• 제목/요약/키워드: ship position prediction

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Motion predictive control for DPS using predicted drifted ship position based on deep learning and replay buffer

  • Lee, Daesoo;Lee, Seung Jae
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.768-783
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    • 2020
  • Typically, a Dynamic Positioning System (DPS) uses a PID feed-back system, and it often adopts a wind feed-forward system because of its easier implementation than a feed-forward system based on current or wave. But, because a ship's drifting motion is caused by wind, current, and wave drift loads, all three environmental loads should be considered. In this study, a motion predictive control for the PID feedback system of the DPS is proposed, which considers the three environmental loads by utilizing predicted drifted ship positions in the future since it contains information about the three environmental loads from the moment to the future. The prediction accuracy for the future drifted ship position is ensured by adopting deep learning algorithms and a replay buffer. Finally, it is shown that the proposed motion predictive system results in better station-keeping performance than the wind feed-forward system.

지능형 해상교통정보시스템의 선박 위치 정보 추정 연구 (A Study on the Estimation of Ship Location Information in the Intelligent Maritime Traffic Information System)

  • 조득재
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2022년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.313-314
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    • 2022
  • 지능형 해상교통정보서비스(바다내비)는 선박에 설치한 LTE-Maritime 송수신기 및 AIS 등의 선박 장비로부터 육상 센터에 주기적으로 수집한 선박들의 위치 정보 기반으로 선박의 충돌·좌초 등을 예방할 수 있도록 실시간 예방 정보를 선박에 제공한다. 그러나 위 서비스는 선박의 위치를 측정하는 GPS 위치 정보가 LTE-Maritime 또는 AIS 망을 통해 전송되는 과정 중에 끊기거나 위치 튐 및 지연 등의 현상이 발생할 수 있어 선박 위치 정보의 신뢰성을 떨어드릴 수 있다. 본 연구는 확률에 기반한 최적 추정 필터인 칼만필터를 이용하여 기존 수신 위치정보를 기반으로 선박 위치 예측을 통해 비정상 구간에서도 어느 정도 신뢰성 있는 위치 정보를 추정하는 것을 목표로 한다.

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합성곱 신경망 기반 선체 표면 압력 분포의 픽셀 수준 예측 (Pixel level prediction of dynamic pressure distribution on hull surface based on convolutional neural network)

  • 김다연;서정범;이인원
    • 한국가시화정보학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2022
  • In these days, the rapid development in prediction technology using artificial intelligent is being applied in a variety of engineering fields. Especially, dimensionality reduction technologies such as autoencoder and convolutional neural network have enabled the classification and regression of high-dimensional data. In particular, pixel level prediction technology enables semantic segmentation (fine-grained classification), or physical value prediction for each pixel such as depth or surface normal estimation. In this study, the pressure distribution of the ship's surface was estimated at the pixel level based on the artificial neural network. First, a potential flow analysis was performed on the hull form data generated by transforming the baseline hull form data to construct 429 datasets for learning. Thereafter, a neural network with a U-shape structure was configured to learn the pressure value at the node position of the pretreated hull form. As a result, for the hull form included in training set, it was confirmed that the neural network can make a good prediction for pressure distribution. But in case of container ship, which is not included and have different characteristics, the network couldn't give a reasonable result.

A Study on Optimization of Fourth-Order Fading Memory Filter under the Highly Dynamic Motion of Both Own Ship and Target

  • Pan, Bao-Feng;Jeong, Tae-Gweon
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2017년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.145-147
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    • 2017
  • Tracking filter plays a key role in accurate estimation and prediction of maneuvering vessel's dynamics. The third-order ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ filter is one of the special cases of the general solution provided by the Kalman filter. Fading memory algorithm performs a better performance in numerous of ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ filter algorithms. This study aims to optimize the fourth-order fading memory algorithm ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}-{\eta}$ filter, which is extended form ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ filter, to get much more accurate position of high dynamic target on the condition that the own ship is also high dynamic.

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합성곱 신경망 기반 선체 표면 유동 속도의 픽셀 수준 예측 (Pixel-level prediction of velocity vectors on hull surface based on convolutional neural network)

  • 서정범;김다연;이인원
    • 한국가시화정보학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2023
  • In these days, high dimensional data prediction technology based on neural network shows compelling results in many different kind of field including engineering. Especially, a lot of variants of convolution neural network are widely utilized to develop pixel level prediction model for high dimensional data such as picture, or physical field value from the sensors. In this study, velocity vector field of ideal flow on ship surface is estimated on pixel level by Unet. First, potential flow analysis was conducted for the set of hull form data which are generated by hull form transformation method. Thereafter, four different neural network with a U-shape structure were conFig.d to train velocity vectors at the node position of pre-processed hull form data. As a result, for the test hull forms, it was confirmed that the network with short skip-connection gives the most accurate prediction results of streamlines and velocity magnitude. And the results also have a good agreement with potential flow analysis results. However, in some cases which don't have nothing in common with training data in terms of speed or shape, the network has relatively high error at the region of large curvature.

부산항에서 ARPA 레이더와 AIS에 의한 통한선박의 실시간 위치추적 (Real-time position tracking of traffic ships by ARPA radar and AIS in Busan Harbor, Korea)

  • 이대재
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2008
  • This paper describes on the consolidation of AIS and ARPA radar positions by comparing the AIS and ARPA radar information for the tracked ship targets using a PC-based ECDIS in Busan harbor, Korea. The information of AIS and ARPA radar target was acquired independently, and the tracking parameters such as ship's position, COG, SOG, gyro heading, rate of turn, CPA, TCPA, ship s name and MMSI etc. were displayed automatically on the chart of a PC-based ECDIS with radar overlay and ARPA tracking. The ARPA tracking information obtained from the observed radar images of the target ship was compared with the AIS information received from the same vessel to investigate the difference in the position and movement behavior between AIS and ARPA tracked target ships. For the ARPA radar and AIS targets to be consolidated, the differences in range, speed, course, bearing and distance between their targets were estimated to obtain a clear standards for the consolidation of ARPA radar and AIS targets. The average differences between their ranges, their speeds and their courses were 2.06% of the average range, -0.11 knots with the averaged SOG of 11.62 knots, and $0.02^{\circ}$ with the averaged COG of $37.2^{\circ}$, respectively. The average differences between their bearings and between their positions were $-1.29^{\circ}$ and 68.8m, respectively. From these results, we concluded that if the ROT, COG, SOG, and HDG informations are correct, the AIS system can be improved the prediction of a target ship's path and the OOW(Officer of Watch) s ability to anticipate a traffic situation more accurately.

해상 수색구조를 위한 표류지점 신속추정모델 연구 (Tracking Model of Drifted Ships for Search and Rescue)

  • 이문진;공인영;강창구
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 1999
  • 해상에서의 수색구조를 위하여 한국 남해를 대상으로 표류물체 추적모델을 연구하였다. 본 연구의 모델에서는 환경외력 조건으로서 바람과 해수유동을 고려하였으며, 주어진 환경외력 조건에 의해 결정된 위치의 표준편차로서 수색범위를 결정하였다. 표류선박의 추적을 위한 환경외력 조건은 한국 남해와 서해에 대해 구축된 데이터베이스를 이용하여 실시간으로 예측하여 적용하였다. 본 모델에 의한 계산 결과는 실제 조난선박의 표류경로와 비교하였으며, 계산에서 예측된 표류경로 및 수색범위는 조난선박의 표류경로를 잘 재현하는 것으로 나타났다.

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Theoretical Approach of Development of Tracking Module for ARPA system on Board Warships

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Pan, Bao-Feng;Njonjo, Anne Wanjiru
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2015년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.53-54
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    • 2015
  • The maritime industry is expanding at an alarming rate and as such there is a perpetual need to improve situation awareness in the maritime environment using new and emerging technology. Tracking is one of the numerous ways of enhancing situation awareness by providing information that may be useful to the operator. The tracking system described herein comprises determining existing states of own ship, state prediction and state compensation caused by random noise. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the process of tracking and develop a tracking algorithm by using ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ tracking filter under a random noise or irregular motion for use in a warship. The algorithm involves initializing the input parameters of position, velocity and course. The actual positions are then computed for each time interval. In addition, a weighted difference of the observed and predicted position at the nth observation is added to the predicted position to obtain the smoothed position. This estimation is subsequently employed to determine the predicted position at (n+1). The smoothed values, predicted values and the observed values are used to compute the twice distance root mean square (2drms) error as a measure of accuracy of the tracking module.

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표류선박 거동특성 관측 및 분석 (Observation and Analysis of Movement Characteristics of Drifting Ships)

  • 이문진;강창구;윤종휘
    • 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2005
  • 해난사고에 의한 선박 표류시 신속한 수색 구조를 지원하기 위한 실시간 표류선박 위치추정시스템 구축의 기초연구로서 실제 해상에서의 선박 표류 거동을 관측하였으며, 환경외력조건에 대한 선박의 규모별 거동특성을 분석하였다. 본 연구의 실험에서는 G/T 10톤급 선박, 20톤급 선박, 50톤급 선박, 80톤급 선박 그리고 구명정(life raft)등 5종류의 선박을 대상으로 하였으며, 표류선박의 위치는 DGPS(Differential Global Positioning System)와 VHF 무전기를 이용한 자동위치발신기(APRS: Automatic Position Reporting System)를 자체 제작하여 측정하였다. 표류 대상선박 중 GH 50톤급 선반에서는 위치 측정과 동시에 표류 경로상의 해수유동, 바람, 선수각(Heading angle)등도 함께 측정하였다. 본 실험의 모든 관측에서 시간간격은 1분으로 동일하게 적용하였다. 실험결과에서 표류선박은 풍속의 3%∼5%의 속도로 표류하는 것으로 나타났으며, 표류방향은 풍향의 법선방향으로 나타났다.

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Tracking of ARPA Radar Signals Based on UK-PDAF and Fusion with AIS Data

  • Chan Woo Han;Sung Wook Lee;Eun Seok Jin
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.38-48
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    • 2023
  • To maintain the existing systems of ships and introduce autonomous operation technology, it is necessary to improve situational awareness through the sensor fusion of the automatic identification system (AIS) and automatic radar plotting aid (ARPA), which are installed sensors. This study proposes an algorithm for determining whether AIS and ARPA signals are sent to the same ship in real time. To minimize the number of errors caused by the time series and abnormal phenomena of heterogeneous signals, a tracking method based on the combination of the unscented Kalman filter and probabilistic data association filter is performed on ARPA radar signals, and a position prediction method is applied to AIS signals. Especially, the proposed algorithm determines whether the signal is for the same vessel by comparing motion-related components among data of heterogeneous signals to which the corresponding method is applied. Finally, a measurement test is conducted on a training ship. In this process, the proposed algorithm is validated using the AIS and ARPA signal data received by the voyage data recorder for the same ship. In addition, the proposed algorithm is verified by comparing the test results with those obtained from raw data. Therefore, it is recommended to use a sensor fusion algorithm that considers the characteristics of sensors to improve the situational awareness accuracy of existing ship systems.