the charged species in the ion flux to the wafer have been calculated to examine the influence of the process conditions including antenna and reactor geometry. The antenna radius had a significant influence on the plasma state and axial ion flux distribution.

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Spatio-Temporal Projection of Invasion Using Machine Learning Algorithm-MaxEnt

  • Singye Lhamo;Ugyen Thinley;Ugyen Dorji
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2023
  • Climate change and invasive alien plant species (IAPs) are having a significant impact on mountain ecosystems. The combination of climate change and socio-economic development is exacerbating the invasion of IAPs, which are a major threat to biodiversity loss and ecosystem functioning. Species distribution modelling has become an important tool in predicting the invasion or suitability probability under climate change based on occurrence data and environmental variables. MaxEnt modelling was applied to predict the current suitable distribution of most noxious weed A. adenophora (Spreng) R. King and H. Robinson and analysed the changes in distribution with the use of current (year 2000) environmental variables and future (year 2050) climatic scenarios consisting of 3 representative concentration pathways (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in Bhutan. Species occurrence data was collected from the region of interest along the road side using GPS handset. The model performance of both current and future climatic scenario was moderate in performance with mean temperature of wettest quarter being the most important variable that contributed in model fit. The study shows that current climatic condition favours the A. adenophora for its invasion and RCP 2.6 climatic scenario would promote aggression of invasion as compared to RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climatic scenarios. This can lead to characterization of the species as preferring moderate change in climatic conditions to be invasive, while extreme conditions can inhibit its invasiveness. This study can serve as reference point for the conservation and management strategies in control of this species and further research.

한반도에서 종 분포 모델을 이용한 두 침입외래식물, 돼지풀과 물참새피의 잠재적 분포 예측 (Prediction of Potential Distributions of Two Invasive Alien Plants, Paspalum distichum and Ambrosia artemisiifolia, Using Species Distribution Model in Korean Peninsula)

  • 이승현;조강현;이우주
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2016
  • 종분포 모델은 어떤 지역에서 침입외래종이 어떻게 확장되고 어떤 환경 요인이 이들의 분포에 영향을 미치는지를 이해하는데 매우 유용한 도구이다. 본 연구에서는 한반도에서 두 침입외래종인 돼지풀 (Ambrosia artemisiifolia)과 물참새피 (Paspalum distichum)의 분포에 대하여 연구하였다. 이 두 종의 현재의 분포지에서 기후환경 요인을 분석하고 이 두 종의 분포를 예측하기 위하여 Maxent (the maximum entropy) 모델을 이용하였다. 이 두 종의 출현 자료는 Global Biodiversity Information Facility와 우리나라의 식물종 데이터베이스에서, 생물기후 자료는 WorldClim 자료로부터 얻었다. 모델을 수행한 결과, 자생지 위치자료를 이용한 예측 결과보다 전지구 위치자료를 이용한 예측이 연구 대상종의 잠재적 분포지를 잘 설명하였다. 이들 종의 분포에 기여한 기후환경 요인으로서 돼지풀에서는 최건월의 강수량과 연평균온도가, 물참새피에서는 연평균온도와 최한사분기의 평균온도가 선정되었다. Maxent 종분포 모델은 외래종의 침입을 예측하고 이들의 확산을 관리하는데 유용한 도구가 될 것으로 생각된다.

Heterogeneous Habitat for Increasing Biological Diversity

  • Lee, Sang-Don
    • 환경생물
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.337-341
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    • 2003
  • Habitat heterogeneity can enhance biological diversity by providing variation in structural diversity. This paper reviewed heterogeneous habitat serves as a population stability and superior demographic performance (e.g., high density, survivorship, reproductive rate) can be observed compared with organisms with inferior demographic performance. The idea of habitat variation has been further developed in modelling. Furthermore the size and configuration (distribution) of a patch (of a particular habitat type) become effective for the stability of population through hiding places and food resources. Species diversity is related to habitat complexity that provides structural diversity to ground -dwelling organisms. Finally coarse woody debris can enhance habitat complexity thus stabilizing population fluctuation and increasing survivorship.

국내 멸종위기양서·파충류의 공간적 분포형태와 주요 분포지역 예측에 대한 연구 (Spatial Distribution Patterns and Prediction of Hotspot Area for Endangered Herpetofauna Species in Korea)

  • 도민석;이진원;장환진;김대인;박진우;유정칠
    • 한국환경생태학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.381-396
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    • 2017
  • 생물 종의 분포를 파악하는 것은 진화생물학 뿐만 아니라 보전생물학에서 매우 중요한 연구 분야이다. 최근에는 직접적인 관찰 위주 결과의 한계를 극복하고자, 종 분포 모델을 적용한 멸종위기종의 보전에 대한 연구들이 다양한 분류군에서 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 개체들이 관찰된 좌표 자료와 종 분포 모델링 기법을 바탕으로 한국에 서식하고 있는 멸종위기양서 파충류 종들의 주요 분포지역을 예측하고 이들의 서식지 특성을 파악하였다. 분석에 이용된 멸종위기양서 파충류는 이끼도롱뇽(Karsenia koreana)과 수원청개구리(Hyla suweonensis), 금개구리(Pelophylax chosenicus), 맹꽁이(Kaloula borealis), 구렁이(Elaphe schrenckii), 표범장지뱀(Eremias argus), 남생이(Mauremys reevesii), 자라(Pelodiscus sinensis)를 포함하며, 고리도롱뇽(Hynobius yangi)과 비바리뱀(Sibynophis chinensis)은 표본수가 적어 분석에서 제외되었다. 그 결과 고도가 멸종위기종들의 분포에 가장 중요한 환경변수로 나타났으며, 그들이 분포한 고도는 그 지역의 기후와 상관관계를 나타냈다. 또한 종분포 모델링에서 예측된 분포지역은 본 연구의 관찰결과 뿐만 아니라 다른 선행 조사의 관찰결과를 충분히 포함하고 있었다. 8종의 AUC 값은 평균 $0.845{\pm}0.08$로 비교적 높게 측정되었고, 오류 값은 $0.087{\pm}0.01$로 비교적 낮게 측정되었다. 따라서 생성된 멸종위기종들의 종 분포 모델은 성공적으로 생성되었다고 판단된다. 멸종위기양서 파충류들의 주요 분포지역을 확인하기 위해 분포 모델들을 중첩한 결과, 5 종은 한반도의 서쪽 지역인 경기도와 충청남도의 해안지역 주변에서 공통적으로 서식하고 있는 것으로 예측되었다. 따라서 이와 같은 지역들을 우선적으로 보호지역으로 지정되어야 하며, 이러한 결과들은 멸종위기양서 파충류의 보호지역을 지정함에 있어 보호대책 수립에 중요한 기초자료가 될 수 있을 것이다.

광역스케일의 환경 인자를 이용한 어류, 식물, 조류 종수의 공간적 분포에 대한 모델링 - 일본의 주요수계를 중심으로 - (Modelling of a Spatial Distribution of the Species Richness of Fishes, Plants, and Birds Using Environmental Factors on a Wide-Ranging Scale1 - Focusing on the Major Drainage Systems in Japan -)

  • 한미덕;이기배
    • 한국환경생태학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.347-355
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 1990$\sim$2005년 사이에 일본전국의 109개의 주요하천유역에서 조사된 어류, 식물, 조류 데이터를 이용하여, 각 생물종의 종수와 기후 및 지형의 환경인자와의 관계를 분석하고 모델링을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 어류, 식물, 조류의 분포는 각각 연평균 기온, 유역면적, 연간 강수량에 의해서 가장 많은 부분이 설명되었다. 또한, 광범위 스케일에서의 환경인자데이터를 이용한 각 생물종에 대한 일반화가법모델을 이용하여 일본전국의 하천유역의 각 생물 종수의 값을 예측하고 그 값을 지도화하였다. 예측값을 지도화하는 것은 관리자가 생물종의 다양성을 확보하기 위해서 보호해야할 지역을 새롭게 설정하거나, 생물다양성 보호지역의 유효성을 평가하는데 활용될 수 있다.

의사결정나무 변수 선정 방법을 적용한 대축적 생물다양성 지도 구축 (Mapping Biodiversity throughoptimized selection of input variables in decision tree models)

  • 김도연;허준;김창재
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.663-673
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    • 2011
  • In the face of accelerating biodiversity loss and its significance in our coexistence with nature, biodiversity is becoming more crucial in sustainable development perspective. To estimate biodiversity in the future which provides valuable information for decision making system especially in the national level, a quantitative approach must be studied forehand as a baseline of the present status. In this study, we developed a large-scale map of Plant Species Richness (PSR, typical indicator of biodiversity) for Young-dong and Pyung-chang provinces. Due to the accessibility of appropriate data and advance of modelling techniques, reduction of variables without deteriorating the predictive power is considered by applying Genetic algorithm. In addition, a number of Correctly Classified Instances (CCI) with 10-fold cross validation which indicates the predictive power, was carried out for evaluation. This study, as a fundamental baseline, will be beneficial in future land work as well as ecosystem restoration business or other relevant decision making agenda.

Modelling on Sheath Expansion of Two-dimensional Grid Electrodes

  • Yi, Changho;Namkung, Won;Cho, Moohyun
    • 한국진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국진공학회 2014년도 제46회 동계 정기학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.243.1-243.1
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    • 2014
  • For two-dimensional grid electrodes immersed in plasmas, sheath expansion due to negative high-voltage pulse applied to the electrode generates high-energy pseudowave. The high-energy pseudowave can be used as ion beam for ion implantation. To estimate ion dose due to high-energy pseudowave, investigation on sheath expansion of grid electroes is necessary. To investigate sheath expansion, an analytic model was developed by Vlasov equation and applying the 1-D sheath expansion model to 2-D. Because of lack of generalized 2-D Child-Langmuir current, model cannot give solvable equation. Instead, for a given grid electrode geometry, the model found the relations between ion distribution functions, Child-Langmuir currents, and sheath expansions. With these relations and particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations, for given grid electrode geometry, computation time was greatly reduced for various conditions such as electrode voltages, plasma densities, and ion species. The model was examined by PIC simulations and experiments, and they well agreed.

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