• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Development of Empirical Model for the Air Pollutant Dispersion in Urban Street Canyons Using Wind Tunnel Test (풍동실험을 이용한 도시거리협곡에서의 대기오염확산모델의 개발)

  • Park, Seong-Kyu;Kim, Shin-Do;Lee, Hee-Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.852-858
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    • 2005
  • Modeling techniques for air quality are useful tools in air quality management. Especially, the air quality in urban area is significantly influenced by local surroundings such as buildings and traffic. When considering the air quality in a street canyon, which is usually filmed by a series of consecutive buildings and a street, currently available air dispersion model have a number of limitations to predict the air quality properly. In this study, it is aimed to propose an empirical model for the air quality in urban street canyons. A series of wind tunnel tests, followed by statistical analysis, were conducted. In conclusion, it is found that a wide street canyon and a perpendicular external wind to the street canyon are beneficial to achieve an enhanced air quality in street canyon environment. The model prediction using the proposed model also shows reliable correlations to the wind tunnel test results.

Indirect measure of shear strength parameters of fiber-reinforced sandy soil using laboratory tests and intelligent systems

  • Armaghani, Danial Jahed;Mirzaei, Fatemeh;Toghroli, Ali;Shariati, Ali
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.397-414
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, practical predictive models for soil shear strength parameters are proposed. As cohesion and internal friction angle are of essential shear strength parameters in any geotechnical studies, we try to predict them via artificial neural network (ANN) and neuro-imperialism approaches. The proposed models was based on the result of a series of consolidated undrained triaxial tests were conducted on reinforced sandy soil. The experimental program surveys the increase in internal friction angle of sandy soil due to addition of polypropylene fibers with different lengths and percentages. According to the result of the experimental study, the most important parameters impact on internal friction angle i.e., fiber percentage, fiber length, deviator stress, and pore water pressure were selected as predictive model inputs. The inputs were used to construct several ANN and neuro-imperialism models and a series of statistical indices were calculated to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the developed models. Both simulation results and the values of computed indices confirm that the newly-proposed neuro-imperialism model performs noticeably better comparing to the proposed ANN model. While neuro-imperialism model has training and test error values of 0.068 and 0.094, respectively, ANN model give error values of 0.083 for training sets and 0.26 for testing sets. Therefore, the neuro-imperialism can provide a new applicable model to effectively predict the internal friction angle of fiber-reinforced sandy soil.

A Comparison of Predictive Power among Forecasting Models of Monthly Frozen Mackerel Consumer Price Models (냉동 고등어 소비자가격 모형 간 예측력 비교)

  • Jeong, Min-Gyeong;Nam, Jong-Oh
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.13-28
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to compare short-term price predictive power among ARMA ARMAX and VAR forecasting models based on the MDM test using monthly consumer price data of frozen mackerel. This study also aims to help policymakers and economic actors make reasonable choices in the market on monthly consumer price of frozen mackerel. To analyze this study, the frozen wholesale prices and new consumer prices were used as variables while the price time series data were used from December 2013 to July 2021. Through the unit root test, it was confirmed that the time series variables employed in the models were stable while the level variables were used for analysis. As a result of conducting information standards and Granger causality tests, it was found that the wholesale prices and fresh consumer prices from the previous month have affected the frozen consumer prices. Then, the model with the highest predictive power was selected by RMSE, RMSPE, MAE, MAPE, and Theil's inequality coefficient criteria where the predictive power was compared by the MDM test in order to examine which model is superior. As a result of the analysis, ARMAX(1,1) with the frozen wholesale, ARMAX(1,1) with the fresh consumer model and VAR model were selected. Through the five criteria and MDM tests, the VAR model was selected as the superior model in predicting the monthly consumer price of frozen mackerel.

Performance Analysis of SSSC with Switching-level Simulation Model and Scaled Hardware Model

  • Han, Byung-Moon;Kim, Hee-Joong;Baek, Seung-Taek
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes a switching-level simulation model and scaled hardware model for SSSC, which is useful for analyzing the dynamic interaction between the SSC and the power transmission system. A detailed simulation model with EMTP was developed to verity the SSSC operation with control system, and its increasing capability of power transmission through the line for a typical one-machine infinite-bus system. The simulation results of the developed model are compared with the experimental results froma scaled model fo 2KVA rating for evaluation the whole system operation.

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Constitutive Model for a Confined Concrete Cylinder with an Unbonded External Steel Jacket

  • Roh, Young-Sook
    • Architectural research
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2015
  • Early investigations focused mainly on manipulating the confinement effect to develop a reinforced concrete column with lateral hoops. Based on this legacy model, Li's model incorporated the additional confinement effect of a steel jacket. However, recent experiments on plain concrete cylinders with steel jackets revealed relatively large discrepancies in the estimates of strength enhancement and the post-peak behavior. Here, we describe a modified constitutive law for confined concrete with an unbonded external steel jacket in terms of three regions for the loading stage. We used a two-phase heterogeneous concrete model to simulate the uniaxial compression test of a $150mm{\times}300mm$ concrete cylinder with three thicknesses of steel jackets: 1.0 mm, 1.5 mm, and 2.0 mm. The proposed constitutive model was verified by a series of finite element analyses using a finite element program. The damaged plasticity model and extended Drucker-Prager model were applied and compared in terms of the level of pressure sensitivity for confinement in 3D. The proposed model yielded results that were in close agreement with the experimental results.

A Study on Developing an Evaluation Model for Criticizing the Model house of Multi-family Housing (공동주택 모델하우스 비평을 위한 평가모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 전경화;홍형옥;김정근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Interior Design Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.133-136
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    • 1999
  • This study intends to develop an evaluation model which could be used as an effective tool for criticizing the model house of multi-family housing. The evaluation model has been developed based on the theoretical framework suggested by previous results of research related on hosing design, which comprises the following four components: 1) the paradigm of future home and life-style, 2) marketing effects of housing developer, 3) goals and principles of housing design, and 4) results of user-preference study. In this study, an evaluation model was suggested as a preliminary form which would be modified in detail after series of tests in the field. The evaluation model will be used provide standardized criteria for the quality of model houses, and eventually help to improve the quality of multi-family housing design by balanced information from theorist, user and developer.

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Real-Time Forecasting for Runoff Considering Stochastic Component (推計學的 特性을 考慮한 實時間流出 豫測)

  • Jeong, Ha-U;Lee, Nam-Ho;Han, Byeong-Geun
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.100-106
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    • 1992
  • The objective of this study is to develop a real-time runoff forecasting model considering stochastic component. The model is composed of deterministic and stochastic components. Simplified tank model was selected as a deterministic runoff forecasting model. The time series of estimation residual resulting from the tank model simulation was analyzed and was best suited to the second-order autoregressive model. ARTANK model which combined the tank model with the autoregressive process was developed. And it was applied to a BANWEOL basin for validation. The simulation results showed a good agreement with the observed field data.

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FE-based On-Line Model for the Prediction of Roll Force and Roll Power in Finishing Mill (II) Effect of Tension (유한요소법에 기초한 박판에서의 압하력 및 압연동력 정밀 예측 On-Line모델 (II) 장력의 영향)

  • KWAK W. J.;KIM Y. H.;PARK H. D.;LEE J. H.;HWANG S. M.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.121-124
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    • 2001
  • On-line prediction model which calculate roll force, roll power and forward slip of continuous hot strip rolling was built based on the results of plane strait rigid-viscoplastic finite element process model. Using the integrated FE process model, a series of finite element simulation was conducted over the process variables, and the influence of various process conditions on non-dimensional parameters was inspected. The prediction accuracy of the proposed on-line model under front and back tension is examined through comparison with predictions from a finite element process model over the various process conditions. In addition, we examined the validity of the on-line prediction model through comparison with roll force of experiment in hot rolling.

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INVESTIGATION OF THE PILE MOVEMENT DUE TO TUNNELLING BY MODEL TEST AND NUMERICAL ANALYSIS

  • Lee, Yong-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.09c
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a series of two-dimensional model test and numerical analysis was carried out to investigate the pile movement due to tunnelling in soft ground. The model test consists of 21 cases according to locations of the pile tip over the centre position of model tunnel. To identify both the pile and ground movements a close-range photogrammetric technique was adopted in the model test. The results from the model test were compared to the two-dimensional finite element analysis using the CRISP program. It was found that the rotation point on the pile was significantly affected by factors such as the offset distance from the model tunnel and the volume loss that occurred during the tunnelling operation.

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EXPERIMENT AND SIMULATION OF A WIND-DRIVEN REVERSE OSMOSIS DESALINATION SYSTEM

  • Park, Sang-Jin;Clark C.K. Liu
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2003
  • A mathematical model was developed to simulate the performance of a prototype wind-powered reverse osmosis desalination system. The model consists of two sub-models operated in a series. The first sub-model is the wind-energy conversion sub-model, which has wind energy and feed water as its input and pressurized feed water as its output. The second sub-model is a reverse osmosis (RO) process sub-model, with pressurized feed water as its input and the flow and salinity of the product water or permeate as its output. Model coefficients were determined based on field experiments of a prototype wind powered RO desalination system of the University of Hawaii, from June to December 2001. The mathematical model developed by this study predicts the performance of wind-powered RO desalination systems under different design conditions. The system optimization is achieved using a linear programming approach. Based on the results of system optimization, a design guide is prepared, which can be used by both manufacturer and end-user of the wind-driven reverse osmosis system.

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