• 제목/요약/키워드: smoothing constant

검색결과 62건 처리시간 0.02초

초기공정에서 개별관측치를 이용한 EWM-MR 관리도 (EWM-MR chart for individual measurements in start-up process)

  • 지선수
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제21권47호
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 1998
  • In start-up process control applications it may be necessary to limit the sample size to one measurement. A control chart for individual measurements is used whenever it is desirable to examine each individual value from the process immediately. A possible option would be to use an exponential weighted moving(EWM), using modifying statistics with individual measurement, chart for monitoring the process center, and using a moving range (MR) chart for monitoring process variability. In this paper it is shown that there is scheme in using the EWM procedure based on average run length. An expression for the ARL is given in terms of an integral equation, approximated using numerical quadrature. In this case, where it is reasonable to assume normality and negligible autocorrelation in the observations, provide graphs that simplify the design of EWM-MR chart and taking method of exponential smoothing constant(λ) and constant(K) are suggested. The charts suggested above evaluate using the conditional probability.

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Prediction of Sales on Some Large-Scale Retailing Types in South Korea

  • Jeong, Dong-Bin
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This paper aims to examine several time series models to predict sales of department stores and discount store markets in South Korea, while other previous trial has performed sales of convenience stores and supermarkets. In addition, optimal predicted values on the underlying model can be got and be applied to distribution industry. Research design, data, and methodology - Two retailing types, under investigation, are homogeneous and comparable in size based on 86 realizations sampled from January 2010 to February in 2017. To accomplish the purpose of this research, both ARIMA model and exponential smoothing methods are, simultaneously, utilized. Furthermore, model-fit measures may be exploited as important tools of the optimal model-building. Results - By applying Holt-Winters' additive seasonality method to sales of two large-scale retailing types, persisting increasing trend and fluctuation around the constant level with seasonal pattern, respectively, will be predicted from May in 2017 to February in 2018. Conclusions - Considering 2017-2018 forecasts for sales of two large-scale retailing types, it is important to predict future sales magnitude and to produce the useful information for reforming financial conditions and related policies, so that the impacts of any marketing or management scheme can be compared against the do-nothing scenario.

초기공정에서 지수가중 이동 통계량을 이용한 SPC 관리도 (SPC chart for exponential weighted moving statistics in start-up process)

  • 이희춘;지선수
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제20권41호
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 1997
  • Classical SPC charting methods such as (equation omitted), R, S charts assume high volume manufacturing processes where at least 25 or 30 calibrate samples of size 4 or 5 each can be gathered to estimate the process parameters before on-line charting actually begines. However, for many processes, especially in a job-shop setting, production runs are not necessarily long and charting technique are required that do not that depend upon knowing the process parameters in advance of the run. In this paper, using modifying statistics, we give a method for constructing control charts for the process mean when the measurements are from a normal distribution. In this case, consider that smaller weight being assigned to the older data as time process and properties and taking method of exponential smoothing constant$(\lambda)$ are suggested.

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Censored varying coefficient regression model using Buckley-James method

  • Shim, Jooyong;Seok, Kyungha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.1167-1177
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    • 2017
  • The censored regression using the pseudo-response variable proposed by Buckley and James has been one of the most well-known models. Recently, the varying coefficient regression model has received a great deal of attention as an important tool for modeling. In this paper we propose a censored varying coefficient regression model using Buckley-James method to consider situations where the regression coefficients of the model are not constant but change as the smoothing variables change. By using the formulation of least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM), the coefficient estimators of the proposed model can be easily obtained from simple linear equations. Furthermore, a generalized cross validation function can be easily derived. In this paper, we evaluated the proposed method and demonstrated the adequacy through simulate data sets and real data sets.

세라믹 태핏심 표면 거칠기에 따른 엔진 밸브트레인계의 마찰 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Effects of Ceramic Tappet Shim Surface Roughness on the Friction Characteristics in the Valve Train System)

  • 김승철;박형준;강경필;오대윤;최재권
    • 한국윤활학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국윤활학회 1998년도 제27회 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 1998
  • A $Si_3N_4$ tappet shim was devdoped in a direct OHC engine for the friction reduction of valve train system that contributes significantly to the engine friction in real driving condition. For commercializing $Si_3N_4$ tappet shim, it is important to reduce the machining cost. Therefore we analytically and experimentally figure out the optimum condition. Using ceramic tappet shims machined with different surface roughness, the effects of roughness on the friction loss were analyzed in view of the lubrication behavior. From this results it is shown that the friction torque of valve train system quickly drops at a certain surface roughness of ceramic tappet shim and its value remains constant despite further smoothing.

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대향류 메탄/공기 예혼합화염의 소염특성에 관한 수치해석적 연구 (A Numerical Study on the Extinction of Methane/Air Counterflow Premixed Flames)

  • 정대헌;정석호
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제19권8호
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    • pp.1982-1988
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    • 1995
  • Methane/Air premixed flames are studied numerically, using a detailed chemical model, to investigate the flame strech effects on the extinction in a counterflow. The finite difference method, time integration and modified Newton iteration are used, and adaptive grid technique and grid smoothing have been employed to adjust the grid system according to the spatial steepness of the solution profiles. Results show that the flame stretch, or the conventional nondimensionalized stretch having the tangential flow characteristics of the stretched flame alone cannot adequately describes the extinction phenomena. On the other hand, the local flame stretch having both the normal and tangential flow characteristics of the stretched flame can give a proper explanation to the extinction of the symmetric planar premixed flames stabilized in a counter flow. The extinction condition were found to be a constant local stretch regardless of the equivalence ratio.

Integrated equations of motion for direct integration methods

  • Chang, Shuenn-Yih
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.569-589
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    • 2002
  • In performing the dynamic analysis, the step size used in a step-by-step integration method might be much smaller than that required by the accuracy consideration in order to capture the rapid chances of dynamic loading or to eliminate the linearization errors. It was first found by Chen and Robinson that these difficulties might be overcome by integrating the equations of motion with respect to time once. A further study of this technique is conducted herein. This include the theoretical evaluation and comparison of the capability to capture the rapid changes of dynamic loading if using the constant average acceleration method and its integral form and the exploration of the superiority of the time integration to reduce the linearization error. In addition, its advantage in the solution of the impact problems or the wave propagation problems is also numerically demonstrated. It seems that this time integration technique can be applicable to all the currently available direct integration methods.

Comparison of the Efficiencies of Variable Sampling Intervals Charts for Simultaneous Monitoring the means of multivariate Quality Variables

  • Chang, Duk-Joon
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2016
  • When the linear correlation of the quality variables are considerably high, multivariate control charts may be a more effective way than univariate charts which operate quality variables and process parameters individually. Performances and efficiencies of the multivariate control charts under multivariate normal process has been considered. Some numerical results are presented under small scale of the shifts in the process to see the improvement of the efficiency of EWMA chart and CUSUM chart, which use past quality information, comparing to Shewart chart, which do not use quality information. We can know that the decision of the optimum value of the smoothing constant in EWMA structure or the reference value in CUSUM structure are very important whether we adopt combine-accumulate technique or accumulate-combine technique under the given condition of process.

High-Frequency Forward Transformer Linked PWM DC-DC Power Converter with Zero Voltage Switching and Zero Current Switching Bridge Legs

  • Moisseev, Serguei;Hamada, Satoshi;Ishitobi, Manabu;Hiraki, Eiji;Nakaoka, Mutsuo
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.278-287
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    • 2002
  • A novel zero-voltage and zero-current switching PWM DC-DC converter with lowered conduction losses is presented in this paper. A new double two-switch forward high frequency transformer type soft-switching converter topology is developed to minimize circulating currents occurs during freewheeling period. This converter has advantages as less number of the components, simple control principle under constant operation frequency, free of transformer Imbalance effect. The principle of operation is illustrated with steady-state analysis. Moreover, the effectiveness of the proposed converter topology is verified by implementation of a 500w-100kHz breadboard using IGBTs.

Combined VSI EWMA Chart with Accumulate-Combine Method for Moderate or Small Shifts

  • Chang, Duk-Joon
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • In a multivariate normal production process Np(µ,Σ), a chart combining three EWMA charts with accumulate-combine method for µ, variance components of Σ, and off-diagonal elements of Σ, into a EWMA (exponentially weighted moving average) chart is considered, which is called a combined EWMA chart. Through simulation work, the proposed combined EWMA chart's numerical performance and properties are examined. The simulation results show that the proposed combined EWMA chart, which is simultaneously monitoring all the process parameters of multivariate normal production process, works effectively in the perspective of means, variances and correlation coefficients. In addition, the combined EWMA chart is extended to VSI chart.